Stephen Kirchner
@insteconomics.bsky.social
910 followers 1.9K following 510 posts
Economist in Sydney, Australia. Personal account, usual disclaimers. If you like my short form content, you will just love my long form newsletter: https://stephenkirchner.substack.com/
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Reposted by Stephen Kirchner
iikkakorhonen.bsky.social
”..trade war is suddenly hotter than it’s been since Mr. Trump’s infamous Liberation Day announcement in April. Mr. Trump retreated from those border taxes after markets staged a meltdown, and investors have thought the worst was over. Maybe not.”
🇺🇸🇨🇳
www.wsj.com/opinion/trad...
Opinion | Trade Wars Aren’t Easy, China Edition
Beijing plays its rare-earth minerals card, Trump responds with a new tariff threat, and markets take a header.
www.wsj.com
Reposted by Stephen Kirchner
strategic-cities.com
When the only young people at the public consultation are in the wall painting…
Reposted by Stephen Kirchner
billkristolbulwark.bsky.social
“Catherine Rampell is joining The Bulwark, where she will write a weekly economics and policy-focused newsletter while contributing to the company’s podcasts and YouTube channels.

‘Catherine is one of the best…We’re beyond thrilled she’s decided to join us.’”

www.semafor.com/article/10/0...
Washington Post economics columnist moves to The Bulwark
Catherine Rampell will write a weekly economics and policy-focused newsletter for the anti-Trump media brand.
www.semafor.com
Reposted by Stephen Kirchner
katie0martin.ft.com
more than a whiff of self-censorship in markets at the moment. No-one wants to call BS on, ya know, everything, for fear of angering the president

on.ft.com/4pRyTHp
Reposted by Stephen Kirchner
mnolangray.bsky.social
Happy to be celebrating the life and work of Professor Donald Shoup today at UCLA. In addition to transforming the way we think about parking, he was a great man and a generous mentor!
Reposted by Stephen Kirchner
sharonk.bsky.social
this is Heritage's former DPRK guy
Bruce Klingner RTing post about Trump replacing Biden's photo on the Walk of Fame
Reposted by Stephen Kirchner
sensehofstede.nl
China and Malaysia governments in talks for rare earths refinery project, sources say – Reuters: ‘Beijing is ready to swap its technology for access to Malaysia’s untapped rare earths reserves, seeking to limit competition from Australian rival Lynas Rare Earths’
Exclusive: China, Malaysia in talks for rare earths refinery project, sources say
China and Malaysia are in early talks for a project to process rare earths, with sovereign wealth fund Khazanah Nasional likely to partner with a Chinese state-owned firm to build a refinery in the Southeast Asian nation, people familiar with the matter said.
www.reuters.com
Reposted by Stephen Kirchner
brendannyhan.bsky.social
The director of foreign and defense policy studies at the American Enterprise Institute: "Their words should leave no doubt in anyone’s mind that the civilian leadership intends to use the threat and actuality of violence to infringe on Americans’ constitutional rights."
robertscotthorton.bsky.social
Kori Schake: “Yesterday morning, Trump and Hegseth behaved reprehensibly. Their speeches…were tantamount to incitement—a genuinely dangerous effort to suborn the military’s oath and condition them for using violence against their fellow Americans.” foreignpolicy.com/2025/10/01/t...
Trump’s Speech to Generals Was Incitement to Violence Against Americans
Military leaders’ quiet professionalism offers hope amid a maelstrom.
foreignpolicy.com
Reposted by Stephen Kirchner
andycraig.bsky.social
I don't understand how you could make a whole movie like this without anybody involved even skimming a couple of wikipedia articles about how any of this stuff works.
dtc94133.bsky.social
Well, I suppose it can't be any worse than Annie Jacobsen's POS book. At least they got the Black Book right.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=_wpw...
A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE | Official Trailer | Netflix
YouTube video by Netflix
www.youtube.com
Reposted by Stephen Kirchner
louismirante.bsky.social
I have known about this plaque in Sacramento for nearly ten years, but every time I visit it I’m staggered in disbelief
Reposted by Stephen Kirchner
kylegriffin1.bsky.social
Breaking WaPo:

Military leaders have raised serious concerns with the Trump admin's new defense strategy — exposing a divide between the Pentagon's political and uniformed leadership.

The critiques from multiple top officers, including the chairman of the Joint Chiefs.
Military leaders voice concern over Hegseth’s new Pentagon strategy
Top military officials have voiced concern over the Trump administration’s forthcoming defense strategy, exposing a divide between the Pentagon’s political and uniformed leadership.
www.washingtonpost.com
Reposted by Stephen Kirchner
patsobkowski.com
There’s no way they’re going to prevent Trump from firing Lisa Cook.
Reposted by Stephen Kirchner
howardfmaclean.bsky.social
@jonobri.com hits the grey elephant in the new city debate - that the vast majority of regional towns and small cities are determined to avoid growing any larger than they currently are.
jonobri.com
No, Australia does not need new cities.

