Tim Bale
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timbale.bsky.social
Tim Bale
@timbale.bsky.social

Professor of Politics at Queen Mary University of London & author of The Conservative Party after Brexit: Turmoil and Transformation (now out in paperback). The bits and pieces I do for websites and newspapers turn up eventually at https://proftimbale.com .. more

Timothy Paul Bale is an English political scientist who is professor of politics at Queen Mary, University of London.

Source: Wikipedia
Political science 83%
Sociology 6%

Highly recommended. This is as good a 'New Year' take on where we are now politically, and on where we might be going, as you'll read anywhere. And beautifully-written too.
🚨NEW BLOGPOST 🚨

I look ahead at the year to come, and what's going to be driving politics. Insurgent parties will look to solidify the 2025 surge, and the incumbents will try to stop them. But both Labour and Conservatives will struggle.

open.substack.com/pub/joxleywr...
2026: The Fragmentation Will Continue until Morale Improves
Some thoughts on the political year ahead
open.substack.com

Reposted by Tim Bale

Not only does this not surprise me at all it’s a neat way of structuring the transaction to mitigate the potential cost of political risk — I think we’ll see this sort of term across the range of new arrangements with the EU.

www.ft.com/content/3733...
EU demands ‘Farage clause’ as part of Brexit reset talks with Britain
Brussels wants insurance in the event that Reform UK wins the next election
www.ft.com

Reposted by Tim Bale

Reform MPs declaring thousands of pounds earned by posting on X. Figures since July 2024. A platform we know amplifies far-right hate, division, xenophobia, transphobia and now also allows users to create CSEM via its Grok chatbot AI. From www.bearlypolitics.co.uk/p/they-say-t... #nomorehate

So the pbk exists in the wild!?

But is it pbk or hbk?

Reposted by Tim Bale

That'll buff out

Reposted by Tim Bale

How many employees have, either through their position of power, or just having it in their browser cache, committed possession/creation offences? How many could you make never pass a DBS ever again?

Reposted by Tim Bale

I’ve been told it should be a matter of weeks to resolve this. And while I have been made a number of promises like this which haven’t been delivered upon, print copies have started arriving with some vendors, so fingers crossed it won’t be long.

Still such a favourite.

'A lie to say "Oh my forest has trees that block the sun
And when I cut them down I don't answer to anyone"
No, no, never will he believe that his greed has a blinding ray
No devil or redeemer can cheat him
He'll take his gold where he's lying cold
Six deep in the grave.'
A Campfire Song
YouTube video by 10,000 Maniacs - Topic
youtu.be
How government engagement on X works. A wholly typical post and a wholly typical reply.

Reposted by Tim Bale

As Tees Valley mayor Lord Houchen's defence of his deal with local businessmen crumbles, here's the Eye's recent special report on how Britain's flagship regeneration scheme secretly turned into one of the biggest giveaways of public money on record.

➡️ www.private-eye.co.uk/special-repo...
Special Report: Stripped Tees
IT WAS to be the UK’s largest regeneration scheme in decades, a model for regional devolution and the flagship post-Brexit freeport. But the redevelopment of the former steelworks on the south bank of...
www.private-eye.co.uk

Reposted by Steve Peers, Tim Bale

Dark Triad: The disturbing personality traits on the British Right

open.substack.com/pub/iandunt/...
Only Reform voters can save Labour

By Luke Akehurst
Only Reform voters can save Labour
A progressive coalition simply doesn't have the vote share
www.newstatesman.com

Reposted by Tim Bale, Ben Worthy

🚨NEW BLOGPOST 🚨

I look ahead at the year to come, and what's going to be driving politics. Insurgent parties will look to solidify the 2025 surge, and the incumbents will try to stop them. But both Labour and Conservatives will struggle.

open.substack.com/pub/joxleywr...
2026: The Fragmentation Will Continue until Morale Improves
Some thoughts on the political year ahead
open.substack.com

Reposted by Tim Bale

… where once the UK had its own serious conservative thinkers now we import everything from US via social media and US right wing think tanks. We need to take this more seriously my own view is that this is the death of European conservatism as an ideology (if not as a party @timbale.bsky.social )

Always on, Jonn. Always on.

So not huge promises that they could never hope to keep, then?
Reform Councils Say 'Huge Headwinds' Are Thwarting Plans To Lower Tax
Reform UK-run local authorities are facing “huge headwinds”, one of the party’s cost-saving chiefs has admitted, as Nigel Farage’s party faces crit...
www.politicshome.com

Reposted by Steve Peers, Tim Bale

The owner of X is celebrating the surge in traffic that has coincided with its industrial scale production of CSAM. He is acting with impunity because governments across the world are allowing him to do so.

Reposted by Tim Bale

If their parties held the balance of power in a hung parliament, current Lib Dem and Green voters would rather their parties backed Labour than either the Conservatives (59-69% vs 4-20%) or Reform UK (66-71% vs 3-7%)

yougov.co.uk/politics/art...

A bit of positivity to start your working day.
Think society is in decline? Research gives us some reasons to be cheerful
If we look at people’s values - abstract ideals that guide our behaviour - there are reasons to be positive about society.
theconversation.com

Possibly (not probably) a crack in the dam?
Commons women and equalities committee to stop using X amid AI-altered images row
Exclusive: Move follows outcry over use of Grok to digitally remove clothing from images of women and children
www.theguardian.com

Am inclined to agree. He's no fool, whatever one thinks of him.

The US paid Russia $7.2 million for Alaska in 1867 - which is apparently around $160 million in today's money. Has Rubio suggested what they'd pay Denmark for Greenland?

This.
Most annoying twitterisms from the 2010s, I’ll start

“I’m literally shaking”
“Spat my coffee”

The interesting question is whether he actually believes this nonsense or whether he feels he has to flirt with it now and then to keep some of his more (ehem) 'out there' members in the tent.

Reposted by Tim Bale

The problematic nature of X has been visible from space for over two years.
Twitter/X is now toxic - boosting of paid accounts degrades content and makes replies useless. Any moderation function is essentially broken. Increasingly apparent that the experience is not 'representative' of the actual content/community.
Laila Cunningham grew up in the 1980s, when relatively central parts of London looked like this: