Tarik Abou-Chadi
tabouchadi.bsky.social
Tarik Abou-Chadi
@tabouchadi.bsky.social

Professor of European Politics at Nuffield College, University of Oxford. Elections, parties, social democracy & the radical right. he/him. 🏳️‍🌈

Political science 85%
Business 5%
Pinned
New article out in World Politcs. We analyze how different groups react to varying programs of social democratic parties. We find less trade-offs than often assumed. Generally, more left-progressive programs increase support among social democratic potentials
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...

Reposted by Jens Rydgren

Great intervention by @jwmueller-pu.bsky.social on reactionary centrism, anti-wokeness, and the tendency to interpret the success of the right as backlash instead of as its own political project

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Beware of ‘anti-woke’ liberals: they attacked the left and helped Trump win | Jan-Werner Müller
So-called ‘reactionary centrist’ pundits proclaimed that there was a global ‘vibe shift’ in favor of the right. They were wrong
www.theguardian.com
Acceptances (+ rejections 😔) on panel & paper proposals for this year’s EPSS conference in Belfast 18-20 June went out today.

If you have submitted, please check your inbox!

You need to register for the conference by Friday 13 March.

1/3
🚨 Join us for the next edition Summer School for Women* in Political Methodology in Mannheim 🚨

7 days of hands-on advanced methods + networking for PhDs, postdocs & early-career researchers.
Free of charge (limited travel support).

Deadline 1 March 2026: summerschoolwpm.org
#methodsky #polisky

New star line up at Sciences Po
👏 We've been thrilled to welcome 2️⃣ new Assistant Professors this month!

@dianebolet.bsky.social, working on the green backlash and the rise of the far right.

Jonne Kamphorst, jointly affiliated with @cdsp-sciencespo.bsky.social, bringing expertise on democratic engagement & LLMs in social science.

Increasingly difficult to come up with places where the approach to the far right is not accommodation and normalization
Australia. Another one of people's favorite examples that tough border control weakens the far right. Instead, Australia as many other countries seems to show us a recipe for how the far right can become so normalized that it eventually outperforms the mainstream right.
Nobody in Britain pays any attention to Australian politics, but One Nation overtaking the Coalition in the polls has distinct parallels with Reform leading the Conservatives. Parties on the radical right are coming for centre right parties across the world...

Poll via AFR / RedBridge Accent.

"Wie wird das Wetter nächste Woche?"
Man scheint bei Allensbach Schwierigkeiten zu haben zu unterscheiden zwischen von etwas verunsichert sein und unsicher sein über etwas (das in der Zukunft liegt). Aber das nächste Buch zur "Verunsicherungsgeselleschaft" ist sicher schon in Arbeit.
„Wo ist die Unsicherheit am größte?“
Alle: Überall

Demoskopie am Limit

Reposted by Tarik Abou‐Chadi

„Wo ist die Unsicherheit am größte?“
Alle: Überall

Demoskopie am Limit
Nobody in Britain pays any attention to Australian politics, but One Nation overtaking the Coalition in the polls has distinct parallels with Reform leading the Conservatives. Parties on the radical right are coming for centre right parties across the world...

Poll via AFR / RedBridge Accent.

People rightly focus on how the Epstein files reveal how networks of the rich elite work in supporting the worst. We should not forget that they also reveal another simple truth: men are trash
This is Nathan Wolfe. Nathan is a virus hunter. Nathan has a bit of a reputation. Through the years, I've told multiple journalists stories I've heard, like "Nathan thanks Jeffrey Epstein in his book." Somehow no one ever wrote anything up. Want to see what Nathan was up to in today's Epstein files?

Be especially nice to the millenial gays in your life today. We are in mourning.
a woman in a black dress is smiling with #schitts creek written in the corner
ALT: a woman in a black dress is smiling with #schitts creek written in the corner
media.tenor.com
This is Nathan Wolfe. Nathan is a virus hunter. Nathan has a bit of a reputation. Through the years, I've told multiple journalists stories I've heard, like "Nathan thanks Jeffrey Epstein in his book." Somehow no one ever wrote anything up. Want to see what Nathan was up to in today's Epstein files?
👏 We've been thrilled to welcome 2️⃣ new Assistant Professors this month!

@dianebolet.bsky.social, working on the green backlash and the rise of the far right.

