Fiscal Policy Institute
@nyfiscalpolicy.bsky.social
300 followers 55 following 34 posts
An independent, nonpartisan think tank that advances sound and equitable fiscal policy to strengthen New York’s economy. www.fiscalpolicy.org
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nyfiscalpolicy.bsky.social
Critics of @zohrankmamdani.bsky.social's plan to fund social programs say raising taxes on millionaires will lead to significant out-migration among the wealthy

But 2023 tax data from New York Department of Taxation and Finance refutes this—confirming that tax flight among high earners is a myth
nyfiscalpolicy.bsky.social
🚨New Tax Data Confirm Tax Flight Is A Myth:

Analysis of new tax data shows that the 2021 tax increases on high earners raise an estimated $3.6 billion annually, boosting state revenue without triggering increased out-migration among high earners.

fiscalpolicy.org/new-tax-data...
nyfiscalpolicy.bsky.social
For more info see @emmurpheis.bsky.social's report from April, "The Urgent Need to Raise Unemployment Insurance Benefits" fiscalpolicy.org/the-urgent-n...
nyfiscalpolicy.bsky.social
We're proud to have worked with the AFL-CIO to reform this system—convincing the State to pay down its $7B debt, raise the maximum weekly UI benefit rate, and expand the taxable wage base to increase the fund’s long-term fiscal stability. www.cityandstateny.com/policy/2025/...
Weekly unemployment insurance benefits set to increase
The maximum unemployment insurance benefit rate from $504 per week to $869 per week beginning, now that the state has paid off its unemployment trust fund debt.
www.cityandstateny.com
nyfiscalpolicy.bsky.social
Rent increases are contributing to an affordability crisis in NYC. A new factsheet from @cssnyorg.bsky.social draws on our RGB testimony to show that hikes for rent-stabilized tenants under Adams and Bloomberg have caused rents to outpace the cost of other goods. www.cssny.org/publications...
Stabilized Rents Up 12.6% in Adams’ New York
www.cssny.org
nyfiscalpolicy.bsky.social
NY’s income inequality rose in 2024— remaining the highest of any state, while national inequality fell.
Gini measure of income inequality in New York and the US
nyfiscalpolicy.bsky.social
Top 20% of NY households saw 2.9% income growth (vs. 1.4% nationally), and the top 5% saw 3.8% (vs. 0.7% nationally). NY’s comparatively small middle class is shrinking, with 13% more households earning <$25K and 26% more earning >$200K than the US average.
Share of low- and high-income households in New York and the US
nyfiscalpolicy.bsky.social
NY job growth is sluggish at 0.6% in Q1 2025 and 1.2% in 2024, trailing national averages. High-paying industries—and historic federal tax cuts for these same top earners—are fueling growth in wages for high-earners, not jobs.
nyfiscalpolicy.bsky.social
In Q1 2025, NY wages grew 8.0%, outpacing the US at 4.8%. But low-income households saw only 0.7% income growth (vs. 1.9% nationally) and middle-income households 1.6% (vs. 2.1% nationally).
New York and US real wage growth by income group from 2023 to 2024
nyfiscalpolicy.bsky.social
New data from the US Census Bureau & Bureau of Labor Statistics show rising income inequality in New York. Top earners are driving strong wage growth, while low- and middle-income households lag behind. (1/6)
bencasselman.bsky.social
The U.S. economy probably added half as many jobs in the 12 months ending in March as previously reported, according to the preliminary benchmark revision data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Tuesday. #NumbersDay
www.nytimes.com/2025/09/09/b...
nyfiscalpolicy.bsky.social
High health care prices have played a major role in premium growth in recent years. Only a comprehensive set of price regulations can help address the root cause of unaffordable health insurance premiums in the state.

Read the full brief: fiscalpolicy.org/ny-small-gr... (7/7)
New York’s Small Group Market Has Big Problems - Fiscal Policy Institute
Health insurance premiums will rise steeply for many small businesses in 2026. New York’s small group market may be facing a death spiral.
fiscalpolicy.org
nyfiscalpolicy.bsky.social
Unfortunately, @NYDFS's rate increases indicate that these trends will likely continue. Oxford Health Insurance (subsidiary of
@UHC), the largest insurer in NYC & Long Island's small group markets, has an approved increase of 11.8% for 2026, more than 2x its 2025 increase. (5/7)
nyfiscalpolicy.bsky.social
As of last March, the average monthly premium for a gold-tier, single-coverage plan ranged above $1,200 in NYC & Long Island. Both regions also saw high rates of premium growth in 2020–24, outpaced only by Rochester's stunning 45 percent jump in premiums. (4/7)
nyfiscalpolicy.bsky.social
In 2020–24, enrollment dropped by 24% while premiums also soared in most regions of the state. (3/7)
nyfiscalpolicy.bsky.social
New numbers from NY Department of Dinancial Services show premiums will rise steeply for many small businesses in 2026. Since those who leave the market tend to be younger and healthier, the average cost of insuring those remaining rises, causing more businesses to leave. (2/7)
nyfiscalpolicy.bsky.social
🚨NY health insurance premiums are set to rise by 13% for small businesses — on track to double by 2031. Small group markets in some areas may be facing a death spiral. (1/7)
nyfiscalpolicy.bsky.social
Importantly, FPI's estimates of the funding cuts are much higher than those announced by the NYS Division of the Budget. We explain why in these reports.

Report 1: fiscalpolicy.org/the-state-is...

Report 2: fiscalpolicy.org/making-sense...
nyfiscalpolicy.bsky.social
Today, FPI is releasing two reports on how to understand the impact of federal funding cuts in New York.

Key points: 1) the cuts amount to over $20bn annually by 2030, 2) 1.5 million NYers will lose healthcare, 3) FPI advises a special session to remedy (1) and (2).
Reposted by Fiscal Policy Institute
emmurpheis.bsky.social
Importantly, our estimates of the funding cuts are *much* higher than the State has announced. We explain why in the two reports.

Report 1: fiscalpolicy.org/the-state-is...

Report 2: fiscalpolicy.org/making-sense...
Reposted by Fiscal Policy Institute
emmurpheis.bsky.social
Today, @nyfiscalpolicy.bsky.social is releasing two reports on how to understand the impact of federal funding cuts in New York.

Key points: 1) the cuts amount to over $20bn annually by 2030, 2) 1.5 million NYers will lose healthcare, 3) FPI advises a special session to remedy (1) and (2).
Reposted by Fiscal Policy Institute
emmurpheis.bsky.social
New York stand stands to lose a lot in this budget bill. @nyfiscalpolicy.bsky.social has written about job loss, healthcare access, food assistance, and economic harm.
Reposted by Fiscal Policy Institute
emmurpheis.bsky.social
Analysis from me and Michael Kinnucan at @nyfiscalpolicy.bsky.social showed that New York could lose 215k jobs due to medicaid cuts coming from the house bill... the senate bill is an even more severe cut for NY ie. more jobs lost.

fiscalpolicy.org/new-york-emp...