Owen Griffiths
@ogriff79.bsky.social
Arts, photography, film, astronomy & weather. Hoping to keep this place less political and argumentative than twitter, but I'm left of centre and believe in a fair society and being kind to each other... And yes, I do resemble Bevis in real life.
Reposted by Owen Griffiths
The spv stratospheric polar vortex is currently weakest on record for 23rd November, as we await to see if a technical ssw major sudden stratospheric warming event plays out
November 23, 2025 at 4:20 PM
The spv stratospheric polar vortex is currently weakest on record for 23rd November, as we await to see if a technical ssw major sudden stratospheric warming event plays out
Reposted by Owen Griffiths
Winter 2025/26 Forecast: Ninth Update
YouTube video by GavsWeatherVids
www.youtube.com
November 23, 2025 at 12:24 PM
Reposted by Owen Griffiths
The Covid Inquiry is a damning indictment of Boris Johnson's arrogance, dishonesty and incompetence. Britain is a worse place because of his terrible leadership.
#CovidInquiry
#CovidInquiry
November 22, 2025 at 10:41 PM
The Covid Inquiry is a damning indictment of Boris Johnson's arrogance, dishonesty and incompetence. Britain is a worse place because of his terrible leadership.
#CovidInquiry
#CovidInquiry
Reposted by Owen Griffiths
Put it this way... I don't regret leaving Labour and joining @greenparty.org.uk
What has the "people's party" become?
What has the "people's party" become?
Holy fuck, this is where we are. A Labour Home Secretary just posted this image. I voted for these fucks and have been a member of the party for more than 30 years. Today I quit and so happy that I have.
November 22, 2025 at 9:55 PM
Put it this way... I don't regret leaving Labour and joining @greenparty.org.uk
What has the "people's party" become?
What has the "people's party" become?
Reposted by Owen Griffiths
10hpa 60N zonal mean zonal winds have weakened from W'ly 70mph to nearer 12mph over the past 10 days or so, and this is leading to warming over the N Pole through vertical compression..the warming currently more notable at the 30hpa level than at 10hpa
November 22, 2025 at 9:26 PM
10hpa 60N zonal mean zonal winds have weakened from W'ly 70mph to nearer 12mph over the past 10 days or so, and this is leading to warming over the N Pole through vertical compression..the warming currently more notable at the 30hpa level than at 10hpa
Reposted by Owen Griffiths
🚨 SCOOP: Toyota and Aston Martin secretly lobbied a Conservative cabinet minister to weaken Britain’s climate policy.
We only know this because Democracy for Sale won a two-year legal fight to force the government to hand over the documents.
democracyforsale.substack.com/p/victory-we...
We only know this because Democracy for Sale won a two-year legal fight to force the government to hand over the documents.
democracyforsale.substack.com/p/victory-we...
Victory! We’ve won major legal battle exposing car industry lobbying
After two years we can finally reveal “backdoor channels where corporate money hijacks our democracy.”
democracyforsale.substack.com
November 22, 2025 at 9:57 AM
🚨 SCOOP: Toyota and Aston Martin secretly lobbied a Conservative cabinet minister to weaken Britain’s climate policy.
We only know this because Democracy for Sale won a two-year legal fight to force the government to hand over the documents.
democracyforsale.substack.com/p/victory-we...
We only know this because Democracy for Sale won a two-year legal fight to force the government to hand over the documents.
democracyforsale.substack.com/p/victory-we...
Reposted by Owen Griffiths
Very happy to sign and repost!
November 21, 2025 at 4:49 PM
Very happy to sign and repost!
Reposted by Owen Griffiths
Here’s my, I like to think, rather timely petition on the matter, if you're interested, Sarah.
petition.parliament.uk/petitions/74...
petition.parliament.uk/petitions/74...
Petition: Call a public inquiry into Russian influence on UK politics & democracy
We are concerned about reported efforts from Russia to influence democracy in the US, UK, Europe and elsewhere. We believe we must establish the depth and breadth of possible Russian influence campaig...
petition.parliament.uk
November 21, 2025 at 7:23 PM
Here’s my, I like to think, rather timely petition on the matter, if you're interested, Sarah.
petition.parliament.uk/petitions/74...
petition.parliament.uk/petitions/74...
Reposted by Owen Griffiths
Essential Petition for signing and sharing 🔽
Here’s my, I like to think, rather timely petition on the matter, if you're interested, Sarah.
petition.parliament.uk/petitions/74...
petition.parliament.uk/petitions/74...
Petition: Call a public inquiry into Russian influence on UK politics & democracy
We are concerned about reported efforts from Russia to influence democracy in the US, UK, Europe and elsewhere. We believe we must establish the depth and breadth of possible Russian influence campaig...
petition.parliament.uk
November 21, 2025 at 8:13 PM
Essential Petition for signing and sharing 🔽
Reposted by Owen Griffiths
Richard Tice, March 2025:
"I have never met Nathan Gill, and he has never had anything to do with Reform,"
"I have never met Nathan Gill, and he has never had anything to do with Reform,"
November 21, 2025 at 6:23 PM
Richard Tice, March 2025:
"I have never met Nathan Gill, and he has never had anything to do with Reform,"
"I have never met Nathan Gill, and he has never had anything to do with Reform,"
Reposted by Owen Griffiths
Both EC and GFS have generally been hinting at a fast recovery of the spv stratospheric polar vortex following its current period of significant weakening, for atleast 10 to 14 days
Both continue to show this
Will be interesting to see if this comes off 📉📈
Both continue to show this
Will be interesting to see if this comes off 📉📈
November 20, 2025 at 10:25 PM
Both EC and GFS have generally been hinting at a fast recovery of the spv stratospheric polar vortex following its current period of significant weakening, for atleast 10 to 14 days
Both continue to show this
Will be interesting to see if this comes off 📉📈
Both continue to show this
Will be interesting to see if this comes off 📉📈
"The SSW probability in GEFS is: 74%"
#ukweather
Will it? Won't it?
