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Paul Fairie @paulisci.bsky.social · 16h

A Brief History of Men are Becoming Less Manly

🧵

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Jack Jenkins @jackjenkins.me · 14h

Gonna be thinking about this lede for a minute.

(RNS) — Last month, the Rev. David Black stood in front of a Chicago-area U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement facility and spread his arms wide. Adorned in all black and wearing a clerical collar, the pastor looked up at a group of masked, heavily armed ICE agents on the roof and began to pray.

“I invited them to repentance,” Black, a minister in the Presbyterian Church (USA), said in an interview. “I basically offered an altar call. I invited them to come and receive that salvation, and be part of the kingdom that is coming.”

But when Black began to lower his arms a few seconds later, the agents responded to his spiritual plea by firing pepper balls, or chemical agents that cause eye irritation and respiratory distress, video footage shows. One struck Black in the head, exploding into a puff of white pepper smoke and forcing him to his knees. Fellow demonstrators rushed to his aid, and as the pastor rubbed his face in pain, the agents continued to fire.

“We could hear them laughing,” Black said.

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Bill Amend @billamend.bsky.social · 13h

My friend Matt Inman made a great comic about AI…

A cartoonist's review of AI art - The Oatmeal

This is a comic about AI art.

theoatmeal.com

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thebes @vgel.me · 12h

if you're interesting in gaining a better intuition for how llms behave at inference time, you should try logitloom🌱, the open-source tool i made for exploring token trajectory trees (aka looming) on base and instruct models! more info in thread

🌱 vgel.me/logitloom
💻 github.com/vgel/logitloom

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Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 20h

I just don't think of that as counterfactually changing race. It counterfactually changes how the *reader* of the resume perceives race, which is very manipulable.

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Seema Jayachandran @seema.bsky.social · 22h

We just spent 6 months to add 1 figure to this paper. Some people said, "Couples aren't prioritizing men's careers. Men just have better earnings opportunities when moving."

Earnings effects of moves for couples on the left, singles on the right. Negligible gap between single men and women.

Event study coefficients that show that men's earnings rise more than women's among couples following a cross-commuting zone move (left panels). The pattern is muted or reverses among single men and single women (right panels).

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Rafe Meager (they/them) @economeager.bsky.social · 22h

(1) banger
(2) i wish non-economists would realise just how much time each economics paper takes to write (because of our norms about how thorough each paper has to be)

Seema Jayachandran @seema.bsky.social · 22h

We just spent 6 months to add 1 figure to this paper. Some people said, "Couples aren't prioritizing men's careers. Men just have better earnings opportunities when moving."

Earnings effects of moves for couples on the left, singles on the right. Negligible gap between single men and women.

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Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 21h

I don’t love counter factual statements that don’t have a practical manipulation associated with them (eg I think race counter factual is not a reasonable idea à la Holland 2005)

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Standplaats Kraków @standplaatskrk.pl · Oct 31

Gandalf in Bag's End: "Hold out your hand, Frodo, it is quite cool."
Homestar Runner: "'sup"

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Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 1d

Working on writing up a short note (and blog post) trying to explain the distinction between model-based and design-based identification.

Any questions regarding this that are burning for you?

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Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 1d

I was only just barely understanding Sen in college, this would’ve been over my head

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Desiree Weber @desireeweber.bsky.social · 1d

For anyone who wants to keep reading JS Mill on how dudes too used to being god’s gift will resist the call of liberty for others:

www.unlv.edu/sites/defaul...

www.unlv.edu

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Rafe Meager (they/them) @economeager.bsky.social · 1d

wow okay maybe re-reading Mill is the move

Desiree Weber @desireeweber.bsky.social · 1d

In The Subjection of Women, he kind of did?

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Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 1d

Based Mill

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Desiree Weber @desireeweber.bsky.social · 1d

In The Subjection of Women, he kind of did?

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CJ Fogler @cjzero.bsky.social · 1d

A Nick Castellanos double scores two and the Phillies are now down by just one

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Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 1d

You’re absolutely right!

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Aaron Schwartz @aschwartz.bsky.social · 1d

Today's Nobel Prize in Medicine went to the discoverers of regulatory T-cells. How could this discovery about our immune systems change the world?

Here is one possible way: leading to treatments for terrible neurological diseases. (1/3)

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Aki Vehtari @avehtari.bsky.social · 2d

I'm looking for a doctoral student with Bayesian background to work on Bayesian workflow and cross-validation (see my publication list users.aalto.fi/~ave/publica... for my recent work) at Aalto University.

Apply through the ELLIS PhD program (dl October 31) ellis.eu/news/ellis-p...

ELLIS PhD Program: Call for Applications 2025

The ELLIS mission is to create a diverse European network that promotes research excellence and advances breakthroughs in AI, as well as a pan-European PhD program to educate the next generation of AI...

ellis.eu

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Lottie @sellottie.bsky.social · 2d

It’s happened again

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Olivier Simard-Casanova @o.simardcasanova.net · 2d

Less than a month after his nomination, the new French PM has already resigned

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James Fallows @jfallows.bsky.social · 4d

Read this whole thread.

taber @kvetch.gay · 4d

this is wild: while Stephen Miller's guy was in Minnesota for his uncle's funeral, somebody was able to see his entire phone and take pictures of his Signal group chats talking about military deployments to Portland, and brought them to the Strib (gift link: www.startribune.com/trump-offici...)

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Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 4d

Very interesting. Shouldn’t we roughly know from census data the total base of school aged kids in an area?

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Joshua Goodman @joshua-goodman.com · 4d

Thanks for the shoutout, Riley.

Paul - We also have recent work using MI student-level data to show that students who left public schools in Fall 2020 had low return rates if they left for private schools but higher return rates if they left for home school.

drive.google.com/file/d/1ZOFT...

Stickiness of Pandemic-Driven Disenrollment from Public Schools.pdf

drive.google.com

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Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 4d

Oh cool! I’m curious in the US but it’s an interesting question how much substation to private school happened in Mexico too. Do you have a sense of how that looked in Covid?