Tommy Blair
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Tommy Blair
@fftommyb.bsky.social
Superflex Supershow Co-Host
Physics/Ecology belong in #FF
Some pregame dynasty strategy content if you missed yesterday’s live stream: www.youtube.com/live/EEXvCKQ...
Live Startup Strategy Session-Applied Historical Startup ADP
YouTube video by SuperFlex City
www.youtube.com
February 8, 2026 at 1:49 PM
February 7, 2026 at 4:45 PM
Where 2026 Startups stack up against the last 5 years
February 7, 2026 at 3:05 PM
I'm going live today at noon eastern to talk Startup strategies. Hope you can join! www.youtube.com/live/EEXvCKQ...
Live Startup Strategy Session-Applied Historical Startup ADP
YouTube video by SuperFlex City
www.youtube.com
February 7, 2026 at 12:22 PM
We're coming off a stretch of the healthiest RB seasons in recent memory and yet backup RBs cost more than they ever have in Startups...
February 7, 2026 at 11:37 AM
WR3 hasn't been much cheaper in startups in recent memory. How do you sharpshoot this tier?
February 7, 2026 at 11:33 AM
Drafting a TE in your startup is as expensive at it's ever been in recent memory
February 7, 2026 at 11:32 AM
Rookie pick yoy avg ADP:
February 7, 2026 at 11:14 AM
TE1 yoy ADP:
February 7, 2026 at 10:59 AM
WR1 yoy ADP:
February 7, 2026 at 10:51 AM
RB1 yoy ADP:
February 7, 2026 at 10:42 AM
QBs are being drafted later in startups than they have been in recent memory
February 7, 2026 at 10:30 AM
February 5, 2026 at 9:54 AM
It is really, really difficult to sharp shoot sustained ceiling at RB without Round 1-3 NFL draft capital.
February 4, 2026 at 6:18 PM
Relevant QB starts from players with 3rd Round or Later NFL draft capital going back to 2013. It's grim (there are 155 QBs in this dataset)
February 4, 2026 at 5:37 PM
Do we think Shough is on the "good" 2nd round QB path or the "bad" one?
February 4, 2026 at 5:27 PM
Reposted by Tommy Blair
Mackenzie Scott will not save the Washington Post. It's done. A billionaire murdered it and billionaires will not save us.

Support local and independent news, friends. Here are some starter packs.

go.bsky.app/FzSc9z
February 4, 2026 at 3:33 PM
The billionaires think going scorched earth is going to reset the landscape in some permanent way for them to consolidate their empires. They're actually sowing the seeds of independent journalism, scientific collaboration untethered from the govt, and grassroots politics like we've never seen.
February 4, 2026 at 3:29 PM
Reposted by Tommy Blair
Always follow Tommy for innovative outside-the-box thinking.

Related, less-original thought: I think this can be applied to rookie evals as well. Burden put great stuff on tape but had a poor last season in college. Landing spot matters (O. Gordon), but could Singleton have similar value this year?
One of the biggest edges in modern dynasty game theory is an ability to ignore a good chunk of what happened last year and to apply larger historical context. We've tipped too far into a reactionary mode to the latest outputs. Let the trends come to you, don't chase them.
February 3, 2026 at 4:49 PM
One of the biggest edges in modern dynasty game theory is an ability to ignore a good chunk of what happened last year and to apply larger historical context. We've tipped too far into a reactionary mode to the latest outputs. Let the trends come to you, don't chase them.
February 3, 2026 at 4:23 PM
I too was walking past an Orange Theory to order my alpha beverage and overheard not one but THREE groups of women chatting about Melania:
February 3, 2026 at 9:46 AM
February 2, 2026 at 11:52 PM
CMC has given you 99 top 24 games, and 57(!) top 6 games, so far in his career and you probably started him for just about every one. What SHOULD we have paid for him in hindsight? 3 1sts? 4?
February 2, 2026 at 7:26 PM
CMC is not human.
February 2, 2026 at 6:59 PM