Amara Graps
@amaragraps.bsky.social
Dr. Planetary Scientist. 🇪🇪🇱🇻🇱🇹 Baltic Space Entrepreneur in Rīga. Occasional asteroid miner. Muscovy Crimes Explainer. NAFO. Quantum Progress.
Reposted by Amara Graps
If you think that the data doesn't have predictive power, see the ZAPAD result. Weak military show-up. Instead, tricks and deception.
I knew that Russia would use the ZAPAD military exercise for Deception.
However, to be honest, anyone who knows Russia could predict this.
I knew that Russia would use the ZAPAD military exercise for Deception.
However, to be honest, anyone who knows Russia could predict this.
December 1, 2025 at 8:04 AM
If you think that the data doesn't have predictive power, see the ZAPAD result. Weak military show-up. Instead, tricks and deception.
I knew that Russia would use the ZAPAD military exercise for Deception.
However, to be honest, anyone who knows Russia could predict this.
I knew that Russia would use the ZAPAD military exercise for Deception.
However, to be honest, anyone who knows Russia could predict this.
Reposted by Amara Graps
My Handbook for the Hybrid War Tracker project might benefit from an ".md" format. I can start there. My Case Studies keep growing. See the ZAPAD-2025 chapter for example.
Right now the spreadsheet it refers to has become the Legacy dataset that is the base of the project.
tinyurl.com/272nn84k
Right now the spreadsheet it refers to has become the Legacy dataset that is the base of the project.
tinyurl.com/272nn84k
December 1, 2025 at 6:15 AM
My Handbook for the Hybrid War Tracker project might benefit from an ".md" format. I can start there. My Case Studies keep growing. See the ZAPAD-2025 chapter for example.
Right now the spreadsheet it refers to has become the Legacy dataset that is the base of the project.
tinyurl.com/272nn84k
Right now the spreadsheet it refers to has become the Legacy dataset that is the base of the project.
tinyurl.com/272nn84k
The Hybrid War Tracking project took a mega-leap forward!
1. Live BETA --> hwt.lv/admin/events
2. Front End/Backend of database
3 Processing of data. 1142 records now.
4. A Brief History of the project.
5. Status of the project.
6. OSINT: Please join us.
fundrazr.com/stories/aMohpa
1. Live BETA --> hwt.lv/admin/events
2. Front End/Backend of database
3 Processing of data. 1142 records now.
4. A Brief History of the project.
5. Status of the project.
6. OSINT: Please join us.
fundrazr.com/stories/aMohpa
Amara Graps posted a story update on Hybrid War Tracker: Exposing Russia’s Under-reported Ops in 🇫🇮🇪🇪🇱🇻🇱🇹🇵🇱
Dear Hybrid War Tracker Supporters, 1. Live Beta with some screen shots 2. Front End and Backend of the database 3 Processing of the Data 4. A Brief History of the Hybrid War Tracking project. 5. Stat...
fundrazr.com
November 30, 2025 at 1:42 PM
The Hybrid War Tracking project took a mega-leap forward!
1. Live BETA --> hwt.lv/admin/events
2. Front End/Backend of database
3 Processing of data. 1142 records now.
4. A Brief History of the project.
5. Status of the project.
6. OSINT: Please join us.
fundrazr.com/stories/aMohpa
1. Live BETA --> hwt.lv/admin/events
2. Front End/Backend of database
3 Processing of data. 1142 records now.
4. A Brief History of the project.
5. Status of the project.
6. OSINT: Please join us.
fundrazr.com/stories/aMohpa
Reposted by Amara Graps
Ivan’s GNSS jammer locations 😎 that’s all.
November 6, 2025 at 9:32 PM
Ivan’s GNSS jammer locations 😎 that’s all.
Reposted by Amara Graps
GAS PACIFIC back spoofing in the Baltic.
This time in the anchorage, and not in Estonian waters.
Or, she started spoofing in Estonian waters, then moved to the anchorage.
See also recent coverage by Lloyds List who also picked up on this:
www.lloydslist.com/LL1155378/Mo...
This time in the anchorage, and not in Estonian waters.
