Dominik Steiger
@dominiksteiger.bsky.social
Interested in politics and policy, science and health, the analogue going digital, and endemic delusion. Views my own.
Excess mortality (65+) in Switzerland, data until November 16.
The trend reversal with Covid incidences is reflected in the data.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
The trend reversal with Covid incidences is reflected in the data.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
November 25, 2025 at 2:52 PM
Excess mortality (65+) in Switzerland, data until November 16.
The trend reversal with Covid incidences is reflected in the data.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
The trend reversal with Covid incidences is reflected in the data.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Wer hätte gedacht, dass Ende 2025 immer noch die "Nachholeffekte" hervorgekramt werden müssen.
www.tagesschau.de/investigativ...
www.tagesschau.de/investigativ...
November 25, 2025 at 2:23 PM
Wer hätte gedacht, dass Ende 2025 immer noch die "Nachholeffekte" hervorgekramt werden müssen.
www.tagesschau.de/investigativ...
www.tagesschau.de/investigativ...
Reposted by Dominik Steiger
Singapore, data until week 46 2025.
H3N2 wave coming down.
Covid positivity among ARI lowest since I follow ("<1%").
H3N2 wave coming down.
Covid positivity among ARI lowest since I follow ("<1%").
November 25, 2025 at 1:58 PM
Singapore, data until week 46 2025.
H3N2 wave coming down.
Covid positivity among ARI lowest since I follow ("<1%").
H3N2 wave coming down.
Covid positivity among ARI lowest since I follow ("<1%").
Reposted by Dominik Steiger
I wish I didn’t have to share this. But the BBC has decided to censor my first Reith Lecture.
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
November 25, 2025 at 9:26 AM
I wish I didn’t have to share this. But the BBC has decided to censor my first Reith Lecture.
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
Reposted by Dominik Steiger
ICE detained Katie, a British woman in the final stages of her green card process, while she was holding her 6 month old son.
She’s married to an American and was following the process, yet at her last immigration meeting they grabbed her.
She’s been detained ever since:
She’s married to an American and was following the process, yet at her last immigration meeting they grabbed her.
She’s been detained ever since:
British woman arrested by ICE agents in California while holding newborn son
Katie was in the final stages of securing her green card when she was detained.
metro.co.uk
November 25, 2025 at 9:38 AM
ICE detained Katie, a British woman in the final stages of her green card process, while she was holding her 6 month old son.
She’s married to an American and was following the process, yet at her last immigration meeting they grabbed her.
She’s been detained ever since:
She’s married to an American and was following the process, yet at her last immigration meeting they grabbed her.
She’s been detained ever since:
Wastewater seq data, Switzerland, until November 2, prevalence data until November 16.
XFG* stably at 80-90%, NB.1.8.1* stably at 10-20%, since July or August.
I find it surprising that both clades stably coexist, without one outcompeting the other.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
XFG* stably at 80-90%, NB.1.8.1* stably at 10-20%, since July or August.
I find it surprising that both clades stably coexist, without one outcompeting the other.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
November 24, 2025 at 11:15 AM
Wastewater seq data, Switzerland, until November 2, prevalence data until November 16.
XFG* stably at 80-90%, NB.1.8.1* stably at 10-20%, since July or August.
I find it surprising that both clades stably coexist, without one outcompeting the other.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
XFG* stably at 80-90%, NB.1.8.1* stably at 10-20%, since July or August.
I find it surprising that both clades stably coexist, without one outcompeting the other.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Perth / WA: Continued community transmission of BA.3.2* at the local prevalence minimum.
There is no departure, so far, from the prevalence minimum discernible in the epidemiological data. One third of clinical specimens in the week ending Nov 9 were BA.3.2.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
There is no departure, so far, from the prevalence minimum discernible in the epidemiological data. One third of clinical specimens in the week ending Nov 9 were BA.3.2.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
November 22, 2025 at 9:01 AM
Perth / WA: Continued community transmission of BA.3.2* at the local prevalence minimum.
