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Climate Analytics
@climateanalytics.org
Global climate science and policy institute working to accelerate climate action and keep warming below 1.5°C.
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After years of political failure, the world can still rescue 1.5°C – if countries pursue the “highest possible ambition”, starting now.

New report from Climate Analytics and @pik-potsdam.bsky.social shows how it’s possible.

Read more: climateanalytics.org/publications...
Rescuing 1.5°C: new evidence on the highest possible ambition to…
This study shows that, even after years of insufficient action, the world can still return to well below 1.5°C of warming this century if countries pursue the “highest possible ambition” in climate ac...
climateanalytics.org
"Australia cannot continue to develop and expand fossil fuel exports and pretend it’s going to be a renewable superpower supporting a 1.5C limit"
@billhare.bsky.social in @australia.theguardian.com
#auspol #COP30 #fossilfuels #climate
www.theguardian.com/australia-ne...
How can Australia convince the world to give up fossil fuels if Anthony Albanese is contradicting himself on gas expansion? | Bill Hare
Getting to net zero CO2 emissions globally means we can halt global warming. This requires a rapid phase-out. It’s physics
www.theguardian.com
November 24, 2025 at 2:25 AM
As COP30 comes to a close, read the statement from CA CEO @billhare.bsky.social. This COP did not deliver the bold fossil fuel phaseout roadmap needed, but it did nudge other goals forward.

National leaders must now close the gap between promises and reality.

climateanalytics.org/press-releas...
Bill Hare, CEO of Climate Analytics, comments at the end of COP30
After COP30, it is now up to national leaders to close the gap between promises and reality.
climateanalytics.org
November 22, 2025 at 7:05 PM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
2025 was again a severe #hurricane season with 4 major hurricanes (3 cat 5 hurricanes).
In terms of accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) it was slightly above a normal season.
Seasonal forecasts (including ours 🥳) predicted the ACE well this year 💪
November 20, 2025 at 9:49 PM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
To give a flavour of our G20 country factsheets in the report:

➡️ #China alone delivering on the global energy and methane goals could reduce emissions by 44% below current policies by 2035, esp by expanding renewables, and increasing electrification.
November 21, 2025 at 3:16 PM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
This weekend the #G20 meets in Johannesburg: Our new report shows if governments, by 2030 (and beyond) act on three COP28 Energy & Methane goals, it will make a big difference to end of century warming.
But the heavy lifting needs to come from the G20.
🔗 climateactiontracker.org/publications...
November 21, 2025 at 3:16 PM
While climate leaders have conceded that the world is on track to overshoot this climate goal, @neilgrant.bsky.social told @apnews.com: “We have the tools to transition away from fossil fuels. Although the hour is dark, we still have agency.”
Guterres and Lula to push negotiators at COP30 as deadline looms
United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres and Brazil's President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva are jumping into the United Nations climate talks as they get to crunch time.
apnews.com
November 19, 2025 at 4:49 PM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
Now we need to see them implement these agreed goals to address #climate change.
➡️ there must be finance especially for poorer countries
➡️ And if they also worked to end deforestation the result would be even bigger.
November 19, 2025 at 1:21 PM
“We know that the world’s richest countries are continuing to invest in oil and gas development,” our CEO @billhare.bsky.social told @politico.com. “This simply should not be happening.”
www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
‘Additional promises mean nothing’: The awkward flaw in the world’s climate talks
World leaders have vowed to fight rising temperatures for years. Many of those pledges fade when the summits end.
www.politico.com
November 19, 2025 at 1:59 PM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
REPORT: If governments were to implement the promises they made in 2023, to triple renewables, double energy efficiency, reduce methane by 2030 & beyond, they could
✅ significantly cut projected warming - by 0.9˚C
✅ cut warming rate by a third by 2035 and halve it by 2040
🔗 bit.ly/CAT_COP30_GST
November 19, 2025 at 1:21 PM
"We are running out of time and governments need to be taking this seriously."

Watch Sarah Heck of Climate Analytics provide an update to @CNBC on the state of climate progress.

www.cnbc.com/video/2025/1...
Climate Analystics: China is setting achievable climate targets
Sarah Heck, climate policy analyst at Climate Analytics, discusses COP and climate inaction.
www.cnbc.com
November 17, 2025 at 8:06 PM
Media at #COP30: join Climate Analytics and @greenpeace.org at noon for a news conference in Press Room 2, Area D. Greenpeace will launch a new report on climate ambition, and Climate Analytics will present their findings on the latest Global
Temperature update of the Climate Action Tracker.
November 17, 2025 at 2:34 PM
Catch @billhare.bsky.social speaking at #icci #COP30 event– The Perils of Ignoring Science and 1.5°C at COP30: Tipping Points in the Cryosphere.

He presents our work on limiting overshoot and returning warming back well below 1.5°C by 2100.

