Denis Ivanov
@denisivanov.bsky.social
340 followers 310 following 30 posts
Assistant Lecturer at Corvinus University of Budapest. Research fellow at Vilnius University. Quantitative political economy: socio-economic inequality, transition and populism: Eastern Europe and beyond 🇲🇩
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Reposted by Denis Ivanov
eupoplink.bsky.social
🇭🇺 @denisivanov.bsky.social presented Hungary’s Country Report on Populism and Euroscepticism.
Discussion of dominant narratives and their impact on Hungarian democracy.
denisivanov.bsky.social
But who really LOVES doing lit reviews anyway? 😁
Reposted by Denis Ivanov
ess-survey.bsky.social
A new study that compares the happiness levels of commuters with those who work from home has been published by @elsevierconnect.bsky.social.

Eric Morris (Clemson University 🇺🇸), Fariba Siddiq and Evelyn Blumenberg (UCLA 🇺🇸) assessed data collected in Round 2 (2004/05) of our survey.
Worse commute, better life? The journey to work, job characteristics, and well-being
The percentage of people who work from home (WFH) skyrocketed with the onset of Covid-19.
buff.ly
Reposted by Denis Ivanov
valentimvicente.bsky.social
Mine is: many people have long been xenophobic / had a tendency to scapegoat minorities.

This used to be socially frowned upon but the current political climate has made it seem more acceptable.
bluser12.bsky.social
Does anyone have some sort of grand unified theory for why this is happening everywhere?
maiamindel.bsky.social
Apparently 36% of Japanese voters believe that "immigrants are taking our jobs" bro what immigrants does Japan even have?? ATP a solid like 40% of voters *in every country* are just driven by completely imaginary grievances
Reposted by Denis Ivanov
adambonica.bsky.social
Fascinating survey data on the missing Biden voters by Lake Research. The voters who sat out in '24 weren't looking for a centrist or turned off by trans rights. They want a genuine economic populist agenda: take on corporate greed, lower costs, and make the wealthy pay their fair share.
Bar chart titled “Motivating Issues” showing how different Democratic policy priorities motivate voters to support Democrats in the 2026 elections. Top issues include affordable health insurance (62% very motivated), tax enforcement on wealthy cheats (62%), preventing tax hikes on working families (60%), and lowering prices by stopping price gouging (60%). Bars are color-coded by intensity: very, somewhat, not too, and not at all motivated.
Bar chart showing reasons Biden skippers cited for not voting in 2024. The top reason (16%) was that Kamala Harris lacked a strong plan to lower the cost of living, closely followed (15%) by concerns she didn’t address poverty and inequality. Other reasons include weak leadership, courting Republicans, and stances on Gaza, immigration, guns, and transgender rights. A note highlights that Republicans, Latinas, and middle-aged voters were most likely to cite these concerns.
Reposted by Denis Ivanov
woessmann.bsky.social
❓Why do the Nordics & Dutch speak English so much better than the Germans, Italians & French?

➡️ New Working Paper:

Out-of-School Learning: Subtitling vs. Dubbing and the Acquisition of Foreign-Language Skills
w/ F. Baumeister & E. Hanushek

www.nber.org/papers/w33984

A 🧵 1/12
Reposted by Denis Ivanov
filipkostelka.bsky.social
Does democratic satisfaction drive voter turnout, or does voting increase dem. satisfaction? Using 7 election panels, Lukas Linek, @jrovny.bsky.social, @skvrnami.bsky.social, and I find that—unlike in the West—both mechanisms may operate in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). 1/n @eui-sps.bsky.social
Reposted by Denis Ivanov
minczifra.bsky.social
Amazing photos from Budapest, it looks like record high attendance. Reports say streets are full of people between Astoria and the University of Technology (~2.5 km on wide avenues and a bridge).

A major embarrassment for Orbán and yet another unforced error.
peterjelinek.bsky.social
Orban: Budapest Pride ist verboten.

Budapest Pride: Liebe kannst du nicht verbieten♥️🏳️‍🌈

Angeblich mehr als 500.000 Menschen vor Ort.
Reposted by Denis Ivanov
tderyugina.bsky.social
The ceasefire between Iran and Israel could prove durable or it could be over tomorrow. But I know one thing for sure: it would be a bad strategic mistake for democracies to let their attention on Ukraine slip.

Read more on VoxUkraine.

voxukraine.org/en/democraci...
Democracies should not let war in the Middle East distract them from Ukraine
As the world holds its breath to see if Israel and Iran can maintain a ceasefire, it’s worth analyzing some...
voxukraine.org
Reposted by Denis Ivanov
owenwntr.bsky.social
We were lucky enough to have our YouGov/The Economist poll in field when the US bombed Iranian nuclear facilities. You can see the partisan realignment in real time
Reposted by Denis Ivanov
catherinedevries.bsky.social
Most literature reviews miss the point.

Not because they’re sloppy.

But because they treat the literature like a box to tick.

In my latest Respect the Marble Post, I carve out a 6-step process to writing a meaningful lit review:

catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/most-liter...

