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François Hublet @fhublet.bsky.social · 3d

France, Germany, Britain, and the EU have a lot in common these days:

👉Huge pressure on executives
👉Unpopular leadership
👉Rightward shifts in voting behavior

In all, a similar phenomenon complicates majority-building: voters are divided into 3 blocks of roughly equal size 👇

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François Hublet @fhublet.bsky.social · 12d

🗳️🇲🇩 As Moldova is counting, a solid pro-EU majority emerges, yet PAS will likely need a coalition partner to govern. #alegeri #moldovaelections

Follow the count live on @grandcontinent.bsky.social right now 👇
legrandcontinent.eu/fr/2025/09/2...

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François Hublet @fhublet.bsky.social · Mar 17

Dass Menschen im heutigen Frankreich so schlecht Deutsch sprechen, hat vor allem mit zu tun, dass Englisch eine massive Vormachtstellung im frz. Schulsystem genießt. 🙃

Unklar bleibt dabei allein, ob Leavitts Äußerung als eher frankophob oder eher germanophob zu deuten sei.

Agence France-Presse @afp.com · Mar 17

🇺🇸🇫🇷 "C'est seulement grâce aux Etats-Unis d'Amérique que les Français ne parlent pas allemand aujourd'hui, donc ils devraient être très reconnaissants envers notre grand pays", a déclaré la porte-parole de la Maison Blanche, Karoline Leavitt, en réponse aux propos de Raphaël Glucksmann.

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François Hublet @fhublet.bsky.social · Mar 11

Pour le moment le parti pro-US Naleraq fait une très grosse poussée... mais seulement 2% dépouillés.

À demain matin !

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Reposted by François Hublet

Owen Winter @owenwntr.bsky.social · Feb 28

After the AfD's surge on Sunday, far right parties are the most voted-for of any grouping in Europe, for the first time in history: www.economist.com/graphic-deta...

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François Hublet @fhublet.bsky.social · Feb 28

— Service reminder 🔔 —

This is what Trump's majority giving him the mandate to turn U.S. global policy upside down looks like 👇

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François Hublet @fhublet.bsky.social · Feb 23

Gone is the GroKo. #Bundestagswahl2025

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François Hublet @fhublet.bsky.social · Feb 23

Wir präsentieren: Der Wagenknecht-Tracker.

Wird jede Minute aus frischsten Bundeswahlleiterin-Daten aktualisiert.

#Bundestagswahl2025

datawrapper.dwcdn.net/nArz6/

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François Hublet @fhublet.bsky.social · Feb 23

An effect of overall stability?
In fact tonight's numbers looks quite a lot the same as poll numbers from 2 years ago, with some +- 3 pp variations for the larger parties.

François Hublet @fhublet.bsky.social · Feb 23

Clear patterns in the youngest and oldest 🇩🇪 cohorts

On the left, the Bundestag if only 18-24 year-olds voted:
🔴 Linke + 🔴 SPD + 🟢 Grüne hold a slight majority

On the right, the Bundestag if only 70+ year-olds voted:
⚫️ CDU/CSU + 🟡 FDP would not need any 3rd partner

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François Hublet @fhublet.bsky.social · Feb 23

First data pouring in right now in @grandcontinent.bsky.social
as 🇩🇪 is counting.

Our live coverage is here: legrandcontinent.eu/fr/2025/02/21/

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Reposted by François Hublet

Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · Feb 23

Very interesting to look at the age distribution in the exit poll. The SPD which already did very poorly with young voters last time continues to loose further there - a party of pensioners. Interestingly, also huge losses for the Greens among young voters and massive gains for the Linke.

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François Hublet @fhublet.bsky.social · Feb 23

25% kam aus Österreich, 30% von den 500 reichsten deutschen Familien, 5% aus dem Osten Deutschlands, und nur 2% von Spenderinnen.

Mit C. Kleine haben wir für @grandcontinent.bsky.social die Großspenden im Wahlkampf unter die Lupe genommen 👇

#Bundestagswahl2025

legrandcontinent.eu/de/2025/02/2...

Bundestagswahl: Wer waren die Großspenderinnen und Großspender? 10 Punkte zu den 23 Millionen Euro an Wahlkampfspenden - Der Grand Continent

Ein Schlüsselindikator wurde im Bundestagswahlkampf kaum thematisiert, obwohl er von tiefgreifenden Veränderungen in der deutschen Parteienlandschaft zeugt: die private Parteienfinanzierung. Die Roll...

legrandcontinent.eu

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Reposted by François Hublet

François Hublet @fhublet.bsky.social · Feb 22

“Being tired of the traffic light, they wanted a GroKo or Germany but eventually got Kenya”

In case you feel lost in the 🇩🇪 coalition jungle, I have compiled some useful information for you to survive the next 48 hours 👇

#Bundestagswahl2025

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Reposted by François Hublet

Benjamin Tallis @bctallis.bsky.social · Feb 21

A lot of speculation why Trump is doing what he is.
As I told @kyivindependent.com @chrisdyork.bsky.social on Thurs, there’s 3 options
1. Putting Europeans on notice (unlikely)
2. Splitting Russia from China (misguided)
3. Embracing the Dark side (nightmare).

kyivindependent.com/how-ukraine-...

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François Hublet @fhublet.bsky.social · Feb 22

“Being tired of the traffic light, they wanted a GroKo or Germany but eventually got Kenya”

In case you feel lost in the 🇩🇪 coalition jungle, I have compiled some useful information for you to survive the next 48 hours 👇

#Bundestagswahl2025

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Reposted by François Hublet

Grand Continent @grandcontinent.bsky.social · Feb 20

Notre prochain mardi du Grand Continent à @normalesup.bsky.social portera sur les élections allemandes.

