Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham

@paulgp.com

17K followers 1.5K following 3.1K posts

Yale SOM professor & Bulls fan. I study consumer finance, and econometrics is a big part of my research identity. He/him/his

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Economics 47%

Mathematics 9%

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Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 2h

Could you describe your counterfactual experiment to me please?

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 2h

European Econ Job market appears to pull from EJM, which has this:

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 2h

I found this buried deep: econjobmarket.org/marketState/...

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 2h

No, there's just no good way to pull that data easily. I'd love to see it.

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 2h

Yeah I agree with this -- I think there are other measurement issues going on simultaneously. Clear platform fragmentation

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 4h

US job defined as "UNITED STATES" in the location field.

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 4h

Hard to read, here's with all and then just 2015, 2020, 2034, 2024 and 2025

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 6h

Yeah, I thought that might be it, although I don't see how I would get that from the data.

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 6h

I’m not sure how Cawley has so many more posts than I do. My numbers come from just the raw counts exported on the AEA JOE website. All of the trends seem very similar, but he has far larger numbers.

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 6h

This is in line with @johncawley.bsky.social recent post: bsky.app/profile/john...

John Cawley @johncawley.bsky.social · 19d

New data on the #EconJobMarket as of Nov 2. Based on total # of job listings on JOE, this year continues to be even weaker (by 11%) than during COVID (2020). 1/many #EconSky

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 6h

Looks like we're in the worst year in since 2015.

Reposted by Ryan Enos, Scott A. Imberman, Todd Pugatch , and 1 more Ryan Enos, Scott A. Imberman, Todd Pugatch, Peter Bergman

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 6h

Update on the state of the job market courtesy of a nudge by @gottliebecon.bsky.social

It's bad!

paulgp.com/2025/11/24/j...

Economics Job Market Update: November 2025 - A Historic Low

paulgp.com

Reposted by Norbert Schwarz, Philip N. Cohen, Jacob Montgomery , and 6 more Norbert Schwarz, Philip N. Cohen, Jacob Montgomery, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Michael D. McDonald, Dana R. Fisher, Josh Pasek, Manisha Sinha, David Darmofal

Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 9h

My @nytimes.com op-ed: The Boomers Are Protesting Trump. Where Is Gen Z? www.nytimes.com/2025/11/24/o... (gift link)

The key point: "The absence of young people from conventional protests is both a problem and a warning."

Opinion | The Boomers Are Protesting Trump. Where Is Gen Z?

www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Michael A. Clemens, Valerie Mueller, Aaron Sojourner , and 4 more Michael A. Clemens, Valerie Mueller, Aaron Sojourner, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Paul Nightingale, David L. Anderson, Ezra Golberstein

Susan Athey @susanathey.bsky.social · 1d

ICYMI: New paper for causal effects with panel data, subsuming other approaches. We generate realistic synthetic data based on commonly studied datasets, showing our method substantially outperforms others and providing insight about what in the data-generating process corresponds to gains.