Tarik Abou-Chadi
tabouchadi.bsky.social
Tarik Abou-Chadi
@tabouchadi.bsky.social

Professor of European Politics at Nuffield College, University of Oxford. Elections, parties, social democracy & the radical right. he/him. 🏳️‍🌈

Political science 85%
Business 5%
Pinned
New article out in World Politcs. We analyze how different groups react to varying programs of social democratic parties. We find less trade-offs than often assumed. Generally, more left-progressive programs increase support among social democratic potentials
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...
A critique of our (w/ @bertous.bsky.social) paper “Instrumentally inclusive” has just been published.

Our response is under review (see below on process) but we feel obliged to share our draft for balance since the comment has been released without the response.

osf.io/rn6h3/files/...

Reposted by Tarik Abou‐Chadi

Oxford’s PPRNet unveils eight new briefs showing how soaring housing costs are reshaping European politics—hurting centre-left parties and boosting anti-establishment sentiment. Led by @tabouchadi.bsky.social, the project urges an evidence-based debate on housing: ow.ly/5ICT50XyAIH

We have done some work on rent prices and radical right support: journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
I would also emphasize that the Guardian article is less focused on the radical right than implied by the headline.
Rental Market Risk and Radical Right Support - Tarik Abou-Chadi, Denis Cohen, Thomas Kurer, 2025
A growing literature examines how economic threat affects support for anti-establishment parties. While most existing work focuses on transforming labor markets...
journals.sagepub.com
For the Guardian, @bjoernbremer.bsky.social, @siljahausermann.bsky.social and I write about how building new homes is not enough to tackle the housing crisis. Housing is a redistributive issue and progressive policy solutions need to acknowledge that.

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
To halt the far right, Europe’s progressive parties must fix its housing crisis. Our research shows how | Tarik Abou-Chadi, Björn Bremer and Silja Häusermann
The mantra of ‘build, build, build’ misses something crucial: that few can afford these new homes, say Tarik Abou-Chadi, Silja Häusermann and Björn Bremer
www.theguardian.com
For the Guardian, @jonhenley.bsky.social reports on our new research briefs on the politics of housing. Current policies too often treat housing as an asset. Housing as a social right has nearly disappeared from the agenda of even progressive parties.

www.theguardian.com/world/2025/n...
European progressives must tackle housing crisis to beat far right, say researchers
Centre left can win broad support by addressing soaring house prices and rents, according to data analysis
www.theguardian.com

Reposted by Ben H. Ansell

(8) Ben Ansell examines the political feasibility of wealth and inheritance taxes as potential funding sources for progressive housing and social policies. Inheritance taxes are particularly unpopular, but wealth taxes with credible promises to spend revenues on public investments can be popular.

(7) Gerald Koessl provides an in-depth analysis of Austria's and Vienna's housing system as a potential model for affordable housing provision. He examines policy instruments that make this system work, critically assesses their effectiveness, and identifies lessons for other countries and cities.

(6) Michael Wicki examines the politically contentious issue of urban densification - a key strategy for addressing climate change, housing supply constraints, and land scarcity. Wicki demonstrates that public acceptance of densification depends heavily on how projects are designed and implemented.

(5) Aidan Regan asks whether and how homeownership can ever be a progressive policy. He argues that homeownership is only progressive when it is affordable and accessible to low- and middle-income households, rather than serving as a vehicle for speculative wealth accumulation.

Reposted by Sebastian Kohl

(4) Sebastian Kohl, Max Steinhardt, and Simon Voss shift attention to an often-overlooked dimension of housing inequality: the distribution of living space. Overcrowding and under-occupation in the existing housing stock are rising. Policymakers should incentivize redistribution.

Reposted by Benjamin Braun

(3) Dorothee Bohle and Lina Ehrich discuss the housing agenda of the radical right. Their analysis reveals how radical right parties attempt to reconcile housing affordability with their broader ideological commitments, including their stance on immigration, nationalism and the patrimonial family.

