Andrew the Psycho-Statistician
greatchumpion.bsky.social
Andrew the Psycho-Statistician
@greatchumpion.bsky.social
1.1K followers 550 following 4.1K posts
Cisgender. He/Him. Statistician. Podcaster (sorry) on The Most Important Election of Our Lives: https://the-most-important-election-of-our-lives.castos.com
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I had a dream last night that Deltarune chapter 7 dropped and all my theories on it were completely wrong.

Glad that nightmare is over.
Having grown up in Las Vegas but living in central Illinois is so bitter, Vegas truly was (from a child's perspective) a fantastic place of regular surprises, but it was unaffordable back to where we moved to PA (I've lived in a lot of places), and it's just gotten *so much worse* since then.
who creates the lively art and music scenes if the rent is too high? who makes cultural life? who serves you food or washes your dishes? who creates the fancy little restaurants that draw you to urban living? affordable housing is at the heart of what makes city life worthwhile.
There's got to be a person who loves AOC's politics but hates that she won because if she didn't, Joe Crowley would be in charge now

Gotta be at least one person
The other day you talked about the need to hope against all odds and this is a perfect example why.

The Muslim socialist polling at 1% at the start of the year was the one who denied Andrew Cuomo, who we thought was inevitable at a time, a return to power and turned him into an embarrassing mess.
Reposted by Andrew the Psycho-Statistician
Day 68 of trying to be hired by Andrew Cuomo
I asked "why did Pelosi choose him?" and you said "Because Pelosi chose him, of course"
Reposted by Andrew the Psycho-Statistician
I don't know who this man is but I do know that his wife was out of town for the weekend.
The first time I finally catch a glimpse of my Governor Pritzker in real life and he's dressed up like Fred Flintstone
The entire alphabet from A to Z, according to Pokemon:

A, B, C, D, E, F, V, W, X, Y, Z
I grew up in Las Vegas and I will never see the world the way most people do.
this is the people's ballroom
Reminder that churches usually have NDAs that prevent workers from properly talking about sexual abuse cover ups under the pretext of "gossipping and misusing insider knowledge to spread false rumors"
What was his endgame, there is nobody happy with this.

My timeline is filled with people mad at Jeffries it was last second and people mad at Jeffries for doing it at all, how did this pathetic politician get chosen by Pelosi to be leadership when he's this bad?
They call it the LA Dodgers but it can't dodge your attacks effectively.

Curious.
I am a co-host on that podcast and personally invited Blaha on to win my district to unseat the Democrat there who thinks there are only two genders (before backtracking with a word salad)

I will be passing this on to Dylan.
I want Jeffries's approval in his district to go up because of this, I want him to give a frustrated sign and give into more leftist demands to try to not get primaried (and there is at least one leftist attempt right now down there)
I like Lakshya a little; without him, Dan Osborn would have never gotten the attention he did, and nobody would be thinking about independent candidates running in GOP regions, so Lakshya does some good work

But I use my data analyses to change my mind, not desperately cling onto my beliefs
With respect to Mamdani, he is on track to very handily win New York in a 3-way race, but it's worth pointing out that he's not all that popular in NYC either, relative to partisanship. (In fact, H2H polls with Cuomo are usually within the MoE.) I just don't think he's a model for other Dems.
Mamdani went from 1% in the polls to winning the first and final round in rank choice voting in the manner of months against the former governor the establishment backed, that's fantastic!

We use more than raw numbers and use outside information for data interpretation on the plan forward.
I learned about this the other day and it's hope, Montana has a way to ignore Citizen's United at a state level and it might actually work, the supreme court trying to stop a state's right to define corporations would be messy

Hope for the impossible and sometimes get it

bsky.app/profile/grea...
Montana has a 2026 ballot measure in the works that will sidestep Citizen's United there if passed; Citizen's United is campaign finance law, but it's up to states to define corporate personhood and limitations in the first place.

www.americanprogress.org/article/the-...
Life has bad surprises *and* good surprises; if you let the fact that you can't see how good things can happen stop you, then the good surprises can't happen.

It's exhausting but we MUST hope, keep on going until we see some of the greatest things we thought could never happen but we were wrong.
Hope is active. Doom is inactive. Every time you say “it’s over” you have completely given up and simply handed it all to the fascists.
The dooming on this site is getting out of control. Every time you post anything about politics some rando condescendingly wonders how you can't possibly know that elections are over and all hope is lost. If you've completely lost hope, I'm sorry, but shut the fuck up, OK? You're not helping.
Montana has a 2026 ballot measure in the works that will sidestep Citizen's United there if passed; Citizen's United is campaign finance law, but it's up to states to define corporate personhood and limitations in the first place.

www.americanprogress.org/article/the-...
Montana is the key

Citizen's United is campaign finance law, but Montana realized that defining what a corporation is and what personhood benefits it gets has always been... A state's right to control business, a messier topic

There's a 2026 ballot measure to sidestep Citizen's United in the state
She's DC's rep who can do anything *except* the final vote

When Jan 6th happened we needed somebody up there screaming their lungs out for DC statehood so that DC government controls their National Guard and there could never be another Jan 6th again, this is just sad.