📅 Nov 14 15:00-16:30 BRT
📍 Side Event Room 9
November 14, 2025 at 4:52 PM
Tomorrow at #COP30, join us at the Evidence 4 Action pavilion for Rescuing 1.5°C, presenting the latest science and introducing the Highest Ambition Pathway, one which minimises overshoot and gets temperatures well below 1.5ºC before 2100. Speakers: Piers Forster, @neilgrant.bsky.social, Anne Olhoff
November 14, 2025 at 2:44 PM
Join @wriclimate.bsky.social and CA at #COP30 for this session hosted by #SystemsChangeLab to explore findings from #StateofClimateAction 2025

📅 Nov 14 | 1–2 PM (GMT-3)
📍 Renewable Energy Action Pavilion (C108), Blue Zone
November 13, 2025 at 1:37 PM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
CAT Global Update 2025 🚨 Ten years after the #ParisAgreement we see little to no measurable progress in warming projections - for the fourth consecutive year.
The 2035 #NDCs have made no difference to our warming outlook.
🔗 bit.ly/CAT_Global_2...
November 13, 2025 at 10:01 AM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
The IEA's first net zero scenario (NZE), published in 2021, showed emissions peaking immediately and falling to net zero by 2050.

Today they published an update. Although we are behind on most things, solar and wind deployment moved EVEN FASTER than the first NZE suggested. A little ray of hope.
November 12, 2025 at 5:07 PM
“Backing renewables is a win-win for people’s wallets and the climate – in fact, all the different futures mapped out by the IEA have renewables growing faster than any other energy source,” said @billhare.bsky.social.

“Renewables are now unstoppable," he said.
gasoutlook.com/analysis/coa...
Coal and oil to peak by 2030: IEA’s World Energy Outlook - Gas Outlook
The IEA’s flagship annual World Energy Outlook reaffirms that the energy transition continues to gain momentum.
gasoutlook.com
November 12, 2025 at 4:50 PM
We’re at #COP30 in Belém this week! Come find us at events showcasing our work on NDC ambition, pathways to limit warming to 1.5°C, how international collaboration can cut emissions and costs, and more. Bookmark this page for daily updates: climateanalytics.org/events/clima...
Climate Analytics at COP30
COP30, the UN climate change conference, takes place in Belém, Brazil in November 2025. Come find us at events covering a range of our work, from NDC ambition, to the pathways needed to limit global w...
climateanalytics.org
November 10, 2025 at 11:09 AM
1/ The IPCC’s role in the GST2 is at risk after the latest meeting. The failure to agree delivery dates for the AR7 reports threatens to push the crucial Working Group III report beyond the end of GST2 in 2028. tinyurl.com/29bnmyjb
IPCC input into the second Global Stocktake still on the table – but…
No certainty on delivery of key reports for the second Global Stocktake as IPCC fails to agree on dates for AR7 at IPCC-63 in Lima
tinyurl.com
November 10, 2025 at 4:57 AM
Senior Climate Scientist @fahadiii.bsky.social features in this @granthamicl.bsky.social documentary speaking on the @wwattribution.bsky.social study of the catastrophic 2022 floods in Pakistan.

"The study played an important role in shaping the global negotiation around loss and damage,” he said.
🎬 With #COP30 just days away, we’re delighted to share our new film, Inside COP: Science, Politics and the Fight for Loss & Damage.

Told through the eyes of negotiators and scientists, it reveals the story behind the historic agreement to establish Loss and Damage Fund. 👇
youtu.be/IeA6ggnq6yk?...
Inside COP: Science, Politics and the Fight for Loss and Damage
YouTube video by Grantham Institute, Imperial College London
youtu.be
November 7, 2025 at 12:23 PM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
COUNTRY ANALYSIS: #China's 2035 NDC is unlikely to drive emissions down, but should be understood as a floor not a ceiling.
We project 2025 could mark a year of peak CO2 emissions if current momentum continues.
Its overall rating remains "Highly insufficient"
bit.ly/CAT_CHN
November 7, 2025 at 3:55 AM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
A must-read for anyone at #COP30 and beyond thinking about how to rescue 1.5°C and limit #overshoot!
November 6, 2025 at 6:01 PM
New research out today demonstrates that reaching #realzero is achievable and economically competitive in many major emitting sectors.

EU road freight could reach real zero by 2040, while global steel and shipping could reach real zero by 2050.
climateanalytics.org/publications...
Real zero is within reach
This analysis explores the technical feasibility and economic benefits of real zero. Our analysis demonstrates that reaching real zero is achievable in many sectors and identifies the economic benefit...
climateanalytics.org
November 7, 2025 at 9:15 AM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
1.5°C still achievable – if the world pursues ‘highest possible ambition’.

#ParisAgreement #ClimateAction @climateanalytics.org

www.csofutures.com/news/1-5degc...
1.5°C still achievable – if the world pursues ‘highest possible ambition’
"The window to minimise overshoot is still open but narrowing fast."
www.csofutures.com
November 6, 2025 at 3:24 PM
Reposted by Climate Analytics
👉 Looking forward to engage in discussions about rescuing the 1.5°C in the upcoming #COP30.

Despite the -collective- political failure to address the issue, the 1.5°C window is still open, but we need to double down on action ✊ aka Highest Possible Ambition!

Enjoy it and feel free to reach out!
November 6, 2025 at 12:06 PM