Fabian Guy Neuner
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fabianneuner.bsky.social
Fabian Guy Neuner
@fabianneuner.bsky.social
1.1K followers 510 following 60 posts
Associate Professor in the School of Politics and Global Studies at ASU. Political Psychologist.
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fabianneuner.bsky.social
Fabian Guy Neuner @fabianneuner.bsky.social · Sep 11
New preregistered report @jepsjournal.bsky.social

"Thin" populism treatments manipulate perceptions of people-centrism + anti-elitism

But: some treatments (e.g., "American people") affect perceptions of host ideology, complicating causal analyses of impact of populist rhetoric

cup.org/4n3DvZm
Abstract for paper: Scholars increasingly conceptualize populism by whether politicians use people-centric and anti-elite appeals that pit a homogeneous people against a corrupt elite. These appeals reflect “thin” ideology because they offer no programmatic content and thus politicians must pair these appeals with more substantive positions, termed their “host” (or thick) ideology, which often consists of nativism on the right (e.g., espousing anti-immigrant positions) and socialism on the left (e.g., prioritizing redistribution). An emerging literature has thus sought to estimate whether populists garner support due to their thin ideology or their substantive host ideology. To date, no research has validated whether populism treatments (1) truly operationalize populist thin ideology, and (2) do so without manipulating host ideology. Results from three conjoint validation experiments fielded in both the United States and the United Kingdom show that thin ideology treatments successfully manipulate the underlying concepts but caution that some operationalizations also affect perceptions of host ideology. Shows that thin populism treatments shift perceptions of people-centrism and anti-elitism as expected Shows that thin populism treatments can also affect perceptions of host ideology. In particular, using treatments such as "American people" affects perceptions of a candidate's position on immigration Shows suggestive evidence that people are less likely to use populist thin ideology appeals as heuristics for inferring host ideology when partisan information is included
Reposted by Fabian Guy Neuner
amengel.bsky.social
Do any meta-analyses or other reflection pieces exist that catalog the sorts of mechanisms specifically, and outcomes generally, studied as consequences of providing white Americans information on their declining population share?
November 19, 2025 at 2:28 PM
fabianneuner.bsky.social
Important paper. So far most of the potential solutions I've seen mentioned (in-person surveys, high-quality/validated panels, address-based sampling) cost lots of money and will thus deepen divides based on resources. Something that we'll also need to grapple with.

www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/55uok...
November 18, 2025 at 8:49 PM
Reposted by Fabian Guy Neuner
mariogollwitzer.bsky.social
Are victimhood claims in political party manifestos and election programs on the rise? Yes, they are! Check out a brand new paper authored by @marlenevoit.bsky.social , @lucaskohler.bsky.social et al. -- published yesterday in @polpsyispp.bsky.social. Open Access: doi.org/10.1111/pops....
Victimhood claims in German political manifestos
Political campaigns often work with victimhood claims—stories construed around an (alleged) injustice that needs to be redressed or retaliated against. Notably, scholars have argued that victimhood c...
doi.org
November 7, 2025 at 8:12 AM
Reposted by Fabian Guy Neuner
jayvanbavel.bsky.social
Across social media sites, political posting is tightly linked to affective #polarization - the most partisan users post the most

As casual users disengage & polarized partisans remain vocal, the online public sphere grows smaller, sharper, and more ideologically extreme
arxiv.org/abs/2510.25417
October 30, 2025 at 5:49 PM
Reposted by Fabian Guy Neuner
aedwardslevy.bsky.social
Pleased to share that the @aapor.bsky.social report looking at 2024 election polling is out now: aapor.org/wp-content/u...
aapor.org
October 29, 2025 at 5:03 PM
Reposted by Fabian Guy Neuner
mattgraham.bsky.social
After a huge post-election flip in economic perceptions, I thought Democrats and Republicans might be lying to pollsters to send a partisan message — but I was wrong!

New in the Journal of Experimental Political Science (open access): doi.org/10.1017/XPS....
October 27, 2025 at 4:24 PM
Reposted by Fabian Guy Neuner
amengel.bsky.social
Every so often reminded measurement in social science takes a back seat to hypothesis testing which isn't great for knowledge accumulation.

More folks should read:

eiko-fried.com/wp-content/u...

