Author | Lightnews

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 48m

SSHWS is before the fact, EF is after. The clear difference is duration. Both are interpreting impact, one as a potential, the other an after the fact analysis. Do the scales use differing thresholds due to a difference in duration?

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1h

EF is estimating wind speed after the fact (and may miss higher winds that missed infrastructure). SSHWS is based upon satellite and reconnaissance before and up to a land fall! I certainly defer to your understanding, given your expertise in this topic!

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1h

Purpose seems similar in that EF is relating damage indicators to likely wind speed while SSHWS is relating estimated wind speed from satellite and reconnaissance to degree of infrastructure damage. Duration of wind from SSHWS certainly would be different! Both are ultimately wind speed vs impact.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 6h

Curious to me is that both the Saffir-Simpson and tornadic EF scale which estimates the wind speed that would be required to produce observed damage are 1 to 5 category scales, but are not in agreement with wind threshold.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 7h

Cat 5 winds at catastrophic should be sufficient messaging to raise alarm bells. Impact does not get worse than catastrophic. Same with tornado…how does it get worse than all that was left was the foundation slab. There are so many other dangers that Saffir Simpson does not address to folks.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 7h

Saturday 9:42 am: Much less visibility given to this report written by top climate research scientists than to Bill Gates 17 page statement, both of which came out within a day or so of each other:

Prof William Ripple @williamripple.bsky.social · 19h

In our new report, based on the data, we suggest that we are hurtling toward climate chaos if trends continue. Thanks are due to my coauthors @michaelemann.bsky.social @petergleick.bsky.social and others. You decide if you agree by reading the paper for yourself here: doi.org/10.1093/bios...

The 2025 state of the climate report: a planet on the brink

We are hurtling toward climate chaos. The planet's vital signs are flashing red. The consequences of human-driven alterations of the climate are no longer

doi.org

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 8h

Saturday 9:10 am: Warm today, plenty of sunshine, low/mid 80’s. Only a marginal amount of moisture available as the cold front in central Texas moves through our area, shower not impossible this evening, but almost all will be east and south of us. Mid 50’s dawn, 70’s Sunday pm.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 23h

Friday 6:25 pm: Big Picture Weathermap: Somewhat more humid gulf air will arrive by dawn, some low cloud possible, altocumulus higher up. Mid/high 80’s pm, slight evening shower chance from marginally moist air as panhandle front/upper level disturbance tracks through area.

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

Great share!

Don [email protected] @donpaulweather.bsky.social · 1d

How Johnny Carson Stopped Me from Ruining Our Careers
donpaulweatherpluspaul.substack.com/publish/post...

donpaulweatherpluspaul.substack.com

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

This tape was played at the introduction to the AMS Broadcast Meteorology Conference in Portland, OR in 2009. I was on the floor, laughing. The reporter and photographer did a great job with this!

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

As usual, exceptional coverage of where we are at with forecasting, observations, NWP model advancements in our reduced staffing at NOAA and it’s labs:

Alan Gerard @wxmanms1.bsky.social · 1d

Now that #Melissa is behind us as a tropical system, we need to have an honest conversation about how the federal weather enterprise is still running because of volunteers & unpaid employees, and how this "shutdown" is not really a shutdown.
https://tinyurl.com/2wk36686

Federal weather enterprise rises to the occasion again with Melissa - thanks to volunteers and unpaid employees

When a federal government "shutdown" is not really a shutdown. And also looking at the continued longer term impacts of ongoing and threatened budget cuts.

tinyurl.com

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

I would posit that it was not convincingly conceived by climate change, but that the RI was related to record anomalous deep top layer of ocean warmth available to track over in the Caribbean. Attribution of a warming climate to more access to oceanic heat/low shear will be a fascinating study.

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

I want one!

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

Friday 12:13 pm: Fronts have pretty much caught up and transitioned Melissa into an extratropical storm. Pronounced lifting with surface low over New England is bringing a lot of moisture associated with Melissa into and in advance of it.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

Ironic that her statement was made on a “reality“ show.

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

Fascinating to read of the engineering that is involved in this project. Lots of thought from idea to experimental design and testing.

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

Deep Mind has certainly been impressive across the season.

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

Friday 7:52 am: The coolest air has moved to our east. Bright sunshine, low humidity, warmer low 80’s this afternoon.

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

Friday 12:05 am: Melissa is now moving northeast, now moving further from Bermuda. Barometer is rising, winds veering from SSE to S to SSW.

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

Thursday 11:11 pm: Winds are 49 mph gusting to 69 mph at 11 pm CDT/04 UTC. The wind field of Hurricane Melissa has expanded quite a bit as it loses it’s tropical characteristics. The storm at 10 pm CDT was 160 miles WNW of Bermuda. Wind field jives with NHC statement.

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

Return of the westerlies to south Texas latitudes as the summertime subtropical mid/upper level high drifts south of our latitude effectively ends hurricane season in south Texas by October 1. I’m wondering if a warming climate will delay the southward retreat of the high, and extend our season.

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

This evening re CBS news climate reporters: www.climatecoloredgoggles.com/p/cbs-news-g...

CBS News just gutted its climate team

Paramount and Bari Weiss aren't off to a great start. Here's why David Ellison should change course.

www.climatecoloredgoggles.com

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Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 1d

Low lying ground, even in the Lower Valley reached the 30’s this dawn. While the Laredo Airport had a low of 43, gently sloping land allowed heavy dense cooler air to drain down slope through the TAMIU thermometer location with a low of 37!

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 2d

Thursday 3:49 pm: Big Picture Weathermap: Our cool dry airmass will bring clear skies, high 40’s at dawn. The cool airmass will move to our east with a return of winds from the south, low humidity, low/mid 80’s pm.

Richard Heatwave Berler @heatwavekgns.bsky.social · 2d

This:

Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 2d

The great irony of all of this? Most of these climate change impacts will be borne, most immediately and acutely, by poorer nations in the Global South--precisely those on whose behalf the memo authors are ostensibly advocating. That's why this memo makes me viscerally uncomfortable. [13/n]