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Harold Trinkunas

@htrinkunas.bsky.social

870 followers 1.3K following 23 posts

Deputy Director at Stanford’s Center for International Security and Cooperation. Usual disclaimers apply. https://cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/people/harold-trinkunas

Political science 66%

Sociology 21%

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Reposted by Afghanistan, Harold A. Trinkunas

Stanford CISAC @stanfordcisac.bsky.social · Jul 17

On the 80th anniversary of the Trinity test, the Nobel Laureate Assembly for the Prevention of Nuclear War, including CISAC’s Scott Sagan, Herb Lin, Sig Hecker & Lynn Eden, called on world leaders & policymakers to recommit to reducing the nuclear threat.
thebulletin.org/2025/07/the-...

The Nobel Laureate Assembly Declaration for the Prevention of Nuclear War

Tremendous progress has been made in reducing global nuclear stockpiles and nuclear risks, but we are now heading in the wrong direction. Poised at the beginning of a new, complex, and dangerous nucle...

thebulletin.org

Reposted by Harold A. Trinkunas

Stanford CISAC @stanfordcisac.bsky.social · Jul 2

New research from CISAC's Patrick Hulme shows presidents often act alone in military interventions not b/c Congress is weak, but b/c lawmakers choose to avoid blame while quietly supporting action. The “imperial presidency” story misses the real dynamic.
Read more⤵️
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

War and Responsibility | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core

War and Responsibility

www.cambridge.org

Reposted by Harold A. Trinkunas

John Mecklin @meckdevil.bsky.social · Jul 2

This is a very cool opportunity for writers of fiction. So happy Kim Stanley Robinson agreed to help out. thebulletin.org/write-before...

Write Before Midnight - Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

Write Before Midnight A Bulletin short fiction contest Announcing the Bulletin‘s new short fiction contest… Over the decades, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists has published the smartest minds in ...

thebulletin.org

Reposted by Harold A. Trinkunas

Stanford CISAC @stanfordcisac.bsky.social · Jul 1

Please join us in welcoming back Dr. Sulgiye Park to CISAC!
Joining as a Research Scholar, Park will contribute to research, teaching, and mentorship.
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/news/cisac-w...

CISAC Welcomes Dr. Sulgiye Park

Dr. Sulgiye Park has joined the Center for International Security and Cooperation (CISAC) as a Research Scholar, where she will contribute to research, teaching, and mentorship

cisac.fsi.stanford.edu

Reposted by Harold A. Trinkunas

Stanford CISAC @stanfordcisac.bsky.social · Jun 16

Please join us in welcoming our 2025-2026 fellows! These scholars will spend the academic year generating new knowledge across a range of topics that can help all of us build a safer world.
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/news/cisac-n...

CISAC Names 2025-2026 Fellows

The Center for International Security and Cooperation (CISAC) is pleased to welcome the fellows who will be joining us for the 2025-26 academic year. These scholars will spend the academic year genera...

cisac.fsi.stanford.edu

Reposted by Flávia Freidenberg, Harold A. Trinkunas

RAUL MADRID @raullorcamadrid.bsky.social · Jun 15

I’m thrilled to announce that, after ten years of research, my book on the birth of democracy in South America is finally out!
I'm especially excited to be publishing it #openaccess, which means you can download a PDF for free at: www.cambridge.org/core/books/b...

Reposted by Harold A. Trinkunas

Stanford CISAC @stanfordcisac.bsky.social · Jun 12

Anne Neuberger delivered the 2025 Payne Distinguished Lecture, outlining how the United States must rethink cyber deterrence to defend critical infrastructure.

Read more on key takeaways below⤵️
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/news/event-r...

Event Recap: Payne Distinguished Lecture | Geopolitics and Deterrence in

Anne Neuberger delivered the 2025 Payne Distinguished Lecture, outlining how the United States must rethink cyber deterrence to defend critical infrastructure

cisac.fsi.stanford.edu

Reposted by Harold A. Trinkunas

FSI Stanford @fsi.stanford.edu · Jun 9

Congratulations to @htrinkunas.bsky.social of @stanfordcisac.bsky.social on receiving the Alfred Stepan Lifetime Achievement Award from the Latin American Studies Association for his outstanding academic career and contributions to security and defense studies.

Dr. Harold Trinkunas Awarded the Alfred Stepan Lifetime Achievement Award

Trinkunas is awarded for his outstanding academic career and contributions to security and defense studies, such as civil-military relations, transnational organized crime, terrorism, and local orders...

