David Rothschild
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davmicrot.bsky.social
David Rothschild
@davmicrot.bsky.social

economist. Posts Reflect Me Only! collects/analyzes: poll, market, social media/online data, to study: news, public opinion, ads, market design

Political science 28%
Computer science 18%
Pinned
Trump/Musk is flooding the zone, here is how you keep up: Trump taking cash bribes from oligarchs in exchange for power, Oligarchs steal from US gutting safety & opportunity for working families, Trump/Oligarchs doing horrible things to innocent people to distract US from their crimes against US.

Easy to mock Sec of Defense for picking fight w/ decorated fighter pilot / astronaut senator who (along w/ his family) has made absurd sacrifices for US, then getting confused by his uniform being backwards in the a mirror, but in his defense, the Secretary was probably drunk the entire time.
The Secretary of Defense, ladies and gentlemen

19th Paragraph on NYTimes article on Trump seizing the means of production casually notes that Trump "personally purchased" between $1-5 million of debt in company we were seizing (1) how much did he "pay" (I am assuming $0?) (2) did he do it right *before* he announced we were seizing company?
The Secretary of Defense, ladies and gentlemen

Don Trump has ended material support for Ukraine and is now laundering Russian demands against them. This is not a mistake, he wants autocratic invaders to win, to slaughter the innocent, because he sides against democracy, prosperity, and peace. Chamberlain is 10x the man Trump is.

Neville Chamberlain was trying to do the right thing for UK & democracy, he messed up in Munich sacrificing Czechoslovakia, he knew it, he then prepared for war and shocked Hitler by declaring war on Germany less than a year later to defend Poland. Then he backed Churchill as his replacement.
Mark Kelly: "My wife, Gabby Giffords, meeting with her constituents, shot in the head. Six people killed around her, a horrific thing. She spent six months in the hospital. We know what political violence is and we know what causes it too, The statements that Donald Trump made incites others."

Basically pin this to every article coming out of center-right pro-Elite "access journalism" shops like Semafor/Hill/Axios/Politico: "Come on Ben. I refuse to pretend that both of us are dumber than we are."
If Isaac Chotiner ever said this to me, I would move to the woods.
If Isaac Chotiner ever said this to me, I would move to the woods.

"We the People did not like the war in Iraq. We the People don't want another Vietnam!"

www.youtube.com/watch?v=jCc5...

RIP Jimmy Cliff
Jimmy Cliff - Vietnam [Live 2005]
YouTube video by HEY-U Mediagroup
www.youtube.com

My assumption is that no one is letting Trump know he is crazy unpopular, that his action is slowed by a mix of dementia & lack-of-preparation, and fact that his corruption driven policy is screwing US up so badly: dude is just too far gone to sell himself anymore.

Trump's propaganda machine has fallen apart: he is attempting war with Venezuela w/o any explanation, attacking Senator Kelly for denouncing Trump's illegal orders to the military has blown up within seconds, his pivot to affordability was just telling reporters he was pivoting. He is out of juice.

Good to know the Secretary of Defense has sobered up from the weekend, and is ready to get back to work for a few hours before Monday night's cocktail hour.

Wow, song is so raw/powerful ...

"I got picked on at school, I never felt that cool
There's a hole in my soul that just a-rages
All the ladies turned me down, and I felt like a clown
But will you look at me now, I'm puttin' folks in cages"

Join ICE by Jesse Welles

www.youtube.com/watch?v=61I4...
"Join ICE" - Jesse Welles (LIVE on The Late Show)
YouTube video by The Late Show with Stephen Colbert
www.youtube.com

Reposted by David Rothschild

Three exciting opportunities at
@msftresearch.bsky.social in NYC!!! 🎉

Internship w/ FATE: apply.careers.microsoft.com/careers/job?...

Internship w/ STAC on AI evaluation and measurement: apply.careers.microsoft.com/careers/job?...

Postdoc w/ FATE: apply.careers.microsoft.com/careers/job?...

This newspaper wrote a glowing review today of one of the white supremists who are now in the White House press pool, declaring that he won the day by screaming lies to Mamdani on his visit to the White House.

