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joebhilton.bsky.social
Joe Hilton
@joebhilton.bsky.social
160 followers 180 following 20 posts
Research fellow at the Manchester Centre for Health Economics

https://jbhilton.github.io/
https://research.manchester.ac.uk/en/persons/joseph-hilton
Posts Replies Media Videos
joebhilton.bsky.social
If anyone's teaching an intro to probability course and needs a good example of something non-Markovian, I bought a pack of clothes pegs in 2020 and half of them have spontaneously exploded within the past month.
November 12, 2025 at 10:10 PM
Reposted by Joe Hilton
edmhill.bsky.social
1/ @juniper-network.bsky.social runs a seminar series Wednesday 14:00-15:00 (UK time) during academic term-time

🎤 Talks on interdisciplinary topics related to interface between modelling, infectious disease control & public policy

🔗 maths.org/juniper/semi...

🧵 summary of talks from Sep/Oct 2025
Seminars | Juniper
We run a virtual weekly seminar series on a Wednesday 14:00-15:00 (UK time) during academic term-time. The aim of the seminars is to provide an informal environment for researchers working at the inte...
maths.org
October 29, 2025 at 4:51 PM
Reposted by Joe Hilton
juniper-network.bsky.social
Opportunity for UK based PhD students to spend 3 months in the Infectious Disease modelling team at UKHSA. It's a great chance to see how modelling is used in public health decision making. If your interested see below for more details:
gateway.newton.ac.uk/media/news/u...
UKHSA PhD Student Internships - Newton Gateway to Mathematics
gateway.newton.ac.uk
October 20, 2025 at 10:18 AM
Reposted by Joe Hilton
edmhill.bsky.social
1/ Congrats to first 3️⃣ awardees of a new JUNIPER fellowship scheme supporting early career researchers (ECRs) 🧪 #IDsky

JUNIPER fellowship scheme aims:

▶️ Support ECR epidemic modellers to develop leadership skills

▶️ Grow their research network as they transition to becoming independent researchers
October 10, 2025 at 5:07 PM
Reposted by Joe Hilton
jessicabridgen.bsky.social
A PhD opportunity to work on real-time modelling and calibration methods with me and Chris Jewell at Lancaster University iddjobs.org/jobs/real-ti...
IDDjobs — Real-time Modelling for Infection Control. PhD in Mathematical AI. — Lancaster University
Find infectious disease dynamics modelling jobs, studentships, and fellowships.
iddjobs.org
October 10, 2025 at 7:58 AM
Reposted by Joe Hilton
juniper-network.bsky.social
We're really excited to announce the first awardees of the new JUNIPER fellowship scheme focused on supporting ECRS: @kathsherratt.bsky.social @joebhilton.bsky.social & @emiliefinch.bsky.social . Find out more about our new fellows here: maths.org/juniper/arti...
JUNIPER welcomes first awardees of new fellowship scheme focused on supporting early career researchers | Juniper
Three promising early career researchers from the JUNIPER partnership have been awarded fellowships as part of a new scheme recognising their role in our network and their potential to make a signific...
maths.org
October 9, 2025 at 9:53 AM
Reposted by Joe Hilton
waiterich.bsky.social
Brassica oleracea / Brassica oleracea / Brassica oleracea
Three dudes dressed three very different ways - first in a more conservative suit and tie, second in a short sleeve shirt and hat, third in a pink vest and tie
October 7, 2025 at 12:53 AM
Reposted by Joe Hilton
When thinking about causal inference, mechanistic or process models are important. I think that the association of “causal” with black-box models leads to lots of problems.
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/09/19/w...
When thinking about causal inference, mechanistic or process models are important. I think that the association of “causal” with black-box models leads to lots of problems. | Statistical Modeling, C...
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
September 19, 2025 at 7:37 PM
Reposted by Joe Hilton
baylism.bsky.social
An AI for an AI - new paper by @liambrierley.bsky.social on machine learning approaches to predict avian influenza viruses are zoonotic based on sequence information: www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
An AI for an AI: identifying zoonotic potential of avian influenza viruses via genomic machine learning
Avian influenza remains a serious risk to human health via zoonotic transmission, as well as a feasible pandemic threat. Although limited zoonotic cases have resulted from the current epizootic outbre...
www.biorxiv.org
September 17, 2025 at 8:59 AM
Reposted by Joe Hilton
tah-sci.com
New jobs for modellers at at UKHSA: Senior Mathematical Modeller (NIHR HPRU - EPR); Senior Mathematical Modeller / Research Software Engineer. A great team looking at emerging threats.

