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mattgrossmann.bsky.social
Matt Grossmann
@mattgrossmann.bsky.social
12K followers 170 following 1.5K posts

Michigan State political scientist & IPPSR Director; Hooked bookstore/cafe Co-owner; Science of Politics Podcast; New book: Polarized by Degrees

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Political science 59%
Business 20%
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Reposted by David R. Miller

mattgrossmann.bsky.social
Matt Grossmann @mattgrossmann.bsky.social · 1d
Companies are hiring many more internal policy specialists than lobbyists; it is a much larger investment in politics and internal expertise
www.andrewbenjaminhall.com/HallSun25.pdf
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Reposted by John G. McNutt

Reposted by Samuel Workman, Matt Grossmann, David Darmofal

bcburden.bsky.social
Barry Burden @bcburden.bsky.social · 2d
The 2024 @electionstudies.bsky.social has the share of "pure independents" in the US at its lowest level since 1952 (7%)
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mattgrossmann.bsky.social
Matt Grossmann @mattgrossmann.bsky.social · 2d
I will be at UChicago, Northwestern, & Lake Forest briefly this week. And for the first trip since 2019, I'll be returning to Missouri this weekend (including seeing Mizzou-Bama & Chiefs-Lions). Hope to catch up with many folks soon.
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mattgrossmann.bsky.social
Matt Grossmann @mattgrossmann.bsky.social · 2d
There is increasing political polarization in colleges' student bodies. Both liberal & conservative students prefer institutions with more like-minded peers and are willing to pay thousands of dollars more to avoid students from the other side
edworkingpapers.com/ai25-1280
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mattgrossmann.bsky.social
Matt Grossmann @mattgrossmann.bsky.social · 3d
The "We Must Do Something. This Is Something" shutdown still seems unlikely to gain anything that wasn't winnable before. But it also seems unlikely to do any electoral damage. Public & market reaction is extremely limited. Still depends on how Dem base responds to end.
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Reposted by Matt Grossmann

Reposted by Christian Gollier, Rafael H. M. Pereira, Jonas Dovern , and 1 more

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland, Matt Grossmann, Nathan P. Kalmoe

reuning.bsky.social
Kevin Reuning @reuning.bsky.social · 6d
New paper with @hjghassell.bsky.social and @michaelheseltine.bsky.social out in @bjpols.bsky.social.

We develop measures of voter perceptions of candidate ideology and candidate messaging ideology and find that perception's are related to what candidates say www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Plot showing perception of voter ideology of candidates overtime. It is separated by House and Senate. Republicans are drifting slightly to be more conservative, Democrats are mostly staying in one place. Plot showing messaging ideology of candidates overtime. It is separated by House and Senate. There is increasing separation between parties over time, with Republicans becoming messaging more moderately during the Trump era and then shifting to the right during Biden.
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Reposted by Lionel Page, Dirk Pilat, Eric Kaufmann , and 3 more

Reposted by Ben H. Ansell, Will Jennings, Brendan Nyhan , and 7 more

thomasjwood.bsky.social
Thomas J Wood @thomasjwood.bsky.social · 7d
The last time I posted the income relationship to presidential vote among White respondents to the @electionstudies.bsky.social ANES, people asked for additional estimates among all voters.

Updated estimates here:
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Reposted by Matt Grossmann

Reposted by Matt Grossmann

Reposted by Karen Benjamin Guzzo, Matt Grossmann

scientificdiscovery.dev
Saloni @scientificdiscovery.dev · 8d
Most graphs of the fertility rate depict the 'period fertility rate', which is based on a single year's data and doesn't necessarily reflect how many children women actually have across their lifetimes.

I've used data from the Human Fertility Database to show the cumulative number instead:
Cohort fertility rates for the United States, by age 40, 45 and 50.
3 32 140

Reposted by Matt Grossmann

Reposted by Matt Grossmann

mattgrossmann.bsky.social
Matt Grossmann @mattgrossmann.bsky.social · 14d
spending has long more closely matched presidential budget requests than provided for in enacted appropriations, driven by presidents spending less than Congress
appropriates 1970s-era reforms did not eliminate these deviations.
drive.google.com/file/d/1bTy4...
Angell Who Has The Power of the Purse.pdf
drive.google.com
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mattgrossmann.bsky.social
Matt Grossmann @mattgrossmann.bsky.social · 14d
The Trump admin is only making one pocket rescission request, focused on foreign aid? What about the other unspent $, like at NIH & NSF? Is it going to be spent on something by this month? Is there another impoundment path they are trying?
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