Prof of Comm & Media and Polisci @Umich studying how people get and use political information and social measurement.
Skills/competencies: data sci, DIY solar, election analytics, carpooling, #polcom, #polpsych, survey methods, AI (views are my own) ..
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Prof of Comm & Media and Polisci @Umich studying how people get and use political information and social measurement.
Skills/competencies: data sci, DIY solar, election analytics, carpooling, #polcom, #polpsych, survey methods, AI (views are my own)
Reposted by Laia Balcells, Josh Pasek, David Darmofal
#commsky
The key point: "The absence of young people from conventional protests is both a problem and a warning."
Reposted by Cas Mudde, Shannon Vallor, Nina Jankowicz , and 25 more Cas Mudde, Shannon Vallor, Nina Jankowicz, Timothy G. Ash, Mark A. Lemley, Patrick A. Jansen, Mary Feeney, Guy Grossman, Edgar Morgenroth, Laurent Pech, Catherine Lutz, Michael Zimmer, Pamela K. Gilbert, Samantha Brennan, Timothy Burke, Eric D. Knowles, David Bartram, Josh Pasek, Andrew Guthrie Ferguson, Sam Kamin, Seth Masket, Paul Nesbitt‐Larking, Tom Louwerse, Cullen S. Hendrix, Olivier Mannoni, Magda Teter, Nathan P. Kalmoe, James M. Thomas
If you're a person of influence in this country and you haven't picked a side, maybe now would be the time to pick a fucking side.
Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland, Josh Pasek, Florian Keusch
job-boards.greenhouse.io/bluelabsanal...
The implication is that if instructors could make norms clear, they could massively tamp down on misuse!
Most rarely/sometimes use AI & always follow class policies, but think others frequently use AI & only sometimes follow policies.
Perceptions of misuse ≠ reality
Misperceptions may provide implicit permission for misuse.
Reposted by Axel Bruns, Will Jennings, David R. Miller , and 1 more Axel Bruns, Will Jennings, David R. Miller, Josh Pasek
- Millions of civil servants did not get a salary for over a month, and millions are losing SNAP going into the holiday season.
- But, just as important...
1. Partisanship is calcified.
2. Election outcomes are thermostatic.
TURNOUT. It’s not the same people who vote every time. Mobilizing, organizing, educating, party infrastructure—it all matters.
1. Partisanship is calcified.
2. Election outcomes are thermostatic.
TURNOUT. It’s not the same people who vote every time. Mobilizing, organizing, educating, party infrastructure—it all matters.
I had said this was probably the case the a reporter, but didn't have any numbers to back it up.
Bowling Alone (Putnam)
The strength of weak ties (Granovetter)
But the actual impact often gets massively oversimplified.
Everything in this environment is so multicollinear and bidirectionally caused that teasing it out is not fully possible.
At the end of the day, we’re all parsing identification signals far weaker than the errors in the data.
Basically some Christian Nationalist freaks need Israel to exist for their apocalypse to happen
And so Tucker interviewing Fuentes (and Heritage defending it) is threatening to that because that prophecy cannot afford for Nazis to get their wish re: Jews
(I'd have thought the SBC/NAR widening split would have been the fissure, but a neo-Nazi/NAR split has been growing)
1/x
And the crazy brewing fight between the Christian Zionists and the wannabe Nazis.
Reposted by Josh Pasek
(I'd have thought the SBC/NAR widening split would have been the fissure, but a neo-Nazi/NAR split has been growing)
1/x
The President of the Heritage Foundation and Heritage Action, Kevin Roberts , has announced that the organization is standing by Tucker Carlson in the aftermath of Tucker’s interview with neo-Nazi Nick Fuentes.
This isn’t Kevin bending his knee to Trump…this is something new
Basically some Christian Nationalist freaks need Israel to exist for their apocalypse to happen
And so Tucker interviewing Fuentes (and Heritage defending it) is threatening to that because that prophecy cannot afford for Nazis to get their wish re: Jews
Reposted by Josh Pasek
newrepublic.com/article/2023...
Reposted by David Lazer, Brady T. West, Josh Pasek
AAPOR's Taskforce on 2024 Pre-Election Polling report is out!
Full report: /https://aapor.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/AAPOR-Task-Force-on-2024-Pre-Election-Polling_Report.pdf
Executive summary: aapor.org/wp-content/u...
Maybe a good lesson for the current AI moment too!
m.youtube.com/watch?v=1s0h...
Reposted by Josh Pasek
He talks a little about how he needs to impose tariffs on semiconductors from Japan but it's clear he's singling them out as something that should be rarely used.
The Reagan Foundation suggesting they might sue over the ad is hilarious.
Reposted by Josh Pasek
He talks a little about how he needs to impose tariffs on semiconductors from Japan but it's clear he's singling them out as something that should be rarely used.
The Reagan Foundation suggesting they might sue over the ad is hilarious.
History, tradition, lives, self-worth, environmental, opportunity costs … none of these.