www.healthjobsuk.com/job/v7430503

www.healthjobsuk.com/job/v7397991
September 1, 2025 at 11:16 AM
Reposted by Joe Hilton
iddjobs.org
Postdoc (anywhere in the UK)
Modelling traumatic events and mass injury syndromic surveillance
with Thomas Finnie
at UKHSA
More details: http://iddjobs.org/jobs/2352
August 28, 2025 at 7:22 PM
joebhilton.bsky.social
My theory is that AI boosters grew up playing strategy games where the AI lets your opponent field a 10,000-strong army in the time it takes you to build one farm, whereas sceptics grew up playing JRPGs where the AI makes your party burn all their MP on useless debuff spells and then die instantly.
August 27, 2025 at 4:25 PM
Reposted by Joe Hilton
mche-uom.bsky.social
Abstract submissions are now open for the 2025 Methods for the Economic Evaluation of Diagnostics, Digital, Data and Devices (MEED) Research Forum.

Date: 20 November 2025
Location: The Milner Hotel, York

www.meed-hta.org
Methods for the Economic Evaluation of Diagnostics, Digital, Data and Devices (MEED)
www.meed-hta.org
July 30, 2025 at 8:21 AM
Reposted by Joe Hilton
edmhill.bsky.social
📣 Funded PhD opportunity (UK tuition fee rate) in @hpruezi.bsky.social. #PhDSky

🧪 "Predict & Prepare for Arbovirus Introduction to the UK" #IDSky

👥 Supervisors: @mosquitomicrobe.bsky.social | @baylism.bsky.social | Jolyon Medlock

⏳ Deadline: 17 Jul 2025

🔗: www.lstmed.ac.uk/study/resear...
PhD project: Predict and Prepare for Arbovirus Introduction to the UK (Application type) Studentship: National Institute of Health Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit (HPRU) in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections (EZI) Research Theme: Predict and Prevent Primary Supervisor: Dr Grant Hughes Research department: Vector Biology Closing date: 17 July 2025 Abstract. This project has the broad aims of better understanding the risk of mosquito-borne diseases in the UK and developing and evaluating vector control strategies to mitigate this risk. One highly promising vector control strategy exploits the bacterium Wolbachia, to either render populations incapable of transmitting pathogens, or to suppress the mosquito population itself. In collaboration with partners, we will undertake initial steps to develop novel Wolbachia-based control strategies suitable for the suppression of Ae. albopictus, a highly invasive and competent vector of many arboviruses. Such approaches could be critical in repressing the incursion of Ae. albopictus into the UK, and/or forming a biological barrier that prevents establishment. The project will develop mosquito lines that are capable of being used in such an approach and these lines will be evaluated for the suppression capacity against a range of different Aedes albopictus populations from Europe. Data obtained from these experiments will be integrated into models to determine how this approach and other contemporary and conventional vector control measures could be deployed in the event of an Aedes albopictus-transmitted disease outbreak in the UK. This is critical research to inform UK government strategies to manage the incursion of Aedes albopictus and associated arbovirus risks. This PhD is a collaboration between the Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, University of Liverpool & the UK Health Security Agency. In addition to the benefits associated with the HPRU, the PhD position will be based within the Mosquito Symbiosis and Infection (MosSI) group, in the Departments of Vector Biology & Tropical Disease Biology at the Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine. Supervisors for the project include Profs Grant Hughes (LSTM), Matthew Baylis (UoL) & Dr Jolyon Medlock (UKHSA). PhD focus will be agreed with the successful applicant based on their own background & research interests. Indicative Start Date: 01 October 2025 Funding package: This studentship is funded by the NIHR HPRU EZI-3 project. The studentship includes: - Stipend set at the UKRI Minimum Doctoral Stipend rate. For 25/26 this is £20,780 per annum. - Tuition/programme fees at the 'Home' rate - Contribution to research support fees for; lab consumables, travel, computing hardware, publications. The duration of the funding package is 3 years. There is no additional funding available to support travel to the UK or with costs associated with a UK Visa application. Academic: - Applicants must hold at least a first class or high upper second-class Honours degree, or a degree of comparable standard awarded from outside the UK. - A Masters degree (at merit or distinction preferable) is also welcomed, but not a pre-requisite. - Where an applicant does not meet the Honours degree requirement (e.g. they hold a lower second-class Honours degree), they may be eligible to apply if they also hold a Master's degree with an awarded distinction in an area relevant to the MRC DTP. To be considered for this exemption, the qualification must be awarded at time of application and candidates must provide an award certificate and transcript for both qualifications. Unfortunately, we are unable to consider Master's qualifications that have not yet been awarded for this purpose. Residence: Candidates of all nationalities are eligible to apply to this studentship and we encourage applicants that are nationals of a Low-Middle-Income Country (Link to webpage with list of countries with low-income or middle-income economies. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) compiles this information and revises it every three years. https://wellcome.org/research-funding/guidance/prepare-to-apply/low-and-middle-income-countries)
June 26, 2025 at 2:04 PM
Reposted by Joe Hilton
drewtoothpaste.bsky.social
the next time someone tells you to "touch grass" please check their profile. they may be a tick
May 20, 2025 at 4:20 PM
Reposted by Joe Hilton
mche-uom.bsky.social
The Manchester Centre for Health Economics has three new Research Associate positions in Health Economics (£37,174 - £41,671 p/a). These are 24-month fixed-term contracts from July 2025 to June 2027.

