Jane Green
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profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green
@profjanegreen.bsky.social
8.9K followers 500 following 600 posts

Nuffield College, Oxford
Co-Director, British Election Study
Director, Nuffield Politics Research Centre
President, British Polling Council
Voting, surveys, explanation, singing …

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Jane Green FAcSS is a British political scientist and academic. She is Professor of Political Science and British Politics at the University of Oxford and a professorial fellow of Nuffield College. She is a specialist in public opinion and electoral behaviour, and has co-directed the British Election Study. She is the president of the British Polling Council. .. more

Political science 77%
Economics 5%
Posts Replies Media Videos

profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 1d
Inflation falls, of course prices still keep going up on top of a painfully high level….

The public also do not see them as the same thing. We see much closer correspondence between answers about ‘prices’ and other evals compared to ‘inflation’.
duncanweldon.bsky.social Duncan Weldon @duncanweldon.bsky.social · 1d
A thought. In 2022-24 incumbents did terribly everywhere and the most common explanation was voters hating inflation.
Today inflation is much lower. And Merz, Starmer & Trump are all deeply unpopular.
codendahl.bsky.social Christian Odendahl @codendahl.bsky.social · 1d
He's done it! Merz is now less popular than Olaf Scholz at his lowest low.

Nobody could have predicted this, of course. www.n-tv.de/politik/Kanz...

Reposted by Ben H. Ansell, Jane Green, Federica Genovese

duncanweldon.bsky.social
Duncan Weldon @duncanweldon.bsky.social · 1d
A thought. In 2022-24 incumbents did terribly everywhere and the most common explanation was voters hating inflation.
Today inflation is much lower. And Merz, Starmer & Trump are all deeply unpopular.

profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 1d
I popped up briefly on @itvnews.bsky.social News at Ten last night in relation to the "Budget Shenanigans" and public trust (and people being, more importantly, worried about their finances):

youtu.be/-56hNi57O94?...
Prime Minister defends Rachel Reeves as OBR Chair resigns - Watch ITV News at Ten
YouTube video by ITV News In Full
youtu.be

profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 1d
Not here; I’m definitely stuck in the past in my writing.

Reposted by Will Jennings, Pauline Stafford

profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 2d
All this budget news, claims, counter claims is confusing, but two things of consequence.

1. We're all talking about that, not any financial benefits (or losses) of the budget.

2. Yet more focus on the very weird few weeks and politics of it all. Starting to feel dangerously like a norm.

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland, Jason Reifler, Jane Green , and 2 more

gcapoccia.bsky.social
Giovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · 2d
PhD opportunity at the University of Oxford. The Morelli scholarship funds a doctoral student to work with me on on democratic backsliding, strategies of democratic defense and regeneration, or the rise of illiberalism. Deadline Jan 9. More information at users.ox.ac.uk/~ssfc0073/

profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 5d
voila: academic.oup.com/pa/advance-a...
The Brexit realignment amid electoral volatility: The role of party blocs in the 2024 General Election
Abstract. Brexit accelerated the long-term realignment of how demographic groups vote in Britain. However, Europe is no longer salient to voters, support f
academic.oup.com

profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 5d
Yes of course. Will do

profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 5d
Its really strange. And a very weird reading of public opinion too. There are multiple reasons to win elections. Being clear about what you stand for, expressing values, delivery, unity in parliament, not just 'following poll X' !!
stephenkb.bsky.social Stephen Bush @stephenkb.bsky.social · 5d
It's part of the electionification of everything, which is why we as a country are failing to have a proper conversation about our actual problems. It's bad for the left *and* the right.
samfr.bsky.social Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 6d
It's such a bizarre framing. Labour MPs think taking 450k kids out of poverty is putting the country first! That's why they wanted it to happen! It's not because they personally benefit.

profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 5d
And 2017 beneath the surface too (the patterns of demographic association). But yes, the main thing was that 2024 was a return to a previous trend, but Labour's massive majority confused people quite a bit in that regard.

Reposted by David M. Farrell, Will Jennings, Jonathan Hopkin

profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 5d
UK politics followers, these graphs are in a paper by @jamesdgriffiths.bsky.social and co (inc. me).

There's so much useful info in them.

The long-term context for the politics of our time, how the 'Brexit elections' differed, though note the Y axes may need to be bigger for the next election!!

Reposted by Will Jennings, Patrick A. Jansen, Jane Green

stephenkb.bsky.social
Stephen Bush @stephenkb.bsky.social · 5d
It's part of the electionification of everything, which is why we as a country are failing to have a proper conversation about our actual problems. It's bad for the left *and* the right.
samfr.bsky.social Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 6d
It's such a bizarre framing. Labour MPs think taking 450k kids out of poverty is putting the country first! That's why they wanted it to happen! It's not because they personally benefit.
robertsaunders.bsky.social Robert Saunders @robertsaunders.bsky.social · 6d
Headline on The World at One just now:

"Sir Keir Starmer has denied putting the Labour Party before the country by ending the two-child benefit cap".

