Karl Rohe
@karlrohe.bsky.social
NO KINGS
“Overly optimistic” 🦮 in Statistics.
Listening in statistics.
Statistics Professor at UW Madison.
“Overly optimistic” 🦮 in Statistics.
Listening in statistics.
Statistics Professor at UW Madison.
i asked claude opus 4.5 to write some prompts that could work for both ai and humans....
such little respect for humans!
such little respect for humans!
November 25, 2025 at 4:17 PM
i asked claude opus 4.5 to write some prompts that could work for both ai and humans....
such little respect for humans!
such little respect for humans!
new prompt in 3 pieces.
me: what is the right "role" that you should assume to help me think about this? scientific communicator? ui engineer? marketer? statistician? scientist? something else?
claude: <answers intelligently>
me: great. what are this person's priorities in our setting? 1/2
me: what is the right "role" that you should assume to help me think about this? scientific communicator? ui engineer? marketer? statistician? scientist? something else?
claude: <answers intelligently>
me: great. what are this person's priorities in our setting? 1/2
November 22, 2025 at 3:57 PM
new prompt in 3 pieces.
me: what is the right "role" that you should assume to help me think about this? scientific communicator? ui engineer? marketer? statistician? scientist? something else?
claude: <answers intelligently>
me: great. what are this person's priorities in our setting? 1/2
me: what is the right "role" that you should assume to help me think about this? scientific communicator? ui engineer? marketer? statistician? scientist? something else?
claude: <answers intelligently>
me: great. what are this person's priorities in our setting? 1/2
always a good day when you can get claude to swear
November 21, 2025 at 8:24 PM
always a good day when you can get claude to swear
One thing about PCA/embeddings/political-leaning that should get more attention is the role of zero or “the origin”. It’s often special in a way that depends upon how you do the embedding.
This post is a good example of that.
Once you accept that the origin is special, then….
This post is a good example of that.
Once you accept that the origin is special, then….
Good morning. I've got a banger new post out today that develops a new method for placing voters on the left-right ideological spectrum, and adds a new, "non-ideological"/affordability axis to usual way we chart & think about US voters (esp swing voters). www.gelliottmorris.com/p/not-just-l...
Not just left vs right: Most voters think about affordability and material wellbeing, not in ideological terms
Most voters want a party that emphasizes cost of living issues and makes the world a better place. Few Americans think in solidly ideologically terms. "Moderates" are mostly non-ideological.
www.gelliottmorris.com
November 20, 2025 at 6:28 PM
One thing about PCA/embeddings/political-leaning that should get more attention is the role of zero or “the origin”. It’s often special in a way that depends upon how you do the embedding.
This post is a good example of that.
Once you accept that the origin is special, then….
This post is a good example of that.
Once you accept that the origin is special, then….
claude code just rejected a request i made due to safety reasons (request below). i was reminded of this conversation wife and i had driving in michigan UP
November 18, 2025 at 6:29 PM
claude code just rejected a request i made due to safety reasons (request below). i was reminded of this conversation wife and i had driving in michigan UP
Google in Claude???
November 17, 2025 at 3:52 PM
Google in Claude???
“[because of LLMs] it’s become so hard to tell what’s slop”
- @alexpghayes.com
- @alexpghayes.com
November 14, 2025 at 4:58 PM
“[because of LLMs] it’s become so hard to tell what’s slop”
- @alexpghayes.com
- @alexpghayes.com
claude, what the heck
November 10, 2025 at 11:06 PM
claude, what the heck
A conversation I had with Claude about extrapolating enmeshment to cultural and political scenarios, whether it applies to Trump supporters, and paths forward.
claude.ai/share/92446e...
claude.ai/share/92446e...
Political enmeshment and cultural wounds
Shared via Claude, an AI assistant from Anthropic
claude.ai
November 2, 2025 at 12:03 PM
A conversation I had with Claude about extrapolating enmeshment to cultural and political scenarios, whether it applies to Trump supporters, and paths forward.
claude.ai/share/92446e...
claude.ai/share/92446e...
Reposted by Karl Rohe
ABANDONED THE TODDLER IN THE BACKSEAT
Arrest these motherfuckers for child endangerment
Arrest these motherfuckers for child endangerment
Multiple accounts on ICE Watch Facebook pages are reporting that agents pulled a couple out of their vehicle in Aurora, Illinois, arrested them, and then abandoned the couple’s toddler in the backseat.
October 30, 2025 at 6:04 PM
ABANDONED THE TODDLER IN THE BACKSEAT
Arrest these motherfuckers for child endangerment
Arrest these motherfuckers for child endangerment
i got claude code to swear!
October 28, 2025 at 5:55 PM
i got claude code to swear!
Sometimes we don’t yet know the question. That doesn’t mean our curiosity isn’t part of science!
It’s astonishing how many researchers seem to believe that a cluster analysis is such a sensible analysis that it needn’t even be justified through a coherent research question. Just cluster analysis go brrrrr
October 28, 2025 at 1:21 PM
Sometimes we don’t yet know the question. That doesn’t mean our curiosity isn’t part of science!