There is no departure, so far, from the prevalence minimum discernible in the epidemiological data. One third of clinical specimens in the week ending Nov 9 were BA.3.2.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
There is no departure, so far, from the prevalence minimum discernible in the epidemiological data. One third of clinical specimens in the week ending Nov 9 were BA.3.2.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Reposted by Dominik Steiger
LP.8.1-basierten Impfstoffe bewirken eine Kreuzneutralisierung gegen ein breites Spektrum von SARS-CoV-2-Varianten, einschließlich XEC, NB.1.8.1, XFG und BA.3.2
H/T The Sato Lab @systemsvirology.bsky.social
www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
H/T The Sato Lab @systemsvirology.bsky.social
www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
November 21, 2025 at 1:41 PM
LP.8.1-basierten Impfstoffe bewirken eine Kreuzneutralisierung gegen ein breites Spektrum von SARS-CoV-2-Varianten, einschließlich XEC, NB.1.8.1, XFG und BA.3.2
H/T The Sato Lab @systemsvirology.bsky.social
www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
H/T The Sato Lab @systemsvirology.bsky.social
www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
Reposted by Dominik Steiger
Typical bumblebee mating; the male shows off his technique, leaning back and suspended only by his genitals, while the female looks unimpressed & tries to pretend nothing is happening. We've all been there.
Credit Reuben & Tim Martin
Credit Reuben & Tim Martin
July 1, 2025 at 3:58 PM
Typical bumblebee mating; the male shows off his technique, leaning back and suspended only by his genitals, while the female looks unimpressed & tries to pretend nothing is happening. We've all been there.
Credit Reuben & Tim Martin
Credit Reuben & Tim Martin
#Covid
Grippeweb RKI in KW46, endend 16. November, wieder bei 600. Es zeigt sich ein ähnlicher Verlauf wie in Zürich mit Trendumkehr Anfang November.
Figuren zeigen Kalibrierungen für die Infektionsinzidenzen. Letzter Datenpunkt Sentinella weggelassen.
Grippeweb RKI in KW46, endend 16. November, wieder bei 600. Es zeigt sich ein ähnlicher Verlauf wie in Zürich mit Trendumkehr Anfang November.
Figuren zeigen Kalibrierungen für die Infektionsinzidenzen. Letzter Datenpunkt Sentinella weggelassen.
November 21, 2025 at 12:24 PM
#Covid
Grippeweb RKI in KW46, endend 16. November, wieder bei 600. Es zeigt sich ein ähnlicher Verlauf wie in Zürich mit Trendumkehr Anfang November.
Figuren zeigen Kalibrierungen für die Infektionsinzidenzen. Letzter Datenpunkt Sentinella weggelassen.
Grippeweb RKI in KW46, endend 16. November, wieder bei 600. Es zeigt sich ein ähnlicher Verlauf wie in Zürich mit Trendumkehr Anfang November.
Figuren zeigen Kalibrierungen für die Infektionsinzidenzen. Letzter Datenpunkt Sentinella weggelassen.
Reposted by Dominik Steiger
Preventable Disease Holiday Giving Guide
Let's see where the Advisory Clown Car on Immunization Practices is going this meeting
rasmussenretorts.substack.com/p/preventabl...
Let's see where the Advisory Clown Car on Immunization Practices is going this meeting
rasmussenretorts.substack.com/p/preventabl...
Preventable Disease Holiday Giving Guide
Let's see where the Advisory Clown Car on Immunization Practices is going this meeting
rasmussenretorts.substack.com
November 21, 2025 at 4:24 AM
Preventable Disease Holiday Giving Guide
Let's see where the Advisory Clown Car on Immunization Practices is going this meeting
rasmussenretorts.substack.com/p/preventabl...
Let's see where the Advisory Clown Car on Immunization Practices is going this meeting
rasmussenretorts.substack.com/p/preventabl...
Ich habe einige Tschournalisten, die mit mir in Deutschland waren, letzte Woche gefragt: Wer von euch würde denn gerne hierbleiben? Da hat keiner die Hand gehoben. Die waren alle froh, dass wir vor allen Dingen von diesem Ort, an dem wir da waren, wieder in die schöne Schweiz zurückgekehrt sind.
November 20, 2025 at 12:27 PM
Ich habe einige Tschournalisten, die mit mir in Deutschland waren, letzte Woche gefragt: Wer von euch würde denn gerne hierbleiben? Da hat keiner die Hand gehoben. Die waren alle froh, dass wir vor allen Dingen von diesem Ort, an dem wir da waren, wieder in die schöne Schweiz zurückgekehrt sind.
Quacks and antivaxxers rule the formerly leading health authority of the decaying empire.
Trump and RFK Jr's CDC just added a page that is full of disinformation about vaccines and autism.
November 20, 2025 at 7:52 AM
Quacks and antivaxxers rule the formerly leading health authority of the decaying empire.