Jonne Kamphorst, jointly affiliated with @cdsp-sciencespo.bsky.social, bringing expertise on democratic engagement & LLMs in social science.

Mit Grüßen an alle in der deutschen Debatte, die immer wieder mit "aber die Zahlen sind von der Hamas" versucht haben das Ausmaß des Genozids in Gaza zu relativieren. Internationale Expert:innen sehen die Zahlen schon lange als zuverlässig. Jetzt auch die IDF.

www.haaretz.com/israel-news/...
IDF accepts Gaza Health Ministry death toll of over 71,000 Palestinians killed in the war
Although Many International Experts Have Accepted the Health Ministry's Data as Reliable, and Even Conservative Relative to the True Death Toll, Israel Had Refused to Accept the Health Ministry's Coun...
www.haaretz.com

A weekend ruined

Reposted by Jonathan Hopkin

Complete insanity. And it's a political choice. There should be interest-free student loans for at least a share of the population. That's the rule not the exception if you look at other countries. Graduates are the most important electoral group for Labour. They can demand more from this government
“I borrowed in total £55,000…”

“How much do you owe now?"

“£72,000”

@vicderbyshire.bsky.social speaks to Dr Arthur Joustra, a trainee paediatrician, about how his student loan debt has risen since he graduated in 2022 - despite making payments.

#Newsnight

Reposted by Tarik Abou‐Chadi

If you reserved your Trustfund username, the wait is almost over. In about two weeks, you’ll receive an invitation to join Trustfund and multiply your newsletter growth. If you don’t have a username reserved, there’s still time.

Reposted by Matthijs Rooduijn

Manchester capitalism rebranded as a lifestyle choice. It's what happens when the left withdraws from shaping identities around work, life, and politics. Individualism, conservatism ("marry early"), puritanism. They all shape how he will act politically. "Care for the sick? No, it's their own fault"

Super informative on the by-election that everyone is talking about. Most interesting for me: how difficult this should be for Reform based on socio-demographics. It should be very winnable for a candidate on the left who can mobilize young and muslim voters. Unclear if that sill applies to Labour.
New Swingometer! The Gorton and Denton By-election: A tale of Two Manchesters

open.substack.com/pub/swingome...
The Gorton and Denton by-election: a tale of two Manchesters?
Unpopular incumbent + fragmented opposition + unusual seat = unpredictable contest
open.substack.com
‼️If you are an early career researcher interested in CPE and related field and focus on Eastern Europe, the great team around @dorobohle.bsky.social at the Department of Political Science @univie.ac.at is looking for a postdoc 📣 Deadline 27.02. 📯Details here👇 jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Universi...
jobs.univie.ac.at
Instead of reading even more about Matt Goodwin, I would like to read about a system that over years has enabled, defended, and empowered him. A system that discredited his critics and enjoyed him as an enfant terrible. A system that only listened when senior, white, male professors criticized him.
🚨Happy to finally see this out in the @ejprjournal.bsky.social (with @leonardocarella.bsky.social)

⁉️ Does growing up when immigration is salient make people vote for parties they agree with on immigration *for the rest of their lives*?

doi.org/10.1017/S147...
From context to congruence: Immigration salience and voter socialization | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
From context to congruence: Immigration salience and voter socialization
doi.org

Has anyone put together a Greg Bovino & ICE starter pack yet? We wouldn‘t want to live in an echo chamber.

Not sure what the "ideology studies" are but I think I have made my point. Have a good day.

Social democratic parties strongly varied in their party structures and internal organization, which was a crucial factor in determining their responses. Again, I would recommend some of the political science literature and especially the work of Herbert Kitschelt.

Ideologically, voters of Green parties and the activists in these parties and the ecological movement were very close to those of and in social democratic parties. SD parties differed in how much they incorporated these ideas and people, which in part explains variation in Green party success.

There is more than one reason for the success of new parties. Issue entrepreneurship is one. Party organization is another. I‘d recommend Herbert Kitschelt‘s work on the emergence of Green and left-libertarian parties.

Green and left-libertarian parties in Europe in the 1970s and 80s became successful because they offered a different intra-party democracy. Social democratic parties were not able to incorporate agendas and activists from social movements because of their party structures. Lesson for UK Labour?