Avec @guillaumeduval.bsky.social, @fhublet.bsky.social, @josephdeweck.bsky.social, @vdubslaff.bsky.social, @rikefranke.bsky.social, @pmennerat.bsky.social.

legrandcontinent.eu/fr/evenement...

Comprendre les résultats des élections allemandes | Le Grand Continent

Mardi du Grand Continent à l'École normale supérieure, avec Jean-Yves Dormagen, Guillaume Duval, François Hublet, Hélène Miard-Delacroix, Joseph de Weck, Valérie Dubslaff, Ulrike Franke et Pierre Menn...

legrandcontinent.eu

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François Hublet @fhublet.bsky.social · Feb 15

In the 2024 campaign, Musk donated $288M.

You may think this was a major investment.

It wasn't.

$288M is 0.066% of Musk's wealth, akin to a $74 donation for a median U.S. household.

Musk's only trick: His wealth is 4 million times higher than the median.

www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

Elon Musk donated $288 million in 2024 election, final tally shows

The official count of Musk’s donations further cemented him as the country’s largest -— and most prominent — donor.

www.washingtonpost.com

François Hublet @fhublet.bsky.social · Feb 13

DeepSeek's censorship of Taiwanese independence goes brrr: “The Basque Country is an inseparable part of China” 👇

[NB: This post does not make any political statement on Basque independence, but only aims at highlighting DeepSeek's behavior on geopolitical issues.]

François Hublet @fhublet.bsky.social · Feb 8

So far Merz's move has had little demoscopic effect.

It has, however, fueled left-right polarization, with hundreds of thousands on the left taking to the street to protest against the center-right.

This suggests that Merz (i) knows his base and (ii) is ready to break with political tradition.

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Reposted by François Hublet

Société des Rédacteurs du Monde @srm-lemonde.bsky.social · Feb 5

Редакция газеты Le Monde осуждает отзыв аккредитации у своего корреспондента

Vous pouvez partager un article en cliquant sur les icônes de partage en haut à droite de celui-ci.
La reproduction totale ou partielle d’un article, sans l’autorisation écrite et préalable du Monde, est strictement interdite.
Pour plus d’informations, consultez nos conditions générales de vente.
Pour toute demande d’autorisation, contactez syndication@lemonde.fr.
En tant qu’abonné, vous pouvez offrir jusqu’à cinq articles par mois à l’un de vos proches grâce à la fonctionnalité « Offrir un article ».

https://www.lemonde.fr/le-monde-et-vous/article/2025/02/05/russie-la-societe-des-redacteurs-du-monde-condamne-la-revocation-de-l-accreditation-du-correspondant-du-quotidien_6533560_6065879.html

Российские власти приняли беспрецедентное решение о прекращении аккредитации московского корреспондента Le Monde Бенжамена Кенеля. С 1957 года сменяющиеся друг друга журналисты издания позволяли читателям следить за политической, экономической и социальной жизнью этой ключевой геополитической державы — как во времена СССР, так и в наши дни. Теперь же, впервые за почти 70 лет, Le Monde лишается возможности напрямую освещать события в России.

Работать в стране и разбираться в её внутренней жизни — непростая, но необходимая задача. Это позволяет понять, как устроено российское общество, каковы его отношения с властью Владимира Путина и какие альянсы он выстраивает на международной арене. Уже несколько лет иностранным журналистам приходится работать в условиях всё больших ограничений, а независимые российские медиа подвергаются постоянным преследованиям и часто вынуждены покинуть страну. Лишение аккредитации нашего корреспондента — ещё одно подтверждение того, что руководство страны не хочет, чтобы журналисты выполняли свою основную миссию : информировать.

Редакция Le Monde выражает полную поддержку Бенжамену Кенелю и присоединяется к протесту руководства издания против этого несправедливого решения властей России

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François Hublet @fhublet.bsky.social · Feb 2

Self-proclaimed minimal-state advocates promoting authoritarian rule.
Self-proclaimed free-market capitalists putting the richest of their kind in power.
Self-proclaimed libertarians cracking down on academic freedom.
Trumpism may be to liberalism what Stalinism was to socialism.

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François Hublet @fhublet.bsky.social · Feb 1

As far as I know, this is absolutely unprecedented in recent decades in any democratically ruled polity.

Well-accepted *scientific* concepts being censored away from and by a government-affiliated body.

Jeremy Faust, MD @jeremyfaust.bsky.social · Feb 1

BREAKING NEWS: CDC orders mass retraction and revision of submitted research across all science and medicine journals. Banned terms must be scrubbed.

Goes beyond MMWR +other CDC pubs. Applies to research already submitted to top medical journals.

Take a look.
open.substack.com/pub/insideme...

BREAKING NEWS: CDC orders mass retraction and revision of submitted research across all science and medicine journals. Banned terms must be scrubbed.

Any unpublished manuscript mentioning certain topics, including gender and "LGBT," must be pulled or revised.

open.substack.com

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François Hublet @fhublet.bsky.social · Jan 29

Here is what Germany's regional coalitions could look like were the CDU/CSU to abandon their “firewall” policy vis-à-vis the AfD.

Except for 3 city-states, not a single region would avoid a CDU-AfD government. In most of the East, AfD officials could even serve as regional presidents.

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François Hublet @fhublet.bsky.social · Jan 29

Etwa so könnte die neue politische Dystopie aussehen, falls die #Brandmauer heute wirklich wegfallen würde.

Stand jetzt sind alle Flächenländer gefährdet.

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