Or, she started spoofing in Estonian waters, then moved to the anchorage.
See also recent coverage by Lloyds List who also picked up on this:
www.lloydslist.com/LL1155378/Mo...
November 9, 2025 at 4:45 PM
GAS PACIFIC back spoofing in the Baltic.
This time in the anchorage, and not in Estonian waters.
Or, she started spoofing in Estonian waters, then moved to the anchorage.
See also recent coverage by Lloyds List who also picked up on this:
www.lloydslist.com/LL1155378/Mo...
This time in the anchorage, and not in Estonian waters.
Or, she started spoofing in Estonian waters, then moved to the anchorage.
See also recent coverage by Lloyds List who also picked up on this:
www.lloydslist.com/LL1155378/Mo...
Reposted by Amara Graps
Yes, I am by now almost certain those AIS-messages have got nothing to do with real ship movements.
The mechanism for why the AIS-messages appeared is possibly related to other branches of the Russian armed sabotage forces though. We'll see, investigations ongoing!
The mechanism for why the AIS-messages appeared is possibly related to other branches of the Russian armed sabotage forces though. We'll see, investigations ongoing!
November 5, 2025 at 3:18 PM
Yes, I am by now almost certain those AIS-messages have got nothing to do with real ship movements.
The mechanism for why the AIS-messages appeared is possibly related to other branches of the Russian armed sabotage forces though. We'll see, investigations ongoing!
The mechanism for why the AIS-messages appeared is possibly related to other branches of the Russian armed sabotage forces though. We'll see, investigations ongoing!
Queueing the Theremin 🎶
Best Star Trek 🛸 voice 🧑🚀
"QEC.... The FINAL Frontier ......."
🔎 Why is quantum error correction (QEC) considered the final frontier in quantum computing?
Me, at FirstQFM on LinkedIn
👇
tinyurl.com/24zzwnz6
Best Star Trek 🛸 voice 🧑🚀
"QEC.... The FINAL Frontier ......."
🔎 Why is quantum error correction (QEC) considered the final frontier in quantum computing?
Me, at FirstQFM on LinkedIn
👇
tinyurl.com/24zzwnz6
Error Correction and the Final Frontier
By Amara Graps, FirstQFM In 2021, while protecting their quantum-encoded information in their quantum computer’s 21 superconducting qubits from noise, using quantum error correction (QEC), Google’s sc...
tinyurl.com
November 5, 2025 at 6:40 PM
Queueing the Theremin 🎶
Best Star Trek 🛸 voice 🧑🚀
"QEC.... The FINAL Frontier ......."
🔎 Why is quantum error correction (QEC) considered the final frontier in quantum computing?
Me, at FirstQFM on LinkedIn
👇
tinyurl.com/24zzwnz6
Best Star Trek 🛸 voice 🧑🚀
"QEC.... The FINAL Frontier ......."
🔎 Why is quantum error correction (QEC) considered the final frontier in quantum computing?
Me, at FirstQFM on LinkedIn
👇
tinyurl.com/24zzwnz6
Hot damn! Moldova is doing it. DE-Occupation. Step by Step.
From my Hybrid War Tracker update, 2 days ago. fundrazr.com/stories/8Mh4...
From my Hybrid War Tracker update, 2 days ago. fundrazr.com/stories/8Mh4...
October 22, 2025 at 7:07 PM
Hot damn! Moldova is doing it. DE-Occupation. Step by Step.
From my Hybrid War Tracker update, 2 days ago. fundrazr.com/stories/8Mh4...
From my Hybrid War Tracker update, 2 days ago. fundrazr.com/stories/8Mh4...
Oct 2025 Update of Hybrid War Tracker Handbook with a focus on ZAPAD-2025 outcomes.
How well did the Eastern Flank meet the military challenge? Extremely well.
How well did I predict Russia's deception?
Also (unfortunately) extremely well.
🔍 Handbook: tinyurl.com/27htk43f
How well did the Eastern Flank meet the military challenge? Extremely well.
How well did I predict Russia's deception?
Also (unfortunately) extremely well.
