Jennifer N. Victor
@jenvictor.bsky.social
Political Scientist at George Mason U. studying US politics, congressional networks, parties, campaign finance, and other broken systems. Cat person, dog owner. Take my class: https://tinyurl.com/bderak89 Read me: https://substack.com/@misofact
No Gallup No Problem
AP-NORC poll | 2/5-2/8
President Trump approval
Disapprove 62% (+3)
Approve 36% (-4)
apnorc.org/projects/abo...
President Trump approval
Disapprove 62% (+3)
Approve 36% (-4)
apnorc.org/projects/abo...
February 12, 2026 at 6:37 PM
No Gallup No Problem
This is beautiful! Incredible data viz and tremendous accounting of what democratic action and accountability looks like. #keepitup
The volume & geographic distribution of protest nationwide during year 1 of Trump's second term was extraordinary.
February 12, 2026 at 6:33 PM
This is beautiful! Incredible data viz and tremendous accounting of what democratic action and accountability looks like. #keepitup
Liberals, democrats, and humanists: prepare for the sensation of being cross-pressured. This act was organized by people who are not well-intentioned and they broke international laws. But it was brave and probably saved countless lives. www.wsj.com/world/middle...
Exclusive | U.S. Smuggled Thousands of Starlink Terminals Into Iran After Protest Crackdown
The Trump administration covertly sent terminals into Iran in an effort to keep dissidents online following Tehran’s stifling of internet access.
www.wsj.com
February 12, 2026 at 4:13 PM
Liberals, democrats, and humanists: prepare for the sensation of being cross-pressured. This act was organized by people who are not well-intentioned and they broke international laws. But it was brave and probably saved countless lives. www.wsj.com/world/middle...
Reposted by Jennifer N. Victor
there are a lot of things that Americans think are important for being a good citizen, engaging in compromise is not one of them ... my latest post with @goodauth.bsky.social
goodauthority.org/news/most-am...
goodauthority.org/news/most-am...
February 11, 2026 at 7:10 PM
there are a lot of things that Americans think are important for being a good citizen, engaging in compromise is not one of them ... my latest post with @goodauth.bsky.social
goodauthority.org/news/most-am...
goodauthority.org/news/most-am...
Reposted by Jennifer N. Victor
The federal judiciary consists of 3 levels with SCOTUS at the top, US Courts of Appeals (~179 judges), US District Courts (~677 judges). But District Cts even w/ Trump appointed judges have been ruling for immigrants in large numbers. Why? Each level of cts has a distinct institutional context. 1/
Judges have mostly rejected the government’s attempt to detain anyone who is black or brown. As of early January (the last time anyone had time to count) 300 judges in 1000s of decisions rejected the government’s arguments. Less than a dozen permit it.
9/
www.politico.com/news/2026/01...
9/
www.politico.com/news/2026/01...
Hundreds of judges reject Trump’s mandatory detention policy, with no end in sight
Judges have ruled against the administration in more than 1,600 cases.
www.politico.com
February 12, 2026 at 11:16 AM
The federal judiciary consists of 3 levels with SCOTUS at the top, US Courts of Appeals (~179 judges), US District Courts (~677 judges). But District Cts even w/ Trump appointed judges have been ruling for immigrants in large numbers. Why? Each level of cts has a distinct institutional context. 1/
Reposted by Jennifer N. Victor
New poll: In 2024, low-engagement voters went for Trump over Harris by 11 percentage points. But now they disapprove of the way he's handling the presidency by 13. They have moved 25 points against Trump — 2x as large as the shift for high-knowledge voters www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trump-lost...
Trump has lost the voters who weren’t paying attention in 2024
The least-engaged Americans have swung 25 points against him since 2024 — about twice the shift among everyone else. Trump has flattened the engagement gap.
www.gelliottmorris.com
February 12, 2026 at 1:01 PM
New poll: In 2024, low-engagement voters went for Trump over Harris by 11 percentage points. But now they disapprove of the way he's handling the presidency by 13. They have moved 25 points against Trump — 2x as large as the shift for high-knowledge voters www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trump-lost...
I’m honestly surprised they haven’t figured out how to payoff of threaten grand juries yet.
www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
D.C. grand jury declines to indict six Democratic lawmakers
Federal prosecutors launched an investigation into the lawmakers after they released a short video advising current military members to reject “illegal orders.”
www.washingtonpost.com
February 12, 2026 at 2:32 PM
I’m honestly surprised they haven’t figured out how to payoff of threaten grand juries yet.
www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
Reposted by Jennifer N. Victor
He got out after 3 months in an ICE gulag.
My electrician is a green card holder who's been here since he was a kid. He got married to a citizen, applied for citizenship, went to court for the papers and when he got there ICE kidnapped him and he's been locked up for a month.
