Lenny Bronner
@lennybronner.com
founding member of election bluesky
Reposted by Lenny Bronner
id a 2025 post-mortem on the latest GD POLITICS pod w/
@lennybronner.com, @linleyann.bsky.social & Lakshya Jain.
We discussed the who, where & why behind Democrats' impressive performance + what it portends for '26.
There's some Epstein file polling and moderates vs. progressives discourse too.
@lennybronner.com, @linleyann.bsky.social & Lakshya Jain.
We discussed the who, where & why behind Democrats' impressive performance + what it portends for '26.
There's some Epstein file polling and moderates vs. progressives discourse too.
A 2025 Election Post-Mortem
The numbers behind Democrats' impressive performance and what it means for 2026, plus the latest Epstein file polling.
www.gdpolitics.com
November 13, 2025 at 7:11 PM
id a 2025 post-mortem on the latest GD POLITICS pod w/
@lennybronner.com, @linleyann.bsky.social & Lakshya Jain.
We discussed the who, where & why behind Democrats' impressive performance + what it portends for '26.
There's some Epstein file polling and moderates vs. progressives discourse too.
@lennybronner.com, @linleyann.bsky.social & Lakshya Jain.
We discussed the who, where & why behind Democrats' impressive performance + what it portends for '26.
There's some Epstein file polling and moderates vs. progressives discourse too.
Reposted by Lenny Bronner
Pooled and re-analyzed NJ/VA exit poll data to see which Trump voters were likeliest to vote Democrat for governor
While only 5% of White Trump voters flipped, the rate was 21% for voters of color — 36% of Black voters and 17% of Latino voters
And Latino women (25%) more than Latino men (10%)
1/2
While only 5% of White Trump voters flipped, the rate was 21% for voters of color — 36% of Black voters and 17% of Latino voters
And Latino women (25%) more than Latino men (10%)
1/2
NYC isn't the country...
But similar patterns in NJ/VA: Sherrill/Spanberger voters who didn't back Harris are younger, more diverse, less ideological, more focused on pocketbook issues than on Trump
Consistent w/ Trump rating drops among young people, POC, less politically engaged
More below
6/6
But similar patterns in NJ/VA: Sherrill/Spanberger voters who didn't back Harris are younger, more diverse, less ideological, more focused on pocketbook issues than on Trump
Consistent w/ Trump rating drops among young people, POC, less politically engaged
More below
6/6
The voters Mamdani added to the Democratic coalition in New York, a CBS News analysis
Zohran Mamdani's mayoral campaign turned out lots of voters who didn't back Kamala Harris last year — they are ethnically diverse, younger and less affluent.
www.cbsnews.com
November 12, 2025 at 4:28 PM
Pooled and re-analyzed NJ/VA exit poll data to see which Trump voters were likeliest to vote Democrat for governor
While only 5% of White Trump voters flipped, the rate was 21% for voters of color — 36% of Black voters and 17% of Latino voters
And Latino women (25%) more than Latino men (10%)
1/2
While only 5% of White Trump voters flipped, the rate was 21% for voters of color — 36% of Black voters and 17% of Latino voters
And Latino women (25%) more than Latino men (10%)
1/2
Striking difference between East and South Asian communities. In Jackson Heights Mamdani gets 60% of the vote vs. in Flushing only 35%
Mamdani's win by NYC neighborhood: datawrapper.dwcdn.net/Wrd72/4/
Hover over map to see our estimates...
#CBSDataDesk🍎
Hover over map to see our estimates...
#CBSDataDesk🍎
2025 NYC Mayoral Race by Neighborhood
datawrapper.dwcdn.net
November 5, 2025 at 2:24 PM
Striking difference between East and South Asian communities. In Jackson Heights Mamdani gets 60% of the vote vs. in Flushing only 35%
broke: age differential voting
woke: age differential in turnout
woke: age differential in turnout
November 5, 2025 at 2:00 PM
broke: age differential voting
woke: age differential in turnout
woke: age differential in turnout
Mamdani's gains relative to the primary was really driven by the Bronx and Brooklyn, elsewhere it stayed relatively constant.