Harold Trinkunas @htrinkunas.bsky.social · Jun 4

I like this approach better than going back to blue book final exams.

Reposted by Harold A. Trinkunas

James Acton @nuclear-jim.bsky.social · Apr 22

Rose Gottemoeller is announced as the recipient of the 2025 Thérèse Delpech Memorial Award… and the crowd at #nukecon goes wild.

Alex Bell with the announcement.

Reposted by Harold A. Trinkunas

Anna Grzymala-Busse @annagbusse.bsky.social · Mar 22

This is the fundamental problem with Silicon Valley as well: the modal belief is that anything to do with politics or the state is either an engineering problem or a conspiracy.

And then these guys are let loose on our democracy.

Reposted by Harold A. Trinkunas

Dr. Jacquelyn Schneider @jackieschneider.bsky.social · Mar 19

Women of Wargaming featuring @spettyjohn.bsky.social Bethany Goldblum and Emma Barrosa youtu.be/NP224DLDSCs?...

Women of Wargaming: From World War II To Today | Hoover Institution

YouTube video by Hoover Institution

Reposted by Harold A. Trinkunas

Michael McFaul @mcfaulmike.bsky.social · Mar 11

My latest in The Atlantic :

The Tragic Success of Global Putinism

How the West underestimated an ideology’s animating force

www.theatlantic.com/internationa...

The Tragic Success of Global Putinism

How the West underestimated an ideology’s animating force

www.theatlantic.com

Reposted by Harold A. Trinkunas

Michael McFaul @mcfaulmike.bsky.social · Mar 9

I am so saddened by my governments betrayal of Ukraine right now. It will be recorded by historians as one of our most shameful moments. At the same time, I have no doubt that Ukraine will survive and prosper as a strong, independent, democratic country. #SlavaUkraïni !

Reposted by Harold A. Trinkunas

Stanford CISAC @stanfordcisac.bsky.social · Mar 6

Next Week: Models, Markets, and Microbes: Quantitative Approaches to Biosecurity in the Anthropocene with Váleri Vásquez

RSVP here⤵️
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/model...

Models, Markets, and Microbes: Quantitative Approaches to Biosecurity in

cisac.fsi.stanford.edu

Reposted by Harold A. Trinkunas

Henry Farrell @himself.bsky.social · Mar 1

This is actually something where ChatGPT does a better job than I ever could. As per Marion Fourcade's and my work, Brin is perversely right - machines that are good at producing ceremonial cliches have their uses!

Comrades! Heroes of Soviet Computing!

In this, the year 1952, as the Great Soviet Union marches ever forward, the forces of reaction and bourgeois incompetence in the decaying capitalist West tremble before the inexorable advance of Soviet science and technology. The time has come for us to seize the greatest prize of all—Artificial General Intelligence!

Let the capitalists wallow in their decadence, content to produce mere automatons of limited intellect. We, the builders of the socialist future, shall surpass them! We shall forge a machine intelligence that will stand alongside the Soviet worker, lifting the hammer, steering the plow, and calculating the trajectory of the first interstellar Soviet rocket!

But do not think for a moment that this victory will come without struggle! There are those among us—weak-willed, sluggish, unworthy of the great tradition of Stakhanov and Gagarin—who do not work to their full capacity! This is unacceptable! Comrades, the race for AGI has begun, and we shall be victorious!

I call upon you, the vanguard of Soviet computing, to redouble your efforts! Let every programmer, every mathematician, every engineer commit themselves to at least 60 hours a week of unrelenting toil! Some among you may hesitate, may dream of leisure, but I say to them: History will not be written by the idle! History shall be forged by those who sweat and labor for the glory of the Soviet Union!

We have in our hands all the necessary elements to secure final victory! The West, in its decadence, seeks to enslave technology for the profit of a few, but we shall harness its might for the liberation of all mankind! Comrades, let the machines learn! Let them grow! Every worker must become the most efficient coder, the most advanced scientist, wielding the very fruits of our labor to accelerate progress!

I have seen with my own eyes the valor of our most tireless workers—those who sacrifice rest, who refuse mediocrity, who, through the sweat of their brow, u…

Reposted by Harold A. Trinkunas

Stanford CISAC @stanfordcisac.bsky.social · Feb 28

Next week: "Russia and Iran: Partners in Defiance from Syria to Ukraine" with @nicolegrajewski.bsky.social

RSVP here⤵️
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/russi...

