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Tri Cap @triforcecap.bsky.social · 6h

UST has longstanding facility called the Exchange Stabilization Fund that can be used to intervene in currency markets at discretion of the Secretary.

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Tri Cap @triforcecap.bsky.social · 7h

Just trying to be clear, not argue with you. I appreciate your posts and know this is just a repost of other view.

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Tri Cap @triforcecap.bsky.social · 7h

The circle claims the loss of bid on announcement as proof of deval tactic and that’s wrong. It recovered in days, tariffs still up 20% to 55%,reciprocal tariffs added later, took rate to 155% until Geneva and yuan continued to rise. Circled move is hot money and not CN monpol reaction.

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Tri Cap @triforcecap.bsky.social · 8h

It’s my understanding that refining is more caustic and objectionable to rich countries than extraction.

Reposted by Tri Cap

Guillaume E 🇫🇷🇺🇸🇺🇦🇪🇺 @guillaumee.bsky.social · 9h

Not just that, also an illustration of the decline of US manufacturing businesses, now viscerally unable to think long term or to allocate capital intelligently

BeijingPalmer @beijingpalmer.bsky.social · 1d

rare earths are an exercise in American inability to govern. the problem of Chinese dominance in the sector has been known for over a decade. there was a broad bipartisan consensus that it was a problem in DC, at least among anyone who knew even a little about it, and constant discussion of ...

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Tri Cap @triforcecap.bsky.social · 9h

CN has defended the Yuan throughout ‘25. The graph falsifies his conjecture. Reciprocal tariffs were on the books until mid May and yuan rebounded in April, as soon as panic passed. CN retaliation has been through trade channel.

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Reuters @reuters.com · 12h

India's UTI Asset Management halts new investments in silver ETF reut.rs/4nOMzBM

India's UTI Asset Management halts new investments in silver ETF

UTI Asset Management Company has temporarily suspended fresh lump-sum and switch-in investments into the UTI Silver ETF Fund of Fund, effective October 13, 2025, the company said in a statement on Saturday.

reut.rs

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Karthik Sankaran @rajakorman.bsky.social · 13h

Alternately, while the US is intermittently complimentary about politics in South America, depending on who is in power, China is always complementary with economics in South America, regardless of who is in power.

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Alex Turnbull @alexbhturnbull.bsky.social · 14h

Appears US admin used Pakistan as a workaround on rare earths which preciptated the China meltdown @arnabdatta.bsky.social

Pakistan delivers rare earth elements and critical minerals to USSM

Pakistan delivers its first enriched rare earth elements and critical minerals to USSM, marking a milestone for US-Pakistan supply chains.

www.fastmarkets.com

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Tri Cap @triforcecap.bsky.social · 15h

It’s a comparison of the relative price response to supply shortage more than the cause of shortage I think.

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Ed Bradford @fullcarry.net · 1d

FWIW: "Applications for US unemployment benefits rose (to 235,000) last week, according to a Goldman Sachs Group Inc. analysis of state-level filings released during the federal government shutdown."

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ken morrison @morrisonmkts.bsky.social · 1d

Gold: Futures-volume on Thursday's decline was the largest since April 2024

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Tri Cap @triforcecap.bsky.social · 1d

This is both academically correct and terribly wrong.

FinTwitter @fintwitter.bsky.social · 1d

WALLER SAYS TARIFF EFFECTS ON INFLATION ARE ONE TIME CHANGES IN THE PRICE LEVEL, AND CAN BE LOOKED THROUGH

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Reuters @reuters.com · 1d

US equity funds see outflows on profit booking, government shutdown uncertainties reut.rs/471vGfM

US equity funds see outflows on profit booking, government shutdown uncertainties

U.S. investors divested equity funds for the first time in three weeks in the week through October 8, as they favored to take out profits from the recent rally on caution over the rising risks surrounding an ongoing government shutdown.

reut.rs

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Paolo Bernardi @paolobernardi.bsky.social · 2d

Interesting. Record low share of US30Y Treasuries awarded to primary dealers. @bethstanton.bsky.social reports.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

Primary Dealers Awarded Record Low Share of US 30-Year Auction

A record low share of Thursday’s monthly auction of 30-year Treasury bonds was awarded to major US bond dealers, deepening a two-decade slide.

www.bloomberg.com

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Tri Cap @triforcecap.bsky.social · 2d

NV has recession vibe.

Tri Cap @triforcecap.bsky.social · 2d

Queen 👸🏾

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Jesse Felder @jessefelder.bsky.social · 2d

“When structural vol suppression meets idiosyncratic risk, correlations start to break down. The past several months have been one of the strongest examples of this dynamic on record.” www.dailychartbook.com/p/776 via @dailychartbook.bsky.social

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Tri Cap @triforcecap.bsky.social · 2d

Flows > fundamentals. #IMH

Jesse Felder @jessefelder.bsky.social · 2d

‘Each worker in the US puts an estimated $2,300 into the Magnificent Seven stocks every year, regardless of whether their outlook is good or bad.‘
www.apolloacademy.com/the-dangers-...

The Dangers of Passive Investing - Apollo Academy

US workers contribute on average around $8,500 to their 401(k) accounts every year, and with 71% of 401(k) assets allocated...

www.apolloacademy.com

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Helene Meisler @hmeisler.bsky.social · 2d

AAII folks are not loaded up on gold. This surprises me.

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ken morrison @morrisonmkts.bsky.social · 3d

Farmer's Expectations for a Bailout & Views about use of Tariffs (Purdue University survey taken mid-September)

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Tri Cap @triforcecap.bsky.social · 3d

I’m young X daily user with subs to Chat and Claude because I go over limit some days. Would not pay $100 a month for either.

The part about Z skills I agree and it surprised me. I thought there would be continuing skill advancement and that didn’t happen at all.

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Tri Cap @triforcecap.bsky.social · 3d

Yeah, closing is the hard part. I did not expect this euphoric media so soon. The AUM industry giving up their refusal to allocate is earlier than I guessed. From my readings, gold started to not be impacted by geopol events late in the 70s and that seems to have been a tell in hindsight…

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Tri Cap @triforcecap.bsky.social · 3d

Can’t be 08, private sector isn’t levered enough. Not 29 because Fed is easing rn, and may go full monpol stim in ‘26. Potentially 2001 or a series of ’87s across a few years. Or yeah, a secret thing that humans can’t foresee.

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Tri Cap @triforcecap.bsky.social · 3d

I think it’s this decade, 26-28 I’d guess rn. (but I’ve been in since 22 and have a longer speculative horizon than most. )

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