David Dunning
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daviddunning6.bsky.social
David Dunning
@daviddunning6.bsky.social

Studying the psychology underlying human misbelief.

Mary Ann and Charles R. Walgreen, Jr., Professor of the Study of Human Understanding, University of Michigan.

(PS. Neither Justin nor I named it that. Best career move we never made.)

he/him/his .. more

David Alan Dunning is an American social psychologist and professor of psychology at the University of Michigan. He is a retired professor of psychology at Cornell University.

Source: Wikipedia
Psychology 41%
Neuroscience 18%
@anacabrera.bsky.social and I put together this explainer on the economics of central bank independence. Unfortunately it seems more relevant than ever. I hope you find it useful. www.youtube.com/watch?v=fBVu...
Central Bank Independence. What's the argument for it, against it, and what does the evidence show?
This week on "The Professor Is In," economist Justin Wolfers breaks down one of the most important—but least understood—institutions in American economic life: the Federal Reserve. 🇺🇸 What is the…
www.youtube.com
Congratulations to John Roberts
Video message from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=KckG...
www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/s...
Statement by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell
YouTube video by Federal Reserve
www.youtube.com

Take a class and you learn things, just not as much as you think you are.

(You think you gain expertise on things that, well, don't exist. Either that or these instructors were really, really good--too good for our world.)
Today's SJDM Featured Paper is: Atir S. & Dunning D. A. (in press). Learning more than you can know: Introductory education produces overly expansive self-assessments of knowledge. Management Science.

tinyurl.com/AtirDunning-...
tinyurl.com

Reposted by David Dunning

Today's SJDM Featured Paper is: Atir S. & Dunning D. A. (in press). Learning more than you can know: Introductory education produces overly expansive self-assessments of knowledge. Management Science.

tinyurl.com/AtirDunning-...
tinyurl.com

And COVID-19 unleashed it.
www.researchgate.net/profile/Nath...

Around the world, people rate their personal vulnerability to climate change as lower than it is for other people, including their neighbors.

Climate change risk for thee but not for me!
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Client Challenge
www.nature.com

Stop Making Sense
Talking Heads
Name a record you had on cassette tape

Reposted by David Dunning

Name a record you had on cassette tape

Reposted by David Dunning

Congrats to ⁦‪@detroitpolice‬⁩, ⁦‪@USAO_MIE‬⁩ and other law enforcement and community partners on another record low homicide rate. Community policing, data sharing and prevention efforts are more effective than an occupying army.
www.detroitnews.com/story/news/l... via @detroitnews
Detroit murders fall below 200 for first time in six decades, police chief says
Detroit fell under 200 murders for the first time in six decades in 2025, Police Chief Todd Bettison said, marking three straight years of decline.
www.detroitnews.com

Current views on Jennings:

Ken: Up
Scott: Inconceivably, even lower

(Peter, much missed)
Minnesota Public Radio says today marks the first and only shooting and homicide in Minneapolis in the year 2026
How 2026 was depicted in the sci-fi classic 'Metropolis' (1927)

Sorry to say that the Brits to New Years Eve much better than we do, at least when it comes to television celebrations. No contest. Three exhibits. #1:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=4B3y...
Olivia Dean - This Will Be (An Everlasting Love) (Jools' Annual Hootenanny 2025)
YouTube video by BBC Music
www.youtube.com

As we bid 2025 goodbye, I'm reminded just how impossible it is to anticipate the geography of any upcoming year. Predictions are tough, especially about the future.

But, despite that, let me wish everyone a terrific new year and a good and scenic hike across the terrain that awaits in 2026.

Siri, what is schadenfreude?
OH NO! DISASTER! OHIO STATE! A PICK-SIX!

Reposted by David Dunning

OH NO! DISASTER! OHIO STATE! A PICK-SIX!

Reposted by David Dunning

ICYMI: "The first payments from a more-than $600 million fund to settle Flint water crisis lawsuits have been made."

You cannot imagine how much it took to get here.
First claims paid from $600 million Flint water crisis settlement fund
An online portal started processing payments for about 7,000 property damage claims since December 12. According to the official settlement website, 2,854 payments had been made as of Tuesday evening.
www.michiganpublic.org

Impossible to answer, here goes: Cuarón, González Iñárritu, Wenders, Yimou, Kar-wai, Kurosawa, Wenders, Kieślowski

For docs: Errol Morris
Name your fav film director

Reposted by David Dunning

Name your fav film director

Don't know if this is a pure masterpiece or an abomination, but this thing really slaps, as the kids say.

Ooh Baby, Baby, Linda Ronstadt, backed by the Miracles & Funk Brothers (recommend good headphones)
www.youtube.com/watch?v=KlF0...
NEW MIX!! "Ooh Baby Baby" Linda Ronstadt & The Miracles (2025 Special Mix) ***
YouTube video by themotownboy1
www.youtube.com

Unintended consequences.

(Oh, the pain, the pain. I can't stop watching this lying on the couch and it hurts from all the laughing. Please hand me another tissue.)
another robot highlight for 2025: man wearing humanoid mocap suit kicks himself in the balls
another robot highlight for 2025: man wearing humanoid mocap suit kicks himself in the balls

Das ist super!

Firm creates a society of AIs...on specialists v. generalists, norms, paperclips, and AIs that want to do their own thing.

"I can give you my complete assurance that my work will be back to normal. I've still got the greatest enthusiasm and confidence in the mission. And I want to help you."
1000 AIs were let loose to build their own village and society in Minecraft, reports @tomhowarth.bsky.social.

An interesting experience that does raise some questions:

www.sciencefocus.com/future-techn...

Reposted by David Dunning

1000 AIs were let loose to build their own village and society in Minecraft, reports @tomhowarth.bsky.social.

An interesting experience that does raise some questions:

www.sciencefocus.com/future-techn...

If this is life imitating art, wrong art.

What will he do when Jessie Owens and Wilma Rudolph win?
Trump announces an "unprecedented four-day athletic event" with "one young man and one young woman from each state and territory"
Trump announces an "unprecedented four-day athletic event" with "one young man and one young woman from each state and territory"