Jasmin Mujanović
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jasminmuj.bsky.social
Jasmin Mujanović
@jasminmuj.bsky.social
Political Scientist, PhD. Author of "Hunger and Fury: The Crisis of Democracy in the Balkans" (2018) and "The Bosniaks: Nationhood After Genocide" (2023), both available via Hurst and OUP.

📍 LAX via SJJ.

🌐 www.jasminmujanovic.com
Pinned
I am going to assume that the vast majority of people following me on this app likely already know my work but on the off chance that you don’t: I write about the Balkans and international relations, democratization and authoritarianism. I try to stay in my lane beyond that. Cheers!
“While Joe Flynn seeks a contract for a pipeline to curb demand for Russian energy, Michael Flynn has recently taken up the cause of Milorad Dodik…one of Putin’s noisiest allies in Europe.” www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...
Trump-linked figures lead talks on $200m European pipeline contract
Exclusive: Jesse Binnall and Joe Flynn, who campaigned to overturn 2020 election, seek to win Bosnia deal for little-known US firm
www.theguardian.com
January 16, 2026 at 6:28 AM
A long chat with "Analitika" about why I think neither Montenegro, nor any of the other Western Balkan states, have a realistic path towards EU membership in the next decade despite the chatter in Brussels. That and other "fun" topics. www.portalanalitika.me/clanak/mujan...
Mujanović: Srpsko-nacionalistički elementi stvarno lice ove vlasti, ne vidim scenario u kojem svih 27 članica EU kaže 'da' Crnoj Gori
Šta ako se političke okolnosti na evropskom kontinentu i unutar EU ne promijene na način na koji bismo željeli, kako bi omogućile dodatno pristupanje, ne samo C
www.portalanalitika.me
January 14, 2026 at 5:01 AM
Has Madrid at long last decided to stop carrying water for Kremlin ally Vucic? "Spain...[may] finally allow the commission to give an assessment so long as the process doesn't force member states to immediately tackle the issue of Kosovar statehood." www.rferl.org/a/jozwiak-eu...
As The EU Eases Sanctions On Pristina, What's Next For Kosovo?
The European Union says it will start this month to lift sanctions first imposed on Kosovo in the summer of 2023 when Pristina implemented the results of controversial elections in the Serb-dominated ...
www.rferl.org
January 13, 2026 at 8:04 PM
The US is tapping AAFS Infrastructure and Energy LLC to construct a major energy pipeline in Bosnia, a firm headed by Joseph Flynn and Jesse Binnall.

Joseph Flynn is the brother of Michael Flynn, Pres. Trump's former security adviser, who we learned in December...
January 12, 2026 at 3:42 PM
A longer comment of mine from the Bad Site on the bizarre historical and legal fictions which inform the "January 9" genocide triumphalist "holiday" in BiH's RS entity.
January 10, 2026 at 6:46 PM
This year's January 9 paramilitary march by the Kremlin-backed Bosnian Serb secessionist regime in Banja Luka, glorifying the onset of the Bosnian Genocide, was noteworthy for two reasons:

1. Despite the US decision to lift sanctions against Dodik and his regime late last year...
January 9, 2026 at 8:15 PM
Croatia’s President Milanovic - a former social democrat who re-aligned with Russia but also Croatia’s powerful far-right - urges the US to abandon any pursuit of Greenland and instead explore acquiring the Svalbard archipelago from Norway. www.klix.ba/vijesti/regi...
Milanović: Grenland je beskoristan, ne znam je li Trumpova administracija na karti vidjela Svalbard
Hrvatski predsjednik Zoran Milanović večeras je odgovarao na pitanja medija uoči svečane akademije "Večer međimurskog identiteta", a jedna od onih zanimljivih o...
www.klix.ba
January 9, 2026 at 7:47 PM
A blessed Christmas to all of my Orthodox friends and family observing the holiday. May it be a time of renewal and healing for you and yours, and an occasion to recommit yourself to the Gospel’s invocation to be merciful, above all to the most vulnerable. Mir Božji! ✨
January 7, 2026 at 1:03 AM
Current events are conspiring to make explaining the dissolution of Yugoslavia easier and easier.
January 7, 2026 at 12:14 AM
Our current rate of consumption is unsustainable. It’s critical that steps be taken to preserve our nation’s strategic hot take reserves.
January 5, 2026 at 7:49 PM
This has held up well, I believe.

My December 12, 2025 essay for Odgovor.ba on Europe’s self-imposed geopolitical irrelevance, generally and in the Western Balkans specifically. odgovor.ba/article/6559
January 4, 2026 at 3:05 PM
A retrospective on 2025, taking the long view of BiH's political trajectory: "BiH may be a weak state, but it is not a weakening state. The HDZ BiH and SNSD are both strong parties, but their electoral strength is declining." My latest for Odgovor.ba odgovor.ba/article/7749/
The Diminishing Returns of Ethnic Maximalism in Bosnia
The past year has been marked by several significant developments in BiH and the Western Balkans, none perhaps more consequential than the removal from office of longtime Serb secessionist Milorad Dod...
odgovor.ba
January 3, 2026 at 1:58 PM
On 1/1, Cyprus assumed the Presidency of the Council of the EU. That is your reminder that Cyprus is a member of the EU, and that the island remains divided. If the capitals wanted to, they could admit other "problem" states like BiH, Kosovo et al to the bloc tomorrow.

They don't want to, though.
January 2, 2026 at 1:48 PM
I am increasingly convinced that the great(est) political crisis of our time is the near complete decoupling of ideology from material reality. It is the defining feature of government policy not just on both sides of the Atlantic but, arguably, across Eurasia.