We also use agree-disagree scales too much (myself included)
eiko-fried.com
October 13, 2025 at 9:59 PM
fabianneuner.bsky.social
Nice + accessible overview of my @jepsjournal.bsky.social paper on validating populism treatments, showing that some “thin” populism treatments also affect perceptions of host ideology. Also makes broader point about validating conjoint treatments #Openaccess paper: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
October 10, 2025 at 7:01 PM
Reposted by Fabian Guy Neuner
efrenpolipsy.bsky.social
Our job as mentors is to identify our students' strengths and areas that can be developed. My PhD student (psych), Sydney Tran, has deep substantive interests, but also enviable methodological range. Her first, first-author publication is tagged below.

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Five out of six measures of identity and solidarity with U.S. people of color are equivalent across English and Spanish interviews
As the US continues to racially diversify, researchers are increasingly investigating the prevalence of self-identification as – and feelings of solidarity with – people of color (PoC). Prior resea...
www.tandfonline.com
October 6, 2025 at 6:10 PM
Reposted by Fabian Guy Neuner
polpsyispp.bsky.social
Call for Nominations!
The ISPP is seeking nominations for several leadership roles, including President-Elect, Vice President for Communications and Publications, and five members of the Governing Council (serving July 2026–July 2029).
ISPP Constitution - ISPP
CONSTITUTION OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF POLITICAL PSYCHOLOGY (Ratified, July 16, 2020; Bylaws updated July 2, 2025) Please click HERE to view the current ISPP Constitution and Bylaws.
loom.ly
October 6, 2025 at 4:46 PM
Reposted by Fabian Guy Neuner
amengel.bsky.social
This rethinking of MI from @dingdingpeng.the100.ci and @boryslaw.bsky.social is going straight to the syllabus.

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

I've also thought MI useful as a way to test substantive hypothesis, so this was clarifying more generally.

ajps.org/2021/10/11/o...
Rethinking measurement invariance causally
Measurement invariance is often touted as a necessary statistical prerequisite for group comparisons. Typically, when there is evidence against measur…
www.sciencedirect.com
September 19, 2025 at 4:54 PM
Reposted by Fabian Guy Neuner
vincentab.bsky.social
Whoa—my book is up for pre-order!

𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥 𝐭𝐨 𝐌𝐞𝐚𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠: 𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐭𝐨 𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐭 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭 & 𝐌𝐋 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥𝐬 𝐢𝐧 #Rstats 𝐚𝐧𝐝 #PyData

The book presents an ultra-simple and powerful workflow to make sense of ± any model you fit

The web version will stay free forever and my proceeds go to charity.

tinyurl.com/4fk56fc8
September 17, 2025 at 7:49 PM
Reposted by Fabian Guy Neuner
rrresrobot.bsky.social
Germany and the US: F. G. Neuner, Z. Kirill, C. S. Bruno, et al. “Comparing Revealed and Expressed Populism: The Case of Voting For The 'Alternative Für Deutschland' and 'Die Linke'”. In: German Politics online first (2025), pp. 1-23. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09644008.2025.2483225.
September 16, 2025 at 10:00 AM
Reposted by Fabian Guy Neuner
jepsjournal.bsky.social
Now Out on First View: "Can (Thin) Populism be Manipulated without Manipulating Host Ideology? Evidence from a Conjoint Validation Approach"
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Can (Thin) Populism be Manipulated without Manipulating Host Ideology? Evidence from a Conjoint Validation Approach | Journal of Experimental Political Science | Cambridge Core
Can (Thin) Populism be Manipulated without Manipulating Host Ideology? Evidence from a Conjoint Validation Approach
www.cambridge.org
September 12, 2025 at 7:10 PM
fabianneuner.bsky.social
New preregistered report @jepsjournal.bsky.social

"Thin" populism treatments manipulate perceptions of people-centrism + anti-elitism

But: some treatments (e.g., "American people") affect perceptions of host ideology, complicating causal analyses of impact of populist rhetoric