(2) Lindsay Flynn and Giuseppe Montalbano examine the fundamental tension at the heart of contemporary housing policy: housing as a social right versus housing as an asset for wealth accumulation. They highlight potential paths forward for and the political tradeoffs that must be navigated carefully

(1) Martin Vinæs Larsen traces the dramatic decline of social housing across Europe over the past four decades and analyzes the political barriers to its revival. He identifies four major obstacles to reviving social housing and argues for strategies with a broader appeal.
With the Progressive Politics Research Network, we have published 8 new research briefs on the politics of housing. What does a progressive agenda on housing look like? Which elements are important? What the hurdles are and how can they be overcome?
politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/progressive-...
Am Wochenende will sich in Gießen die neue Jugendorganisation der AfD gründen – begleitet von großen Gegendemonstrationen.

Ideologisch wie auch personell zeigen sich Kontinuitäten zu der Jungen Alternativen, analysiert ANNA-SOPHIE HEINZE (@asheinze.bsky.social).

verfassungsblog.de/afd-jugendor...
🔔Job Alert 🔔
Thrilled to share that @stefaniebailer.bsky.social and I have been awarded 1.5 million CHF in SNSF funding for our new project: “Electoral choice: Which role does legislators’ quality play?”
We’re recruiting 1 postdoc and 2 PhD candidates to join us in Basel and Geneva!
I wish I didn’t have to share this. But the BBC has decided to censor my first Reith Lecture.

They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
@brendannyhan.bsky.social is right: young people are reluctant to come to the defense of institutions that have excluded them, ignored them, and crushed their movements

www.nytimes.com/2025/11/24/o...
We have a new tenure-track job in @lsegovernment.bsky.social at AP level (empirical political science, open subfield): jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/... Please apply and share with colleagues who might be interested!
Assistant Professor in Political Science
Assistant Professor in Political Science, , <p style="text-align: center;"><em><span>LSE is committed to building a diverse, equitable and truly inclusive university</span></em></p> <p style="text-ali...
jobs.lse.ac.uk
New Publication with @lhaffert.bsky.social in @ejprjournal.bsky.social!

We study the role of generations in the urban-rural divide, which is increasingly shaping the politics of many democracies.

Studying Switzerland, we show: The urban-rural divide is stronger among younger generations. (1/10) 🧵👇
Happy that our paper with @bogatyrev.bsky.social, @tabouchadi.bsky.social, @heikekluever.bsky.social, and @lstoetze.bsky.social found a home at @thejop.bsky.social. You can read it here 👇

www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

Thanks to all the fantastic people giving feedback and supporting us
Thank you for writing this @casmudde.bsky.social saves me to have to explain this every other week to journalists and politicians! This plus the great work by @tabouchadi.bsky.social et al & @turnbulldugarte.com et al should now hopefully settle this issue.

"Danish model" in the article specifically refers to immigration policy. Not the Nordic model of the welfare state and economic policy or anything like that.

Reposted by Fabián Muniesa

I increasingly get asked why then do parties still do it. I don't have a good response but it has imho a lot to do with internal decision making, power struggles and political advisors. I don't think politicians should just "follow the research" but it is striking how many arguments are just wrong.
Cas Mudde spells out what has become largely the consensus among researchers: moving right on immigration will not weaken the far right nor strengthen social democracy. If your reaction is "but in Denmark" please at least familiarize yourself with Danish politics

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
The ‘Danish model’ is the darling of centre-left parties like Labour. The problem is, it doesn’t even work in Denmark | Cas Mudde
This week’s local elections are the latest reminder that when social democrats move rightwards, they’re making a mistake, says academic and author Cas Mudde
www.theguardian.com
🎉 New publication 🎉 Why do #youngpeople vote for the #AfD? This question has kept our research project busy for quite some time, so I'm beyond excited that our first article - co-authored with @timonscheuer.bsky.social - is now out in #GermanPolitics! 🤩 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

The leader can even use your lack of subordination to show his benevolence. But he might act differently tomorrow.
I have said it before but Trump really resembles a late-stage personalistic dictator. They can cause unbelievable harm but have problems to institutionalize authoritarian rule.
A fascinating scene to understand how personalistic regimes work. First, there is an in-or-out decision by the leader. This is always in flux, deliberately uncertain and essential to extract rents and exert power. When you are on the inside the substance of what you say and do becomes secondary.
Q: “Are you affirming you think Trump is a fascist?”

TRUMP: “That’s ok, you can just say yes.”

ZOHRAN: “Ok. Yes.”
Q: “Are you affirming you think Trump is a fascist?”

TRUMP: “That’s ok, you can just say yes.”

ZOHRAN: “Ok. Yes.”