Oliver Meier
@olivermeier.bsky.social
Policy and Research Director at the European Leadership Network @theeln.bsky.social, based in Berlin.
WMD elimination through arms control, disarmament, nonproliferation.
Personal views only.
WMD elimination through arms control, disarmament, nonproliferation.
Personal views only.
Reposted by Oliver Meier
Russia’s full-scale invasion began 4 years ago. It began in winter, and so this winter is the 5th. And, for civilians, the worst. Russia launches missiles and drones at energy infrastructure to force Ukrainians to endure the freezing cold. Here's how you can help
snyder.substack.com/p/the-long-u...
snyder.substack.com/p/the-long-u...
The Long Ukrainian Winter
How You Can Help
snyder.substack.com
February 8, 2026 at 2:08 PM
Russia’s full-scale invasion began 4 years ago. It began in winter, and so this winter is the 5th. And, for civilians, the worst. Russia launches missiles and drones at energy infrastructure to force Ukrainians to endure the freezing cold. Here's how you can help
snyder.substack.com/p/the-long-u...
snyder.substack.com/p/the-long-u...
I assume this is not a completely new insight 🤦♂️: “The French need, in the next generation of fighter jets, an aircraft capable of carrying nuclear weapons and operating from an aircraft carrier. That’s not what we currently need in the German military,” Merz said. www.euractiv.com?p=2365215
www.euractiv.com
February 18, 2026 at 9:53 AM
I assume this is not a completely new insight 🤦♂️: “The French need, in the next generation of fighter jets, an aircraft capable of carrying nuclear weapons and operating from an aircraft carrier. That’s not what we currently need in the German military,” Merz said. www.euractiv.com?p=2365215
Reposted by Oliver Meier
🚨 JUST IN: For Angela Kane and Héloïse Fayet (@hfayet.bsky.social), Europe needs not to misunderstand what the end of New START means and must advance its own arms control agenda.
thebulletin.org/2026/02/what...
#NewSTART #Europe #nuclearweapons #armscontrol #nukesky
thebulletin.org/2026/02/what...
#NewSTART #Europe #nuclearweapons #armscontrol #nukesky
What the end of New START means for Europe: Two views
For these two experts, Europe needs not to misunderstand what the end of New START means and advance its own arms control agenda.
thebulletin.org
February 17, 2026 at 6:53 AM
🚨 JUST IN: For Angela Kane and Héloïse Fayet (@hfayet.bsky.social), Europe needs not to misunderstand what the end of New START means and must advance its own arms control agenda.
thebulletin.org/2026/02/what...
#NewSTART #Europe #nuclearweapons #armscontrol #nukesky
thebulletin.org/2026/02/what...
#NewSTART #Europe #nuclearweapons #armscontrol #nukesky
Reposted by Oliver Meier
On Tuesday 24 Feb VERTIC & @rusi.bsky.social will launch Dr John Walker's book 'Britain & Weapons of Mass Destruction Verification'. He will be joined by fellow experts in arms control & international security to discuss the book’s insider account of CBRN weapons verification: tinyurl.com/yw2p2dmn
February 16, 2026 at 3:51 PM
On Tuesday 24 Feb VERTIC & @rusi.bsky.social will launch Dr John Walker's book 'Britain & Weapons of Mass Destruction Verification'. He will be joined by fellow experts in arms control & international security to discuss the book’s insider account of CBRN weapons verification: tinyurl.com/yw2p2dmn
This analysis is very much worth your time. Not everything is doom and gloom:
is.gd/axtVK4
is.gd/axtVK4
Europe Is Now in Position to Replace U.S. Intelligence Support
Within months, if required
is.gd
February 16, 2026 at 12:51 PM
This analysis is very much worth your time. Not everything is doom and gloom:
is.gd/axtVK4
is.gd/axtVK4
"The sanctions against Guillou — which bar him from using payment systems such as Visa and Mastercard, as well as services including Amazon, Airbnb and Booking.com — amount to “a kind of civil death” and are being weaponized to undermine the foundations of European democracies, he said."
February 16, 2026 at 9:36 AM
"The sanctions against Guillou — which bar him from using payment systems such as Visa and Mastercard, as well as services including Amazon, Airbnb and Booking.com — amount to “a kind of civil death” and are being weaponized to undermine the foundations of European democracies, he said."
Reposted by Oliver Meier
"The UK has informed the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons of Russia’s blatant breach of the Chemical Weapons Convention. Alongside partners the UK will continue to hold Russia to account for its actions."
