Juan Moreno‐Cruz

Juan Moreno-Cruz @jmorenocruz.bsky.social · 2h

Congratulation!! Wonderful, it’s a beautiful life!🎊🎉🍾

Juan Moreno-Cruz @jmorenocruz.bsky.social · 2h

This is my Hollidays season opening song!

youtu.be/I6Pf2jOWMx4

Ana Gasteyer - Sugar And Booze (Official Audio)

YouTube video by Ana Gasteyer

youtu.be

Juan Moreno-Cruz @jmorenocruz.bsky.social · 14h

Congrats!

a cartoon drawing of a person 's arm with a blue glove on

ALT: a cartoon drawing of a person 's arm with a blue glove on

media.tenor.com

Juan Moreno-Cruz @jmorenocruz.bsky.social · 2d

‘Tis the season!

The Quarterly Journal of Economics @qjeharvard.bsky.social · 2d

Recently accepted by #QJE, “Republican Support and Economic Hardship: The Enduring Effects of the Opioid Epidemic,” by Arteaga (@caroartc.bsky.social) and Barone (@vickybarone.bsky.social): doi.org/10.1093/qje/...

Republican Support and Economic Hardship: The Enduring Effects Of the Opioid Epidemic

Abstract. In this paper, we establish a causal connection between two of the most salient social developments in the United States over the past decades: t

doi.org

Ken Caldeira @kencaldeira.com · 3d

"The end of progress against extreme poverty?"

We have to work so that current trends are not good predictors of the future.

Thanks: @maxroser.bsky.social @ourworldindata.org

ourworldindata.org/end-progress...

Total population living in extreme poverty by world region, 1990 to 2040
Extreme poverty is defined as living below the International Poverty Line of $3 per day. This data is adjusted for inflation and
differences in living costs between countries. Projections are from the World Bank. From 2026–2030 they are based on
growth forecasts from the World Bank and IMF. From 2031, they are based on observed 2015–2024 growth rates.

Data source: Lakner et al. (2024) (updated using World Bank PIP in September 2025) – Learn more about this data

Note: This data is expressed in international-$ at 2021 prices. It relates to income (measured after taxes and benefits) or to consumption,
per capita.

OurWorldinData.org/poverty | CC BY

https://ourworldindata.org/end-progress-extreme-poverty

Juan Moreno-Cruz @jmorenocruz.bsky.social · 9d

Unfortunately, I didn’t get a chance to test it.

Juan Moreno-Cruz @jmorenocruz.bsky.social · 9d

He knows what he did. I can't blame him.

Juan Moreno-Cruz @jmorenocruz.bsky.social · 9d

The only thing I will see about the whole Summers thing is I am more of a Winters type of person.

a group of people are laughing with the words that was the worst joke ever on the bottom

ALT: a group of people are laughing with the words that was the worst joke ever on the bottom

media.tenor.com

Scott Imberman @imbernomics.bsky.social · 9d

Great opportunity to learn from the best and help feed our grad students at the same time!

Jeffrey Wooldridge @jmwooldridge.bsky.social · 9d

The next online installment of ESTIMATE: The Reduced Form is coming on Dec 11-12. I've continued to unify and expand regression-based methods to apply to exit, non-binary treatments, DDD, discrete outcomes, and more.

All proceeds to the MSU economics PhD program.

econ.msu.edu/academics/es...

Estimate Reduced Form | Economics | Michigan State University

econ.msu.edu

Juan Moreno-Cruz @jmorenocruz.bsky.social · 10d

Not speaking to any particular paper, because I’ve read plenty and I think economics is doing great stuff, but in general science suffers when methods precede question.

When we try to use the method in vogue we tailor questions to match it, often Limiting the social impact of our work.

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 10d

It is bonkers to me that diff-in-diff is now more commonly discussed in research papers than instrumental variables.

paulgp.com/2025/11/15/e...

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 10d

It is bonkers to me that diff-in-diff is now more commonly discussed in research papers than instrumental variables.

paulgp.com/2025/11/15/e...

