Caroline Krafft
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ckrafftc.bsky.social
Caroline Krafft
@ckrafftc.bsky.social

Economist, Associate Prof. @ Humphrey School of Public Affairs, University of Minnesota Development/Labor/Education/Gender/ECD/Inequality in the Middle East and North Africa.

Economics 22%
Political science 22%
Pinned
📣 New paper "Do employers discriminate against married women? Evidence from a field experiment in Egypt" published in the Journal of Development Economics! #EconSky #menasky

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
New, from @pamherd.bsky.social & I:
@chriscolin3000.bsky.social invented Admin Night, a strategy to turn the drudgery of completing dreaded administrative tasks into a party.
"We’re social beings. We’re meant to update our password apps together!"
donmoynihan.substack.com/p/aint-no-pa...
Ain't No Party Like an Administrative Burden Party
You are cordially invited to Admin Night - bring your paperwork
donmoynihan.substack.com

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

Vahid Abedini has now been released.

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

Rep. Jacob Rosecrants is in touch with State Rep. Jared Deck (Norman) and Rep. Tom Cole (Repub). The office of U.S. Sen. James Lankford (Repub) has been made aware.

They can't find Dr. Abedini's location. Important for several reasons including filing habeas corpus docs.
URL: x.com/jacobrosecra...
i’m not crying you’re crying

xkcd: Fifteen Years

Fifteen Years
xkcd.com

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

I’m aware of this awful situation, shared by my constituent Dr. Landis. Nobody seems to know where Dr. Abedini is being held, tho he has contacted family. Rep. Deck reached out to Rep. Cole & Sen. Lankford’s office is looped in. Here to be a squeaky wheel & help however I can.
yes, hello, I would like to place an order for everyone’s funniest stories of holiday food-related family grudges / drama / chaotic incidents / lore

I feel like we need this
My colleague, Dr. Vahid Abedini, was illegally detained by ICE on Saturday. He is currently being held without a court date in sight, despite being in the country legally. Please spread the word! We must ensure his due process rights are upheld. www.oudaily.com/news/ou-prof...
OU College of International Studies professor reportedly arrested by ICE
U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement reportedly arrested an OU professor at Will Rogers International Airport Saturday.
www.oudaily.com
🚨 New working paper!

How well do people predict the results of studies?

@sdellavi.bsky.social and I leverage data from the first 100 studies to have been posted on the SSPP, containing 1,482 key questions, on which over 50,000 forecasts were placed. Some surprising results below.... 🧵👇
If you are applying for grad school, I recommend you build time into your process to get feedback on your materials from someone with experience evaluating application documents.
Terumaru, a bright young lightbulb and the mascot of the Tokyu Denki electric company, trapped in a door yesterday:

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

Why aren't there more big, labor-intensive firms in poor countries?

Answer here: bigger firms use more white-color workers who are in shorter supply in poorer countries.

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

I always have to keep two things in my head: violence (including sexual violence) is far too common in schools AND girls are still safer in school than out of it www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
“A fully digitised collection of the records of the Nuremberg trials is being launched online to mark the 80th anniversary of the start of the groundbreaking legal effort to bring Nazi leaders to justice.”

www.theguardian.com/world/2025/n...
Nuremberg trial records made available online after painstaking 25-year project
Launch of digitisation project marks 80th anniversary of start of legal effort to bring Nazi leaders to justice
www.theguardian.com

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

CBPP Chief Economist @gbenga-ajilore.bsky.social provides analysis on the September jobs report, and details what's at stake when economic data is delayed.
youtube.com/shorts/XeTRz...
The September Jobs Report Is Out. But What Happens When Data Is Delayed?
YouTube video by Center on Budget and Policy Priorities
youtube.com
I'm on the #EconJobMarket! I study how policies and childhood environments shape outcomes of low-income & vulnerable kids.

In my JMP, I study the effects of allowing youth who would have aged out of foster care at 18 to stay until 21—offering support their peers not in foster care get from parents.
Biggest shocker at my talk today, which is consistent with my other talks and media stuff, is that the acceptance rate for men and women are different at highly selective institutions. Men have a much higher acceptance rate because most colleges are scared to go beyond a 60/40 ratio.
It's time to remove laptops from classrooms.

24 experiments: Students learn more and get better grades after taking notes by hand than typing. It's not just because they're less distracted—writing enables deeper processing and more images.

The pen is mightier than the keyboard.

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

Switching to weekly UI claims...

220K Americans filed new unemployment insurance claims in the week ending 11/15, similar to prior week's 228K.

Continuing claims also steady.

These have remined steady & are more reliable than corporate layoff announcements in measuring layoffs.
A relief, and good news: September's jobs report was (finally!) released, and it shows a relatively healthy labor market.

Payrolls +119k, a bit stronger than expected, and definitely well above recession territory.

The unemployment rate rose a tick to 4.4%, continuing a slow but worrying trend.
+119K jobs gained last month (mid-Aug to mid-Sept).
-33K jobs in revisions of prior 2 months.

The big picture
Happy Sept #JobsDay!

At 8:30 am ET, BLS delivers what’s usually one of the most-important signals abt how economy is changing. This one for Sept is 7 weeks late due to govt shutdown

Forecasts’ center:
+50K jobs
Unemployment rate (UR) steady at 4.3%

Also last week's UI claims released then too?
Births + Immigration - Retirees - Deaths = Labor force growth.

Current status:

Births - 📉
immigration - 🔻
retirees - ↗️
Life expectancy - ↘️

Without immigrants we have a negative growth rate thru 2040

Another banger from the San Francisco Fed: www.frbsf.org/research-and...
#BREAKING: Former Harvard President Lawrence H. Summers will immediately leave his role as an instructor at Harvard while the University investigates his ties to child sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein.

Dhruv T. Patel and Cam N. Srivastava report.
Summers Will Not Finish Semester of Teaching as Harvard Investigates Epstein Ties | News | The Harvard Crimson
Former Harvard President Lawrence H. Summers will immediately leave his role as an instructor at Harvard while the University investigates his ties to child sex trafficker Jeffrey E. Epstein.
www.thecrimson.com
Thanks @daveevansphd.bsky.social !

The most challenging fieldwork, but such important (and sad) findings.

Plugging @mirandainez.bsky.social who has done more work on men & women who were abducted as children. She studies how this childhood trauma impacts IPV later in life #econjobmarket
What's the long-term impact of being abducted during an armed conflict? editorialexpress.com/cgi-bin/conf... In Uganda, 20 years after the conflict: "Formerly abducted women still exhibit significantly higher rates of depression and perceived stress, heightened stress responses..."

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

Because of the current public uproar, we will (eventually) stop paying the sex-trafficker bff who's pushed sadistic economic policy and spouted racist and misogynistic invective for *decades*

Reposted by Caroline Krafft

In v1.110, Bluesky now has a dark-mode app icon — for anyone who thinks light mode should require a content warning.
The emails have Summers reporting to Epstein about his attempts to date a Harvard economics student & to hit on her during a seminar she was giving.
Alice Wong, a writer and activist who was born with muscular dystrophy and who fought relentlessly for equal rights and access for people with disabilities, died on Friday. She was 51. nyti.ms/4r9WqEr
Thanks to @appam.bsky.social for a great #APPAM2025. Saw a lot of great work, and I’m leaving feeling really reinvigorated about both my own projects and our collective project to inform policy with high-quality research. Safe travels home, everyone!