Nikolas Gvosdev
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fpriorbis.bsky.social
Nikolas Gvosdev
@fpriorbis.bsky.social

Someone who follows geopolitical and geo-economic trends and studies how national security decisions get made. All comments are personal opinions and do not reflect any official/institutional views.
https://www.linkedin.com/in/nikolas-gvosdev-925485301/ .. more

Nikolas Kirrill Gvosdev is a Russian–American international relations scholar. He is currently professor of national security studies at the U.S. Naval War College and the former Editor of the bi-monthly foreign policy journal, The National Interest. He writes as a specialist on US foreign policy as well as international politics as they affect Russia and its neighbors. He currently serves as editor of the journal Orbis. .. more

Political science 69%
Sociology 14%
Pinned
"We do not have the requisite political conditions for accepting a compromise arrangement, but neither is there the necessary political support for the degree of support Ukraine would require to ... force a Russian reversal." jstribune.com/gvosdev-defi...
Defining an Acceptable Outcome to the Russo-Ukraine War – The Jerusalem Strategic Tribune
Essays – Nikolas Gvosdev discusses alternative ways that modern wars end in the context of the Russo-Ukraine war.
jstribune.com

European and American politicians who want a World War II victory for Ukraine must commit to WWII levels of commitment. Otherwise the end will probably look more like a 19th century style compromise. jstribune.com/gvosdev-defi...
Defining an Acceptable Outcome to the Russo-Ukraine War – The Jerusalem Strategic Tribune
Essays – Nikolas Gvosdev discusses alternative ways that modern wars end in the context of the Russo-Ukraine war.
jstribune.com

Fascinating reporting … implications of a shift to a greater role for the “first son-in-law” in the Russia-Ukraine talks …

www.linkedin.com/posts/djooma...
#kremlin #moscow #us #ukraine #kyiv | Djoomart Otorbaev | 24 comments
While the World Slept: Kushner Became the Author of Ukraine’s Future. The world’s major media outlets seem to have missed the most important statement of the week. And they missed it for a banal reas...
www.linkedin.com

Reposted by Nikolas K. Gvosdev

James Davis in Asia Times: “Moscow appears to harbor no illusions or high expectations about the ongoing diplomatic process and seems increasingly inclined to rely on a military resolution to the conflict.”

Apart from the shifts in regional emphases #NSS prioritizes pursuit of good commercial relations and democratic government not prerequisite for better/closer ties. Capitalist peace, not democratic peace.

Key plank of the new #NSS: "maintaining secure and reliable supply chains and access to critical materials" to maintain a dynamic economy.
It does seem that #critical_minerals is emerging as the central organizing principle of U.S. foreign policy ... in terms of laying out how to organize priorities and setting agendas.

Very interesting that new #NSS sees primary focus of U.S. attention on Russia to be to mitigate the risk of conflict between Russia and European states and to reestablish strategic stability.