February 11, 2026 at 6:56 PM
He got out after 3 months in an ICE gulag.
Another valuable institution of US democracy falls.
The key vulnerability of Trump's authoritarian turn is his unpopularity. If people don't think, or know, his level of approval, it strengthens his regime and further solidifies the US authoritarian state.
The key vulnerability of Trump's authoritarian turn is his unpopularity. If people don't think, or know, his level of approval, it strengthens his regime and further solidifies the US authoritarian state.
Gallup will no longer measure presidential approval after 88 years thehill.com/homenews/med...
February 11, 2026 at 9:23 PM
Another valuable institution of US democracy falls.
The key vulnerability of Trump's authoritarian turn is his unpopularity. If people don't think, or know, his level of approval, it strengthens his regime and further solidifies the US authoritarian state.
The key vulnerability of Trump's authoritarian turn is his unpopularity. If people don't think, or know, his level of approval, it strengthens his regime and further solidifies the US authoritarian state.
Reposted by Jennifer N. Victor
So grandma, when authoritarianism came, what did the media do?
Well, honey, they framed everything as a battle between two sides, and never actually said one side was undermining the rule of law, damaging institutions, and creating a new Fash Tech Oligarchy™️ that was unaccountable to the people.
Well, honey, they framed everything as a battle between two sides, and never actually said one side was undermining the rule of law, damaging institutions, and creating a new Fash Tech Oligarchy™️ that was unaccountable to the people.
February 11, 2026 at 7:37 PM
So grandma, when authoritarianism came, what did the media do?
Well, honey, they framed everything as a battle between two sides, and never actually said one side was undermining the rule of law, damaging institutions, and creating a new Fash Tech Oligarchy™️ that was unaccountable to the people.
Well, honey, they framed everything as a battle between two sides, and never actually said one side was undermining the rule of law, damaging institutions, and creating a new Fash Tech Oligarchy™️ that was unaccountable to the people.
Reposted by Jennifer N. Victor
They will be warehousing people.
And treating them as objects.
These are concentration camps.
And treating them as objects.
These are concentration camps.
In the last month ICE has bought warehouses in:
- Hagerstown, MD: $102 million
- Surprise, AZ: $70 million
- Hamburg, PA: $87 million
- Tremont, PA: $120 million
- San Antonio, TX: $82 million
- El Paso, TX: $123 million
- Social Circle, GA: price unknown
This is unprecedented.
- Hagerstown, MD: $102 million
- Surprise, AZ: $70 million
- Hamburg, PA: $87 million
- Tremont, PA: $120 million
- San Antonio, TX: $82 million
- El Paso, TX: $123 million
- Social Circle, GA: price unknown
This is unprecedented.
February 10, 2026 at 1:58 AM
They will be warehousing people.
And treating them as objects.
These are concentration camps.
And treating them as objects.
These are concentration camps.
It’s been exactly 40 years since Reagan’s Immigration Reform and Control Act became law. It provided a legal pathway to amnesty and citizenship for millions of undocumented people, punished employers for hiring undocumented people, and strengthened the border. What if we just did that again?
Striking from Marquette poll:
Majorities of non-college grads and even 50% of rural Americans disapprove of ICE handling of enforcement. Majorities of both oppose deporting longtime residents with jobs/no criminal records.
That's data given to me. 2/
newrepublic.com/article/2062...
Majorities of non-college grads and even 50% of rural Americans disapprove of ICE handling of enforcement. Majorities of both oppose deporting longtime residents with jobs/no criminal records.
That's data given to me. 2/
newrepublic.com/article/2062...
February 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM
It’s been exactly 40 years since Reagan’s Immigration Reform and Control Act became law. It provided a legal pathway to amnesty and citizenship for millions of undocumented people, punished employers for hiring undocumented people, and strengthened the border. What if we just did that again?
Reposted by Jennifer N. Victor
*Green card application in process and work permit, married to US citizen
*Lived in US for 20 years, no criminal record
*In detention for five months with no charge, despite judge approving release
*He disputes ICE claim that he signed forms agreeing to deportation
*Lived in US for 20 years, no criminal record
*In detention for five months with no charge, despite judge approving release
*He disputes ICE claim that he signed forms agreeing to deportation
And here is my story: ‘Absolute hell’: Irishman with valid US work permit held by Ice since September
www.irishtimes.com/world/us/202...
www.irishtimes.com/world/us/202...
‘Absolute hell’: Irishman with valid US work permit held by Ice since September
Seamus Culleton has been in a detention facility in Texas for nearly five months despite having no criminal record
www.irishtimes.com
February 9, 2026 at 12:29 PM
*Green card application in process and work permit, married to US citizen
*Lived in US for 20 years, no criminal record
*In detention for five months with no charge, despite judge approving release
*He disputes ICE claim that he signed forms agreeing to deportation
*Lived in US for 20 years, no criminal record
*In detention for five months with no charge, despite judge approving release
*He disputes ICE claim that he signed forms agreeing to deportation
Reposted by Jennifer N. Victor
gift link. so horrifying www.nytimes.com/2026/02/09/u...