🧵
Most Literature Reviews Miss the Point. Don’t Let Yours
Critically Engaging Past Work to Confidently Shape Your Own
catherineeunicedevries.substack.com
denisivanov.bsky.social
A great event indeed! Super happy to be able to present the results of our survey experiment
eui-eu.bsky.social
📆 On 19-20 June, scholars across Europe met for a workshop on Political Behaviour in Central & Eastern Europe.

Hosted by @eui-sps.bsky.social under the #EUIWidening Europe Programme, the event explored topics like voting trends, participation & public opinion.

More info👉 loom.ly/Y3Udo4I
Reposted by Denis Ivanov
inequalitynews.bsky.social
📢 #INEQUALITY GRAPH OF THE WEEK (No.8)

❌ With high #inequality, democracy is undermined as the influence of the very rich grows.

✅ Greater #equality is protective of democracy.

Source: Profs Wilkinson & Pickett and The Equality Trust ♥️.
For full details ➡️ equalitytrust.org.uk/evidence-bas...
Graph showing that a country's level of democracy is significantly associated with inequality. More equality is protective of democracy - e.g. Scandinavian countries, whereas unequal US, UK, Israel do badly.
denisivanov.bsky.social
I have also experimented with giving it estimates with confidence intervals to plot graphs, still a long way to go
Reposted by Denis Ivanov
taxobservatory.bsky.social
1/ 📉 Multinational companies in the EU are paying less tax now than they did a decade ago. But why?

Our new policy note reveals that the average effective tax rate of MNEs in the EU dropped 2.7 percentage points from 2014 to 2022.

🔎 For more insights: www.taxobservatory.eu/publication/...
Reposted by Denis Ivanov
atomicanalyst.bsky.social
What the south side of the Oval Office used to look like (left) and what it looks like now (right) after Trump ordered gaudy gold paint and gold-colored appliqués for the mouldings, multiple gold-framed paintings of past presidents, and golden baubles for the shelves and fireplace mantel.

Tacky.
A wide-angle color photograph of the south side of the Oval Office as redecorated by President Joe Biden in 2021, showing the Resolute Desk on a deep blue carpet with the presidential seal in the center, two couches facing each other in the center of the room (separated by a narrow wooden table), two wooden end tables with Chinese-style lamps, and two armchairs in front of the (not visible) fireplace. There are gold-colored curtains for the three windows behind the desk, the only gold accents visible apart from two framed paintings on the walls flanking the desk, beneath each of which sit a small sculpture on a wooden table. The room looks uncluttered and stately. A color photograph of Trump sitting at the Resolute Desk (from behind and to the right side of the desk) talking to Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and National Security Advisor Mike Waltz (all standing in front of the desk). On the wall to the left can be seen multiple gold-framed paintings, gold-colored appliqués on the floor and ceiling mouldings, and gold-colored painted accenting the moulding all around a door frame. A large replica of the gold-plated FIFA World Cup sits on a table behind Trump. Gold-colored vases sit on the bookshelves on the western wall.
Reposted by Denis Ivanov
jmerilainen.bsky.social
🎓 New working paper: "Communism in the Classroom: Long-Run Effects of an Experiment" (with Matti Mitrunen)
This paper investigates the individual-level economic impacts of Marxist-Leninist indoctrination. We examine the long-run effects of a rogue educational experiment that, between 1973 and 1975, exposed two cohorts of fifth graders in one Finnish municipality to a history and social studies curriculum influenced by Soviet ideas. The experiment aimed to study the formation of a ``functioning [socialist] worldview.'' Students in other cohorts and municipalities followed the standard curriculum. Using comprehensive register data and a difference-in-differences approach, we show that exposed students earned significantly less in adulthood than their non-exposed peers. This gap is partly explained by reduced labor supply and a shift toward more left-leaning, lower-paying occupations. We find no substantial effects on educational attainment, cognitive ability, or personality traits related to achievement striving. These findings highlight the long-lasting economic consequences of early exposure to ideological content in the classroom.
denisivanov.bsky.social
The length of governance under populist elites correlates with a decrease in individual social connectedness, growing dissatisfaction with democracy, and diminished interest in politics. Individual income remains the strongest predictor of civic participation.
denisivanov.bsky.social
Just published in @eeps My article explores how populist governance and economic factors impact civic culture in Central and Eastern Europe. Findings show populists weaken civil society over time, while economic development boosts civic engagement
Reposted by Denis Ivanov
Reposted by Denis Ivanov
dariia.bsky.social
1️⃣ ‼️New WP! @zuchowskidavid.bsky.social
& I study what two waves of 🇺🇦 migration did to Polish elections. Spoiler: migrants don’t boost the far right—they shrink it.
Full paper 👉 bit.ly/3Y9HQ2J
#EconSky #UkrainianView #AcademicSky
Reposted by Denis Ivanov
josephpolitano.bsky.social
A helpful guide to the current state of US trade policy:
a picture of the apple logo with the caption "0% tariff" next to a picture of a real apple with the caption "10% tariff"