Jason Smith
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newqueuelure.bsky.social
Jason Smith
@newqueuelure.bsky.social
1.4K followers 280 following 5.6K posts
physicist messing around with economic theory and science fiction; he/him; ALX; was @infotranecon on twitter; email is this profile's username @ gmail bsky DMs open econ: https://information-equilibrium.ghost.io/ sci fi: https://innerhorizon.substack.com
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thread of charts i put up on twitter in 2020 about how i think about "intelligence", why IQ is silly, and why we need a social safety net

let's start: we're born with a neural network that seeks input and has a few innate specialized subnets for things we evolved to do like speak or recognize faces
while it isn't as big, not travelling for thanksgiving could also make an impact (plus not sure i'd want to get on a plane with the shutdown-induced air traffic controller shortage)
a general strike isn't happening in the US but a real war on christmas could make an impact—even just not buying stuff for christmas from major e-commerce sites

cutting these Q4 spikes in half is −30 billion dollars; plus it's not like the people who benefit from them are helping
Reposted by Jason Smith
a general strike isn't happening in the US but a real war on christmas could make an impact—even just not buying stuff for christmas from major e-commerce sites

cutting these Q4 spikes in half is −30 billion dollars; plus it's not like the people who benefit from them are helping
*turkey breast roast to compensate for bone; prices based on online safeway prices
kinda funny that the tofurkey is the least expensive option on this chart when it is the most expensive per pound
ham: $2/lb
turkey*: $4/lb
tofurkey: $6/lb
What's gonna be on your thanksgiving plate?
this sounds like pundit or consultant galaxy-brain media contagion because it assumes US voters manifest an absurd level of strategy when they rarely show awareness of policy or even their own self-interest
Crazy how much some media has normalized the idea that voters are taking a risk if they elect governors/mayors who will defy Trump. That he’ll threaten their funding, etc.

Try to imagine, say. Greg Abbott being asked if he’s worried that Biden will punish Texas over his lawsuits.
it's not econ 101 controversial, but i'm not ceding the existence of crossing curves for the subset of agents with insufficient funds to fully explore the state space (sure it's crackpot econ theory but i was very niche internet famous when i used it to beat the FRBSF on some of their forecasts)
actually kinda like that there are still clocks in my apartment i have to adjust. the worst would be society messing with my sense of time by an hour and it happening quietly in the background.

how many hours did you take?
"sorry the year is now 2050 and you're being forced into retirement."
But offering a discount as a charitable act is explicitly not profit maximizing.
Only if you make specific assumptions that I am not ceding.
This only makes sense for prohibiting stores from charging EBT *more* than other customers, not less, and then only when EBT is, you know, actually functioning because the government is running. Don’t think this rule applies if no benefits are actually flowing.
This is just evil.
The USDA sent an email to grocery stores telling them they are prohibited from offering special discounts to customers affected by the SNAP funding lapse.
I'm aware of at least 2 stores that had offered struggling customers a discount, then withdrew it after receiving this email
ICYMI
Overselling approaches as solutions is far less interesting than engaging with the problems those approaches highlight
Reposted by Jason Smith
The “Person who wants a political party to lose describes what that political party must do to win” genre of article is just incredibly insulting to everyone’s intelligence yet it will persist until the end of time
Basically the Neville Chamberlain of our time
My latest is about the latest revelations on the failed prosecution of Donald Trump, and why you should blame Merrick Garland more than the Supreme Court.
You Should Blame Merrick Garland
Garland's incompetence gave the Supreme Court the chance to set Trump free
stringinamaze.net
i was unable to find a general solution
Overselling approaches as solutions is far less interesting than engaging with the problems those approaches highlight
i mean it was at one time illegal so our dementia-addled president might be recalling times before 1987, but republicans wanted rush limbaugh and fox news so, well, you know ...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fairnes...
Welp. Got to 2500 words and now am like: so what is my point?
Wikipedia out there dropping truth
you might say: jason, didn't kamala also get less than 50% of the vote so by the same logic the median voter voted against kamala?

ah, so maybe a median voter doesn't exist?

i mean that or you have to know the number of dimensions the political opportunity set has

do you know? i don't.
trump got less than 50% of the popular vote so, assuming we can construct a simplified 1-dimensional politics where a median voter exists, that median voter voted against trump
It is time to admit that Republicans won the 2024 election by running to the center.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/01/o...
things were just like that back then
putting 2 and 2 together (this and colonizing mars) realizing musk doesn't understand ionizing radiation