cup.org/4n3DvZm
Abstract for paper: Scholars increasingly conceptualize populism by whether politicians use people-centric and anti-elite appeals that pit a homogeneous people against a corrupt elite. These appeals reflect “thin” ideology because they offer no programmatic content and thus politicians must pair these appeals with more substantive positions, termed their “host” (or thick) ideology, which often consists of nativism on the right (e.g., espousing anti-immigrant positions) and socialism on the left (e.g., prioritizing redistribution). An emerging literature has thus sought to estimate whether populists garner support due to their thin ideology or their substantive host ideology. To date, no research has validated whether populism treatments (1) truly operationalize populist thin ideology, and (2) do so without manipulating host ideology. Results from three conjoint validation experiments fielded in both the United States and the United Kingdom show that thin ideology treatments successfully manipulate the underlying concepts but caution that some operationalizations also affect perceptions of host ideology. Shows that thin populism treatments shift perceptions of people-centrism and anti-elitism as expected Shows that thin populism treatments can also affect perceptions of host ideology. In particular, using treatments such as "American people" affects perceptions of a candidate's position on immigration Shows suggestive evidence that people are less likely to use populist thin ideology appeals as heuristics for inferring host ideology when partisan information is included
September 11, 2025 at 2:32 PM
Reposted by Fabian Guy Neuner
fabianneuner.bsky.social
Ask re #APSA2025: The political psychology division has a number of panels that need additional discussants. If you're attending APSA and are willing to serve in such roles please get in touch with @carlynwayne.bsky.social and I. See screenshot for panels. Thanks in advance!
Mental Health and Trauma in Politics: Causes and Consequences Thu, September 11, 12:00 to 1:30pm PDT Democracy in Distress: Psychological Perspectives on Anti-Democratic Sentiment Fri, September 12, 12:00 to 1:30pm PDT Understanding and Correcting Misperceptions Sat, September 13, 8:00 to 9:30am PDT Identity Politics: Measurement, Drivers, and Consequences Sun, September 14, 8:00 to 9:30am PDT
August 26, 2025 at 8:44 PM
fabianneuner.bsky.social
Ask re #APSA2025: The political psychology division has a number of panels that need additional discussants. If you're attending APSA and are willing to serve in such roles please get in touch with @carlynwayne.bsky.social and I. See screenshot for panels. Thanks in advance!
Mental Health and Trauma in Politics: Causes and Consequences Thu, September 11, 12:00 to 1:30pm PDT Democracy in Distress: Psychological Perspectives on Anti-Democratic Sentiment Fri, September 12, 12:00 to 1:30pm PDT Understanding and Correcting Misperceptions Sat, September 13, 8:00 to 9:30am PDT Identity Politics: Measurement, Drivers, and Consequences Sun, September 14, 8:00 to 9:30am PDT
August 26, 2025 at 8:44 PM
Reposted by Fabian Guy Neuner
experimentsapsa.bsky.social
There's a new issue of the section newsletter out! This one's on sample considerations in experiments: professional survey-takers, LLM usage, rural contexts, and more!

connect.apsanet.org/s42/newslett...
screenshot of the top of the first page of the fall 2025 experiments section newsletter
August 26, 2025 at 3:08 PM
Reposted by Fabian Guy Neuner
williamlallen.bsky.social
Less than two weeks left to apply for this mentoring opportunity #polisky #polcom
williamlallen.bsky.social Will Allen @williamlallen.bsky.social · Aug 8
Are you an early- to mid-career political scientist looking for personalized mentoring? The @mpsa.bsky.social 2025-26 mentoring scheme is open, with 70+ colleagues from around the world (including me) providing career & professional guidance. Details: www.mpsanet.org/mpsa-mentori... #polisky #polcom
MPSA Mentoring Programs - Midwest Political Science Association
www.mpsanet.org
August 19, 2025 at 3:51 PM
Reposted by Fabian Guy Neuner
landgravephd.bsky.social
The schedule for the Barney Ford Lab at CU Boulder's Annual Meeting (hosted with @priec.bsky.social) is up. Join us Friday September 19th for a day worth of REP research, the Rockies, & Bowling. Nearly 100 RSVPed guests. #PRIEC #BoulderPRIEC #SkoBuffs

www.colorado.edu/lab/civics/a...
two vases are standing next to each other in a cave .
ALT: two vases are standing next to each other in a cave .
media.tenor.com
August 15, 2025 at 12:57 AM
Reposted by Fabian Guy Neuner
profjslewis.bsky.social
APSA-bound #polisky: register for the Pol. Psych Pre-Conf by Friday (8/15)!

Featuring @lilymasonphd.bsky.social, @valentimvicente.bsky.social , @mjcohen.bsky.social, @agtheodoridis.bsky.social, S. Feldman, M. Pickup, L. Stephenson, T. Ollerenshaw, & O. Christley!

www.eventbrite.com/e/2025-polit...
2025 Political Psychology Pre-Conference - Vancouver, Canada
Join us at Simon Fraser in Vancouver for the 2025 Political Psychology Pre-Conference on the Comparative Psychology of Authoritarianism.
www.eventbrite.com
August 13, 2025 at 6:43 PM