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Joe

@electionsjoe.bsky.social

610 followers 160 following 310 posts

NJ📍| Elections & Politics | Researcher 📊 | ET 🗳️ | No Hate, All Jokes 💙| Progressive 🌳 | These Views are my own‼️ https://linktr.ee/electionsjoe

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Reposted by Joe

Magenta @magentab.bsky.social · 20h

i kinda feel like the way sherrill attacked him definitely has people talking about it a lot more than if she just stuck with something less hyperbolic

it definitely gets a lot more out there compared to 2021, but just has the added risk of backfiring

Sage Of Time🇵🇷 @sageoftime.bsky.social · 20h

Something important to note: Jack Ciattarelli was attacked over his role in the Opioid crisis back in 2021, however such ads didn’t receive wide attention. newjerseyglobe.com/governor/new...

Reposted by Joe

FiftyPlusOne.news @fiftyplusone.news · 1d

new polls website just dropped fiftyplusone.news

Joe @electionsjoe.bsky.social · 1d

Note: Not all counties are reporting evenly and some are slower than others!
Also, "IND" includes unaffiliated voters and other 3rd party voters.

Joe @electionsjoe.bsky.social · 1d

Remember there is no concrete correlation between early/mail vote and final results!
But all data should be available to the public and it is a shame NJ doesnt have an easy to access reporting system like Florida.

Joe @electionsjoe.bsky.social · 1d

(Change in parentheses is from my last rate post of October 7th)

Joe @electionsjoe.bsky.social · 1d

2022 FINAL Mail Vote Return RATE :
🟦Dem: 68.3%
🟥GOP: 65.4%
🟨IND: 43.1%

2024 FINAL Mail Vote Return RATE :
🟦Dem: 81.3%
🟥GOP: 79.9%
🟨IND: 66.9%

Joe @electionsjoe.bsky.social · 1d

Current New Jersey Mail Vote Return RATE:
🟦Dem: 28.5% (+5.0%)
🟥GOP: 30.7% (+5.0%)
2021 FINAL Mail Vote Return RATE:
🟦Dem: 66.4%
🟥GOP: 63.6%

Joe @electionsjoe.bsky.social · 1d

Note: Not all counties are reporting evenly and some are slower than others!
Also, "IND" includes unaffiliated voters and other 3rd party voters.

Joe @electionsjoe.bsky.social · 1d

Remember there is no concrete correlation between early/mail vote and final results!
But all data should be available to the public and it is a shame NJ doesnt have an easy to access reporting system like Florida.

Joe @electionsjoe.bsky.social · 1d

(Change in parentheses is from my last returns post of October 6th)

Joe @electionsjoe.bsky.social · 1d

2022 FINAL Mail Vote Returns:
🟦Dem: 62.9%
🟥GOP: 19.5%
🟨IND: 17.6%

2023 FINAL Mail Vote Returns:
🟦Dem: 64.6%
🟥GOP: 20.7%
🟨IND: 14.7%

2024 FINAL Mail Vote Returns:
🟦Dem: 56.9%
🟥GOP: 20.0%
🟨IND: 23.1%

Joe @electionsjoe.bsky.social · 1d

Current New Jersey Mail Vote Returns:
🟦 Dem: 62.7% (+0.3%)
🟥 GOP: 23.1% (-0.5%)
🟨 IND: 14.2% (+0.2%)
2021 FINAL Mail Vote Returns:
🟦 Dem: 62.7%
🟥 GOP: 19.1%
🟨 IND: 18.2%

Reposted by Joe

Sage Of Time🇵🇷 @sageoftime.bsky.social · 2d

“He vastly outspent Sherrill on digital ads, putting $3.6 million behind internet messaging to Sherrill’s $970,645” newjerseymonitor.com/2025/10/07/n...

Democrat Mikie Sherrill holds cash lead in NJ governor's race • New Jersey Monitor

Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D) has outraised ex-Assemblyman Jack Ciattarelli (R) so far, but both are set to max out their public matching funds.

newjerseymonitor.com

Joe @electionsjoe.bsky.social · 2d

Going to add, just in case you are new here, Mail Vote Return RATE, is the Percent of people who returned their requested ballot (By party).

And Mail Vote Returns is the total amount of ballots returned (by party)

Joe @electionsjoe.bsky.social · 2d

Third, please give umich and votehub a follow! They're doing incredible work with election information and maps!

Joe @electionsjoe.bsky.social · 2d

Second, remember as always, all county offices are different. Many get backlogged or there could be issues with the mail! So always keep that into consideration!

Joe @electionsjoe.bsky.social · 2d

First, remember there isn't really much of a correlation between mail and early vote rate numbers and general election results!

Joe @electionsjoe.bsky.social · 2d

With NJ Dems beating the GOP with the return rate today, It is likely that reporting is starting to even out. Meaning, I can start comparing them directly! Historically Dems eventually take the lead by election day.

Joe @electionsjoe.bsky.social · 2d

FOUR WEEKS UNTIL ELECTION DAY, 2025 NJ General Mail Vote RETURN RATE county comparison!

Joe @electionsjoe.bsky.social · 3d

Note: Not all counties are reporting evenly and some are slower than others!
Also, "IND" includes unaffiliated voters and other 3rd party voters.

Joe @electionsjoe.bsky.social · 3d

Remember there is no concrete correlation between early/mail vote and final results!
But all data should be available to the public and it is a shame NJ doesnt have an easy to access reporting system like Florida.

Joe @electionsjoe.bsky.social · 3d

(Change in parentheses is from my last rate post of October 7th)

Joe @electionsjoe.bsky.social · 3d

2022 FINAL Mail Vote Return RATE :
🟦Dem: 68.3%
🟥GOP: 65.4%

2024 FINAL Mail Vote Return RATE :
🟦Dem: 81.3%
🟥GOP: 79.9%

Joe @electionsjoe.bsky.social · 3d

Current New Jersey Mail Vote Return RATE:
🟦Dem: 23.5% (+10.2)
🟥GOP: 25.7% (+10.4)
2021 FINAL Mail Vote Return RATE:
🟦Dem: 66.4%
🟥GOP: 63.6%

Joe @electionsjoe.bsky.social · 3d

Final! Will make that more clear next time, my bad!