Covid:
Schätzung Infektionsinzidenzen für Zürich aufgrund Kalibrierung der Abwasserprävalenzen Werdhölzli, Daten bis 16. November:
Inzidenz ~1'400.
Ca. jede 70. Person infiziert sich pro Woche.
Trend 4 gemessene Anlagen: 1↑, 1→, 2↓
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Schätzung Infektionsinzidenzen für Zürich aufgrund Kalibrierung der Abwasserprävalenzen Werdhölzli, Daten bis 16. November:
Inzidenz ~1'400.
Ca. jede 70. Person infiziert sich pro Woche.
Trend 4 gemessene Anlagen: 1↑, 1→, 2↓
bsky.app/profile/domi...
November 19, 2025 at 8:08 PM
Covid:
Schätzung Infektionsinzidenzen für Zürich aufgrund Kalibrierung der Abwasserprävalenzen Werdhölzli, Daten bis 16. November:
Inzidenz ~1'400.
Ca. jede 70. Person infiziert sich pro Woche.
Trend 4 gemessene Anlagen: 1↑, 1→, 2↓
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Schätzung Infektionsinzidenzen für Zürich aufgrund Kalibrierung der Abwasserprävalenzen Werdhölzli, Daten bis 16. November:
Inzidenz ~1'400.
Ca. jede 70. Person infiziert sich pro Woche.
Trend 4 gemessene Anlagen: 1↑, 1→, 2↓
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Wie erwartet wurden massiv Sentinella-SARS2-Detektionen nachgemeldet. Wird dann wohl auch für die aktuellste Woche der Fall sein. Linke Figur aktuell, rechte Figur Vorwochenstand.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
bsky.app/profile/domi...
November 19, 2025 at 10:46 AM
Wie erwartet wurden massiv Sentinella-SARS2-Detektionen nachgemeldet. Wird dann wohl auch für die aktuellste Woche der Fall sein. Linke Figur aktuell, rechte Figur Vorwochenstand.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Excess mortality (65+) in Switzerland, data until November 9.
Back to my baseline, respectively the customary undermortality according to the FSO expectation.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Back to my baseline, respectively the customary undermortality according to the FSO expectation.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
November 18, 2025 at 1:30 PM
Excess mortality (65+) in Switzerland, data until November 9.
Back to my baseline, respectively the customary undermortality according to the FSO expectation.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Back to my baseline, respectively the customary undermortality according to the FSO expectation.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
The Dutch Infectieradar (self reported data, 11k participants, www.infectieradar.nl/results) is pretty good:
November 17, 2025 at 5:09 PM
The Dutch Infectieradar (self reported data, 11k participants, www.infectieradar.nl/results) is pretty good:
The RKI has published results from their GrippeWeb-Plus cohort for 2023-2025 (Epidemiologisches Bulletin 35, 2025; edoc.rki.de/bitstream/ha...).
The results are noteworthy in a manifold way.
(Thread)
The results are noteworthy in a manifold way.
(Thread)
November 16, 2025 at 6:01 PM
The RKI has published results from their GrippeWeb-Plus cohort for 2023-2025 (Epidemiologisches Bulletin 35, 2025; edoc.rki.de/bitstream/ha...).
The results are noteworthy in a manifold way.
(Thread)
The results are noteworthy in a manifold way.
(Thread)
RKI gibt neu die Covid-Inzidenz aus den Erregerbestimmungen Grippeweb Plus (bei ARE-Symptomatik) an. Ich habe diese unter der Annahme von 1/3 Asymptomatischen in mein System der Infektionsinzidenzkalibrierungen eingepasst (fette rote Kurve).
bsky.app/profile/domi...
bsky.app/profile/domi...
November 15, 2025 at 9:41 AM
RKI gibt neu die Covid-Inzidenz aus den Erregerbestimmungen Grippeweb Plus (bei ARE-Symptomatik) an. Ich habe diese unter der Annahme von 1/3 Asymptomatischen in mein System der Infektionsinzidenzkalibrierungen eingepasst (fette rote Kurve).
bsky.app/profile/domi...
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Perth / WA: Continued community transmission of BA.3.2* at the local prevalence minimum.
Fraction size 25% in the wastewater in week ending Nov2.
Clinical samples, up Nov 9, tend to show a higher fraction.
Will be interesting to observe re virulence and shedding.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Fraction size 25% in the wastewater in week ending Nov2.
Clinical samples, up Nov 9, tend to show a higher fraction.
