Matt Grossmann
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mattgrossmann.bsky.social
Matt Grossmann
@mattgrossmann.bsky.social

Michigan State political scientist & IPPSR Director; Hooked bookstore/cafe Co-owner; Science of Politics Podcast; New book: Polarized by Degrees

Political science 59%
Business 20%

University students who were provided with a free gym card (in a randomized experiment) exercised more and had a significant improvement in academic performance. The treated students were also less likely to drop out of classes
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/full/10....
University of Chicago Press Journals: Cookie absent
www.journals.uchicago.edu

Reposted by Robert C. Richards

Google has a new tool combining Google Scholar search with LLM chatbot style questions and summaries:
scholar.google.com/scholar_labs...
scholar.google.com

Progressive households increasingly purchase products marketed with health or environmental claims-such as organic, cage-free, and natural-across ten packaged-goods categories, with the political gap growing from 1 % point in 2004 to 8.3 % points by 2023
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Polarized Consumption
Using two decades of household purchase records (2004-2023) and retail scanner data, this paper documents political polarization in everyday consumption. We exa
papers.ssrn.com

Reposted by Efrén O. Pérez

My preferred view is that public is center-left on policy & representation but center-right on symbols & orientations. Other common alternatives are (1) public is centrist if measured properly, (2) public is center left but bigotry moves right, & (3) Dems strategy is bad/unlucky

Views of ideology in American public opinion should explain why the parties have long been at rough parity in candidate support. This seems to offer a useful theory: most people are center-left on policy but a large proportion of those that are judge on performance, not policy

Reposted by Efrén O. Pérez

Using open-ended responses to a question about your ideal political party to place voters on an ideological spectrum & how much they think ideologically

Dems gain in generic ballot polls, moving toward large seat gains in historical models
Current polls: polls.decisiondeskhq.com/averages/gen...
Historical models: centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
Good morning. I've got a banger new post out today that develops a new method for placing voters on the left-right ideological spectrum, and adds a new, "non-ideological"/affordability axis to usual way we chart & think about US voters (esp swing voters). www.gelliottmorris.com/p/not-just-l...
Not just left vs right: Most voters think about affordability and material wellbeing, not in ideological terms
Most voters want a party that emphasizes cost of living issues and makes the world a better place. Few Americans think in solidly ideologically terms. "Moderates" are mostly non-ideological.
www.gelliottmorris.com

My comments on why (some) Democrats gave up in the shutdown fight despite Republican blame in polls:
www.dailykos.com/stories/2025...
Democrats were winning the shutdown. So why did they fold?
Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend that’s driving politics or culture. The blame ...
www.dailykos.com

Reposted by Matt Grossmann

and if you're curious about the book, well, you can buy the book but if you want a bit more info, here's my interview with @mattgrossmann.bsky.social www.niskanencenter.org/the-backlash...
The backlash presidency - Niskanen Center
Julia Azari finds that backlash presidents like Trump tend to follow transformative presidents like Barack Obama who represent changes to the American racial order.
www.niskanencenter.org

Reposted by Julia Lynch

The Backlash Presidency

Why Trump followed Obama & got impeached, in historical perspective with comparisons to Nixon after LBJ & Johnson after Lincoln

New #ScienceOfPolitics podcast/transcript with @juliaazari.bsky.social
www.niskanencenter.org/the-backlash...
The backlash presidency - Niskanen Center
Julia Azari finds that backlash presidents like Trump tend to follow transformative presidents like Barack Obama who represent changes to the American racial order.
www.niskanencenter.org

Democrats improved most in elections where turnout dropped the most & in Hispanic areas
x.com/theeconomist...

Racial differences in policy responsiveness are small. But policy is more responsive to whites under Republicans control, not explained by class, age, or ideology but partially by party. Republican Senators' votes also better represent white constituents.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Race, Responsiveness, and Representation in U.S. Lawmaking | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
Race, Responsiveness, and Representation in U.S. Lawmaking
www.cambridge.org

The Democrats got the shutdown they wanted, and no one is happy

My interview with Vox on why the Democrats did not win policy concessions & caved, with an outcome like prior shutdowns but difficult to learn lessons
www.yahoo.com/news/article...
The Democrats got the shutdown they wanted, and no one is happy
A political scientist explains the Democrats’ bizarre shutdown strategy.
www.yahoo.com