🔍 Handbook: tinyurl.com/27htk43f
October 21, 2025 at 8:22 AM
Oct 2025 Update of Hybrid War Tracker Handbook with a focus on ZAPAD-2025 outcomes.
How well did the Eastern Flank meet the military challenge? Extremely well.
How well did I predict Russia's deception?
Also (unfortunately) extremely well.
🔍 Handbook: tinyurl.com/27htk43f
How well did the Eastern Flank meet the military challenge? Extremely well.
How well did I predict Russia's deception?
Also (unfortunately) extremely well.
🔍 Handbook: tinyurl.com/27htk43f
With this update, the 20th Update! October 20, 2025:
a) our OSINT group is growing! Significant progress.
b) Update of Hybrid War Tracker Handbook with my accurate predicted ZAPAD-2025 outcomes
c) Keep your eyes on Moldova
Enjoy!
fundrazr.com/stories/8Mh4ud
a) our OSINT group is growing! Significant progress.
b) Update of Hybrid War Tracker Handbook with my accurate predicted ZAPAD-2025 outcomes
c) Keep your eyes on Moldova
Enjoy!
fundrazr.com/stories/8Mh4ud
Amara Graps posted a story update on Hybrid War Tracker: Exposing Russia’s Under-reported Ops in 🇫🇮🇪🇪🇱🇻🇱🇹🇵🇱
Dear Hybrid War Tracker Supporters, 20th Update! October 20, 2025. a) OSINT group is growing! Significant progress. b) Update of Hybrid War Tracker Handbook with predicted ZAPAD-2025 outcomes c) Keep ...
fundrazr.com
October 20, 2025 at 8:15 PM
With this update, the 20th Update! October 20, 2025:
a) our OSINT group is growing! Significant progress.
b) Update of Hybrid War Tracker Handbook with my accurate predicted ZAPAD-2025 outcomes
c) Keep your eyes on Moldova
Enjoy!
fundrazr.com/stories/8Mh4ud
a) our OSINT group is growing! Significant progress.
b) Update of Hybrid War Tracker Handbook with my accurate predicted ZAPAD-2025 outcomes
c) Keep your eyes on Moldova
Enjoy!
fundrazr.com/stories/8Mh4ud
Useful for all of us.
The Dronewall Part 1: Defending Civilian Targets Against Small Drones
open.substack.com/pub/techwars...
The Dronewall Part 1: Defending Civilian Targets Against Small Drones
open.substack.com/pub/techwars...
The Dronewall Part 1: Defending Civilian Targets Against Small Drones
What Europe and NATO Can Do to Protect Itself from Drone Strikes
open.substack.com
October 14, 2025 at 11:17 AM
Useful for all of us.
The Dronewall Part 1: Defending Civilian Targets Against Small Drones
open.substack.com/pub/techwars...
The Dronewall Part 1: Defending Civilian Targets Against Small Drones
open.substack.com/pub/techwars...
Reposted by Amara Graps
Sweden minister of defence Pål Jonsson attributes Baltic area GNSS/GPS jamming to Russia. I think a first?
In same news, not only ambulances on Öland but also cows get spoofed, both to the sea and to Kaliningrad.
In same news, not only ambulances on Öland but also cows get spoofed, both to the sea and to Kaliningrad.
Det är även fastslaget var de ryska störsändarna är placerade, i (norra) Königsberg och söder om Sankt Petersburg. Främst i kartläggningen är @auonsson.bsky.social
www.sverigesradio.se/artikel/fors... #ryssland #säkpol #föpol
www.sverigesradio.se/artikel/fors... #ryssland #säkpol #föpol
Försvarsministern slår fast: Ryssland bakom gps-störningarna - P4 Kalmar
Det är Ryssland som ligger bakom gps-störningarna, som ambulanser i Kalmar län drabbats av, det säger Försvarsminister Pål Jonson.I kartsystemet kan det ...
www.sverigesradio.se
October 12, 2025 at 9:17 PM
Sweden minister of defence Pål Jonsson attributes Baltic area GNSS/GPS jamming to Russia. I think a first?
In same news, not only ambulances on Öland but also cows get spoofed, both to the sea and to Kaliningrad.