With few exceptions...
January 1, 2026 at 3:53 PM
BiH’s elections authority has called new elections on Feb 8, 2026 in the RS entity to name secessionist Dodik’s successor as entity president, after the first attempt was marred by mass irregularities and fraud on behalf of Dodk’s ruling SNSD regime. odgovor.ba/article/7709/
CIK BiH odlučio: Ponovljeni izbori u RS zakazani za 8. februar
Ponovljeni izbori za predsjednika bh. entiteta Republika Srpska na 136 biračkih mjesta bit će održani u nedjelju, 8. februara 2026. godine, odlučila je Centralna izborna komisija Bosne i Hercegovine n...
odgovor.ba
December 31, 2025 at 2:01 PM
Easily the largest portrait of a Montenegrin I’ve ever seen.
December 30, 2025 at 4:39 AM
Russia has given state honors to the Minister of the Interior of BiH's RS entity, a nod to the secessionist Banja Luka regime's ongoing clandestine support for the rat lines shuttling Serb volunteers to Russia's occupation forces in Ukraine. www.klix.ba/vijesti/bih/...
Ministar policije RS-a Željko Budimir dobio odlikovanje od Putina: "Radit ću na jačanju veza Srba i Rusa"
Ambasador Ruske Federacije u BiH Igor Kalabuhov uručio je danas u Banjaluci visoko državno odlikovanje Rusije Medalju "Puškin" ministru unutrašnjih poslova Repu...
www.klix.ba
December 26, 2025 at 2:42 PM
Scripture reiterates the same message, time and again. As Zechariah 7:10 says: “oppress not the widow, nor the fatherless, the stranger, nor the poor; and let none of you imagine evil against his brother in your heart.”

Merry Christmas, and peace - blessed peace - to all. ✨
December 24, 2025 at 9:56 PM
BiH’s elections authority has thrown out the results of another 136 polling stations from the recent special elections in the RS entity, due to evidence of mass fraud by the Russian-aligned secessionist govt in Banja Luka, (another) re-run now on deck. Huge blow to Dodik. www.klix.ba/vijesti/bih/...
CIK odlučio ponoviti prijevremene izbore u RS-u na 136 birališta u 17 općina: Moguć je i preokret
Centralna izborna komisija Bosne i Hercegovine je odlučivala danas o poništavanju prijevremenih izbora za predsjednika Republike Srpske u 17 izbornih jedinica n...
www.klix.ba
December 24, 2025 at 2:35 PM
Troubling new reporting on the effort of the Kremlin-backed Bosnian Serb secessionist regime in Banja Luka to secure the lifting of UK sanctions, after the US already lifted its own measures following a multimillion dollar lobbying campaign by Dodik’s proxies in Washington.
Remember Starmer's "urgent" review into foreign interference after Nathan Gill?

Well, there's already two ex-UK ambassadors working in Westminster on behalf of a pro-Russian foreign government whose de facto leader is under UK sanctions...

New on D4S: democracyforsale.substack.com/p/ex-uk-amba...
Ex-UK ambassadors are lobbyists for sanctioned pro-Russia genocide deniers
Labour MP calls for rules to be tightened after Democracy for Sale finds former diplomats paid to lobby for Republika Srpska
democracyforsale.substack.com
December 24, 2025 at 2:18 PM
EIB suspends funding to FBiH highway authority after EPPO opened an investigation into fraud by three senior members of the public firm. It’s a major scandal for the Troika-HDZ coalition seeking re-election in 2026 and their purported “reform” agenda. www.klix.ba/biznis/privr...
Evropska investicijska banka obustavila finansiranje Autocesta FBiH: Dobili smo i zvanični odgovor o razlozima
Evropska investicijska banka (EIB) je obustavila finansiranje Autocestama Federacije Bosne i Hercegovine, a riječ je o kreditu koji je bio namijenjen za izgradn...
www.klix.ba
December 22, 2025 at 1:28 PM
“Keir Starmer’s raid on overseas aid has led to a 40% cut in funds for countering Russian aggression and misinformation in a region of Europe described by the prime minister as vital to the UK’s national security.” www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
UK aid cuts take 40% from funds to counter Russian threat in western Balkans
Funding to tackle misinformation and cyber-attacks, and boost democracy, cut from £40m to £24m
www.theguardian.com
December 20, 2025 at 6:29 PM
We are told the same EU and the same capitals which have consistently been unable to act with singular purpose in the face of Russia’s aggression in Ukraine will, however, soon be ready to (i.e. by 2030) take in new member states from the Western Balkans.

It’s not happening, folks.
December 19, 2025 at 3:29 AM
This @helsinkicomm.bsky.social hearing on the status of BiH’s Dayton Agreement is the most informed regional discussion we have heard in Congress in yrs. The testimonies of Amb. Williamson & Dr. Williams especially timely. Kudos to Sen. Wicker et al for organizing. www.csce.gov/hearings/hea...
Bosnia and Herzegovina at a Crossroads: Thirty Years After Dayton - CSCE
Thirty years ago this month the United States brokered the Dayton Peace Accords that ended the Bosnian War and brought peace to Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH).  BiH now sits at […]
www.csce.gov
December 18, 2025 at 9:07 PM
Peter Galbraith: "And it was not just Serbia’s Slobodan Milosevic that I worried about. There were plenty of people in Croatia who had territorial ambitions in Bosnia and even – more fancifully – parts of the Serbian Vojvodina." www.thenationalnews.com/opinion/comm...
As the Dayton Agreement turns 30, it holds an important lesson for Ukraine | The National
US took a firm line against any changes in borders as part of a deal to end the Bosnian War – and for a very good reason
www.thenationalnews.com
December 18, 2025 at 8:28 PM