Nikolas Gvosdev
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fpriorbis.bsky.social
Nikolas Gvosdev
@fpriorbis.bsky.social
3K followers 260 following 2.9K posts

Someone who follows geopolitical and geo-economic trends and studies how national security decisions get made. All comments are personal opinions and do not reflect any official/institutional views.
https://www.linkedin.com/in/nikolas-gvosdev-925485301/ .. more

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Nikolas Kirrill Gvosdev is a Russian–American international relations scholar. He is currently professor of national security studies at the U.S. Naval War College and the former Editor of the bi-monthly foreign policy journal, The National Interest. He writes as a specialist on US foreign policy as well as international politics as they affect Russia and its neighbors. He currently serves as editor of the journal Orbis. .. more

Political science 69%
Sociology 14%
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fpriorbis.bsky.social
Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 7h
Very interesting post from Tatiana Stanovaya addressing these very points … x.com/stanovaya/st...

fpriorbis.bsky.social
Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 13h
Very interesting to see the growth in this process--and how the U.S. seems to be moving towards a Japanese/German model of having the government and the private sector align their efforts ...

fpriorbis.bsky.social
Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 13h
Former prime minister of Kyrgyzstan has some interesting observations on what happened in Geneva ... www.linkedin.com/posts/djooma...

fpriorbis.bsky.social
Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 13h
We want a World War II ending (Ukrainian victory/Russian defeat) but continue to be unwilling to make the World War II level of commitment. A say/do gap that both dooms current diplomatic efforts but won't stop the bleeding. www.linkedin.com/posts/nikola...
All of the punditry and commentary, as well as reactions from U.S. and European politicians, to the U.S.-Russia and U.S.-Ukraine negotiations, reveals a dangerous say-do gap--they want a World War II…...
All of the punditry and commentary, as well as reactions from U.S. and European politicians, to the U.S.-Russia and U.S.-Ukraine negotiations, reveals a dangerous say-do gap--they want a World War II ...
www.linkedin.com

fpriorbis.bsky.social
Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 1d
New Christos Makridis article arguing geopolitics is no longer driven mainly by diplomacy or military power. It is now shaped by supply chains, technology chokepoints, tariffs, and control over critical inputs to modern production.
www.linkedin.com/posts/christ...
Makridis article on economics of geopolitics | Christos Makridis
Geopolitics is no longer driven mainly by diplomacy or military power. It is now shaped by supply chains, technology chokepoints, tariffs, and control over critical inputs to modern production. In my...
www.linkedin.com

fpriorbis.bsky.social
Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 1d
I think it is fair to ask current or former members of Congress whether they ever sponsored, co-sponsored or supported legislation that would have written the Budapest assurances for Ukraine into binding U.S. legislation ...

fpriorbis.bsky.social
Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 1d
And now, who speaks for whom? Who has authority to negotiate and to make commitments? www.linkedin.com/posts/nikola...

fpriorbis.bsky.social
Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 2d
Extremely interesting tick-tock account of the origins of the 28-point plan … the back channel meetings (again a Qatari role!), feigned public ignorance while private conversations are underway, and the importance of South Florida as a meeting ground … www.axios.com/2025/11/24/t...
How Trump's 28-point plan for Ukraine shocked the world
Zelensky listened on speaker phone as Witkoff and Kushner read, line by line, from a 28-point plan.
www.axios.com

fpriorbis.bsky.social
Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 2d
With news that Abu Dhabi Interational Holding looking at LUKoil assets, the Russians may see friendly, pragmatically inclined Gulf investors are safer pairs of hands for these assets, now that the Gunvor option is no longer feasible. @reziemba.bsky.social

fpriorbis.bsky.social
Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 2d
Commentators, please don’t fall into the Naomi Wolfe “death recorded” error when seeing Russian bureaucratic documents and potentially drawing the wrong conclusion …

fpriorbis.bsky.social
Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 2d
The emergence of a #polynodal world … www.linkedin.com/posts/nikola...
How the World is Shifting: Bloomberg TV the Emerging Global Order | Nikolas Gvosdev
To the extent we are living through #fracturedglobalization we are going to see states and regions that embrace a #keystone strategy — this #polynodal dynamic Dr. Parag Khanna is discussing here.
www.linkedin.com

fpriorbis.bsky.social
Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 2d
The emergence of a #polynodal world … www.linkedin.com/posts/nikola...
How the World is Shifting: Bloomberg TV the Emerging Global Order | Nikolas Gvosdev
To the extent we are living through #fracturedglobalization we are going to see states and regions that embrace a #keystone strategy — this #polynodal dynamic Dr. Parag Khanna is discussing here.
www.linkedin.com

fpriorbis.bsky.social
Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 3d
Since this is coming up ... the Budapest Memo was never written into a treaty, enacted/affirmed by domestic legislation or even codified as an executive agreement. It was a “trust me” note from President Clinton. 2014 opinion said it may represent a moral obligation but is not legally binding.

fpriorbis.bsky.social
Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 3d
A reminder that polling that shows most Americans and even most Republicans support Ukraine/oppose #POTUS position doesn't translate into strong salient support to take action ... certainly not the type/level of support that moves policy changes.

Reposted by Nikolas K. Gvosdev