Sarah Kirchberger
@sarahkirchberger.bsky.social
1.6K followers 360 following 1.6K posts
Director, Institute for Security Policy at Kiel University (@ispk.bsky.social) | Vice President, German Maritime Institute (DMI) | Nonresident Senior Fellow, Atlantic Council | ex-naval analyst @TKMS & ex-Sinology professor @Uni Hamburg.
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sarahkirchberger.bsky.social
🧵 Am updating once more my PLA Navy type & age structure graphs. Been doing these occasionally since ca. 2010 as they help me keep a grip on #PLAN fleet development; perhaps others find them useful too.

Starting this new round with the aircraft carriers. Let me know in case of typos/mistakes pls!
Reposted by Sarah Kirchberger
oldsun.bsky.social
This is only 25km from where an Estonian security service officer was kidnapped in 2014 by the FSB in a raid across the border and jailed in Lefortovo prison
auonsson.bsky.social
Estonia has closed off a road/border passing through Russia after larger than usual groups of troops have been spotted.

Comment: I am hard pressed to find any insignia on those filmed and SE news claims "little green men".
sarahkirchberger.bsky.social
“Dass schon über die Musterungen per Los entschieden würde, hätte aus Sicht der Koalitionsfraktionen den Vorteil, dass sich die Zahl der Musterungen in Grenzen hielte; der Aufwand wäre geringer. Überdies hofft man so, möglicher Kritik an fehlender Wehrgerechtigkeit begegnen zu können.”
Reposted by Sarah Kirchberger
fbermingham.bsky.social
Dutch newspaper NRC with new detail:

"This is an exceptional emergency measure intended to prevent IP related to chips from disappearing abroad. According to insiders, there were indications that Nexperia was planning to leak chip knowledge to China."

www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
Nederland grijpt hard in bij chipfabrikant Nexperia uit angst voor lekken chipkennis naar China
Intellectueel eigendom: Het ministerie van Economische Zaken legt de bedrijfsvoering van chipfabrikant Nexperia grotendeels stil, om te voorkomen dat chipkennis naar China weglekt.
www.nrc.nl
Reposted by Sarah Kirchberger
auonsson.bsky.social
Russian air defence is keeping track of when Swedish signals intelligence aircraft S102B Korpen take off from Malmen, Sweden and Russian forces are notified and warned.

Other SIGINT aircraft does not seem to cause this warning to be sent.

Go Sweden!
sarahkirchberger.bsky.social
A drone detection system by a Chinese company that is on the Entity List, no less.
sarahkirchberger.bsky.social
🇨🇳 DJI has apparently been on the 🇺🇸 US Department of Commerce Bureau of Industry and Security's Entity List since Dec 2020. In October 2022, the Pentagon added DJI to the list of "Chinese military companies" operating in the U.S. DJI appeal that listing and lost in court.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DJI
DJI - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
sarahkirchberger.bsky.social
🚨Amazing:
🇳🇴 Norway’s drone detection system protecting Oslo Airport comes from 🇨🇳 Chinese company DJI Aeroscope, with system updates coming directly from DJI in China.

Unexpectedly that 🇨🇳 system was down for a full 19h from the evening of September 22nd, which is why the airport had to be closed.
sarahkirchberger.bsky.social
The uocoming book’s authors Katja Gloger and Georg Mascolo have written a long piece on the planned extensive 🇷🇺Russia-🇩🇪 German military cooperation for SPIEGEL, unfortunately it’s paywalled ➡️
www.spiegel.de/panorama/ukr...
sarahkirchberger.bsky.social
Looking forward to the Gloger/Mascolo book, soon to be released; here’s meanwhile a graph posted on X (🧵by “Pedro” x.com/mfphhh/statu...), which is helpful as a quick reference on the various Merkel goverments’ Russia policies.
sarahkirchberger.bsky.social
One of the suspects in the 🇨🇳 China spy case, Christopher Berry, allegedly had secure communication apps used only by Beijing agents installed on ‘burner phones’, acc. to The Mail on Sunday. They were allegedly found on Mr Berry’s mobiles after he returned to 🇬🇧 Britain from China in February 2023.
Police found secret messaging app on spy suspect's phones
The trial of Christopher Berry and Chris Cash, on charges of passing secrets to China between 2021 and 2023, collapsed last month.
www.dailymail.co.uk
Reposted by Sarah Kirchberger
igorsushko.bsky.social
🇺🇸🇺🇦 Trump administration since July has provided US intelligence to Ukraine to effectively strike Russian oil refineries and other targets, enabling Ukrainian drones to evade Russian air defences with route planning, altitude, timing and mission decisions
www.ft.com/content/f9f4...
Ukraine hit Russian energy sites with US help
Trump administration has supported Kyiv’s operations since summer in co-ordinated push to weaken Moscow
www.ft.com
Reposted by Sarah Kirchberger
fbermingham.bsky.social
A quiet bombshell in Europe’s tech world