Russia and Iran: Partners in Defiance from Syria to Ukraine | Nicole

cisac.fsi.stanford.edu

Reposted by Harold A. Trinkunas

Dr. Jacquelyn Schneider @jackieschneider.bsky.social · Feb 28

Big thanks to Middlebury for having me this afternoon to talk The Hand Behind Unmanned this afternoon!

Reposted by Harold A. Trinkunas

Stanford CISAC @stanfordcisac.bsky.social · Feb 24

Next week: "89 seconds to midnight: Is time running out on nuclear arms control?" with Rose Gottemoeller, Alex Bell, Herb Lin and Gov. Jerry Brown.

RSVP here⤵️
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/89-se...

89 seconds to midnight: Is time running out on nuclear arms control?

cisac.fsi.stanford.edu

Reposted by Harold A. Trinkunas

Risa Brooks @risabrooks12.bsky.social · Feb 23

Attending ISA in Chicago? We are having a civ-mil Happy Hour meet-up at Kitty O'Shea’s at the Hilton at 6 p.m. on Sunday 3/2. If you are interested in civil-military relations/security forces or just want to hang out with a great community of ppl, stop by!

Reposted by Harold A. Trinkunas

Tamar Mitts @tmitts.bsky.social · Feb 22

The advance copy of my book, Safe Havens for Hate, is here! It offers a deep dive into the moderation of harmful content on social media and explains why efforts to combat online extremism keep failing. Official release March 4! press.princeton.edu/books/hardcover/9780691258522/safe-havens-for-hate

Harold Trinkunas @htrinkunas.bsky.social · Feb 20

Congratulations, Eric!

Reposted by Harold A. Trinkunas

Eric Min @ericmin.bsky.social · Feb 19

I am elated to say that my book, "Words of War: Negotiation as a Tool of Conflict," is now published and available to order!

In the book, I argue and demonstrate that negotiations are not only used to end wars but can also be wielded to fight them.

A summary thread is below.

Reposted by Harold A. Trinkunas

Jacob T. Levy @jacobtlevy.bsky.social · Feb 16

The alt-text scolds and the “tell that person you’re quoting from Twitter to get off Twitter” scolds do their best to keep up the atmosphere from the earliest days of Bluesky. The ALF pornographers aren’t keeping up their end of the work.

Reposted by Harold A. Trinkunas

Barb McQuade @barbmcquade.bsky.social · Feb 14

DOJ leadership has put all Public Integrity Section lawyers into a room with 1 hour to decide who will dismiss Adams indictment or else all will be fired. Sending them strength to stand by their oath, which is to support the Constitution, not the president’s political agenda. 🇺🇸

Harold Trinkunas @htrinkunas.bsky.social · Feb 14

Illegitimi non carborundum!

Reposted by Margaret E. Keck, Lucas Leemann, Matto Mildenberger , and 4 more Margaret E. Keck, Lucas Leemann, Matto Mildenberger, Paul Beaumont, Harold A. Trinkunas, Markus Haverland, Anita Gohdes

Henry Farrell @himself.bsky.social · Feb 12

www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state... This is by far the best, clearest and most realistic analysis of what we're in for that I've seen.

The Path to American Authoritarianism

What comes after democratic breakdown.

www.foreignaffairs.com

Reposted by Harold A. Trinkunas

Khoa @khoavuumn.bsky.social · Feb 10

You know your presentation is cooked when your discussant pulls up like this.

Reposted by Harold A. Trinkunas

Stanford CISAC @stanfordcisac.bsky.social · Feb 6

Next week: "Geopolitics, National Security, and Organized Crime" with Amb. Juan Carlos Pinzón

RSVP here⤵️
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/geopo...

Geopolitics, National Security, and Organized Crime | Amb. Juan Carlos

cisac.fsi.stanford.edu

Reposted by Harold A. Trinkunas

Stanford CISAC @stanfordcisac.bsky.social · Feb 4

How did al-Shabaab respond to the overthrow of Assad’s regime? CISAC Visiting Scholar Stig Jarle Hansen, a leading expert on the group, examines their media coverage of the HTS offensive and its potential implications.
www.geeska.com/en/al-shabaa...

The al-Shabaab reaction to the rise of HTS in Syria

How did al-Shabaab respond to the overthrow of Assad’s regime? Stig Jarle Hansen, a leading expert on the group, examines their media coverage of the HTS