November 5, 2025 at 1:48 PM
Mamdani's gains relative to the primary was really driven by the Bronx and Brooklyn, elsewhere it stayed relatively constant.
Reposted by Lenny Bronner
TONIGHT:
REVENGE OF THE NERDS -- GD POLITICS @ 7PM ET
@baseballot.bsky.social @rubashkin.bsky.social @lennybronner.com @erincovey.bsky.social
REVENGE OF THE NERDS -- GD POLITICS @ 7PM ET
@baseballot.bsky.social @rubashkin.bsky.social @lennybronner.com @erincovey.bsky.social
November 4, 2025 at 5:12 PM
TONIGHT:
REVENGE OF THE NERDS -- GD POLITICS @ 7PM ET
@baseballot.bsky.social @rubashkin.bsky.social @lennybronner.com @erincovey.bsky.social
REVENGE OF THE NERDS -- GD POLITICS @ 7PM ET
@baseballot.bsky.social @rubashkin.bsky.social @lennybronner.com @erincovey.bsky.social
Reposted by Lenny Bronner
Teamed up with @shanegoldmacher.bsky.social to take a look at the NJ governor’s race & what its results could tell us about the durability of Trump’s 2024 gains/“realignments”
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/30/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/30/u...
What New Jersey Could Reveal About the Rightward Shift of Hispanic Voters
www.nytimes.com
October 30, 2025 at 2:18 PM
Teamed up with @shanegoldmacher.bsky.social to take a look at the NJ governor’s race & what its results could tell us about the durability of Trump’s 2024 gains/“realignments”
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/30/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/30/u...
the naming of cats is a difficult matter
the lowest stakes election nugget ever, for your enjoyment:
curtis sliwa has six cats, but gave eight different names for them in three different interviews recently
a fun kicker in our election newsletter this week, contributed by eagle-eyed @smaldo.bsky.social: www.thecity.nyc/newsletter/o...
curtis sliwa has six cats, but gave eight different names for them in three different interviews recently
a fun kicker in our election newsletter this week, contributed by eagle-eyed @smaldo.bsky.social: www.thecity.nyc/newsletter/o...
October 22, 2025 at 7:29 PM
the naming of cats is a difficult matter
Reposted by Lenny Bronner
Reposted by Lenny Bronner
How America’s favorite sports bet is fueling sportsbook profits
Parlays are becoming more popular, accounting for an increasing share of the money wagered on sports, according to a Post analysis of betting data. Bettors lose billions a year on these bets.
www.washingtonpost.com/sports/inter...
Parlays are becoming more popular, accounting for an increasing share of the money wagered on sports, according to a Post analysis of betting data. Bettors lose billions a year on these bets.
www.washingtonpost.com/sports/inter...
Americans can’t stop betting parlays. Sportbooks are cashing in.
As betting booms, parlays are accounting for an increasing share of the money wagered on sports, according to a Washington Post analysis of state data.
www.washingtonpost.com
October 9, 2025 at 2:51 PM
How America’s favorite sports bet is fueling sportsbook profits
Parlays are becoming more popular, accounting for an increasing share of the money wagered on sports, according to a Post analysis of betting data. Bettors lose billions a year on these bets.
www.washingtonpost.com/sports/inter...
Parlays are becoming more popular, accounting for an increasing share of the money wagered on sports, according to a Post analysis of betting data. Bettors lose billions a year on these bets.
www.washingtonpost.com/sports/inter...
Reposted by Lenny Bronner
🤳EXCLUSIVE: We analyzed real data from over 800 U.S. TikTok users to reveal how the app transforms casual users into power users.
Extremely proud of this one, over a year in the making w/ @richardsima.bsky.social Leslie Shapiro @asteckelberg.bsky.social @ence.bsky.social
wapo.st/4obueib
Extremely proud of this one, over a year in the making w/ @richardsima.bsky.social Leslie Shapiro @asteckelberg.bsky.social @ence.bsky.social
wapo.st/4obueib
Here’s how TikTok ‘power users’ end up scrolling 4 hours a day or more
Washington Post reporters analyzed data from over 800 TikTok users to learn how the app turns people into power users, some of whom spend hours per day scrolling.
wapo.st
October 7, 2025 at 11:14 AM
🤳EXCLUSIVE: We analyzed real data from over 800 U.S. TikTok users to reveal how the app transforms casual users into power users.