Can we please go back to reporting the actual news, not someone's partisan take on it?

profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 6d
Yes, indeed. Labour also has a problem of coming into power and doing un-Labour things. Consider the winter fuel cut and disability benefits cuts. This may reassure some of Labour's 2024 supporters, which is where Labour has been losing most of its support. I think its a more symbolic step.

profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 6d
The two-child limit lift should be a celebration moment for people who really do care about the working class and are motivated for politics to protect those really left-behind in society. Extremely telling when it isn't!!

profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 7d
Noticeable that energy bill support coming in 2026, a lot of the pain deferred to much closer to a general election (or even after?). Labour has got the message on households needing improvements now, but its not much!

profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 7d
Seems, as ever, like a lot of pain for households deferred for political reasons - a tight balancing act because the market reaction (which wants reassurance sooner) is also politically important given the need for econ optimism and perceptions of competence, as much as its economically important.

profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 7d
Rachel Reeves blames the Tories for the poor economic context, but its Labour that's now losing voters due to feelings of economic insecurity, financial worries, with around a third of people feeling these heightened concerns, according to our surveys.

profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 8d
This was a long form interview about our new research by the fantastic @adamfleming.bsky.social where I tried to summarise the findings - and their political implications - as simply as possible in 'talking human, not academic' form:
jrf-uk.bsky.social Joseph Rowntree Foundation @jrf-uk.bsky.social · 8d
🎙️ "Those economic worries are critical. They matter across the board, they matter in magnitude and they're having a number of indirect effects."

@profjanegreen.bsky.social discusses @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social latest report on Newscast last night. Starts at 23mins.

www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/...
Newscast - Another Trump Ukraine Peace Plan - BBC Sounds
Trump hints at 'big progress' in Ukraine talks.
www.bbc.co.uk

profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 8d
Yeah, if that’s dancing….

profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 8d
Thank you so much (ha)

profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 8d
Those who know, know. I wouldn't have been able to resist it either. I can't hear 6-7 without hearing it on repeat alongside all other similarly 'blessed' parents:

www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
Starmer apologises for leading pupils in 6-7 dance
The prime minister performed a version of the viral dance with primary school children, before being told it was not allowed.
www.bbc.co.uk

Reposted by Jane Green

jrf-uk.bsky.social
Joseph Rowntree Foundation @jrf-uk.bsky.social · 8d
🎙️ "Those economic worries are critical. They matter across the board, they matter in magnitude and they're having a number of indirect effects."

@profjanegreen.bsky.social discusses @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social latest report on Newscast last night. Starts at 23mins.

www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/...
Newscast - Another Trump Ukraine Peace Plan - BBC Sounds
Trump hints at 'big progress' in Ukraine talks.
www.bbc.co.uk

profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 8d
Labour MP here explaining bond rates (not Bond rates) with, I thought, a comic little pause on ‘bananas’.
jeevunsandher.bsky.social Dr. Jeevun Sandher MP @jeevunsandher.bsky.social · 8d
What makes our bond rates go up or down?

(hint: it's nothing to do with Daniel Craig)

Reposted by Jane Green

jeevunsandher.bsky.social
Dr. Jeevun Sandher MP @jeevunsandher.bsky.social · 8d
What makes our bond rates go up or down?

(hint: it's nothing to do with Daniel Craig)

profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 8d
A great postdoc opportunity in Gothenburg!
floriso.bsky.social Florence So @floriso.bsky.social · 8d
🌟 JOB ALERT! 🌟

I’m hiring 1 postdoc for my ERC project ECONENGAGE (@ Gothenburg 🇸🇪)! Starting ca. Aug '26! Congenial colleagues + int'l & supportive environment. 💸 for conferences + workshops! Lots of professional networking opportunities with scholars! Deadline Jan 7th. Apply! (see more below 🧵)
Postdoctoral Fellow in Political Science PAR 2025/838
The Department of Political Science is an international academic environment that welcomes students, researchers and
web103.reachmee.com

Reposted by Jon Pierre, Ruth Dassonneville, Jochen Müller , and 7 more

floriso.bsky.social
Florence So @floriso.bsky.social · 8d
🌟 JOB ALERT! 🌟

I’m hiring 1 postdoc for my ERC project ECONENGAGE (@ Gothenburg 🇸🇪)! Starting ca. Aug '26! Congenial colleagues + int'l & supportive environment. 💸 for conferences + workshops! Lots of professional networking opportunities with scholars! Deadline Jan 7th. Apply! (see more below 🧵)
Postdoctoral Fellow in Political Science PAR 2025/838
The Department of Political Science is an international academic environment that welcomes students, researchers and
web103.reachmee.com

profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 9d
On route to BBC for a BBC Newscast recording discussing our new work with @jrf-uk.bsky.social

Reposted by Jane Green

jrf-uk.bsky.social
Joseph Rowntree Foundation @jrf-uk.bsky.social · 9d
'Economic insecurity is draining Labour’s support across the spectrum, to both left and right, and to ‘undecided’.'

Read the full report from @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social @profjanegreen.bsky.social on our website here:

www.jrf.org.uk/public-attit...

profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 9d
Thanks Thomas! We’re working on it. :-) There’s really a lot more on egotropic economic voting conditionality, but not as a foundation.

profjanegreen.bsky.social
Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 9d
Yep!