Kyle Higham
@kylehigham.bsky.social
70 followers 86 following 31 posts
Science, innovation, intellectual property, and complex systems :) Fellow @ Motu, PI @tepunahamatatini.bsky.social 🇳🇿➡️🇨🇭➡️🇯🇵➡️🇳🇿
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kylehigham.bsky.social
In light of the Government's push to get a 'return on investment' (ROI) from research funding, perhaps it is as good a time as any to talk about just how hard it is to measure this supposed ROI for research in general. Let's take a trip into the weeds! ⬇️
kylehigham.bsky.social
Indeed - I love this talk, but "we" is doing a lot of heavy lifting here!
Reposted by Kyle Higham
te-ara-paerangi.community
More cuts to the Marsden Fund. This time $20 million from the annual budget cut starting next year. This is on top of previous cuts by this government. They are trying to skip the 'priming the pump' step of public research as a driver of the economy. How well that is going to work?
#NZPOL
Fewer Marsden Fund grants after government cuts
A major research fund has been forced to slash its grant allocation by more than $20 million next year.
www.rnz.co.nz
Reposted by Kyle Higham
tepunahamatatini.bsky.social
Want to come to New Zealand this summer? The call for abstracts for the Capital City Complex Systems Symposium 2026 is now open: forms.gle/g22s2dR85oFq... 🧪
A meme from Breaking Bad with Jesse saying "New Zealand. That's where they made Lord of the Rings".
Reposted by Kyle Higham
musicalchairs.bsky.social
I see the ghouls are fretting about higher taxes making rich people leave the country - the dreaded 'capital flight' 😱.
I mean where do you even start with this crap? Well, not by arguing about estimates of how many millionaries we'll lose. Let's rehearse some lines... [1/n]
kylehigham.bsky.social
The 3M ones are available now 🙂
kylehigham.bsky.social
The IP component of the incoming reforms has gone largely without comment; however, the idea that giving a larger share of IP to scientists will incentivise commercialisation really shows how little this government understands the motivations of those who produce public goods.
Reposted by Kyle Higham
theoatmeal.bsky.social
Something to keep in mind for 2025

Written by James Miller of A Small Fiction
kylehigham.bsky.social
The competition dynamics between strains is super interesting! Out of interest, why is the wastewater data so noisy? I would have expected more homogeniety, but I suppose this depends on the point of the treatment process at which the measurement is taken?
kylehigham.bsky.social
I know economists love concise paper titles, but this is getting a little ridiculous...
nber.org
NBER @nber.org · Dec 19
The opening of the Suez Canal in 1869 led to a 72 percent relative increase in bilateral exports for affected country pairs and a likely permanent increase in world trade, from David S. Jacks, Christopher M. Meissner, and Nikolaus Wolf https://www.nber.org/papers/w33250
kylehigham.bsky.social
If you think of stock markets as prediction markets, then these papers might be of interest:
doi.org/10.1093/qje/...
doi.org/10.3386/w33056
kylehigham.bsky.social
Observing and calculating economic benefit is basically impossible even in the most clear cut of cases. Treating research funding as an investment in the financial sense is setting our science system up for failure and will likely be used as justification for further cuts.
bsky.app/profile/kyle...
kylehigham.bsky.social
In light of the Government's push to get a 'return on investment' (ROI) from research funding, perhaps it is as good a time as any to talk about just how hard it is to measure this supposed ROI for research in general. Let's take a trip into the weeds! ⬇️
kylehigham.bsky.social
Finally, staying in my lane, others have much more informed understandings of impact measurement in the social sciences and humanities, and I defer to those researchers. (Though I note that their social impact is often MORE measurable and timely than in the hard sciences). \thread
kylehigham.bsky.social
(Side note: I am particularly concerned for environmental research of all kinds. What are the contributions to economic growth of biodiversity or better water quality? If the funder isn't convinced by your economic argument, the pool of funding just got a lot smaller.)
kylehigham.bsky.social
In sum, and ironically, if we want to quantify the economic benefits of research, we need to do a hell of a lot more social science in that direction. Measuring the societal outcomes of research is REALLY COMPLEX, even in the most simplistic version of research progression in the hard sciences.
kylehigham.bsky.social
Many of these questions are impossible to answer definitively and these are also a small subset of important questions that need answering before even attempting to measure an ROI in good faith.
kylehigham.bsky.social
How do we account for intangible effects, such as when a researcher’s work inspires someone to pursue a STEM career? What is the value of maintaining an active and engaged research workforce?
kylehigham.bsky.social
After all of this, we then have to ask: how long do we wait before assessing these impacts? Is a 10-20 year wait for social impact politically acceptable?
kylehigham.bsky.social
5) Say the product improves the well-being of those that can access it - how do we measure the change in well-being? If it is a medical product, it may extend lives - do we put an economic value on this outcome? What if only the wealthy can access it?
kylehigham.bsky.social
4) (cont'd) Who funded the commercialisation process, and does it matter? How should we split the total impact between the initial grant and later investments? What implications does this have for ROI calculations?
kylehigham.bsky.social
4) The private sector may also integrate the research into their products, or even license the patent - knowledge is 'non-rival'. How do we measure this impact? Are profits of foreign firms included in economic benefit, or only those of domestic firms?
kylehigham.bsky.social
3) When follow-on work by others achieves significant success, should the initial grant be credited? Does it matter if this subsequent research occurs overseas in places with more commercialisation capacity? (i.e., domestic growth and domestic well-being are not always aligned!)
kylehigham.bsky.social
2) What happened to the junior researchers that did much of the work? How can we measure the grant’s impact on their future contributions to society? Did the
success of this grant lead to more funding (public or otherwise) success later?
kylehigham.bsky.social
Now, lets look at the nuance at each step, with numbers relating to the list above:
1) How did the project compare to similar ideas
that were not funded? How do we know that this was the best use of funds? Would the researchers have pursued this work without the grant or found funding elsewhere?