For better? For worse?
🤔
We shall see 👀
#ukweather
Will it? Won't it?
For better? For worse?
🤔
We shall see 👀
November 21, 2025 at 5:15 AM
"The SSW probability in GEFS is: 74%"
#ukweather
Will it? Won't it?
For better? For worse?
🤔
We shall see 👀
#ukweather
Will it? Won't it?
For better? For worse?
🤔
We shall see 👀
Reposted by Owen Griffiths
A polar vortex of confusion simonleewx.com/2025/11/20/a...
A polar vortex of confusion
Meteorologists have a historical penchant for giving names to atmospheric phenomena which, in today’s world, sound rather like phrases made up to fit a dramatic headline than real scientific …
simonleewx.com
November 20, 2025 at 11:52 AM
A polar vortex of confusion simonleewx.com/2025/11/20/a...
Reposted by Owen Griffiths
Hope nobody is planning on travelling around #aberdeen tonight... this is the current state of the bypass...
#uksnow
#ukweather
#uksnow
#ukweather
November 19, 2025 at 10:09 PM
Hope nobody is planning on travelling around #aberdeen tonight... this is the current state of the bypass...
#uksnow
#ukweather
#uksnow
#ukweather
Reposted by Owen Griffiths
With the imminent weak polar vortex/potential SSW, one similar recent(ish) year is 1996/97, which saw a very weak early season vortex (date-record weak U10-60 in Nov). 96/97 also had an established easterly QBO & cool ENSO Neutral/borderline La Niña. Extremely strong late-season vortex ensued.
November 19, 2025 at 6:40 PM
With the imminent weak polar vortex/potential SSW, one similar recent(ish) year is 1996/97, which saw a very weak early season vortex (date-record weak U10-60 in Nov). 96/97 also had an established easterly QBO & cool ENSO Neutral/borderline La Niña. Extremely strong late-season vortex ensued.
Reposted by Owen Griffiths
Following the current brief cold spell, less cold though unsettled Atlantic driven air returns for the weekend..
🌡📈
See X post...
x.com/metoffice/st...
🌡📈
See X post...
x.com/metoffice/st...
November 19, 2025 at 5:29 PM
Following the current brief cold spell, less cold though unsettled Atlantic driven air returns for the weekend..
🌡📈
See X post...
x.com/metoffice/st...
🌡📈
See X post...
x.com/metoffice/st...
Reposted by Owen Griffiths
Pembrokeshire dangler
Cornish tickler
Becoming established in the N'ly flow next couple of days
Convergence line/enhanced shower risk, perhaps wintry, running south through Irish Sea
Cornish tickler
Becoming established in the N'ly flow next couple of days
Convergence line/enhanced shower risk, perhaps wintry, running south through Irish Sea
November 18, 2025 at 7:14 PM
Pembrokeshire dangler
Cornish tickler
Becoming established in the N'ly flow next couple of days
Convergence line/enhanced shower risk, perhaps wintry, running south through Irish Sea
Cornish tickler
Becoming established in the N'ly flow next couple of days
Convergence line/enhanced shower risk, perhaps wintry, running south through Irish Sea
November 17, 2025 at 8:02 PM
Reposted by Owen Griffiths
Some model output suggests an #ssw sudden stratospheric warming event may take place soon..
More details on this and its possible impacts on our weather...
www.metoffice.gov.uk/blog/2025/wh...
More details on this and its possible impacts on our weather...
www.metoffice.gov.uk/blog/2025/wh...
What is a Sudden Stratospheric Warming?
Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) is a meteorological event that can have a significant impact on winter weather, particularly in the UK and across Europe.
www.metoffice.gov.uk
November 17, 2025 at 6:29 PM
Some model output suggests an #ssw sudden stratospheric warming event may take place soon..
More details on this and its possible impacts on our weather...
www.metoffice.gov.uk/blog/2025/wh...
More details on this and its possible impacts on our weather...
www.metoffice.gov.uk/blog/2025/wh...
Reposted by Owen Griffiths
Will be watching with interest over the weeks ahead, given we have so many weather drivers going into the winter months this year, which are in support of cold conditions:
1. Weak la nina
2. Well established E QBO
3. Strong W Pacific MJO
4. Very -IOD
5. Steadily weakening SPV
1. Weak la nina
2. Well established E QBO
3. Strong W Pacific MJO
4. Very -IOD
5. Steadily weakening SPV
November 17, 2025 at 7:51 AM
Will be watching with interest over the weeks ahead, given we have so many weather drivers going into the winter months this year, which are in support of cold conditions:
1. Weak la nina
2. Well established E QBO
3. Strong W Pacific MJO
4. Very -IOD
5. Steadily weakening SPV
1. Weak la nina
2. Well established E QBO
3. Strong W Pacific MJO
4. Very -IOD
5. Steadily weakening SPV
Reposted by Owen Griffiths
There has been some talk of a second warming occurring during late November to early December, and the extended ECM seems to have perhaps picked up on this today with a 'double dip' in the mean and seems to bring zonal winds just below 0 m/s at 10 hPa so a technical SSW occurs.
November 16, 2025 at 8:28 PM
There has been some talk of a second warming occurring during late November to early December, and the extended ECM seems to have perhaps picked up on this today with a 'double dip' in the mean and seems to bring zonal winds just below 0 m/s at 10 hPa so a technical SSW occurs.