February 9, 2026 at 11:16 AM
gift link. so horrifying www.nytimes.com/2026/02/09/u...
🧵
Halftime performance showed how most Latinos love America, even if some parts of America do not love them back.
It showed the reality that Latinos and Spanish are part of America's culture, its history, present & future.
As references to salsa show, this is not a new phenomenon but a good reminder.
It showed the reality that Latinos and Spanish are part of America's culture, its history, present & future.
As references to salsa show, this is not a new phenomenon but a good reminder.
Bad Bunny brought Puerto Rico to the Bay during his Super Bowl LX halftime show on Sunday.
Check out the latest updates from on and off the field at the link in our bio.
@sfchronicle.com
📸: @scottstrazzante @stephenlamphoto.bsky.social
Check out the latest updates from on and off the field at the link in our bio.
@sfchronicle.com
📸: @scottstrazzante @stephenlamphoto.bsky.social
February 9, 2026 at 5:20 AM
🧵
Reposted by Jennifer N. Victor
Puerto Rico hasn't had reliable power in a decade.
The grid sends occasional surges through the wires that fry appliances.
Electricity rates are among the highest in the entire U.S.
Heat waves are getting intense in the summer, and outages mean A/C is no guarantee for an aging population.
The grid sends occasional surges through the wires that fry appliances.
Electricity rates are among the highest in the entire U.S.
Heat waves are getting intense in the summer, and outages mean A/C is no guarantee for an aging population.
February 9, 2026 at 1:49 AM
Puerto Rico hasn't had reliable power in a decade.
The grid sends occasional surges through the wires that fry appliances.
Electricity rates are among the highest in the entire U.S.
Heat waves are getting intense in the summer, and outages mean A/C is no guarantee for an aging population.
The grid sends occasional surges through the wires that fry appliances.
Electricity rates are among the highest in the entire U.S.
Heat waves are getting intense in the summer, and outages mean A/C is no guarantee for an aging population.
Reposted by Jennifer N. Victor
Kind of gives away the whole game that all the crypto ads this year have been replaced with gambling and AI ads.
February 9, 2026 at 1:17 AM
Kind of gives away the whole game that all the crypto ads this year have been replaced with gambling and AI ads.
Reposted by Jennifer N. Victor
Yeah I’m looking for my dog (girlfriend who has a restraining order against me and she has a dog) and here’s the picture of the dog (she walks this dog and I can use it to figure out her schedule) thanks for sending all footage my way
February 9, 2026 at 4:13 AM
Yeah I’m looking for my dog (girlfriend who has a restraining order against me and she has a dog) and here’s the picture of the dog (she walks this dog and I can use it to figure out her schedule) thanks for sending all footage my way
Reposted by Jennifer N. Victor
This kind of smart, walkable, mixed-use urbanism is illegal to build in most American cities.
February 9, 2026 at 3:50 AM
This kind of smart, walkable, mixed-use urbanism is illegal to build in most American cities.
ICYMI, the Super Bowl halftime performer, Bad Bunny, just clarified the meaning of “America.” It is, in fact, not one country.
OK "god bless america" and then naming every country in the americas from south to north is absolute king shit
February 9, 2026 at 1:44 AM
ICYMI, the Super Bowl halftime performer, Bad Bunny, just clarified the meaning of “America.” It is, in fact, not one country.
Reposted by Jennifer N. Victor
My complaint about the ‘abolish vs. reform’ debate among Democrats is that it’s a reaction to what Republicans have done. Criticism is important, but more than anything Dems need to disrupt the terms of debate. Do not cede or accept the agenda; redefine it over issues that reflect democratic values.
February 8, 2026 at 4:00 AM
My complaint about the ‘abolish vs. reform’ debate among Democrats is that it’s a reaction to what Republicans have done. Criticism is important, but more than anything Dems need to disrupt the terms of debate. Do not cede or accept the agenda; redefine it over issues that reflect democratic values.
Campaign finance reform proposal: candidates can only accept contributions from their constituents.
February 8, 2026 at 3:14 AM
Campaign finance reform proposal: candidates can only accept contributions from their constituents.
Reposted by Jennifer N. Victor
So about TrumpRx: We crunched the numbers today and about half of the drugs on there have cheaper generics available already. www.statnews.com/2026/02/06/t...
February 6, 2026 at 11:09 PM
So about TrumpRx: We crunched the numbers today and about half of the drugs on there have cheaper generics available already. www.statnews.com/2026/02/06/t...