UK confirms Russia poisoned Navalny in prison with rare toxin
Source: GOV.UK
www.gov.uk/government/n...
Source: GOV.UK
www.gov.uk/government/n...
UK confirms Russia poisoned Navalny in prison with rare toxin
UK and partners are today exposing the tragic circumstances surrounding Alexei Navalny's death and have confirmed there was poison found in samples from his body.
www.gov.uk
February 14, 2026 at 7:33 PM
"The UK has informed the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons of Russia’s blatant breach of the Chemical Weapons Convention. Alongside partners the UK will continue to hold Russia to account for its actions."
Reposted by Oliver Meier
Conference chair Wolfgang Ischinger starts with a question to the five permanent members of the UN Security Council:
"Are you 5 fully aware of your obligations under Article 6 of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty?"
#MSC2026
"Are you 5 fully aware of your obligations under Article 6 of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty?"
#MSC2026
February 13, 2026 at 12:54 PM
Conference chair Wolfgang Ischinger starts with a question to the five permanent members of the UN Security Council:
"Are you 5 fully aware of your obligations under Article 6 of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty?"
#MSC2026
"Are you 5 fully aware of your obligations under Article 6 of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty?"
#MSC2026
Reposted by Oliver Meier
The EASLG has issued another statement, in advance of #MSC2026, supporting space security and stability amid the increased dependence of critical military functions on space-based infrastructure, and the risk of increased militarisation of this domain.
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/group-statem...
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/group-statem...
Statement by the Euro-Atlantic Security Leadership Group (EASLG): Support for Space Security and Stability
Former and serving senior officials, military leaders, and experts from across the Euro-Atlantic region call for support for space security and stability.
europeanleadershipnetwork.org
February 13, 2026 at 11:11 AM
The EASLG has issued another statement, in advance of #MSC2026, supporting space security and stability amid the increased dependence of critical military functions on space-based infrastructure, and the risk of increased militarisation of this domain.
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/group-statem...
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/group-statem...
Reposted by Oliver Meier
In a group statement, with @apln.network & @nti.org, the Euro-Atlantic Security Leadership Group (EASLG) calls for strengthened fail-safe measures to prevent accidental nuclear use, signed by serving & fmr senior officials, military leaders, & experts. europeanleadershipnetwork.org/group-statem...
Statement by the Euro-Atlantic Security Leadership Group (EASLG): Call for Strengthened Fail-Safe Measures to Prevent Accidental Nuclear Use
Former and serving senior officials, military leaders, and experts from across the Euro-Atlantic region call for strengthened fail-safe measures to prevent accidental nuclear use.
europeanleadershipnetwork.org
February 13, 2026 at 11:02 AM
In a group statement, with @apln.network & @nti.org, the Euro-Atlantic Security Leadership Group (EASLG) calls for strengthened fail-safe measures to prevent accidental nuclear use, signed by serving & fmr senior officials, military leaders, & experts. europeanleadershipnetwork.org/group-statem...
Reposted by Oliver Meier
In a new study testing six leading AI models, YGLNmember Ihor Samokhodskyi found that the language in which users ask AI chatbots questions about Russia’s war in Ukraine affects the likelihood that answers contain disinformation or propaganda.
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/t...
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/t...
The AI lens of cognitive warfare: Why LLMs language bias is a security risk
In a new study testing six leading AI models, YGLN member Ihor Samokhodskyi found that the language in which users ask AI chatbots questions about Russia’s war in Ukraine affects the likelihood that a...
europeanleadershipnetwork.org
February 10, 2026 at 1:56 PM
In a new study testing six leading AI models, YGLNmember Ihor Samokhodskyi found that the language in which users ask AI chatbots questions about Russia’s war in Ukraine affects the likelihood that answers contain disinformation or propaganda.
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/t...
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/t...
Reposted by Oliver Meier
Trump posts a picture showing Canada and Greenland as part of the US. As I note today, his rhetoric violates the U.N. Charter: It requires members to “refrain … from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any state.” wapo.st/3MsWi3c
February 9, 2026 at 11:55 PM
Trump posts a picture showing Canada and Greenland as part of the US. As I note today, his rhetoric violates the U.N. Charter: It requires members to “refrain … from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any state.” wapo.st/3MsWi3c
Reposted by Oliver Meier
Russia's attacks on Ukraine's power grid and the substations that serve its #nuclear plants have got to stop. The situation is very unstable.
www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/202...
www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/202...
