Joakim Kreutz
@joakimkreutz.bsky.social
480 followers 590 following 120 posts
Associate professor at Department of Government, Uppsala University. Scholarly interests include armed conflict onset, dynamics, and termination; repression and peacemaking, sanctions and trust. Other interests include football, food, travel, and more.
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
Reposted by Joakim Kreutz
joakimkreutz.bsky.social
The good thing about starting a war with an imaginary opponent ("antifa") is that peace negotiations are so much easier...
joakimkreutz.bsky.social
A great way to sabotage any comparative advantage in the growing market for green energy. Kind of like when Japan decided "this trade thingy is not for us" - how did that pan out?
volts.wtf
Energy dominance!
jael.bsky.social
SCOOP: The Bureau of Land Management says the largest solar project in Nevada — the Esmeralda 7 mega-farm — has been canceled

The news was quietly dropped via a sudden website update with no public word from any of the companies involved or a statement from the agency

@heatmap.news
joakimkreutz.bsky.social
"Democracy is a precondition for lastning peace", well played by the norwegians...
Reposted by Joakim Kreutz
volts.wtf
The historically volatile Texas grid was entirely stable this summer, despite extreme temperatures. Grid operators never once had to ask Texans to conserve energy or shut off their air conditioners.

Why? Solar & batteries. Want a stable grid? Try solar & batteries.
Solar and batteries had a record-setting, grid-stabilizing summer in…
Solar has set 17 power generation records in Texas so far this year, shoring up the grid alongside batteries as some gas plant developers step back.
www.canarymedia.com
Reposted by Joakim Kreutz
xuxupolitics.bsky.social
Why do authoritarian states charge political opponents with non-political crimes? In our @thejop.bsky.social paper with Jennifer Pan & @yiqingxu.bsky.social, we examine how *Disguised Repression* undermines opponents’ moral authority and mobilization capacity. doi.org/10.1086/7342...
Reposted by Joakim Kreutz
timothysnyder.bsky.social
"State Terror: A brief guide for Americans"
Revisiting a piece I wrote in April 2025
"In the history of state terror, the escape from law into coercion takes three forms... the leader principle; the state of exception; and the zone of statelessness."
snyder.substack.com/p/state-terror
State Terror
A brief guide for Americans
snyder.substack.com
Reposted by Joakim Kreutz
malcolmnance.bsky.social
TERRORISM EXPERT HERE:

This statement is a clear example of what is known as “State Terrorism”: When the dictatorship will order all instruments of its state security & intelligence apparatus against its own citizens to terrorize the population.
Reposted by Joakim Kreutz
timothysnyder.bsky.social
This is more or less what the American Revolution was about
andycraig.bsky.social
"I'll just go use official force to coercively raise my own revenue (a/k/a taxes!) and then spend it on whatever government stuff I decide I want to do" is complete and total executive tyranny, Congress reduced to nothing but a powerless sham legislature, a head of state with absolute power.
joakimkreutz.bsky.social
5-4 after giving up a 3-0 lead at halftime (and 4-2 at 88 minutes)! Why make it easy for ourselves... ÖSK great escape is on!
Reposted by Joakim Kreutz
pbump.com
Extremist murders by ideology, 2013 to 2022. www.pbump.net/o/reassessin...
joakimkreutz.bsky.social
1000 cites, that's amazing. Thank you everyone using the UCDP Conflict Termination data. BTW, it was updated this summer to now cover 1946-2023.
joakimkreutz.bsky.social
Agree, and Canada-Mexico joint hosting would be great!
joakimkreutz.bsky.social
And the conflict ended in 2023 by Azerbajdzjan victory...
Reposted by Joakim Kreutz
chekistmonitor.bsky.social
On this day 70 years ago, the leadership of KGB Second Chief Directorate (counterintel) met in Moscow.

I located & obtained the meeting transcript from the Lithuanian Special Archives in Vilnius.

I translated it & wrote an analysis for the Wilson Center. ⬇️

www.wilsoncenter.org/publication/...
An Inside Look at Soviet Counterintelligence in the mid-1950s
Filip Kovacevic examines a remarkable document that demonstrates what kept senior Soviet counterintelligence officials awake at night (and alert during the day) in the first decade of the Cold War.
www.wilsoncenter.org
Reposted by Joakim Kreutz
uu-polisci.bsky.social
@cohman.bsky.social is one of two receivers of this year's Oscar Prize at Uppsala University. Grats Carl!

"Carl Öhman's book The Afterlife of Data asks important questions about who should control the data we leave behind us, and by extension, our collective history."

www.uu.se/en/staff/new...
Carl Öhman, Assistant Professor at the Department of Government, Uppsala University
joakimkreutz.bsky.social
On the one hand, the world is a mess. On the other hand, this view and a beer...
joakimkreutz.bsky.social
I'm all in favor of impeachment of Trump, but the US have bombed countries multiple times before without clear congress mandate. If/when Iran retaliates, though, ...
joakimkreutz.bsky.social
In general transparency is a good thing, but this will also make reviewing more work-intense. If reviews become public, then I will feel compelled to explicitly explain and include references backning up my comments rather than assuming the author is aware of the relevant literature.
Reposted by Joakim Kreutz
astrokatie.com
Chatbots — LLMs — do not know facts and are not designed to be able to accurately answer factual questions. They are designed to find and mimic patterns of words, probabilistically. When they’re “right” it’s because correct things are often written down, so those patterns are frequent. That’s all.
Reposted by Joakim Kreutz
aukehoekstra.bsky.social
The @telegraphnews.bsky.social lies about the causes of the electricity blackout in Spain on April 28th:

It wrongly claims that the official report blames renewables when it does the opposite.

It names negative prices as the main trigger instead of poorly controlled voltage fluctuations.