Extremely proud of this one, over a year in the making w/ @richardsima.bsky.social Leslie Shapiro @asteckelberg.bsky.social @ence.bsky.social
wapo.st/4obueib
Extremely proud of this one, over a year in the making w/ @richardsima.bsky.social Leslie Shapiro @asteckelberg.bsky.social @ence.bsky.social
wapo.st/4obueib
Reposted by Lenny Bronner
Demands from Dems provoked the government shutdown, but Reps are getting most of the blame so far. Why?
I talked about it on GD POLITICS today w/ @lennybronner.com and Mary Radcliffe.
We also discussed that poll out of PA showing Fetterman is -20 with PA Dems, but +40 with PA Reps.
I talked about it on GD POLITICS today w/ @lennybronner.com and Mary Radcliffe.
We also discussed that poll out of PA showing Fetterman is -20 with PA Dems, but +40 with PA Reps.
Why Americans Blame Republicans For The Government Shutdown
Demands from Democrats provoked the shutdown, but so far Republicans are getting more blame.
www.gdpolitics.com
October 6, 2025 at 9:10 PM
Demands from Dems provoked the government shutdown, but Reps are getting most of the blame so far. Why?
I talked about it on GD POLITICS today w/ @lennybronner.com and Mary Radcliffe.
We also discussed that poll out of PA showing Fetterman is -20 with PA Dems, but +40 with PA Reps.
I talked about it on GD POLITICS today w/ @lennybronner.com and Mary Radcliffe.
We also discussed that poll out of PA showing Fetterman is -20 with PA Dems, but +40 with PA Reps.
Reposted by Lenny Bronner
I'd been delinquent, but I've updated my spreadsheet of special election results. On average, Democrats have done 13 points better than a neutral baseline. docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
September 24, 2025 at 6:26 PM
I'd been delinquent, but I've updated my spreadsheet of special election results. On average, Democrats have done 13 points better than a neutral baseline. docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Presidents’ names are getting shorter. Why?
incredible investigation by @andrewvandam.bsky.social and @alyssafowers.bsky.social
www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
incredible investigation by @andrewvandam.bsky.social and @alyssafowers.bsky.social
www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
September 12, 2025 at 7:04 PM
Presidents’ names are getting shorter. Why?
incredible investigation by @andrewvandam.bsky.social and @alyssafowers.bsky.social
www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
incredible investigation by @andrewvandam.bsky.social and @alyssafowers.bsky.social
www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
Reposted by Lenny Bronner
On the latest GD POLITICS installment, @lennybronner.com and I answer your questions about the youth gender gap, Democrats' unpopularity, ChatGPT election forecasting, & more.
We also chatted about the latest election results in VA 11 and... Norway!
www.gdpolitics.com/p/election-u...
We also chatted about the latest election results in VA 11 and... Norway!
www.gdpolitics.com/p/election-u...
Election Updates, Listener Questions, And A Note On Charlie Kirk
A note on the assassination of Charlie Kirk.
www.gdpolitics.com
September 12, 2025 at 1:00 PM
On the latest GD POLITICS installment, @lennybronner.com and I answer your questions about the youth gender gap, Democrats' unpopularity, ChatGPT election forecasting, & more.
We also chatted about the latest election results in VA 11 and... Norway!
www.gdpolitics.com/p/election-u...
We also chatted about the latest election results in VA 11 and... Norway!
www.gdpolitics.com/p/election-u...
inside you are two wolves
August 27, 2025 at 2:30 PM
inside you are two wolves
Reposted by Lenny Bronner
NEW: Earlier this month, OpenAI released the latest version of ChatGPT, GPT-5, sparking online backlash at the new chatbot's less friendly tone.
The scale of people's emotional attachment to the previous chatbot, GPT-4o, even surprised the company's CEO, Sam Altman.
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/19/b...
The scale of people's emotional attachment to the previous chatbot, GPT-4o, even surprised the company's CEO, Sam Altman.
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/19/b...