Nuclear power output remains partly reduced, Ukraine's Energy Ministry says
Work has continued to deal with the aftermath of two large-scale Russian attacks on Ukraine's energy system over the past week. Nuclear power output remains partly reduced.
www.pravda.com.ua
February 10, 2026 at 3:58 AM
Russia's attacks on Ukraine's power grid and the substations that serve its #nuclear plants have got to stop. The situation is very unstable.
www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/202...
www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/202...
"There is consensus among European countries that #NewSTART has worked in Europe’s favor. Russia’s war in Ukraine has deepened most European leaders’ preference to see continued commitment by US and Russia to limit nuclear deployments rather than no agreement, I told @cfr.org here:
is.gd/4Pf9WL
is.gd/4Pf9WL
Europe Faces Uncertainty as New START Ends | Council on Foreign Relations
Confronted with the expiration of New START, Europe braces for a world without arms control. The loss of the traditional U.S. nuclear shield and Russia’s continued threats now force Europe to consider...
is.gd
February 8, 2026 at 7:43 PM
"There is consensus among European countries that #NewSTART has worked in Europe’s favor. Russia’s war in Ukraine has deepened most European leaders’ preference to see continued commitment by US and Russia to limit nuclear deployments rather than no agreement, I told @cfr.org here:
is.gd/4Pf9WL
is.gd/4Pf9WL
Reposted by Oliver Meier
Another bit of good news, US EUCOM says US and Russia agreed to reestablish high-level military-to-military dialogue (it seems Grynkewich and Gerasimov) www.eucom.mil/pressrelease...
www.eucom.mil
February 5, 2026 at 5:42 PM
Another bit of good news, US EUCOM says US and Russia agreed to reestablish high-level military-to-military dialogue (it seems Grynkewich and Gerasimov) www.eucom.mil/pressrelease...
Reposted by Oliver Meier
In May, States Parties to the NPT will meet for the 11th Review Conference under difficult circumstances. While European support for & leadership in the NPT is more urgent than ever, it could be complicated by diverging priorities among European states. europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/e...
European perspectives on the Non-Proliferation Treaty: Italy
In May, States Parties to the NPT will meet for the 11th Review Conference under difficult circumstances. While European support for and leadership in the NPT is more urgent than ever, it could be com...
europeanleadershipnetwork.org
February 5, 2026 at 4:01 PM
In May, States Parties to the NPT will meet for the 11th Review Conference under difficult circumstances. While European support for & leadership in the NPT is more urgent than ever, it could be complicated by diverging priorities among European states. europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/e...
Great news, if true. Europeans should enthusiastically endorse such a step. h/t @tobiaspfella.bsky.social
Scoop: U.S. and Russia agree to observe New START nuclear pact after expiration
www.axios.com/2026/02/05/n...
Scoop: U.S. and Russia agree to observe New START nuclear pact after expiration
www.axios.com/2026/02/05/n...
Scoop: U.S. and Russia agree to observe New START nuclear pact after expiration
New START is the last major guardrail constraining the nuclear arsenals of the two countries that together hold some 85% of the world's warheads.
www.axios.com
February 5, 2026 at 1:22 PM
Great news, if true. Europeans should enthusiastically endorse such a step. h/t @tobiaspfella.bsky.social
Scoop: U.S. and Russia agree to observe New START nuclear pact after expiration
www.axios.com/2026/02/05/n...
Scoop: U.S. and Russia agree to observe New START nuclear pact after expiration
www.axios.com/2026/02/05/n...
I am proud signatory of @deepcutsproject.bsky.social statement on expiration of #NewSTART. As we Deep Cuts Commissioners say: It is imperative now that both sides agree to continue to respect central limits of New START, which would create more conducive environment for talks on strategic stability.
👉 Read: New START’s Expiration and the Need for Continued Nuclear Restraint
deepcuts.org/publications...
deepcuts.org/publications...
New START’s Expiration and the Need for Continued Nuclear Restraint : DeepCuts
The Deep Cuts Project analyses the potential for US-Russian nuclear arms control under adversarial conditions.
deepcuts.org
February 4, 2026 at 7:35 PM
I am proud signatory of @deepcutsproject.bsky.social statement on expiration of #NewSTART. As we Deep Cuts Commissioners say: It is imperative now that both sides agree to continue to respect central limits of New START, which would create more conducive environment for talks on strategic stability.