Will be interesting to observe re virulence and shedding.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
November 14, 2025 at 7:08 AM
Perth / WA: Continued community transmission of BA.3.2* at the local prevalence minimum.
Fraction size 25% in the wastewater in week ending Nov2.
Clinical samples, up Nov 9, tend to show a higher fraction.
Will be interesting to observe re virulence and shedding.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Fraction size 25% in the wastewater in week ending Nov2.
Clinical samples, up Nov 9, tend to show a higher fraction.
Will be interesting to observe re virulence and shedding.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Schätzung für Zürich aufgrund Kalibrierung der Abwasserprävalenzen Werdhölzli, Daten bis 9. November:
Inzidenz ~1'100.
Ca. jede 90. Person infiziert sich pro Woche.
Trend 5 gemessene Anlagen: 3↑, 2→, 0↓
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Inzidenz ~1'100.
Ca. jede 90. Person infiziert sich pro Woche.
Trend 5 gemessene Anlagen: 3↑, 2→, 0↓
bsky.app/profile/domi...
November 12, 2025 at 8:03 PM
Schätzung für Zürich aufgrund Kalibrierung der Abwasserprävalenzen Werdhölzli, Daten bis 9. November:
Inzidenz ~1'100.
Ca. jede 90. Person infiziert sich pro Woche.
Trend 5 gemessene Anlagen: 3↑, 2→, 0↓
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Inzidenz ~1'100.
Ca. jede 90. Person infiziert sich pro Woche.
Trend 5 gemessene Anlagen: 3↑, 2→, 0↓
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Very good news in this preprint with real-world vaccine efficacy data from the current influenza epidemic in England:
The influenza vaccines appear to remain efficacious against the drifted H3N2 subclade K virus which is dominant in the English epidemic.
Caveat: Waning might lower effect.
The influenza vaccines appear to remain efficacious against the drifted H3N2 subclade K virus which is dominant in the English epidemic.
Caveat: Waning might lower effect.
November 12, 2025 at 6:45 AM
Very good news in this preprint with real-world vaccine efficacy data from the current influenza epidemic in England:
The influenza vaccines appear to remain efficacious against the drifted H3N2 subclade K virus which is dominant in the English epidemic.
Caveat: Waning might lower effect.
The influenza vaccines appear to remain efficacious against the drifted H3N2 subclade K virus which is dominant in the English epidemic.
Caveat: Waning might lower effect.
Excess mortality (65+) in Switzerland, data until November 2.
"I expect that the excess mortality will be coming down, in case Covid prevalences continue to lower, at least until the start of the yearly IAV epidemic."
Expectation quite fulfilled, so far.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
"I expect that the excess mortality will be coming down, in case Covid prevalences continue to lower, at least until the start of the yearly IAV epidemic."
Expectation quite fulfilled, so far.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
November 11, 2025 at 3:11 PM
Excess mortality (65+) in Switzerland, data until November 2.
"I expect that the excess mortality will be coming down, in case Covid prevalences continue to lower, at least until the start of the yearly IAV epidemic."
Expectation quite fulfilled, so far.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
"I expect that the excess mortality will be coming down, in case Covid prevalences continue to lower, at least until the start of the yearly IAV epidemic."
Expectation quite fulfilled, so far.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
Reposted by Dominik Steiger
Singapore, data until week 44 2025.
Might be over the peak of the H3N2 wave now.
Covid at baseline levels.
Might be over the peak of the H3N2 wave now.
Covid at baseline levels.
November 9, 2025 at 11:43 AM
Singapore, data until week 44 2025.
Might be over the peak of the H3N2 wave now.
Covid at baseline levels.
Might be over the peak of the H3N2 wave now.
Covid at baseline levels.
One might expect a bad influenza season. The unusually early UK epidemic is predominantly composed of H3N2 strain of a subtype that has recently rapidly expanded, possibly having negative impact on VE.
H3N2 is associated with higher morbidity and mortality.
www.ficm.ac.uk/sites/ficm/f...
H3N2 is associated with higher morbidity and mortality.
www.ficm.ac.uk/sites/ficm/f...
November 9, 2025 at 8:00 AM
One might expect a bad influenza season. The unusually early UK epidemic is predominantly composed of H3N2 strain of a subtype that has recently rapidly expanded, possibly having negative impact on VE.
H3N2 is associated with higher morbidity and mortality.
www.ficm.ac.uk/sites/ficm/f...
H3N2 is associated with higher morbidity and mortality.
www.ficm.ac.uk/sites/ficm/f...