Future atmospheric and ocean warming over the 21st century might be larger than previously expected based on a new study by @linusvogt.bsky.social

Linus & I developed the idea during Linus research visit with me at @whoi.edu and turned it then into this paper:

esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/...

🚨🌊 New highlight paper out today in Earth System Dynamics!

We find an observational constraint implying more future global ocean heat uptake, cloud feedback, and warming than the CMIP6 mean.

This contrasts with previous estimates based on past warming trends.

🔗 esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/...

Check out this very nice piece of work led by @linusvogt.bsky.social that untangles the processes controlling the efficiency of the world's ocean to capture climate change heat!

Maybe this @johncullenocean.bsky.social et al. piece where they said — "adding iron to the ocean is not an effective way to fight climate change, and we don't need further research to establish that" — wasn't straightforward enough because this idea just won't die. 🤷🏻‍♂️

www.nature.com/articles/461...

🌊 The N.Atlantic has been experiencing extreme T°C in 2023. This situation raises a number of questions: Have we missed something? Do climate models allow us to understand such an event, or have we entered a new climate regime?
We attempted to answer these questions in this study:
rdcu.be/eh0e8
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Problem is that some colleagues have been so loud in press releases and in open letters saying amoc will collapse and ipcc underestimate the risk, that when you say it will 'only' decline and unlikely collapse (state of our knowledge) sceptics think that there is no pb...

Bonjour,

Connaissez-vous le réseau de profileurs Argo?

C'est une clé de voûte de l'observation de l'océan.

www.argo-france.fr/Argo-France/...

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We are at the end of the melt season in the #Antarctic (austral summer), which leaves most of the remaining sea ice across the Weddell Sea region. Here's a look at last month...

+ February ice comparison on my LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/feed/update/...
+ Data available at nsidc.org/data/g02202/...

Hi - I'd like to share this story of what is happening at NOAA GFDL, where some of my colleagues and I worked until the mass firings at NOAA last week.

"...the birthplace of weather and climate forecasting"

Scientists & experts: Add your name to this open letter calling on Congress and the Trump administration to ensure that NOAA and its sub-agencies remain fully funded and staffed, and that the independent, trusted science the agency produces is protected. act.ucsusa.org/4kajJuk

🌊 🚨 Postdoc position alert 🚨 🌊

Optimizing Southern Ocean Carbon Sink Observations Using Autonomous Floats ( @bgc-argo.bsky.social )

Supervisors: JB Sallée ; Collaboration: H. Claustre ; P. Landschutzer ; E. McDonagh

Location: IPSL (LOCEAN), Paris, Fr

emploi.cnrs.fr/Offres/CDD/U...

🌊 🚨 Postdoc position alert 🚨 🌊

The Future Evolution of Global Ocean Overturning Cells at Different Global Warming Levels (2 years)

Deadline for application: 1 April 2025
Supervisors: Jean-Baptiste Sallée, Roland Séférian
Location: CNRM, Toulouse, France

More info: docs.google.com/document/d/1...

10 Stefan mentions in his blog that our study “does not change the assessment of the risk and impact of future AMOC changes in response to global warming”. After discussing this further, he confirmed that his view aligns with the IPCC’s medium confidence that the AMOC will not collapse before 2100.

Merci Tamara et Aude @audevalade.bsky.social pour vos efforts très appréciés !
www.lemonde.fr/sciences/art...

Same for us 🥹 ... Two not popping up

Awesome! Have you tried to fish it?

@glenpeters.bsky.social makes an important point here.

I often ready in 🌊 #mCDR papers: IPCC says we need #CDR to achieve our climate targets, as all scenarios that reach these goals include a certain level of CDR.

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Has the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) weakened over the last decades? In our new study, we combine state-of-the-art CMIP6 models and observation-based estimates of the air-sea heat flux in the North Atlantic to show that the AMOC has not declined since the 1960s! 🌊

What does the future hold for the Filchner-Ronne Ice Shelf?

@jbsallee.bsky.social, @elindarelius.bsky.social, & colleagues investigate in new #AGUPubs research.

eos.org/research-spo...

@oceanrics.bsky.social kicking off TRICUSO today
@noc.ac.uk, a new project that will develop technology & methods to address the #Carbon Sink Status of the #Southern #Ocean. Follow us for more information. #science #citizenscience @imocaglobeseries.bsky.social

Here is another #Bluesky starter pack with scientists who were involved in the @ipcc.bsky.social #AR6 reports (with a likely WGI bias). Please let me know if I missed you!
go.bsky.app/Erpq9Sq
@valmasdel.bsky.social @edhawkins.org @glenpeters.bsky.social @lisaschipper.bsky.social

A visual illustration of the case for geological net zero.