Reposted by David Rothschild

While the White House has restored access to Associated Press photographers, it continues to exclude AP reporters from the presidential press pool.
Trump Welcomes A.P.’s Photographers. Its Reporters? Not So Much.
The White House now has conflicting approaches for Associated Press journalists as it fights the news service in court over access to presidential events.
nyti.ms

NYTimes amplifies lies against Mamdani because they hate him. and they are very comfortable amplifying lies (about Democrats).
Everything wrong with political journalism in one graf. This is not a policy proposal that exists but that doesn’t matter, what matters is that someone “won” by asking it bsky.app/profile/larr...
What a strange framing and characterization. How does one describe his blatantly dishonest, racist question about taxes as “press[ing] the Mayor-elect on his policy proposals”? In what way does this lying troll emerge as a “winner“?
Everything wrong with political journalism in one graf. This is not a policy proposal that exists but that doesn’t matter, what matters is that someone “won” by asking it bsky.app/profile/larr...
What a strange framing and characterization. How does one describe his blatantly dishonest, racist question about taxes as “press[ing] the Mayor-elect on his policy proposals”? In what way does this lying troll emerge as a “winner“?

"They died building the railroads, they worked to bones & skin
They died in the fields & factories, names scattered in the wind
They died to get here a hundred years ago, they're still dying now
Their hands that built the country we're always trying to keep out."

www.youtube.com/watch?v=yxF_...
Bruce Springsteen & The E Street Band - American Land (London Calling: Live In Hyde Park, 2009)
YouTube video by BruceSpringsteenVEVO
www.youtube.com

Trump has done *nothing* to make the case for why he is murdering people in the seas and contemplating an invasion of Venezuela. Bush at least lied to US for months before invading Iraq.
Trump had found an issue more unpopular than his handling of inflation - attacking Venezuela:

www.cbsnews.com/feature/cbs-...
Trump had found an issue more unpopular than his handling of inflation - attacking Venezuela:

www.cbsnews.com/feature/cbs-...
If I’m understanding this correctly, X is owned by a white nationalist who pays poor people of color in developing countries to pretend to be working class white Americans to scare other white Americans into being afraid poor people of color from developing countries are going to ruin America?

Don Jr., Eric, and Jared are obviously breaking many federal laws as they pillaged over $10 billion in crypto, real-estate, and other schemes with foreign regimes in just 1 year. But, are they not also breaking some state laws that could be used to hold them accountable for their crimes against US?

But the economy was great under Biden: unfortunately for US Corporate Media loves (and promotes) Democrats who punch left *with lies*
Slotkin: "He's trying to distract us from the big stories of last week, the Epstein files and economy. He's tweeting 'the economy is the best it's ever been' -- amazing considering the public isn't stupid. It reminded me of Joe Biden. Biden tried to tell us for a year that the economy was great."

As Doge is officially shut down, having killed 100's of thousands, stolen a lot of PII, and cost US money (rather than saving US), all with no accountability, I like to think about this Kalshi market for how much it would save US that did not bother to have a contract for $0 or less.
Slotkin: "He's trying to distract us from the big stories of last week, the Epstein files and economy. He's tweeting 'the economy is the best it's ever been' -- amazing considering the public isn't stupid. It reminded me of Joe Biden. Biden tried to tell us for a year that the economy was great."

Any Media or Strategist still using X to connect with "Real Americans" is just absurd: shockingly this seems to represent the vast majority of this class of Elite.

Underappreciated lesson from 2016: most fake news was run for profit (not ideology) & right-wing fake news thrived because it sold better than left-wing fake news. X takes that to next level with a social media platform designed for right-wing users, intentionally incentivizing right-wing fake news.
Twitter pays people based on engagement (views, retweets, comments, etc). It appears that many MAGA accounts are based abroad and they use AI technology to generate low-effort rage bait.

My guess is that this will get worse as AI tech improves. For instance, fake videos of minorities doing crime.
DOGE did not fail in any way to accomplish its goals.

Its goals were never efficiency or saving money.

Its goals were to destroy as much of government as possible forever, and to steal data for the Space Nazi.

DOGE is fading away like bank robbery gangs fade away after the robberies are done.
Twitter pays people based on engagement (views, retweets, comments, etc). It appears that many MAGA accounts are based abroad and they use AI technology to generate low-effort rage bait.

My guess is that this will get worse as AI tech improves. For instance, fake videos of minorities doing crime.