The Chatbot Updated. Users Lost a Friend.
www.nytimes.com
August 19, 2025 at 5:20 PM
NEW: Earlier this month, OpenAI released the latest version of ChatGPT, GPT-5, sparking online backlash at the new chatbot's less friendly tone.
The scale of people's emotional attachment to the previous chatbot, GPT-4o, even surprised the company's CEO, Sam Altman.
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/19/b...
The scale of people's emotional attachment to the previous chatbot, GPT-4o, even surprised the company's CEO, Sam Altman.
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/19/b...
still looking for an answer to this
if you had to set yourself a reminder for 2045, how would you do that?
August 13, 2025 at 2:59 PM
still looking for an answer to this
Reposted by Lenny Bronner
Big update to @upshot.nytimes.com 2024 precinct map. Now includes most of CA and CO.
The @nytimes.com just posted an updated version of their detailed map of the 2024 election results, with the data available for download. This is invaluable in part because funding constraints have slowed down academic efforts at releasing precinct-level results. www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
An Extremely Detailed Map of the 2024 Election
See how your neighborhood voted on our interactive, precinct-level results map of the presidential election.
www.nytimes.com
August 13, 2025 at 2:44 PM
Big update to @upshot.nytimes.com 2024 precinct map. Now includes most of CA and CO.
Democrats just need to run some ideological extreme candidates in toss-up districts and see what happens. For the science!
August 13, 2025 at 2:10 PM
Democrats just need to run some ideological extreme candidates in toss-up districts and see what happens. For the science!
Reposted by Lenny Bronner
NEW from @kashhill.bsky.social and me:
Over three weeks in May, a man became convinced by ChatGPT that the fate of the world rested on his shoulders.
Otherwise perfectly sane, Allan Brooks is part of a growing number of people getting into chatbot-induced delusional spirals. This is his story.
Over three weeks in May, a man became convinced by ChatGPT that the fate of the world rested on his shoulders.
Otherwise perfectly sane, Allan Brooks is part of a growing number of people getting into chatbot-induced delusional spirals. This is his story.
Chatbots Can Go Into a Delusional Spiral. Here’s How It Happens.
www.nytimes.com
August 8, 2025 at 4:34 PM
NEW from @kashhill.bsky.social and me:
Over three weeks in May, a man became convinced by ChatGPT that the fate of the world rested on his shoulders.
Otherwise perfectly sane, Allan Brooks is part of a growing number of people getting into chatbot-induced delusional spirals. This is his story.
Over three weeks in May, a man became convinced by ChatGPT that the fate of the world rested on his shoulders.
Otherwise perfectly sane, Allan Brooks is part of a growing number of people getting into chatbot-induced delusional spirals. This is his story.
if you had to set yourself a reminder for 2045, how would you do that?
August 5, 2025 at 8:18 PM
if you had to set yourself a reminder for 2045, how would you do that?
Reposted by Lenny Bronner
Data extraordinaire @lennybronner.com and I opened up the mailbag on the latest GD POLITICS episode.
It's in your feeds now and it's a good one...
"Gaza, Gen Z, And A Gay President"
It's in your feeds now and it's a good one...
"Gaza, Gen Z, And A Gay President"
July 31, 2025 at 6:43 PM
Data extraordinaire @lennybronner.com and I opened up the mailbag on the latest GD POLITICS episode.
It's in your feeds now and it's a good one...
"Gaza, Gen Z, And A Gay President"
It's in your feeds now and it's a good one...
"Gaza, Gen Z, And A Gay President"
What if Trump’s gains with minorities weren’t about Trump at all?
@andrewvandam.bsky.social and I took a look at recent election results in NYC, Toronto and London and tried to figure out why we're seeing similar trends in all three cities
www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
@andrewvandam.bsky.social and I took a look at recent election results in NYC, Toronto and London and tried to figure out why we're seeing similar trends in all three cities
www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
July 7, 2025 at 2:27 PM
What if Trump’s gains with minorities weren’t about Trump at all?
@andrewvandam.bsky.social and I took a look at recent election results in NYC, Toronto and London and tried to figure out why we're seeing similar trends in all three cities
www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
@andrewvandam.bsky.social and I took a look at recent election results in NYC, Toronto and London and tried to figure out why we're seeing similar trends in all three cities
www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...