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Jane Green

@profjanegreen.bsky.social

8.7K followers 490 following 510 posts

Nuffield College, Oxford Co-Director, British Election Study Director, Nuffield Politics Research Centre President, British Polling Council Voting, surveys, explanation, singing …

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Jane Green FAcSS is a British political scientist and academic. She is Professor of Political Science and British Politics at the University of Oxford and a professorial fellow of Nuffield College. She is a specialist in public opinion and electoral behaviour, and has co-directed the British Election Study. She is the president of the British Polling Council. .. more

Political science 77%

Economics 5%

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Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 8d

"...because growth is the pound in your pocket, it is more money for trips, meals out, the little things that bring joy to our lives...the peace of mind that comes from economic security." 💪

@jrf-uk.bsky.social @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social @zackgp94.bsky.social

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Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 1d

I was referring to how they’re trying to frame the choice…we saw this in the Starmer speech. It’s all relative…

Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 2d

So it makes sense that Conservatives should try and reclaim the 'fiscal responsibility' label; incredibly easy in opposition to attack Labour and Reform. And resonates with what many will think a Conservative party would be doing.

Doesn't mean its a winning strategy, but its somewhere to start.

Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 2d

Dividing lines in British political competition becoming clearer in how they're trying to counter Reform.

For Labour, tolerance, delivery. For Conservatives, hard-right on 'culture' and fiscal prudence on econ. Latter probably the one thing Conservatives still thought to represent, in party image.

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Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 3d

Working on something with a typo. The Untied States. Quite.

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Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 4d

Perhaps more targeting the mid-life economically stretched group we identified here: www.jrf.org.uk/public-attit....

I'd imagine that lump sum would mostly go to children, or a mortgage, which would be no bad thing!

I don't know how people would feel about retiring a year later as the trade-off.

Addressing key voters' economic insecurity is vital for all parties

People aged 35–59 are a pivotal swing voter group that all political parties need to appeal to. They're also the most economically insecure in Britain. What policies will throw them a lifeline?

www.jrf.org.uk

Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 4d

We find that parents/grandparents with financially struggling younger family members are both numerous and more likely to support policies and parties that help younger generations, with things like home buying:

www.resolutionfoundation.org/publications...

Family matters • Resolution Foundation

Report by Zack Grant, Jane Green & Geoffrey Evans of Nuffield Politics Research Centre, Nuffield College, University of Oxford, in collaboration with Molly Broome, Sophie Hale & Lord David Willetts of...

www.resolutionfoundation.org

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Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 4d

The policies at CPC aimed at young people's savings are very interesting. They signal a) Conservatives have something to say to younger people (!), but also b) they have something to say to parents and grandparents deeply worried about younger generations. That's smart...

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Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 5d

Loved your TED talk

Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 5d

A gem from today:

When I say ‘the proof is in the pudding’ it reflects very badly on me and very badly on my institution, because I haven’t said the whole precise phrase.

A thousand apologies, University of Oxford.

Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 5d

When I go on ITV, I get back on a train. That’s that. Happy days.

When I go on BBC, I receive emails correcting which expressions I use, how I haven’t been strident enough about someone’s political grievance. Used to get a lot worse.

Anyone else removed their email address from their webpage?

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Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 5d

I don’t think so. Labour’s doing a broad (certainly confusing and sometimes suboptimal) appeal, but the Conservatives are the ones literally trying to go for Reform voters only.

Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 5d

That’s horrific!

(We have an internal address book. The issue would be wider academic networks)

Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 5d

Exactly. I guess they’ll just have to to decide to vote tactically, for their lesser of evils…and the Conservatives will get smaller and smaller.

Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 5d

It’s not that it affects what I’d say or how I’d express a thing, or would change anything I’d do. Just don’t want those people crossing a boundary into my inbox.

Reposted by Tom Louwerse

Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 5d

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Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 5d

If the Conservative Party shifts hard-right, as signals around CPC suggest they are, the voters they are targeting might as well vote Reform.

Why vote Conservative?!

They’re going for a tiny fringe. While the Conservatives could have been the opposition to Labour.

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Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 7d

One thing I said is that Badenoch's approach of leaving time to reflect just isn't one Conservatives can afford with half of lost Conservative 2024 votes in this first year going to Reform.

It is not a normal period of being kicked out of office and benefiting eventually when the gov fails.

Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 7d

BBC Newscast, with me on Labour’s new strategy, Conservatives needing one, whether ‘economic growth’ should be Labour’s defining mission.

www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/epis...

Newscast - Series 6: 11. Was Labour’s Conference a Success for Starmer?

Adam, Chris, Faisal and Professor Jane Green discuss Keir Starmer’s performance at the Labour conference and the government’s economic plans, before looking ahead to the Conservative conference.

www.bbc.co.uk

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Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 7d

BBC Newscast, with me on Labour’s new strategy, Conservatives needing one, whether ‘economic growth’ should be Labour’s defining mission.

www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/epis...

Newscast - Series 6: 11. Was Labour’s Conference a Success for Starmer?

Adam, Chris, Faisal and Professor Jane Green discuss Keir Starmer’s performance at the Labour conference and the government’s economic plans, before looking ahead to the Conservative conference.

www.bbc.co.uk

Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 8d

Had the pleasure tonight of chatting with the three brilliant BBC amigos, @adamfleming.bsky.social Chris Mason and Faisal Islam for BBC Newscast. On BBC 1 TV tonight, and podcast tomorrow….

Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 8d

🤯

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Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 8d

Yes! That was how Labour got their majority in 2024 on such a low vote share (plus tactical voting, plus Scotland).

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Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 8d

Is this why people are having fewer children? How much is about house prices, general doomism?

Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 8d

Having spent the last years explaining (banging on about) the importance of feelings of economic security to people and to politics, this was, to me (!), THE line of the PM’s speech on Tuesday….

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Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 8d

It’s exceptional that the Conservatives in opposition are losing support as the government also does. This is as much about the desirability of Reform to Conservatives as it is the viability of Reform. I’d say the Conservatives are on the precipice …

Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 8d

Labour needed Liverpool to go well. Labour also needs Manchester to go well for Kemi Badenoch! Indeed, this is more critical to Reform in many, many ways…

While some may not be as interested in CPC, understanding why the Tories continue to lose support is a HUGE issue.

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Reposted by Ben H. Ansell

Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 8d

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Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 9d

Yes….

Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 9d

I see that as the Starmer strategy: painting Brexit as Farage and Reform as a repeat of the Leave campaign. That’s what he did in the speech yesterday. It may not work for all Reform voters, but it doesn’t have to….

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Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 9d

We’re in 2012-2013, but with everyone a lot more informed, prolonged economic angst and a much more polarised information environment….

Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 9d

I think this is right. In addition, Lab-Reform in a GE also feels an awful lot like a Brexit campaign re-run in so many ways, but this time understanding, for many, the risks.

Ian Dunt @iandunt.bsky.social · 9d

Why is Starmer becoming more confident criticising Brexit? Because quietly, without any great drama, a consensus has been reached. It's a disaster inews.co.uk/opinion/brex...

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Reposted by Anand Menon, Jane Green, Paul Nightingale , and 1 more Anand Menon, Jane Green, Paul Nightingale, Gerry Hassan

Ian Dunt @iandunt.bsky.social · 9d

Why is Starmer becoming more confident criticising Brexit? Because quietly, without any great drama, a consensus has been reached. It's a disaster inews.co.uk/opinion/brex...

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