For full details and to apply, visit
www.jobs.manchester.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...
Research Associate in Health Economics:Oxford Road
www.jobs.manchester.ac.uk
May 14, 2025 at 12:32 PM
Reposted by Joe Hilton
tah-sci.com
Come and work with us! Postdoctoral research job to look at methods for working with early pandemic "First Few X" datasets in resource-limited contexts. Please consider applying if of interest and circulate around your networks.

www.jobs.manchester.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...
Research Associate in Mathematical Epidemiology :Manchester
www.jobs.manchester.ac.uk
May 6, 2025 at 2:45 PM
Reposted by Joe Hilton
iddjobs.org
Postdoc (Manchester, UK)
Working on methods for “First Few X” studies in resource-limited contexts.
with Thomas House @tah-sci.com, Lorenzo Pellis, Christopher Overton
at Univ. of Manchester
More details: http://iddjobs.org/jobs/2310
May 6, 2025 at 9:40 PM
Reposted by Joe Hilton
gscollins.bsky.social
Shouldn't need saying, but clearly it does "Reporting guideline checklists are not quality evaluation forms: they are guidance for writing"

--> onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...

...quality/risk of bias assessment is aided by transparent reporting though.
April 24, 2025 at 7:29 AM
Reposted by Joe Hilton
runningmadprof.bsky.social
"Give the NHS some Slack"
"Trust in People"
"Try to keep schools open"
"Defend the science..."
Fascinating to see what my colleagues and friends prioritised among the lessons learned from lockdowns.
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/m...
Ten lockdown lessons to learn for next time
Five years since Boris Johnson ordered the UK to stay home, steps to prepare for the next national emergency are clearer
www.theguardian.com
March 24, 2025 at 4:51 PM
Reposted by Joe Hilton
tah-sci.com
Now published in @plosglobalpublichealth.org ! "Epidemiological and phylogenetic analyses of public SARS-CoV-2 data from Malawi" - quantitative methods designed to work with data and computational resources available in the Global South, code available via GitHub.
journals.plos.org/globalpublic...
Epidemiological and phylogenetic analyses of public SARS-CoV-2 data from Malawi
Author summary Malawi detected its first infection with SARS-CoV-2 at the start of April 2020, and like many other countries in the Global South did not have comparable volumes of data to Global North...
journals.plos.org
March 22, 2025 at 9:33 AM
Reposted by Joe Hilton
oxfordstatistics.bsky.social
🐔 Calling all backyard poultry keepers in England!

We want to hear your thoughts on avian influenza control measures. If you have fewer than 50 birds, please share your experiences and suggestions for future strategies.

Survey 🔗 tinyurl.com/e535naw4

#AvianInfluenza #AnimalHealth #OxfordStatistics
February 28, 2025 at 3:48 PM
Reposted by Joe Hilton
iddjobs.org
Postdoc (Manchester, United Kingdom)
Two year Fellowship for a mathematical modeller to pursue interdisciplinary research with the long-term goal of reducing health inequalities.
with @tah-sci.com
at Manchester University
More details: http://iddjobs.org/jobs/2282
March 5, 2025 at 4:07 PM
Reposted by Joe Hilton
tah-sci.com
www.jobs.manchester.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...

Healthier Futures Research Fellow - mathematical epidemiology is specifically involved in this exciting two-year position. @iddjobs.org #sciencejobs Deadline 17 March 2025, please apply and forward to others who may be interested!
Healthier Futures Research Fellow :Manchester
www.jobs.manchester.ac.uk
March 3, 2025 at 6:31 PM
Reposted by Joe Hilton
tah-sci.com
New Preprint! We carried out a detailed spatio-temporal analysis of case data for the COVID-19 pandemic in Malawi, showing significant heterogeneity in associations over space, time, age and other factors.

www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...
Spatiotemporal Analysis of COVID-19 Risk in Malawi: The Impact of Age, Poverty, Population Density, and Environmental Factors
Background Understanding the spatiotemporal variation of COVID-19 transmission and its determinants is crucial for gaining deeper insights into the dynamics of disease spread. Regional and temporal di...
www.medrxiv.org
February 23, 2025 at 10:37 PM