Mark Regets
@markregets.bsky.social
230 followers 250 following 110 posts
Economist who writes on immigration, education, and labor markets. Senior Fellow at National Foundation for American Policy, IZA, GLO. Formerly NSF's National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics.
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markregets.bsky.social
You are definitely a "The Bulwark" type of person. (Yes, that is a compliment.)
Reposted by Mark Regets
govpritzker.illinois.gov
People of Illinois, we need your help.

Get your cell phones out – record what you see. Put it on social media. Peacefully ask for badge numbers and identification. Speak up for your neighbors.

We need to let the world know this is happening – and that we won’t stand for it.
markregets.bsky.social
The statistics for different periods have been shown in several NSF pubs

Regets MC. "Research Issues in the International Migration of Highly Skilled Workers: A Perspective with Data from the United States". SRS 07-203, National Science Foundation, 2007
wayback.archive-it.org/5902/2016021...
Session Verification
wayback.archive-it.org
Reposted by Mark Regets
neveltenjohn.bsky.social
Since people on both Bluesky and X are posting selected excerpts from the Coates/Klein discussion (and using them to attack either one person or the other), I thought I would post the full unlocked gift article.

www.nytimes.com/2025/09/28/o...
Opinion | Ta-Nehisi Coates on Bridging Gaps vs. Drawing Lines
www.nytimes.com
markregets.bsky.social
NSF/NCSES has matchable longitudinal data on graduate student enrollment for each campus/field combination. Not only is an additional foreign student associated with more US-born students, but the positive effect is strongest for US-born ethnic minorities.
markregets.bsky.social
Over the long-term it might not be in the national interest to favor older scientists and engineers over younger, even if they are initially paid more.

Also, while the option is not currently politically viable, it would make more sense to expand quotas—we are rationing for an artificial scarcity.
nfapresearch.bsky.social
A Trump admin rule to change the H-1B lottery, like other changes, hopes to make it more difficult for international students to stay in the US and work after graduation. Officials are telling employers to hire based on seniority. @mclem.org @justinwolfers.bsky.social
www.forbes.com/sites/stuart...
Trump Immigration Rule Shifts H-1B Lottery To Favor Older Visa Holders
The Trump administration has proposed a new immigration rule to change the H-1B selection process to favor people in senior positions.
www.forbes.com
Reposted by Mark Regets
anneapplebaum.bsky.social
Viktor Orban has made Hungary one of the poorest countries in the EU
www.theatlantic.com/magazine/arc...
Reposted by Mark Regets
neveltenjohn.bsky.social
I know it seems bizzare, but Kimmel being removed under FCC pressure is a bigger threat to America's survival as a free country than the troops on DC's streets.
Reposted by Mark Regets
neveltenjohn.bsky.social
Contrary to Trump/Vance rhetoric, illegal drugs are the ONLY thing foreign-made they are NOT trying to keep out of the US.

Prices on cocaine are falling while coffee and vegetable prices surge.
adamisacson.com
The Trump-Miller administration's single-minded focus on migration is starting to impact the availability of drugs in the US, according to this detail from a very good investigation @wsj.com published today.

www.wsj.com/world/americ...
Oseguera caught another break from the Trump administration. The president’s campaign to deport immigrants in the U.S. illegally has taken federal agents away from drug-traffic interdiction. In Arizona, two Customs and Border Protection checkpoints along a main fentanyl-smuggling corridor from Mexico have been left unstaffed. Officers stationed there were sent to process detained migrants. A senior administration official said the U.S. border is more secure than it has ever been.

Colombia is producing records amounts of cocaine, and the volume of the drug arriving in the U.S. is driving down prices, the people familiar with cartel operations said.

Cocaine prices have fallen by nearly half to around $60 to $75 a gram compared with five years ago, said Morgan Godvin, a researcher with the community organization Drug Checking Los Angeles. “The price of pure cocaine has plummeted,” Godvin said.
Reposted by Mark Regets
mclem.org
American Constitutional institutions are cracking. Conservatives and Liberals need those institutions, and we must save them.
radleybalko.bsky.social
So to paraphrase, “The administration egregiously broke the law and did harm to people, but we judges don’t have the power to punish them. Nor do we have the power to make the victims whole. Also, we can’t stop them from continuing to break the law.”

