Peter Jacobs
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pjacobs.bsky.social
Peter Jacobs
@pjacobs.bsky.social

climate science (paleo, modern, future); public understanding of science (consensus, conspiracy theories, pseudoscience)

ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6951-7126
Mastodon: fediscience.org/@peterjacobs
Bird Site: https://twitter.com/past_is_future .. more

Environmental science 41%
Geology 16%

But also as a separate point, he was clearly ASD in addition to whatever else was going on.

God, someone was talking about him the other day, and it struck me how his whole adult convert Opus Dei, Clinton-conspiracizing, sexual deviancy schtick would have worked to his benefit with certain Theil orbit folks, to say nothing of the Russia angle.

🤔

Column integrated total water vapor reveals the evolution of #Melissa from Tropical Storm to record-breaking Hurricane to extra tropical cylone in the North Atlantic, from October 21st to 31st. Data from NASA GSFC's GEOS-FP near-real-time analysis product. 🧪⚒️🌊🌀

You can appreciate the scale of the unusual polar warming in Oct 2025 when you look at both poles at once. Antarctica was not just warmer than average on net, it was anomalously warm almost everywhere & by quite a bit (& this is with a rel. warm ref period, '86/15). Similar for the high Arctic. 🥵🧪⚒️🌊

You can appreciate the scale of the unusual polar warming in Oct 2025 when you look at both poles at once. Antarctica was not just warmer than average on net, it was anomalously warm almost everywhere & by quite a bit (& this is with a rel. warm ref period, '86/15). Similar for the high Arctic. 🥵🧪⚒️🌊

Tell your peepaw that the bards* still sing** of his glory days and hit him with a thumbs up for me

* internet dorks
** skeet about

People have pointed this stuff out for ages to no avail but the median non-farm household income in like 1955 was around $4700 which translates into around $57,000 in 2024, compared to actual 2024 incomes which were like $84,000. Obviously some important nuances, but as a first approximation...

You'll nev— eh, I'd actually put this at 50/50 whether you can guess what this is in response to.
My infantry Bn had a really hard time parsing the gender and sexuality issues of Southern Helmand.

When people say, "you wouldn't want a 'purple haired gender studies major' in the Marines" I reply "YES we desperately needed them!" We had teams of anthropologists who published studies for us.

Reposted by Peter Jacobs

Industry-academic collaborations are usually justified under the argument that some data is better than none, but does this hold when the company knows and can guide what you find?

Reposted by Peter Jacobs

By the time the dust settles on this suite of collaborations we’ll have a dozen or so null findings in the literature, after 6-8 years, at odds with internal research because scientists weren’t permitted to look where the problems were.

arxiv.org/abs/2510.19894
The Risks of Industry Influence in Tech Research
Emerging information technologies like social media, search engines, and AI can have a broad impact on public health, political institutions, social dynamics, and the natural world. It is critical to ...
arxiv.org
Jimmy Cliff, Jamaican reggae singer, actor and cultural icon, dies aged 81
Jimmy Cliff, Jamaican reggae singer, actor and cultural icon, dies aged 81
Star of The Harder They Come had hits including You Can Get It If You Really Want and I Can See Clearly Now
www.theguardian.com

Reposted by Peter Jacobs

My infantry Bn had a really hard time parsing the gender and sexuality issues of Southern Helmand.

When people say, "you wouldn't want a 'purple haired gender studies major' in the Marines" I reply "YES we desperately needed them!" We had teams of anthropologists who published studies for us.
🌊 We’re hiring! Permanent position for an assistant research scientist in marine autonomous systems at NOC Southampton. Do you enjoy developing python tools and data workflows? And have an interest in marine science? Apply before 10 December! careers.noc.ac.uk/vacancy/assi...
Careers | National Oceanography Centre
careers.noc.ac.uk
Twitter accounts are based in Russia. BlueSky accounts are based in homes with, frankly, too many books, plants, obsolete cables, and pieces of rustic pottery, that could do with a bit of a tidying up, to be honest.

we're uncancelling Ignition (Remix) for this

Reposted by Peter Jacobs

Boast from EPA chief Lee Zelda: “We will do more deregulation in one year than entire federal governments in the past have done across all federal agencies combined.”
In One Week, Trump Moves to Reshape U.S. Environmental Policy
www.nytimes.com

There are incredible uses of reinforcement / deep learning that have been relatively underfunded for decades. When you understand the scale of time, money, compute, & training data that these companies have thrown at the problem and also genuinely know how & where their flagship models fall short? 😒

I think people most impressed by what tech companies are selling as "AI" also tend to be unaware of: the history & trajectory of machine learning prior; the difference btwn LLMs or diffusion image generation vs. other kinds of machine learning; the scale of resources thrown at "AI" now vs previously
“Once you’ve seen how these systems are cobbled together – the biases, the rushed timelines, the constant compromises – you stop seeing AI as futuristic and start seeing it as fragile,” said Adio Dinika... “In my experience it’s always people who don’t understand AI who are enchanted by it.”
Meet the AI workers who tell their friends and family to stay away from AI
When the people making AI seem trustworthy are the ones who trust it the least, it shows that incentives for speed are overtaking safety, experts say
www.theguardian.com

"Marco Rubio’s mistakes are now Foreign Office’s rewards."

Many such cases, unfortunately.
New: We've translated in full a 1988 KGB training manual on how to infiltrate U.S. government facilities in the Middle East and North Africa. Something of a Russian growth industry these days, you might say. open.substack.com/pub/macspaun...
How Russian Spies Infiltrate U.S. Institutions
Read a 1988 KGB textbook on how to recruit agents working for the U.S. government abroad.
open.substack.com

Reposted by Peter Jacobs

“Once you’ve seen how these systems are cobbled together – the biases, the rushed timelines, the constant compromises – you stop seeing AI as futuristic and start seeing it as fragile,” said Adio Dinika... “In my experience it’s always people who don’t understand AI who are enchanted by it.”
Meet the AI workers who tell their friends and family to stay away from AI
When the people making AI seem trustworthy are the ones who trust it the least, it shows that incentives for speed are overtaking safety, experts say
www.theguardian.com

Reposted by Peter Jacobs

As the planet warms, what was temperate is becoming tropical, and with that comes the corresponding species.
You have biodiversity effects, but biogeochemistry is also altered, with increased nitrous oxide production. 🧪🌊

Link: aslopubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...
The damned in hell are not more powerful for the fact that the fires do not consume them; it is part and parcel of their torment.
it is absolutely the tech companies fault that people now assume they’re doing something evil and sneaky even when they actually aren’t (regarding the latest Google kerfuffle)

like, no kidding that people have zero willingness to cut big tech the benefit of the doubt anymore

Reposted by Peter Jacobs

That Oswald killed Kennedy, acting alone, is comprehensively proven beyond all reasonable a doubt, well beyond most historical facts we'd never question. The conspiracy theories did do a lot of real harm, but belief in them is essentially unfalsifiable. It wasn't a failure of the investigation.

This shit SLAPS.

4 out of 5 Intelligence Directorate candidates in 1986 could not correctly identify the non-USS Kitty Hawk slide in this series.

I would expect that the surface instrumental records for October 2025 are going to understate things, as the GHCN coverage is missing some of the highest values in model world and extrapolating lower (though still very high) nearby values in their place.

I think I have a stereo polar version somewhere but you can to some extent still get the gist.