Jill Rutter
banner
jillongovt.bsky.social
Jill Rutter
@jillongovt.bsky.social

Senior Fellow, Institute for Government and still doing bits for UK in a Changing Europe. Cricket fan and (not very good) tennis player.

Jill Rutter is a former British civil servant. She is a senior research fellow of UK in a Changing Europe, and was previously the programme director at the Institute for Government (IfG) directing the organisation's work on better policy making and Brexit. She has written a number of reports on civil service and the implications of Brexit for Whitehall and Westminster. .. more

Political science 38%
Education 17%

she was adamantly opposed to capital values .. I do think reval on sale is still a v sensible idea

Thatcher said (reportedly) that it was the worst idea she had ever heard

I suggested this in a paper we put to Thatcher when she opted for the poll tax. would have been property tax based on capital values revalued (into bands) on sale -- so would cope with relative movement..... better with more bands (and a fairer ratio between them)
Agree with every word of this

We've gone from 9% of social care staff coming from outside the UK and EEA in 2021/22 to almost 25% in 2024/25

The govt has no near-term replacement

It means either:
1) staffing shortages or
2) councils spending far more to attract staff, with no extra funding

Reposted by Jill Rutter

New funding plans will give mayors more autonomy to boost growth

The chancellor's budget announcements are important steps on the government’s journey to ‘complete the map’ of English devolution www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/autu...
New funding plans will give mayors more autonomy to boost growth | Institute for Government
Longer-term funding arrangements are a welcome step towards deepening English devolution.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk

Reposted by Jill Rutter

This is mad.
Obviously it was a massive error.
But Richard Hughes resigning would be a huge over-response.

on.ft.com/485r0Yd OBR chair under pressure over early release of Budget analysis
OBR chair under pressure over early release of Budget analysis
Senior Labour MP calls for UK’s fiscal watchdog chair Richard Hughes to ‘consider his position’
on.ft.com

Great to have you staying here... eine echte Vertrauungsstimme nicht wahr?

Reposted by Jill Rutter

I agree with higher taxes on expensive properties but why do it like this with these weird thresholds and cliff edges?
Another one from today’s @resolutionfoundation.org report.

If anyone is complaining about the mansion tax, show them this.

www.resolutionfoundation.org/publications...

Reposted by Jill Rutter

"Business wanted stability. Reeves has the same plan as she had before. They should not complain."

My very short take on the Budget and Growth has been published. It is obviously the only correct one, so I recommend you read it all the way through

www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/live-blog/au...
LIVE BLOG | Autumn budget 2025: Rachel Reeves announces tax and spend measures | Institute for Government
IfG experts analyse Reeves' budget and explore what the chancellor's plans for the economy, tax and spending mean.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk

Reposted by Jill Rutter

Some personal news: I will be moving to Delhi in January to be the Economist's South Asia bureau chief.

I am obviously hugely excited about this. Welcome all recommendations and tips.

Reposted by Jill Rutter

She could still ditch it any time

Usually it can be postponed in next Budget .. RR (at the moment) claims only one fiscal event in which case it would start rising in Sept before the next one

No different .. its before the next Budget (assuming usual schedule) -- so may even happen

fuel duty starts rising next September...

Reposted by Jill Rutter

Who were the winners and losers of Reeves’s budget?

How will her measures affect growth?

Has the chancellor finally set a coherent tax strategy?

Feat. @jillongovt.bsky.social @gilesyb.bsky.social @danhaile.bsky.social and @drhannahwhite.bsky.social

podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/i...
Autumn budget 2025: What is Rachel Reeves’ plan for the economy?
Podcast Episode · Inside Briefing with the Institute for Government · 26/11/2025 · 57m
podcasts.apple.com

Reposted by Jill Rutter

Rachel Reeves has introduced what is effectively a new tax on high-value properties – although dressed up as an extension of council tax.

So when is a council tax reform not a council tax reform? Read @jillongovt.bsky.social's post on our live blog www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/live-blog/au...
LIVE BLOG | Autumn budget 2025: Rachel Reeves announces tax and spend measures | Institute for Government
IfG experts analyse Reeves' budget and explore what the chancellor's plans for the economy, tax and spending mean.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk

Reposted by Jill Rutter

Key chart for public services

Govt is back to pencilling in undeliverable plans to hit its fiscal rules

After taking out likely funding for protected areas, other departments will have to absorb 3.3% annual real terms cuts. That includes prisons, courts, and local govt, among others

But this is not (just) about the design of council tax.. this is about the underlying formula. Reeves made a mess of explaining this but @resolutionfoundation.org should point that out...
Even after the mansion tax is applied, the owner of a £5m home in Westminster will pay proportionately less in property tax than the owner of a £210k Band B property in Sunderland.
Even after the mansion tax is applied, the owner of a £5m home in Westminster will pay proportionately less in property tax than the owner of a £210k Band B property in Sunderland.
Minor point. But this is the OBR saying that the briefing about income tax being dropped because of improved forecasts is bollocks.

Reposted by Jill Rutter

Massive rise in incapacity benefits forecast

25% higher in four years, during a time of recovering economic growth? It is hard to see how this will not be an attack line from the opposition.
Cash ISA limit cut to £12,000 as expected - though only for under 65s! A new bias in the tax system towards pensioners is introduced....

interesting move by Rachel Reeves to call for evidence on how tax system can support entrepreneurs.... not usually HMT way (but no OTS any more) #Budget2025

Reposted by Jill Rutter

Damning line from the OBR this: "We have assessed that none of the policy measures in this Budget have a sufficiently material impact to justify adjusting our post-measures potential output forecast."

Ie it's a budget which does nothing new for growth.

Reposted by Jill Rutter

I’m excited ministers get to find out what a hot mess the Valuation Office is. It’s currently taking more than a year (based on personal experience!) to undertake assessments that are meant to take less than 4 months

Reposted by Jill Rutter

It's budget day – so what have you missed?

@jillongovt.bsky.social asks Ed Balls and George Osborne what they would do in the budget

OBR forecasts

Ministers Reflect on the Treasury

John Swinney on what Reeves should do

Follow the live blog 👇 www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/live-blog/au...
LIVE BLOG | Autumn budget 2025: Rachel Reeves prepares to announce tax measures | Institute for Government
IfG experts analyse Reeves' budget and explore what the chancellor's plans for the economy, tax and spending mean.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk

Victoria Darbyshire and Nick Watt

BBC News has just said that the rise in the National Minimum and National Living Wage is the first confirmed budget policy change. If you are following the @instituteforgovernment.org.uk live blog you know that there have been measures emerging over past week..........

Reposted by Jill Rutter

The biggest change in the OBR's economic forecast tomorrow is expected to be a lower forecast for productivity growth.

But how does the OBR produce its forecasts? @danhaile.bsky.social explains www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/of...
How does the Office for Budget Responsibility produce economic and fiscal forecasts? | Institute for Government
Economic and fiscal forecasts are a critical part of the government budget process. But what data and assumptions go into them?
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk