Justin Kirkland
banner
jhkirkland1.bsky.social
Justin Kirkland
@jhkirkland1.bsky.social

Professor of Politics and Policy at UVa. Legislatures, Representation, Public Opinion, Subnational Politics, all the good stuff. Co-editor of Cambridge Studies in American Legislatures (Cambridge.org/AmericanLegislatures) .. more

Political science 52%
Business 19%
🔔Job Alert 🔔
Thrilled to share that @stefaniebailer.bsky.social and I have been awarded 1.5 million CHF in SNSF funding for our new project: “Electoral choice: Which role does legislators’ quality play?”
We’re recruiting 1 postdoc and 2 PhD candidates to join us in Basel and Geneva!
🚨 LSE Assistant Professor in Political Science 🚨

We’re hiring a tenure-track assistant professor - any area of empirical political science - to join our wonderful Government Dept @lsegovernment.bsky.social

Any questions, please reach out to me

📣 Please share! 📣

jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...

The Value of Biased Information by Randy Calvert right? www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.2...
University of Chicago Press Journals: Cookie absent
www.journals.uchicago.edu
A student recently asked me for academic job market advice and I pulled up a slideshow from a few years ago. I don't think I've shared it, but it might be broadly useful. I think the advice almost entirely holds up.

First part is about my time on the job market
1/3
Labour is desperately trying to appeal to Reform supporters. In October, we asked people in the UK if they perceive a party as a "party for someone like them". Only very few people say this for both Labour and Reform. The correlation is negative. Labour is chasing an electorate that does not exist.

Reposted by Jon Green

A lovely trip down to Durham. Thanks @jongreen.bsky.social for the invite!
We actually have a paper that finds exactly that!

osf.io/preprints/so...
Elon Musk is set to make more than every U.S. elementary teacher combined
Elon Musk is set to make more than every U.S. elementary teacher combined
See how Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s new payment package compares with other occupations in the United States.
www.washingtonpost.com
As AI becomes ever more sophisticated, its effects on those (like me) who use online surveys and experiments may be dire. (As one coauthor called it -- the botpocalypse!) The second POAL methods brief by the excellent @laurenleek.eu digs deeper into the problem. Very important reading!
"Safeguarding data quality is no longer a single checkpoint but an end-to-end pipeline - one that reallocates substantial resources from sampling to continuous fraud monitoring"

Read our new POAL Methods Brief by @laurenleek.eu on dealing with AI bots in surveys!

Link: www.poal.co.uk/briefai.pdf
www.poal.co.uk

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland

NEW -

The Consequences of Elite Action Against Elections - https://cup.org/3K5I3Aa

- @rachelporter.bsky.social, Jeffrey J. Harden, Emily Anderson, Géssica de Freitas, Mackenzie R. Dobson, @ahemmen.bsky.social & Emma Schroeder

#OpenAccess
"Safeguarding data quality is no longer a single checkpoint but an end-to-end pipeline - one that reallocates substantial resources from sampling to continuous fraud monitoring"

Read our new POAL Methods Brief by @laurenleek.eu on dealing with AI bots in surveys!

Link: www.poal.co.uk/briefai.pdf
www.poal.co.uk

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland

Because I know no one really cares about the Bundesliga (and because I wanted to test how well the model generalises), I have tested it out on the Premier League too!

The results look pretty solid to me, though I have a little less faith in how the model does with the Premier League than the BuLi.

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland

In a new paper, we show that "opportunity moves" foster political integration and shift political preferences to the left.

Please have a look at @valentinaconsiglio.bsky.social's excellent summary for some more details.

👉 tinyurl.com/46utjj65
"Using a regression discontinuity in time design, we find that mass shootings mobilize local voters (especially in heavily Democratic areas) but do not shift presidential vote choices."

www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
The effect of mass shootings on voter turnout in the United States
Following mass shootings, localized voter turnout increases, as does support for a gun reform ballot initiative.
www.science.org
come work with us! @bluelabs.bsky.social is hiring a survey scientist. we're looking for someone who loves working with survey data and wants to solve tricky problems facing the polling industry. please share widely!

job-boards.greenhouse.io/bluelabsanal...
Survey Scientist
Remote or Washington D.C.
job-boards.greenhouse.io
New today at Science Advances from @kshoub.bsky.social and me. We revisit the question of whether a local tragedy (mass shooting) influences voter behavior. They do, at least at the local level, with some important caveats and implications for policy. Short thread...
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
America's political elite has decided that climate change is no longer that important or worth talking about, but rest assured, it's still happening, it's extremely bad, and yes, it is going to affect you here in America.
What Climate Change Will Do to America by Mid-Century
Many places may become uninhabitable. Many people may be on their own.
www.theatlantic.com
🚨JOB ALERT🚨

Washington State University is HIRING an Associate or Full Professor of American Politics who will also serve as the Director of our excellent Foley Institute.

An awesome opportunity to be right at the nexus of research and policy!

wsu.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/WSU_Jo...
Associate Professor/Professor
Online applications must be received before 11:59pm on: December 7, 2025 If a date is not listed above, review the Applicant Instructions below for more details. Available Title(s): 280-NN_FACULTY - A...
wsu.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland

100% agree and it’s not at all impossible to build popular support for this

doi.org/10.1017/spq....
📄 New WP version out - full overhaul!

The Politics of Evidence Selection (w/ @jesperasring.bsky.social )

Comments welcome!

🔗 osf.io/preprints/so...
Every month for the last 77 years, the Bureau of Labor Statistics has estimated Americans' unemployment rate

This streak dies tomorrow

Govt staff could not survey Americans about whether they're working or looking for work in Oct, the 1st time in 934 months

This blind spot will remain forever
Here's the planned BLS data release schedule for Nov 2025.

On Tues, it couldn't release Sept job openings, hires, layoffs and firings data.

This morning, it couldn't release 2025Q3 business Productivity and Costs data.

Tomorrow, it can't release Oct 2025 #JobsReport
www.bls.gov/schedule/202...
Four (!) three-year postdoc positions available at @au.dk: international.au.dk/about/profil...

Join an incredible team & help understand the psychological & political implications of the clash between high-speed society & slow-speed democracy.

Please share! @tboeggild.bsky.social can help with Qs
Four three-year postdoctoral positions in the project Slow-Motion Democracy - Vacancy at Aarhus University
Vacancy at Department of Political Science, Aarhus University
international.au.dk
We have just published the call for the Nuffield Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellowships in Politics. These are 3-year fully-funded postdocs that will allow you to focus on your research in a great academic environment. (And with excellent food)

www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/the-college/...
Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellowships in Politics - Nuffield College Oxford University
www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk
Engagement-based #algorithms amplify intergroup hostility + moral-emotional content, leading it to be overrepresented in your feed

This leads us to falsely perceive that people want to see this kind of content and share more of it.

This technology fuels false polarization: osf.io/preprints/os...

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland

My article "The Partisan Foundations of Attitudes Towards State Supreme Courts," co-authored with Eugenia Artabe and Lucia Lopez, is now available online at Political Research Quarterly.

doi.org/10.1177/1065...
The Partisan Foundations of Attitudes Towards State Supreme Courts - Eugenia Artabe, Alex Badas, Lucia Lopez, 2025
State supreme courts have become increasingly salient as the U.S. Supreme Court has deferred more politically contentious questions to the states. Yet, despite ...
doi.org
Delighted to announce we are advertising our first academic post in the Centre for Advanced Social Science Methods (CASSM). The position is Associate Professor in Politics, Technology and Computational Social Science and is joint with Politics, the Oxford Internet Institute, and Reuben College 1/n
Job Details
my.corehr.com

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland

Universities showcase the strengths and possible weaknesses of British institutions.

I've written for @newstatesman1913.bsky.social about our latest research, Shared Institutions on universities from @uclpolicylab.bsky.social & @moreincommonuk.bsky.social
www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...
Our universities can save us from America's political division
New research shows Britain is proud of its institutions' ability to foster disagreement
www.newstatesman.com
🚨 EPSS Belfast 2026 Call for Papers - One week to go! 🚨

Don't forget to submit your paper or panel proposal to the European Political Science Society @epssnet.bsky.social 2026 conference - just one week to go before the deadline: epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
Call for Papers | EPSS Belfast 2026 Conference
Submit your abstract or full paper for EPSS Belfast 2026. Share cutting‑edge political science research, network with peers & contribute to academic impact.
epssnet.org
Do legislators write their own email newsletters? How do they determine what content to include?

I had the opportunity to chat with former MEP @richardcorbett.bsky.social and learn from a politician's perspective on communicating with constituents.

adamlozer.github.io/blog/posts/2...
Adam L. Ozer, Ph.D. - A Reporting Back Mechanism: A Chat with Former MEP Richard Corbett About E-Newsletters and Constituent Communications
adamlozer.github.io
A new postdoc position is now available at the Center for European Studies at Harvard for 2026 2027, The Guido Goldman postdoctoral fellowship, named after our center's founder

A great opportunity to work at Harvard for the year. Here is more information:

ces.fas.harvard.edu/opportunitie...
Guido Goldman Fellowship
Guido Goldman, co-founding director of the Minda de Gunzburg Center for European Studies The Minda de Gunzburg Center for European Studies (CES) is…
ces.fas.harvard.edu