Dean Eckles

@eckles.bsky.social

9.5K followers 1.3K following 350 posts

networks, contagion, causality
faculty at MIT

Videos

Mathematics 19%

Physics 19%

Posts Replies Media Videos

Dean Eckles @eckles.bsky.social · 10h

That's not what this says

Reposted by Dean Eckles

Schrödinger's Sneetch Belly @rtodkelly.bsky.social · 10h

Grifters always assume everyone everywhere is grifting.

Reposted by Melanie C. Green, Michael D. McDonald, Anne Norton , and 1 more Melanie C. Green, Michael D. McDonald, Anne Norton, Dean Eckles

Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 10h

WELKER: Where is that $50,000? Did you keep it?

HOMAN: I didn't take $50k from anybody & that's a question for the FBI. Bottom line I did nothing illegal.

WELKER: But was there $50k in the bag?

HOMAN: I'm not addressing it

WELKER: But did you keep the money?

HOMAN: $50k is ridiculous

Reposted by Dean Eckles

J. Nathan Matias @natematias.bsky.social · 1d

Proposal: call reverse chronological algorithms "spew machines" since they reward whoever is most extremely online and posts the most.

I think that might counteract some of the weird nostalgia that leads so many to think it's actually some kind of pure symbol of the halycon Internet.

Reposted by Rebecca Solnit, Steve Peers, Dean Eckles , and 2 more Rebecca Solnit, Steve Peers, Dean Eckles, Simon Lester, Francesco Nicoli

Olga Nesterova @onestpress.onestnetwork.com · 1d

And despite it all, this is Tehran 🇮🇷

Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 1d

This is the second time in three months a DHS agent called a US citizen a "bitch" as he shot her. donmoynihan.substack.com/p/whos-threa...

The video also allegedly shows the CBP agent saying “Do something, bitch” before shots were fired. In private Signal chats, the CBP agent boasted to other officers: “I fired 5 rounds and she had 7 holes. Put that in your book boys.” If he felt comfortable enough communicating that to fellow employees, it speaks to an irredeemable organizational culture.

Reposted by Lisa W. Fazio, David R. Miller, Dean Eckles

Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 1d

We should expect more from government than being "not crazy" and not write columns praising them for meeting this pathetically low bar statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/08/t...

Reposted by Dean Eckles

Jeffrey P. Bigham @jeffreybigham.com · 1d

i feel like it's somehow a very controversial take to say one generally supports immigration enforcement but not shooting unarmed women in the face

Reposted by Dean Eckles

Walter Olson @walterolson.bsky.social · 1d

IJ files comments: DHS’s sweeping proposal to compel DNA and biometrics submissions from citizens "is exactly the kind of generalized, future-facing data collection that the
Fourth Amendment is meant to guard against" and has never been authorized by Congress. ij.org/wp-content/u...

Dean Eckles @eckles.bsky.social · 2d

The last digits are also kind of confusing here! Like how many degrees of longitude wide is Cambridge?

Dean Eckles @eckles.bsky.social · 2d

Thanks Gemini!

Dean Eckles @eckles.bsky.social · 2d

I guess this is one way to get Wall Street people to join Truth Social
www.ft.com/content/7ea9...

If a jobs report leaks on a social media platform no one uses, does it move the market?

Data forecasting made easy

www.ft.com

Dean Eckles @eckles.bsky.social · 2d

I guess some of this kind of work just operates in a finite population / deterministic potential outcome setup. So then for a given draw, once you simulate the potential outcomes, they fully define the truth.

Reposted by Scott A. Imberman, Dean Eckles

Ben Casselman @bencasselman.bsky.social · 2d

This is pretty wild: Health care & social assistance accounted for essentially ALL of private-sector job growth in 2025 (713k out of the 733k private-sector job gains).