In same news, not only ambulances on Öland but also cows get spoofed, both to the sea and to Kaliningrad.
Reposted by Amara Graps
What causes WW3 as per my tankies:
🇹🇷Shooting 🇷🇺jet down
🇺🇸Killing 🇷🇺troops in🇸🇾
🇺🇸bombing Assad
🇺🇦Defending itself
Giving🇺🇦:
Training
Javelins
155mm shells
Patriots
Tanks
F-16s
HIMARS
ATACMS
Tomahawks
🇺🇦striking crimea
🇺🇦Deep striking🇷🇺
🇺🇦Occupying🇷🇺
Cutting🇷🇺off swift
What doesn't cause WW3:
🇷🇺attacking places
🇹🇷Shooting 🇷🇺jet down
🇺🇸Killing 🇷🇺troops in🇸🇾
🇺🇸bombing Assad
🇺🇦Defending itself
Giving🇺🇦:
Training
Javelins
155mm shells
Patriots
Tanks
F-16s
HIMARS
ATACMS
Tomahawks
🇺🇦striking crimea
🇺🇦Deep striking🇷🇺
🇺🇦Occupying🇷🇺
Cutting🇷🇺off swift
What doesn't cause WW3:
🇷🇺attacking places
October 13, 2025 at 9:42 AM
What causes WW3 as per my tankies:
🇹🇷Shooting 🇷🇺jet down
🇺🇸Killing 🇷🇺troops in🇸🇾
🇺🇸bombing Assad
🇺🇦Defending itself
Giving🇺🇦:
Training
Javelins
155mm shells
Patriots
Tanks
F-16s
HIMARS
ATACMS
Tomahawks
🇺🇦striking crimea
🇺🇦Deep striking🇷🇺
🇺🇦Occupying🇷🇺
Cutting🇷🇺off swift
What doesn't cause WW3:
🇷🇺attacking places
🇹🇷Shooting 🇷🇺jet down
🇺🇸Killing 🇷🇺troops in🇸🇾
🇺🇸bombing Assad
🇺🇦Defending itself
Giving🇺🇦:
Training
Javelins
155mm shells
Patriots
Tanks
F-16s
HIMARS
ATACMS
Tomahawks
🇺🇦striking crimea
🇺🇦Deep striking🇷🇺
🇺🇦Occupying🇷🇺
Cutting🇷🇺off swift
What doesn't cause WW3:
🇷🇺attacking places
Reposted by Amara Graps
It took nearly 2y. 😑
Hybrid War Tracker spreadsheet: tinyurl.com/29jwc3n5
Hybrid War Tracker project:
▶️️ Goal: to build a shared awareness.
▶️ Goal: Education for those who don't know Russia's Blueprint
▶️ Goal: To build Eastern Flank OSINT community for more eyes.
▶️ Summary: fundrazr.com/a2Xv4b
Hybrid War Tracker spreadsheet: tinyurl.com/29jwc3n5
Hybrid War Tracker project:
▶️️ Goal: to build a shared awareness.
▶️ Goal: Education for those who don't know Russia's Blueprint
▶️ Goal: To build Eastern Flank OSINT community for more eyes.
▶️ Summary: fundrazr.com/a2Xv4b
October 4, 2025 at 9:11 AM
It took nearly 2y. 😑
Hybrid War Tracker spreadsheet: tinyurl.com/29jwc3n5
Hybrid War Tracker project:
▶️️ Goal: to build a shared awareness.
▶️ Goal: Education for those who don't know Russia's Blueprint
▶️ Goal: To build Eastern Flank OSINT community for more eyes.
▶️ Summary: fundrazr.com/a2Xv4b
Hybrid War Tracker spreadsheet: tinyurl.com/29jwc3n5
Hybrid War Tracker project:
▶️️ Goal: to build a shared awareness.
▶️ Goal: Education for those who don't know Russia's Blueprint
▶️ Goal: To build Eastern Flank OSINT community for more eyes.
▶️ Summary: fundrazr.com/a2Xv4b
Reposted by Amara Graps
I updated my Moldova article: "Connecting the dots of Russia’s Moldova Occupation" with more info about Antjufejevs.