Causality is a model
October 18, 2025 at 1:28 PM
Causality is a model
Reposted by Karl Rohe
But they can be much heavier.
October 17, 2025 at 1:01 PM
But they can be much heavier.
Me: Eli, what do you want in your lunch this week
Eli (age 3): ordinary demigods
Eli (age 3): ordinary demigods
October 12, 2025 at 7:44 PM
Me: Eli, what do you want in your lunch this week
Eli (age 3): ordinary demigods
Eli (age 3): ordinary demigods
Reposted by Karl Rohe
I believe science is much more like art than many scientists are willing to consider. I have a feeling that it would free us to do better science if we embraced this view. I may be mistaken but that's where I am mentally.
October 9, 2025 at 3:14 PM
I believe science is much more like art than many scientists are willing to consider. I have a feeling that it would free us to do better science if we embraced this view. I may be mistaken but that's where I am mentally.
Reposted by Karl Rohe
If their response is worse than Sonnets, then they should lose their jobs. Already it is too late. This should take 20 minutes.
October 2, 2025 at 1:03 PM
If their response is worse than Sonnets, then they should lose their jobs. Already it is too late. This should take 20 minutes.
Reposted by Karl Rohe
(bluesky user bursts into Waffle House) OH SO YOU HATE PANCAKES??
September 26, 2025 at 3:09 PM
(bluesky user bursts into Waffle House) OH SO YOU HATE PANCAKES??
What if, bear with me… fevers in pregnancy were bad. Then, we might only identify these cases by who took acetaminophen. If that were true (just my hypothetical)… but it strikes me that this would be confusing for bad statisticians
September 23, 2025 at 12:01 PM
What if, bear with me… fevers in pregnancy were bad. Then, we might only identify these cases by who took acetaminophen. If that were true (just my hypothetical)… but it strikes me that this would be confusing for bad statisticians
advice from LLM: "You won't regret this at all - it's the textbook solution for development databases with schema issues!"
should i believe it? lol
should i believe it? lol
September 22, 2025 at 9:44 PM
advice from LLM: "You won't regret this at all - it's the textbook solution for development databases with schema issues!"
should i believe it? lol
should i believe it? lol
to do good science, you need to fall in love with your dreams.
everyone always emphasizes the flip side of rationality, which is also kinda true. but the reviewers help you with that. your reviewers can't fall in love for you. and if you aren't falling in love, then stop.
everyone always emphasizes the flip side of rationality, which is also kinda true. but the reviewers help you with that. your reviewers can't fall in love for you. and if you aren't falling in love, then stop.
September 19, 2025 at 5:27 PM
to do good science, you need to fall in love with your dreams.
everyone always emphasizes the flip side of rationality, which is also kinda true. but the reviewers help you with that. your reviewers can't fall in love for you. and if you aren't falling in love, then stop.
everyone always emphasizes the flip side of rationality, which is also kinda true. but the reviewers help you with that. your reviewers can't fall in love for you. and if you aren't falling in love, then stop.
“Duty to shareholders” becomes exceptionally weird when that duty requires sucking up to Trump. Like all those CEOs fawning over him. It’s arguably their job to do that? But it plays very differently in the press and for public opinion.
September 18, 2025 at 9:09 PM
“Duty to shareholders” becomes exceptionally weird when that duty requires sucking up to Trump. Like all those CEOs fawning over him. It’s arguably their job to do that? But it plays very differently in the press and for public opinion.
Half baked thought: communication is always a weird crazy strong bottleneck. So, us sending a little text off to a data center for massive calculations and the text center sending a little text back is like way way off the charts on some metric of ratio between total computation and communication.
September 17, 2025 at 3:51 PM
Half baked thought: communication is always a weird crazy strong bottleneck. So, us sending a little text off to a data center for massive calculations and the text center sending a little text back is like way way off the charts on some metric of ratio between total computation and communication.
“Non-linear” is the first word people say before they go off the methodological deep end
September 14, 2025 at 1:27 PM
“Non-linear” is the first word people say before they go off the methodological deep end
Reposted by Karl Rohe
My quote of the day
What is objectionable, what is dangerous about extremists, is not that they are extreme, but that they are intolerant. The evil is not what they say about their cause, but what they say about their opponents.
Robert F. Kennedy, Sr.
What is objectionable, what is dangerous about extremists, is not that they are extreme, but that they are intolerant. The evil is not what they say about their cause, but what they say about their opponents.
Robert F. Kennedy, Sr.
September 13, 2025 at 11:59 AM
My quote of the day
What is objectionable, what is dangerous about extremists, is not that they are extreme, but that they are intolerant. The evil is not what they say about their cause, but what they say about their opponents.
Robert F. Kennedy, Sr.
What is objectionable, what is dangerous about extremists, is not that they are extreme, but that they are intolerant. The evil is not what they say about their cause, but what they say about their opponents.
Robert F. Kennedy, Sr.