Sam Kirschner
banner
cincysam6.bsky.social
Sam Kirschner
@cincysam6.bsky.social
Husband and Father of 2. Economist by training, data scientist by profession, and die-hard Cincinnati sports fan by birth.
Reposted by Sam Kirschner
Great work here by the Posit team. If you give an LLM a plot designed to show a relationship, the LLM will extremely frequently describe the relationship it expects to see, rather than what the plot actually shows!
November 13, 2025 at 5:57 PM
Reposted by Sam Kirschner
This chart of consumer confidence is legit bananas. 🍌

(via GS) #UMich
November 7, 2025 at 4:37 PM
Reposted by Sam Kirschner
Chatbots — LLMs — do not know facts and are not designed to be able to accurately answer factual questions. They are designed to find and mimic patterns of words, probabilistically. When they’re “right” it’s because correct things are often written down, so those patterns are frequent. That’s all.
June 19, 2025 at 11:21 AM
Reposted by Sam Kirschner
I have 3 streams left and that’s insane. I’ve streamed longer than I’ve been in baseball and longer than I’ve been a neuroscientist. Playing guitar may be the only thing I’ve done longer than stream, to far less success.

See y’all over the next 3 days!
October 27, 2025 at 6:31 AM
Reposted by Sam Kirschner
An interesting iteration on something I also wrote about a while ago tonyelhabr.rbind.io/posts/xg-rat...
October 22, 2025 at 7:09 PM
This week's post is going to focus on getting started with the BDB. I have a series of 4 planned for the next two weeks to help get newbies with some base programming knowledge go from zero to a basic model with tracking data. If you have questions, please ask!
open.substack.com/pub/cincysam...
October 17, 2025 at 5:24 PM
Reposted by Sam Kirschner
NFL kickers are 77-for-108 on 50+ yard field goals this season, as kicks that once seemed extraordinary now seem routine.
www.nbcsports.com/nfl/profootb...
NFL kickers are 77-for-108 on 50+ yard field goals this season
There was a time when a 50-yard field goal was a rare accomplishment in the NFL.
www.nbcsports.com
October 16, 2025 at 2:22 PM
NFL Big Data Bowl dropped this past week and while I'm not entering this year, I did want to have some fun with tracking data and other football side projects so I'm launching a Substack as a public forum to do so. Plan to do some BDB tutorials. Check it out!

cincysam6.substack.com/p/welcome-fr...
Welcome, Friend.
I figured I’d start this Substack with a brief introduction to myself and the purpose of this space.
cincysam6.substack.com
October 11, 2025 at 2:29 AM
Reposted by Sam Kirschner
I would literally not have a career in sports without it.
Has anything great happened in your life because of social media?
October 8, 2025 at 6:42 PM
Reposted by Sam Kirschner
I really really really liked The Oatmeal’s take on AI here theoatmeal.com/comics/ai_art
A cartoonist's review of AI art - The Oatmeal
This is a comic about AI art.
theoatmeal.com
October 8, 2025 at 1:57 PM
Reposted by Sam Kirschner
The Aussie Rules Grand Final, the Australian Super Bowl at the 100k seat Melbourne Cricket Ground, will be live on FS2 tonight in the US at 11pm CT.

Brisbane is going for Back to Back titles, against Geelong who last won it in 2022.
September 26, 2025 at 12:34 PM
Reposted by Sam Kirschner
🏈 The 8th annual NFL Big Data Bowl is here!

This year, we’re excited to launch two competitions in collaboration with NFL. Participants will use NFL player tracking (Next Gen Stats) to generate insights that enhance the game.

Pro tip: you can compete in both 😎
More info 👇
September 25, 2025 at 3:11 PM
Reposted by Sam Kirschner
The Broncos hired Meyappan Subbaiah as a Senior Data Scientist, per sources.

Subbaiah had been a data scientist in the NFL league office and previously worked for Zelus Analytics.
September 24, 2025 at 1:20 AM
I have no interest in RedZone, but if they want to make every game a prime vision game - I'm in.
September 19, 2025 at 2:32 AM
More midnight kicker madness. They say Brady was the goat, but look at that FG percentage in pressure situations and just overall percentages stratified by depth. GOATkowski
September 18, 2025 at 4:15 AM
Just as a comparison, check out recently cut Younghoe Koo. Better FG% at every distance, greater range, etc. The expectations have changed a lot as kickers have raised the bar.
September 17, 2025 at 4:37 AM
Working on a project on field goal kicking and falling down a Martin "Automatica" Gramatica highlights. The dude was elite back in the day when a 50+ kick was a feat. That said, his career stats make you realize how far field goal kickers have come in terms of skill level.
September 17, 2025 at 4:27 AM
Reposted by Sam Kirschner
Every #Rstats user should read this post from @jennybryan.bsky.social‬.
Especially beginner to intermediate-level ones.
www.tidyverse.org/blog/2017/12...
Project-oriented workflow
Advice on workflows for developing R scripts. How to think about whether an action belongs in the script or elsewhere.
www.tidyverse.org
August 1, 2025 at 8:37 PM
Reposted by Sam Kirschner
Friends & I were just talking about what #Positron does "right out of the box," so here are some of my favorite things. Welcome to a messy folder 😂 don't judge #python #pydata #rstats #databs

- Data explorer (look through data even if it's not read in yet!)
- Environment variable pane
- Plot pane
July 9, 2025 at 11:03 PM
Reposted by Sam Kirschner
It's never just been about the stats.

It's about helping people build their first model.
About unlocking access to some really cool tools and capabilities.

The CFBD Starter Pack drops Saturday.
It's not just a product but a launchpad.

#cfb #sportsanalytics #datascience
July 10, 2025 at 5:00 PM
Watching the blue bombers and bearcats legend Zach collaros hoping it helps my bid at Canadian citizenship
July 4, 2025 at 1:11 AM
This is tonight. Going to be electric with these three competitors. Make sure to check it out!
TOMORROW IS THE VIZ BUZZ FINALE

FEATURING
@qntkhvn.bsky.social @johnbedwards.io @tonyelhabr.bsky.social

8pm ET ME AND @libbyheeren.bsky.social WILL SEE YOU THERE
June 26, 2025 at 7:20 PM
Reposted by Sam Kirschner
Watching Greg relive viz buzz, trying to correct his viz and get it to look closer to the target

twitch.tv/statsinthewild

@statsinthewild.bsky.social
statsinthewild - Twitch
Workin'
twitch.tv
June 6, 2025 at 10:55 PM