"Moldovan journalists say that had Ukrainians neutralised him in time, it could have prevented what happened in Crimea and Donbas."
👉https://tinyurl.com/2y4x54zn
"Moldovan journalists say that had Ukrainians neutralised him in time, it could have prevented what happened in Crimea and Donbas."
👉https://tinyurl.com/2y4x54zn
September 30, 2025 at 9:00 AM
I updated my Moldova article: "Connecting the dots of Russia’s Moldova Occupation" with more info about Antjufejevs.
"Moldovan journalists say that had Ukrainians neutralised him in time, it could have prevented what happened in Crimea and Donbas."
👉https://tinyurl.com/2y4x54zn
"Moldovan journalists say that had Ukrainians neutralised him in time, it could have prevented what happened in Crimea and Donbas."
👉https://tinyurl.com/2y4x54zn
Reposted by Amara Graps
Further east in Narva, look at how openly the OMON were continuing being OMON.
From my Moldova article, written in time for Moldova's victory yesterday.
open.substack.com/pub/amaragra...
From my Moldova article, written in time for Moldova's victory yesterday.
open.substack.com/pub/amaragra...
September 30, 2025 at 9:04 AM
Further east in Narva, look at how openly the OMON were continuing being OMON.
From my Moldova article, written in time for Moldova's victory yesterday.
open.substack.com/pub/amaragra...
From my Moldova article, written in time for Moldova's victory yesterday.
open.substack.com/pub/amaragra...
Reposted by Amara Graps
For more in depth analysis the 'hybrid war tracker' focused on Baltics, Finland, Poland by @amaragraps.bsky.social
Tracker overview: fundrazr.com/a2Xv4b
Tracker overview: fundrazr.com/a2Xv4b
Hybrid War Tracker: Exposing Russia’s Under-reported Ops in 🇫🇮🇪🇪🇱🇻🇱🇹🇵🇱
🧭 What’s Happening? Russia and Belarus are conducting a continuously-accelerated and under-reported hybrid war on our 🇫🇮🇪🇪🇱🇻🇱🇹 🇵🇱 Eastern Flank. There have been over 400 hybrid attacks — sabotage, cyb...
fundrazr.com
September 29, 2025 at 1:36 PM
For more in depth analysis the 'hybrid war tracker' focused on Baltics, Finland, Poland by @amaragraps.bsky.social
Tracker overview: fundrazr.com/a2Xv4b
Tracker overview: fundrazr.com/a2Xv4b
I updated my Moldova article: "Connecting the dots of Russia’s Moldova Occupation" with more info about Antjufejevs.
"Moldovan journalists say that had Ukrainians neutralised him in time, it could have prevented what happened in Crimea and Donbas."
👉https://tinyurl.com/2y4x54zn
"Moldovan journalists say that had Ukrainians neutralised him in time, it could have prevented what happened in Crimea and Donbas."
👉https://tinyurl.com/2y4x54zn
September 30, 2025 at 9:00 AM
I updated my Moldova article: "Connecting the dots of Russia’s Moldova Occupation" with more info about Antjufejevs.
"Moldovan journalists say that had Ukrainians neutralised him in time, it could have prevented what happened in Crimea and Donbas."
👉https://tinyurl.com/2y4x54zn
"Moldovan journalists say that had Ukrainians neutralised him in time, it could have prevented what happened in Crimea and Donbas."
👉https://tinyurl.com/2y4x54zn
In this substack, I show Russia's Moldova Occupation from the 1992 eyes of journalists and using the 'connecting pieces' of the OMON and the KGB.
Congratulations to Moldova for resisting Muscovy Occupation once again, and voting strongly yesterday for Europe! open.substack.com/pub/amaragra...
Congratulations to Moldova for resisting Muscovy Occupation once again, and voting strongly yesterday for Europe! open.substack.com/pub/amaragra...
Connecting the dots of Russia’s Moldova Occupation
A Narrative Evolution through the Lens of Journalists
open.substack.com
September 29, 2025 at 2:45 PM
In this substack, I show Russia's Moldova Occupation from the 1992 eyes of journalists and using the 'connecting pieces' of the OMON and the KGB.