My new essay sets the record straight: we have a lot of cities, but we aren’t using them as well as we could be. To make our cities more successful, we have to open up a lot more land for commercial uses to enable agglomeration.
Reposted by Stephen Kirchner
andrew.donnellan.id.au
As a proud Canberran, and being regional New South Welsh by birth, I agree with this.

It's taken a century to build Canberra - a city built to solve a specific problem, not for housing - into a real city. Let's not repeat that.

We need to interrogate the mindset of large towns versus small cities.
jonobri.com
No, Australia does not need new cities.

My new essay sets the record straight: we have a lot of cities, but we aren’t using them as well as we could be. To make our cities more successful, we have to open up a lot more land for commercial uses to enable agglomeration.
Reposted by Stephen Kirchner
insteconomics.bsky.social
2026 is another "fire horse" year. Leo Lewis speculates on the implications for Japanese fertility: www.ft.com/content/ffa1...

There were big dips in births in the previous "fire horse" years of 1906 and 1966, but also some recuperation in the period immediately following.
Reposted by Stephen Kirchner
insteconomics.bsky.social
2026 is another "fire horse" year. Leo Lewis speculates on the implications for Japanese fertility: www.ft.com/content/ffa1...

There were big dips in births in the previous "fire horse" years of 1906 and 1966, but also some recuperation in the period immediately following.
Reposted by Stephen Kirchner
shannonmonaghan.bsky.social
Great interview: "Taken together, the events of the last three and a half years demonstrate that this war was not precipitated by geopolitical wrangling between Russia and the West. Rather, it was driven by Russia’s ongoing goal to destroy Ukraine’s sovereignty and independence."
popovaprof.bsky.social
My wide-ranging interview about the Russo-Ukrainian war for the Forum for Ukrainian Studies. One take-away: "The only reason there is an inkling of hope that the international world order will survive this enormous challenge is because Ukraine is resisting."
ukrainian-studies.ca/2025/09/23/i...
ukrainian-studies.ca
Reposted by Stephen Kirchner
noahmckbraun.bsky.social
I understand why students don’t love spending a semester drawing supply and demand curves, but this is why we make people students spend a semester drawing supply and demand curves
jakemgrumbach.bsky.social
Building more housing reduces housing costs and is good. But one reason this isn’t the basis for a massive political movement is that most people think building more housing actually raises prices. You might even say building more housing isn’t very Popular
• TAVERN
RESEARCH
24. Do you believe that increasing the number of homes in your community will lower prices or raise prices?

All

Gender
Party


Race/Ethnicity
Education
Male
Female
D
R
I
White

Hispanic Black Asian/Other

College
Non-college

n2121
n964
n1157
n682
n760
n679
n1437
n152
n364
n168
n659
n1462
Lower prices a lot
5%
6%
4%
5%
6%
5%
6%
4%
4%
6%
5%
6%
Lower prices slightly
19%
22%
17%
17%
20%
21%
20%
18%
13%
26%
24%
16%
Raise prices slightly
28%
33%
24%
31%
31%
22%
28%
27%
39%
22%
30%
27%
Raise prices a lot
16%
14%
17%
13%
15%
20%
14%
19%
17%
22%
14%
17%
Not sure
32%
25%
38%
34%
28%
32%
33%
33%
27%
24%
27%
35%
Total Lower prices
24%
28%
21%
22%
26%
26%
25%
21%
17%
32%
29%
22%
Total Raise prices
44%
47%
41%
414%
46%
42%
42%
45%
56%
45%
44%
44%
Net Total Lower prices
-20%
-20%
-19%
-22%
-20%
-16%
-17%
-24%
-39%
-13%
-15%
-22%
Reposted by Stephen Kirchner
insteconomics.bsky.social
US Treasury Secretary Bessent considers "large and forceful" intervention options for Argentina that “may include, but are not limited to, swap lines, direct currency purchases and purchases of US dollar-denominated government debt from Treasury’s Exchange Stabilisation Fund.” on.ft.com/4nHVRz2
US offers financial lifeline to Argentina’s Javier Milei
Scott Bessent says ‘all options’ are on the table to support the country through period of market volatility
on.ft.com
insteconomics.bsky.social
US Treasury Secretary Bessent considers "large and forceful" intervention options for Argentina that “may include, but are not limited to, swap lines, direct currency purchases and purchases of US dollar-denominated government debt from Treasury’s Exchange Stabilisation Fund.” on.ft.com/4nHVRz2
US offers financial lifeline to Argentina’s Javier Milei
Scott Bessent says ‘all options’ are on the table to support the country through period of market volatility
on.ft.com