Juan Moreno-Cruz @jmorenocruz.bsky.social · 11d

Controversial take, apparently.

Ken Caldeira @kencaldeira.com · 13d

Maybe using the sky as a waste dump for our co2 pollution is not such a great idea.

www.nytimes.com/2025/11/12/c...

Carbon Dioxide Emissions Head for Another Record in 2025

www.nytimes.com

Juan Moreno-Cruz @jmorenocruz.bsky.social · 11d

Definitely not a waste of time!

It’s a great exploration into a topic that we think very little about. Both voting AND Chopin Piano Competition.

Go read it!

Ken Caldeira @kencaldeira.com · 13d

In an absurd waste of time, I wrote a blog post about voting and the 19th Chopin Competition.

There has been controversy about who should have won.

Different voting systems would yield different winners. Differences in top rankings are statistically insignificant.

kencaldeira.com/2025/11/chop...

Juan Moreno-Cruz @jmorenocruz.bsky.social · 11d

This was great! I’m also curious about Vincent Ong, but I bet my amateur ear wouldn’t be able to discern the differences.

Definitely not a waste of time!

Juan Moreno-Cruz @jmorenocruz.bsky.social · 11d

Seems dangerous.

Juan Moreno-Cruz @jmorenocruz.bsky.social · 11d

‘Mergency in ‘Merica is a good title for the paper.

Juan Moreno-Cruz @jmorenocruz.bsky.social · 12d

In this paper, we use the initial letter of each state as an instrument for educational outcomes, uncovering a strong negative treatment effect for the ‘M’ cohort.

Joshua Goodman @joshua-goodman.com · 12d

Hard times for states starting with "M".

From the latest @mattbarnum.bsky.social newsletter on pandemic-era school closures and post-pandemic learning recovery:

cbnewsletters.chalkbeat.org/p/we-re-stil...

Joshua Goodman @joshua-goodman.com · 12d

Hard times for states starting with "M".

From the latest @mattbarnum.bsky.social newsletter on pandemic-era school closures and post-pandemic learning recovery:

cbnewsletters.chalkbeat.org/p/we-re-stil...

Juan Moreno-Cruz @jmorenocruz.bsky.social · 12d

Also, the 56th-best Richard Gere impersonator.

Ken Caldeira @kencaldeira.com · 13d

In an absurd waste of time, I wrote a blog post about voting and the 19th Chopin Competition.

There has been controversy about who should have won.

Different voting systems would yield different winners. Differences in top rankings are statistically insignificant.

kencaldeira.com/2025/11/chop...

Ken Caldeira @kencaldeira.com · 13d

Maybe using the sky as a waste dump for our co2 pollution is not such a great idea.

www.nytimes.com/2025/11/12/c...

Carbon Dioxide Emissions Head for Another Record in 2025

www.nytimes.com

Joshua Goodman @joshua-goodman.com · 13d

Here's my thread of this year's new scholars in Economics of Education and Education Policy.

These PhD students and postdocs are on the job market, so take a look (and spread the word to others who might benefit from exposure).

And now onto the scholars... 👇

Juan Moreno-Cruz @jmorenocruz.bsky.social · 14d

If I were running this experiment, I would also try to be a C-suite executive and run a company for a year.

Then I could make this comparison on solid footing.

Nevertheless, I agree. Baristas are artists.

jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 14d

it's not that i ever doubted that being a barista was a skilled position, but my year-long effort to try to produce a half-decent latte at home has convinced me that a good barista is easily more skilled than virtually every c-suite executive on the planet

jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 14d

it's not that i ever doubted that being a barista was a skilled position, but my year-long effort to try to produce a half-decent latte at home has convinced me that a good barista is easily more skilled than virtually every c-suite executive on the planet

Science X / Phys.org @sciencex.bsky.social · 15d

Widespread AI adoption in the US could add about 900,000 tons of CO₂ annually, a modest increase relative to total national emissions but highlighting the need for sustainable AI strategies. doi.org/g99zzc