Jason Doctor
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jasndoc.bsky.social
Jason Doctor
@jasndoc.bsky.social
Economics 33%
Public Health 24%

A remarkable finding that the opioid epidemic damage trust in Democrat politics and resulted in increased Republican vote share.

This is a very important paper. Congratulations!
Recently accepted by #QJE, “Republican Support and Economic Hardship: The Enduring Effects of the Opioid Epidemic,” by Arteaga (@caroartc.bsky.social) and Barone (@vickybarone.bsky.social): doi.org/10.1093/qje/...
Republican Support and Economic Hardship: The Enduring Effects Of the Opioid Epidemic
Abstract. In this paper, we establish a causal connection between two of the most salient social developments in the United States over the past decades: t
doi.org
Really important to stress that the Crown Jewels of the US higher education system were never the Ivies or elite SLACs (other countries have equivalents of these) but the well-funded, large, cheap, and excellently staffed public state university systems bringing high quality education to the masses.
One of the bragging rights that the US ed system had in the 20th century is that we didn't have education tracks. Essentially, any kid could go to a CC or state school & major in whatever they wanted to (obviously an oversimplification). I fear this aspect of the American dream is dying.

Just let me use one more p value then I promise I will stop.
Next: Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social with 'Statistical significance and p values: The researcher’s heroin'
* p values are highly unrealiable - don't trust them, don't use them!
www.thenewstatistics.com
tiny.cc/osfsigroulette
#IRICSydney
Next: Geoff Cumming @thenewstats.bsky.social with 'Statistical significance and p values: The researcher’s heroin'
* p values are highly unrealiable - don't trust them, don't use them!
www.thenewstatistics.com
tiny.cc/osfsigroulette
#IRICSydney

fire, mid and weak sauce career awards

Reposted by Jason N. Doctor

People who have more complex social identities view political identity as a less reliable source of information about others. Therefore they rely less on group-based stereotypes when judging outgroup members.

www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022103125000915

Irreversible?

Amazing news!

Great for the abs.

Love these.

Clicked "See All" on Concur but sadly did not become omniscient.
The Vice Dean who gets FOMO from approving travel reimbursements.

$2,300 for that Barcelona conference...sigh

The Vice Dean who gets FOMO from approving travel reimbursements.

“Assuming no difference our results are anticipated.”

Both 2FA and accepting cookies all day. I predict in 2035 there will be a third thing.

Sure QJE has a fabricated data scandal. But once again, they claim this is somehow new, when a few psychologists had been doing this for years.

LLMs seem like the human experience of reading aloud when it is going extremely well, as if, to the listener, you could look away from the book and continue reading all the same. Musicians call this "reading ahead". It is predicting the next letter, word, tone, mood from what came before.

Especially a recording by some one blind to the purpose of the study.

seems like it could be mitigated with a computerized voice or recording.

Reading aloud improves comprehension. In this case, that means reduced confusion and differential response to risk vs mirrors.

files.eric.ed.gov/fulltext/EJ8...

Reposted by Jason N. Doctor

💡 Open science: A team of researchers at Shandong University has attempted to replicate Oprea (2024 AER). The results do not replicate.

Oprea 2024 reported an online lab experiment, and found that prospect theory anomalies occur not only for lotteries, but also for deterministic 'mirrors'.

Sigmund and Sinfjotli in Saga of the Volsungs were the first to become wolves after donning wolf skins. ~200 AD

“Have more kids”. But no one in the community will help you and grandma wants to travel in Europe.

Many women wore bonnets to hide favus in the 19th century and not because they liked bonnets.

Sending my accountant a long philosophical stream-of-consciousness email a few days before the tax deadline.

People have done worse.

Soon iPhones and computers will become so expensive that ChatGPT will no longer be an option

My entire life course revealed by how I relate to marshmallows.