Congratulations to Moldova for resisting Muscovy Occupation once again, and voting strongly yesterday for Europe! open.substack.com/pub/amaragra...
Congratulations to Moldova for resisting Muscovy Occupation once again, and voting strongly yesterday for Europe! open.substack.com/pub/amaragra...
When the topic is Russia's Hybrid War on us in the Eastern Flank, there are times that I don't like being right.
From the ZAPAD chapter of the Hybrid War Tracker Handbook: tinyurl.com/27htk43f page 20
From the ZAPAD chapter of the Hybrid War Tracker Handbook: tinyurl.com/27htk43f page 20
September 10, 2025 at 7:49 AM
When the topic is Russia's Hybrid War on us in the Eastern Flank, there are times that I don't like being right.
From the ZAPAD chapter of the Hybrid War Tracker Handbook: tinyurl.com/27htk43f page 20
From the ZAPAD chapter of the Hybrid War Tracker Handbook: tinyurl.com/27htk43f page 20
Reposted by Amara Graps
Always some drifters to observe off #NO #Norway
#Bulkcarrier #OBORISHTE IMO 9415167 #IMO9415167
Flag #Malta
Management #Bulgaria
Was proceeding northwards along the coast but now just drifting
Vessel from same management company #Vezhehn suspected of previous cable incidents in the #Baltic
#Bulkcarrier #OBORISHTE IMO 9415167 #IMO9415167
Flag #Malta
Management #Bulgaria
Was proceeding northwards along the coast but now just drifting
Vessel from same management company #Vezhehn suspected of previous cable incidents in the #Baltic
September 8, 2025 at 7:40 AM
Always some drifters to observe off #NO #Norway
#Bulkcarrier #OBORISHTE IMO 9415167 #IMO9415167
Flag #Malta
Management #Bulgaria
Was proceeding northwards along the coast but now just drifting
Vessel from same management company #Vezhehn suspected of previous cable incidents in the #Baltic
#Bulkcarrier #OBORISHTE IMO 9415167 #IMO9415167
Flag #Malta
Management #Bulgaria
Was proceeding northwards along the coast but now just drifting
Vessel from same management company #Vezhehn suspected of previous cable incidents in the #Baltic
Reposted by Amara Graps
🔍 Formatted Data, see here: tinyurl.com/29jwc3n5
▶️ Goal: to build a shared awareness.
▶️ Goal: Education for those who don't know Russia's Blueprint
▶️ Goal: To build Eastern Flank OSINT community for more eyes.
▶️ Goal: to build a shared awareness.
▶️ Goal: Education for those who don't know Russia's Blueprint
▶️ Goal: To build Eastern Flank OSINT community for more eyes.
September 5, 2025 at 9:54 AM
🔍 Formatted Data, see here: tinyurl.com/29jwc3n5
▶️ Goal: to build a shared awareness.
▶️ Goal: Education for those who don't know Russia's Blueprint
▶️ Goal: To build Eastern Flank OSINT community for more eyes.
▶️ Goal: to build a shared awareness.
▶️ Goal: Education for those who don't know Russia's Blueprint
▶️ Goal: To build Eastern Flank OSINT community for more eyes.
Reposted by Amara Graps
I thought I had found indications of a targeted GNSS jamming attack against president von der Leyen's aircraft this Sunday.
Then I disproved my own hypothesis. Here's how!
This is common in my work, I usually don't show it because it takes a lot of effort to explain also 0-results
Then I disproved my own hypothesis. Here's how!
This is common in my work, I usually don't show it because it takes a lot of effort to explain also 0-results
September 6, 2025 at 10:49 AM
I thought I had found indications of a targeted GNSS jamming attack against president von der Leyen's aircraft this Sunday.
Then I disproved my own hypothesis. Here's how!
This is common in my work, I usually don't show it because it takes a lot of effort to explain also 0-results
Then I disproved my own hypothesis. Here's how!
This is common in my work, I usually don't show it because it takes a lot of effort to explain also 0-results