If you are at #MSC2026 next week and worried about transatlantic relations, make sure to not miss this great @theeln.bsky.social panel. 👇‼️
Europe is stepping up on its defence and security as questions about US reliability grow. What does this mean for #NATO and European security more broadly? Join us on the margins of #MSC2026 for a high-level panel to find out. Find out more 👉
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/event/eln-at...
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/event/eln-at...
ELN at MSC 2026: United We Stand? Europe, the US and NATO
Join the European Leadership Network at the 2026 Munich Security conference for a panel event on European responsibility, alliance unity, and the future of transatlantic security
europeanleadershipnetwork.org
February 4, 2026 at 2:34 PM
If you are at #MSC2026 next week and worried about transatlantic relations, make sure to not miss this great @theeln.bsky.social panel. 👇‼️
Reposted by Oliver Meier
US, Myanmar, Libya, Congo and the 38 Other Countries That Owe the UN Money passblue.com/2026/02/03/u...
US, Myanmar, Libya, Congo and the 38 Other Countries That Owe the UN Money
passblue.com
February 3, 2026 at 9:50 PM
US, Myanmar, Libya, Congo and the 38 Other Countries That Owe the UN Money passblue.com/2026/02/03/u...
"The selection process to choose the next UN leader occurs as the UN faces fiscal collapse ... If the crisis does not improve by July, the organization could shut down. The nonpayment of the dues owed by the United States, $2.2 billion, is the chief factor in the UN’s straits."
Michelle Bachelet of Chile Is Running for the UN’s Top Post With Regional Backing passblue.com/2026/02/02/m...
Michelle Bachelet of Chile Is Running for the UN’s Top Post With Regional Backing
passblue.com
February 3, 2026 at 1:52 PM
"The selection process to choose the next UN leader occurs as the UN faces fiscal collapse ... If the crisis does not improve by July, the organization could shut down. The nonpayment of the dues owed by the United States, $2.2 billion, is the chief factor in the UN’s straits."
Reposted by Oliver Meier
There are big grand-strategic issues involved in developing nuclear weapons. One of the biggest: if you aim to build a coalition of like-minded middle powers to defend the rules-based international order, then you probably shouldn't trash nonproliferation, one of that order's keystones, on the way.
Criticism of the Nordic Nuke Debate™️ in Aftonbladet:
"We've gone from 'we can't join NATO because NATO has nukes' to asking 'shouldn't we get our own?'"
"If a country like Sweden develops nuclear weapons the [NPT] would collapse, and with it, in practice, the rules based international order."
"We've gone from 'we can't join NATO because NATO has nukes' to asking 'shouldn't we get our own?'"
"If a country like Sweden develops nuclear weapons the [NPT] would collapse, and with it, in practice, the rules based international order."
Svenska kärnvapen är mest en fantasi
MÜNCHEN Förra veckan diskuterades kärnvapen i Sverige. På kort tid har debatten gått från ”vi kan inte gå med i Nato eftersom Nato har kärnvapen” till frågan ”b
www.aftonbladet.se
February 3, 2026 at 8:41 AM
There are big grand-strategic issues involved in developing nuclear weapons. One of the biggest: if you aim to build a coalition of like-minded middle powers to defend the rules-based international order, then you probably shouldn't trash nonproliferation, one of that order's keystones, on the way.
Reposted by Oliver Meier
🚨 It is now 85 SECONDS TO MIDNIGHT on the #DoomsdayClock, the closest it has ever been to midnight.
Learn why here:
thebulletin.org/doomsday-clo...
Learn why here:
thebulletin.org/doomsday-clo...
January 27, 2026 at 3:11 PM
🚨 It is now 85 SECONDS TO MIDNIGHT on the #DoomsdayClock, the closest it has ever been to midnight.
Learn why here:
thebulletin.org/doomsday-clo...
Learn why here:
thebulletin.org/doomsday-clo...
Reposted by Oliver Meier
2026 US National Defense Strategy is out. Let's see:
»Previous administrations squandered our military advantages ... to uphold cloud-castle abstractions like the rules-based international order.«
Yeah, it's what I thought.
»Previous administrations squandered our military advantages ... to uphold cloud-castle abstractions like the rules-based international order.«
Yeah, it's what I thought.
media.defense.gov
January 24, 2026 at 1:44 AM
2026 US National Defense Strategy is out. Let's see:
»Previous administrations squandered our military advantages ... to uphold cloud-castle abstractions like the rules-based international order.«
Yeah, it's what I thought.
»Previous administrations squandered our military advantages ... to uphold cloud-castle abstractions like the rules-based international order.«
Yeah, it's what I thought.