Reposted by Gordon Pennycook, Dean Eckles

Tomer Ullman @tomerullman.bsky.social · 2d

once again being driven insane by ML conference submissions

Dean Eckles @eckles.bsky.social · 3d

Makes me think about how this shows up in ideal point models of legislators

Andy Craig @andycraig.bsky.social · 3d

There's no rhyme or reason to which Dems do this on any given nominee, and they never explain, because it really is as stupid as they do it to game metrics so they can't be tagged "most liberal." It's not because Republicans care, they don't need them. It's not a tactical maneuver. It's just dumb.

Matt Novak @paleofuture.bsky.social · 3d

Amy Klobuchar voted for one of Trump's nominees the day after a woman in her state was murdered by ICE.

Reposted by Dean Eckles

Andy Craig @andycraig.bsky.social · 3d

Matt Novak @paleofuture.bsky.social · 3d

Amy Klobuchar voted for one of Trump's nominees the day after a woman in her state was murdered by ICE.

Fascist Dem Tracker @fascistdemtracker.bsky.social · 3d

Alexander Van Hook is confirmed 53-40 to be a District Judge of Western Louisiana. According to @senatepress.bsky.social, the Dems yeas are Dick Durbin (IL), Maggie Hassan (NH), Tim Kaine (VA), Amy Klobuchar (MN), Jeanne Shaheen (NH), and Peter Welch (VT). Angus King (I-ME) was also a yea.

Reposted by Dorothy Bishop, Martin Tomko, Dean Eckles

Jack Fitzgerald @jackfitzgerald.bsky.social · 3d

My Matters Arising concerning a paper on the legal determinants of terrorism is now out in @nathumbehav.nature.com. The original paper is now retracted. To learn why, read on for a story of irregularities, imputations, and impossible values. 1/x

doi.org/10.1038/s41562-025-02347-7

Client Challenge

doi.org

Dean Eckles @eckles.bsky.social · 3d

Also, when I've encountered this thinking, it is perhaps as much about the absurd incentives/goals for MDs in academic medical centers as it is competence. Though then it is a reason to basically not trust papers where all lead/senior authors are MDs, even if they brought eg some statistician along.

Dean Eckles @eckles.bsky.social · 3d

Don't know how many MDs you know, but maybe that still fits with the heuristic doing well on average?

I would be interested in overall stats about how much of the literature has only MD PIs.

Dean Eckles @eckles.bsky.social · 3d

"If a quantitative paper's authors are all MDs, it is usually worth ignoring."

Have people heard this heuristic? If so, where?

Reposted by Peter Thorne, Rosemary A. Joyce, David R. Miller , and 4 more Peter Thorne, Rosemary A. Joyce, David R. Miller, Dean Eckles, Ann Bartow, Manisha Sinha, Peter Jacobs

Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 4d

"Was the officer struck by the vehicle, as President Trump insists, or did the car pass by or around him?"
If we only had some trusted institution that could adjudicate between competing claims by relying on facts.

The basic sequence of the ICE shooting in Minneapolis on Wednesday is not in dispute: A Honda Pilot reversed, then moved forward; an ICE agent was close to the vehicle; the agent fired shots. A 37-year-old woman was killed.

But that sequence has been interpreted in radically different ways. Was the officer struck by the vehicle, as President Trump insists, or did the car pass by or around him? Was he positioned in front of the vehicle or to the side? Did he have a genuine, reasonable fear for his life in that moment, or did he create the very danger he then used lethal force to escape?

Reposted by Dean Eckles

Ken Klippenstein @kenklippenstein.bsky.social · 4d

The American citizen killed by ICE in Minneapolis today was a mother whose son is now an orphan (his father passed away in 2023)

www.startribune.com/she-was-an-a...