There are no checks or balances. Not anymore.
sbagen.bsky.social
Indeed it was illegal. But we can thank SCOTUS for making full relief impossible.
Reposted by Mark Regets
newdems.bsky.social
It's no secret our immigration system needs fixing.

That's why New Dems built a framework for securing our borders & reforming our immigration system—and we'll work with anyone to put it into practice.

New Dem chair @repschneider.bsky.social explains ⬇️
Reposted by Mark Regets
joycewhitevance.bsky.social
Incredible. Trump drags the reputation of a highly regarded economist, first Black woman to be a Fed gov, thru the mud claiming she committed mortgage fraud. But the documents his appointee to run Fannie & Freddie got for him & that he said showed fraud don’t actually say that.
Reposted by Mark Regets
juliagelatt.bsky.social
In a period roughly coinciding with the federal takeover of DC, ICE arrested 943 immigrants in DC, making up about 40% of the overall more than 2,300 arrests. Data from a subset of those cases suggest only a minority (22% in that sample) of the immigrants arrested had any criminal record.
Over 40% of arrests in Trump's DC law enforcement surge relate to immigration, AP analysis finds
President Donald Trump has portrayed his federal law enforcement surge in Washington as a crime-fighting effort.
apnews.com
markregets.bsky.social
Increased non-response by immigrants seems likely, but there are 3 countervailing factors:
—Non-response reweighting by age/sex/ethnicity PARTIALLY corrects for this.
—Lower net migration than expected will artificially raise the estimate of BOTH NB and FB still here.
—Lack of seasonal adjustment.
markregets.bsky.social
What little I have formally written is just that the fall is statistically significant even given the huge CPS standard errors (see nfap.com/research/new...) and this is instead of the increases we would have expected from Census estimates (let alone the 2m net migration CBO assumes for 2025).
New NFAP Policy Brief: U.S. Labor Force Analysis for August 2025 - NFAP
nfap.com
markregets.bsky.social
Thank you Michael, but I put in my years at a Federal statistical agency. 🤔 Perhaps your turn.
markregets.bsky.social
We are more talking nuance than disagreeing with each other.

I agree that the NB increase is a data quirk, and the magnitude of FB changes unclear.

But I do fear that the CPS data is sufficient to raise a very big red flag about the labor force.
markregets.bsky.social
I know. It is scary that Census, SSA, and CBO have vastly different assumptions on the likely 2025 change in the FB population (with Census the lowest), but all 3 were expecting growth.

Another nuance here is that the CPS FB labor force numbers are not seasonally adjusted, and summer should be peak
markregets.bsky.social
I agree with all the caveats, but note that the CPS procedure to reweight to Census population estimates causes both non-response by immigrants who are still here AND by immigrants who have left to increase the weights of both immigrants and natives who do respond.
Reposted by Mark Regets
Reposted by Mark Regets
neveltenjohn.bsky.social
Nitpicks aside, I like this plan enough to contribute to their PAC. newdemactionfund.com

Too few people seem to realize that moderate Democrats have the largest caucus in Congress and the most swing seats at stake.
Reposted by Mark Regets
mclem.org
The US President has ordered the creation of ”specialized” military units to “quell civil disturbances” in all 50 of our states.

Military units under his personal control.

Deployed across our homeland, in peacetime.

Little time is left to stop this insanity.
Trump Orders Major Expansion of National Guard’s Role in Law Enforcement
www.nytimes.com
Reposted by Mark Regets
newdems.bsky.social
New Dems are proud to announce that we just released our Immigration & Border Security Framework.

This is a roadmap for how we can enact meaningful, commonsense legislation that'll help secure our borders & modernize our immigration system.

Read it ⤵️

newdemocratcoalition.house.gov/imo/media/do...
Reposted by Mark Regets
neveltenjohn.bsky.social
There are parts I would argue with, but in broad strokes it is a sane alternative to Trump's domestic war:
—Expand legal immigration
—Give a path forward for those long here without problem
—Enforce our laws fairly, efficiently, and hunanely

It serves America's economy and America's ideals.
newdems.bsky.social
New Dems are proud to announce that we just released our Immigration & Border Security Framework.

This is a roadmap for how we can enact meaningful, commonsense legislation that'll help secure our borders & modernize our immigration system.

Read it ⤵️

newdemocratcoalition.house.gov/imo/media/do...