Nikolas Gvosdev
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fpriorbis.bsky.social
Nikolas Gvosdev
@fpriorbis.bsky.social

Someone who follows geopolitical and geo-economic trends and studies how national security decisions get made. All comments are personal opinions and do not reflect any official/institutional views.
https://www.linkedin.com/in/nikolas-gvosdev-925485301/ .. more

Nikolas Kirrill Gvosdev is a Russian–American international relations scholar. He is currently professor of national security studies at the U.S. Naval War College and the former Editor of the bi-monthly foreign policy journal, The National Interest. He writes as a specialist on US foreign policy as well as international politics as they affect Russia and its neighbors. He currently serves as editor of the journal Orbis. .. more

Political science 69%
Sociology 14%

Lays out the challenge Larry Rubin and I will have to address as #Orbis returns from its hiatus as a new joint venture between @fpri.bsky.social and Georgia Tech's Nunn School ...
I just finished a three-year term as an editor at an international relations journal. I began at the start of the LLM era but ended right in the middle of it. Our volume of submissions tripled and our desk reject rate rose to 75%. I have some thoughts.
open.substack.com/pub/hegemon/...
The Age of Academic Slop is Upon Us
what happens when AI automates "normal science"?
open.substack.com

Reposted by Nikolas K. Gvosdev

I just finished a three-year term as an editor at an international relations journal. I began at the start of the LLM era but ended right in the middle of it. Our volume of submissions tripled and our desk reject rate rose to 75%. I have some thoughts.
open.substack.com/pub/hegemon/...
The Age of Academic Slop is Upon Us
what happens when AI automates "normal science"?
open.substack.com

Was pleased to join this episode of #FacingComingStorms hosted by @pete_apps and to converse with COL Mietta Groeneveld and MG Andrew Sharpe.. It is important to understand shifts in American attitudes across the political spectrum and realize that an #Atlanticist orientation 1/

Reposted by Nikolas K. Gvosdev

So as I start to go through the charges against Nicolas Maduro, it almost seems to follow the plot line of "Live and Let Die": Maduro as head of state and the jefe of the Cartel de los Soles ... like the way Dr. Kananga was prime minister of San Monique and "Mr. Big."

Well, James Davis reporting "rumors within circles close to the Kremlin that Moscow may have reached some form of understanding with President Donald Trump, effectively trading acquiescence on Venezuela for progress on Ukraine." asiatimes.com/2026/01/euro...

Keeping an eye on the fate of Rosneft's Roszarubezhneft joint ventures with PDVSA for operating the Boqueron and Perija fields in Venezuela ...

, will there be growing pressure from a Ukrainian business community that may want to salvage assets and infrastructure from further destruction, if the West cannot protect Ukraine or bring enough pressure on Russia to force a settlement? 2/

In the wake of the latest Russian strikes on Ukraine, and apparent European wavering (Chancellor Merz suggesting European forces cannot deploy to Ukraine as a reassurance force without Russian agreement, Prime Minister Meloni speaking about the need to restart dialogue with Moscow), 1/

Jeff Pao's Asia Times piece is fascinating ... PRC eschewing blunt rare-earth embargoes in favor of restrictions/controls that keep some supplies flowing to Japan; enough to send a message but to stay below a complete rupture. asiatimes.com/2026/01/chin...
China plays rare-earth card on Japan, but keeps it subtle - Asia Times
China has reportedly begun restricting rare-earth exports to Japan to pressure Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi to withdraw pro-Taiwan remarks
asiatimes.com

Reposted by Nikolas K. Gvosdev

Given that it seems Russia will be pushed out of the Venezuelan oil sector and that new sanctions against Russian energy exports are likely, don't think there was a bargain ...

which Ankara does despite knowing that the rest of #NATO will remain uninvolved and that this creates the possibility of a clash with Russia. Ukraine's tragedy is that its faith in the Euro-Atlantic world leaves it subject to the vicissitudes of multilateral bargaining. 2/

So far, no member of the "coalition of the willing" has been willing to give to Ukraine the guarantees that Turkey extends to Azerbaijan as part of their mutual defense pact ... 1/