‘She was an amazing human being’: Mother identifies woman shot, killed by ICE agent

Renee Nicole Good, 37, lived in the Twin Cities with her partner.

www.startribune.com

Reposted by Brendan Nyhan, Steve Peers, Rosemary A. Joyce , and 4 more Brendan Nyhan, Steve Peers, Rosemary A. Joyce, Alan Richardson, David R. Miller, Dean Eckles, Victor Pickard

jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 4d

it is the policy of this government to treat democratic-led states as conquered territories and the people therein as something like hostiles or even enemy combatants

Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 4d

Dr Oz threatens to pull Medicaid support for Minnesota: "Sticking to the narrative that's cold in Minnesota -- this is the tip of the iceberg"

Reposted by Brendan Nyhan, Steve Peers, Rosemary A. Joyce , and 5 more Brendan Nyhan, Steve Peers, Rosemary A. Joyce, Alan Richardson, Michael D. McDonald, Dean Eckles, Victor Pickard, Timothy D. McBride

Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 4d

Dr Oz threatens to pull Medicaid support for Minnesota: "Sticking to the narrative that's cold in Minnesota -- this is the tip of the iceberg"

Reposted by Dean Eckles

Jason Koebler @jasonkoebler.bsky.social · 4d

use your eyes

www.404media.co/dhs-is-lying...

DHS Is Lying To You About ICE Shooting a Woman

At least four videos show what really happened when ICE shot a woman in Minneapolis on Wednesday. DHS has established itself as an agency that cannot be trusted to live in or present reality.

www.404media.co

Reposted by Dean Eckles

Hamsa Bastani @hamsabastani.bsky.social · 4d

We keep saying: "AI will handle the boring stuff, and humans will supervise." But the problem is--as AI reliability improves, it becomes really hard to motivate a human to conscientiously monitor it.

In a new WP with Gerard Cachon, we describe the "human-AI contracting paradox."

Reposted by Richard S.J. Tol, Mark D. White, Sanford F. Schram , and 4 more Richard S.J. Tol, Mark D. White, Sanford F. Schram, Dean Eckles, Layna Mosley, W Grant, David Darmofal

Catherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 4d

Lol how can you tell this administration is lying to you? Because oil hasn't been shipped in actual barrels in over a century
www.cnn.com/2026/01/06/b...

Reposted by Nina Jankowicz, Lisa W. Fazio, Will Jennings , and 6 more Nina Jankowicz, Lisa W. Fazio, Will Jennings, Steve Peers, R. M. Wilson, Dean Eckles, Ann Bartow, Woodrow Hartzog, Olúfẹ́mi Táíwò

Drew Harwell @drewharwell.com · 4d

X basically industrialized the creation of fake porn of women who don't consent. Others did it first, but Grok made it normalized and centralized: publicly visible, instantly creatable by anyone, regardless of who's being targeted and dehumanized. Only question now is will X suffer any consequences

Reposted by Anna O. Law, Elizabeth Saunders, Steven Van de Walle , and 29 more Anna O. Law, Elizabeth Saunders, Steven Van de Walle, Steven French, Joanna Bourke, David Rothschild, Jonathan M. Gilligan, Fabián Muniesa, Smith, Jonathan Hopkin, Felicity Callard, Janet Murray, Gerald Friedman, Julie Cupples, Glenn H. Shepard, Michael D. McDonald, James Goodwin, Dean Eckles, Julia M. Wright, Leo McCann, Timothy Burke, Lisa Diedrich, Ann Bartow, Marcus Credé, James Connelly, Miko Flohr, Hisham Zerriffi, Samuel Coavoux, Charles T. Mathewes, Annette Yoshiko Reed, Markus Haverland, Carissa Byrne Hessick

Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social · 4d

"I’m going to pause here just to review: an institution that purports to be a university has told a philosophy professor he is forbidden from teaching Plato."

surreal times

dailynous.com/2026/01/06/t...

Texas A&M Bans Plato - Daily Nous

Drop the race and gender material from your course and the Plato readings, or teach a different course. You have a day to decide. That's a paraphrase of what Martin Peterson, professor of philosophy a...

dailynous.com

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