The Dutch government seems to have effectively frozen operations of Nexperia, the Chinese-owned chipmaker, citing national security, according to corporate filing today - via @zichenwanghere
Dutch govt accused of freezing operations of Chinese semiconductor giant's chipmaker Nexperia
Wingtech, the Shanghai-listed parent, denounces what it essentially calls a boardroom coup involving the Dutch government and local executives
open.substack.com
Reposted by Sarah Kirchberger
yle.naamio.social
Finland has provided close to five billion euros' worth of support to Kyiv since Russia's full-scale invasion in 2022. More could be on the way via a scheme launched by US President Donald Trump, Helsingin Sanomat reports on Sunday.
HS: Finnish government agrees to support Ukraine with US arms purchases
Finland has provided close to five billion euros' worth of support to Kyiv since Russia's full-scale invasion in 2022. More could be on the way via a scheme launched by US President Donald Trump, Helsingin Sanomat reports on Sunday.
yle.fi
Reposted by Sarah Kirchberger
wartranslated.bsky.social
Fuel shortages have hit over half of Russia's regions, with at least 57 facing supply disruptions following strikes on refineries, BBC reported.
Reposted by Sarah Kirchberger
tomjoscelyn.bsky.social
“I spent three nights and three days in federal custody. During that time, I was never told what I was charged with, was not allowed to shower despite being covered in tear gas and pepper spray, had no phone call to my family, and no access to an attorney.” - George Retes, U.S. citizen and veteran.
I’m a US citizen and a veteran. ICE arrested me for no reason.
Jailed for three days without an explanation or ability to notify anyone, George Retes argues the only path to healing starts with the government taking accountability for its actions.
newsletter.ofthebrave.org
sarahkirchberger.bsky.social
The new leader of 🇯🇵 Japan’s LDP, Sanae Takaichi, loves heavy metal!🤘

“Since drumming in a college band, the 64-year-old politician has remained a fan of groups like Black Sabbath and Iron Maiden. She used to play so hard that she carried four pairs of sticks as back-up in case they snapped.”
Japan’s aspiring leader drums to relieve stress. She has many reasons to reach for her sticks | CNN
Staunch conservative and longtime lawmaker Sanae Takaichi is days away from becoming Japan’s first woman prime minister, and she inherits a daunting list of challenges.
edition.cnn.com
Reposted by Sarah Kirchberger
puca.bsky.social
Updated Russian NOTAMs for the Barents Sea area.
Of note, resumption of both Burevestnik related NOTAMs from 13 OCT to 17 OCT. (none in effect today)
Possible SLBM launch NOTAM off Murmansk now for 13 OCT to 18 OCT.
Reposted by Sarah Kirchberger
bunnibytz.bsky.social
via @youranonnews.bsky.social

CHICAGO: Trump's lawless goons (ICE) make a U-turn and smash into a woman's car, then proceed to arrest her by dragging her out of the vehicle.
Reposted by Sarah Kirchberger
windward-ai.bsky.social
The dark fleet is evolving faster than regulators can track.

Windward's analysis:
• 12 fraudulent registries in operation.
• 57% of sanctioned tankers falsely flagged or unknown.
• Flag hopping at record levels.

Intelligence-driven enforcement is critical. go.wnwd.com/inside-the-d...
sarahkirchberger.bsky.social
And here, we see some beautiful footage of ‘water cannoning’!
sarahkirchberger.bsky.social
Outsourcing theology to Silicon Valley might backfire on humanity:

“Powerful figures in Silicon Valley advocate a new-age religion that sees humanity as a transitional species — one whose time is almost up.”