networks, contagion, causality
faculty at MIT
Reposted by Dean Eckles
Reposted by Dean Eckles, Susan D. Amussen
“When I sleep, it is never very deep or for very long because of the anxiety and the things I see,” she wrote. “Imagine having the same horrible nightmare every night for 100 years.”
Instagram made them feel better than worse...
My pre trends are incredible!
So a good reminder that causal inference is hard — especially with a single treated unit.
Also, showing the non-scaled ZORI would probably reveal the parametric extrapolation diff-in-diff does here.
Reposted by Dean Eckles
My pre trends are incredible!
![II. Credibility
The Court next addresses the credibility of the parties’ evidence and witnesses. After reviewing all the evidence submitted to the Court and listening to the testimony elicited at the preliminary injunction hearing, during depositions, and in other court proceedings, the Court finds Defendants’ evidence simply not credible. [FN 6]
Plaintiffs submitted a mountain of evidence, providing the Court with over eighty declarations, numerous videos and articles, and other evidence. Defendants did not rebut anything that Plaintiffs set forth in their declarations or testimony, even with BWC footage.
[FN 6] In another case considering some of the same evidence presented to this Court, another court in this district also found that the perceptions of certain of Defendants’ declarants, such as Hott and Parra, were not reliable. See Illinois v. Trump, No. 25-cv-12174, 2025 WL 2886645, at *5 (N.D. Ill. Oct. 10, 2025) (noting a “troubling trend of Defendants’ declarants equating protests with riots and a lack of appreciation for the wide spectrum that exists between citizens who are observing, questioning, and criticizing their government, and those who are obstructing, assaulting, or doing violence”), motion to stay denied in part, 155 F.4th 929 (7th Cir. 2025).](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:2vtbmhmrwzbqcfv4we4uxzzt/bafkreifpyry2il5toxbr3iejgrsxs6kmnwve75qwnhebfp44ieyjrfpsdu@jpeg)
I'll go through some of the most egregious ones here.
Reposted by Dean Eckles
It’s free (with discussion) here:
doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
Cassidy in February: “If confirmed… CDC will not remove statements on their website pointing out that vaccines do not cause autism.”
Note the language in second photo.
Reposted by Joanna Bryson, Amy Bruckman, Dean Eckles
Reposted by David H. Kaye, Dean Eckles, Daxton R. Stewart
And now they just straight up acknowledge that they talk to platforms too.
www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/crime/3...
Reposted by Richard Waite, Dean Eckles
Reposted by Dean Eckles
Reposted by Dean Eckles
With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research
doi.org/10.3982/ECTA... @ecmaeditors.bsky.social
Reposted by Dean Eckles
Reposted by Anna O. Law, Kim L. Scheppele, Jonathan A. Eisen , and 15 more Anna O. Law, Kim L. Scheppele, Jonathan A. Eisen, Steven N. Durlauf, Steve Peers, Rosemary A. Joyce, Philip Nel, Michael Kevane, Alan Richardson, Dean Eckles, Brian Keegan, Mark Rice, Ann Bartow, Christina Pagel, Annette Yoshiko Reed, Kevin Grant, Timothy D. McBride, Ryan Goodman
Dhruv T. Patel and Cam N. Srivastava report.
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
(But there is an associated data set, which maybe is of interest)
Gift link: www.nytimes.com/2025/11/16/u...
