Oliver Meier
@olivermeier.bsky.social
Policy and Research Director at the European Leadership Network @theeln.bsky.social, based in Berlin.
WMD elimination through arms control, disarmament, nonproliferation.
Personal views only.
WMD elimination through arms control, disarmament, nonproliferation.
Personal views only.
Reposted by Oliver Meier
In a new study testing six leading AI models, YGLNmember Ihor Samokhodskyi found that the language in which users ask AI chatbots questions about Russia’s war in Ukraine affects the likelihood that answers contain disinformation or propaganda.
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/t...
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/t...
The AI lens of cognitive warfare: Why LLMs language bias is a security risk
In a new study testing six leading AI models, YGLN member Ihor Samokhodskyi found that the language in which users ask AI chatbots questions about Russia’s war in Ukraine affects the likelihood that a...
europeanleadershipnetwork.org
February 10, 2026 at 1:56 PM
In a new study testing six leading AI models, YGLNmember Ihor Samokhodskyi found that the language in which users ask AI chatbots questions about Russia’s war in Ukraine affects the likelihood that answers contain disinformation or propaganda.
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/t...
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/t...
Reposted by Oliver Meier
Trump posts a picture showing Canada and Greenland as part of the US. As I note today, his rhetoric violates the U.N. Charter: It requires members to “refrain … from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any state.” wapo.st/3MsWi3c
February 9, 2026 at 11:55 PM
Trump posts a picture showing Canada and Greenland as part of the US. As I note today, his rhetoric violates the U.N. Charter: It requires members to “refrain … from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any state.” wapo.st/3MsWi3c
Reposted by Oliver Meier
Russia's attacks on Ukraine's power grid and the substations that serve its #nuclear plants have got to stop. The situation is very unstable.
www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/202...
www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/202...
Nuclear power output remains partly reduced, Ukraine's Energy Ministry says
Work has continued to deal with the aftermath of two large-scale Russian attacks on Ukraine's energy system over the past week. Nuclear power output remains partly reduced.
www.pravda.com.ua
February 10, 2026 at 3:58 AM
Russia's attacks on Ukraine's power grid and the substations that serve its #nuclear plants have got to stop. The situation is very unstable.
www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/202...
www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/202...
"There is consensus among European countries that #NewSTART has worked in Europe’s favor. Russia’s war in Ukraine has deepened most European leaders’ preference to see continued commitment by US and Russia to limit nuclear deployments rather than no agreement, I told @cfr.org here:
is.gd/4Pf9WL
is.gd/4Pf9WL
Europe Faces Uncertainty as New START Ends | Council on Foreign Relations
Confronted with the expiration of New START, Europe braces for a world without arms control. The loss of the traditional U.S. nuclear shield and Russia’s continued threats now force Europe to consider...
is.gd
February 8, 2026 at 7:43 PM
"There is consensus among European countries that #NewSTART has worked in Europe’s favor. Russia’s war in Ukraine has deepened most European leaders’ preference to see continued commitment by US and Russia to limit nuclear deployments rather than no agreement, I told @cfr.org here:
is.gd/4Pf9WL
is.gd/4Pf9WL
Reposted by Oliver Meier
Another bit of good news, US EUCOM says US and Russia agreed to reestablish high-level military-to-military dialogue (it seems Grynkewich and Gerasimov) www.eucom.mil/pressrelease...
www.eucom.mil
February 5, 2026 at 5:42 PM
Another bit of good news, US EUCOM says US and Russia agreed to reestablish high-level military-to-military dialogue (it seems Grynkewich and Gerasimov) www.eucom.mil/pressrelease...
Reposted by Oliver Meier
In May, States Parties to the NPT will meet for the 11th Review Conference under difficult circumstances. While European support for & leadership in the NPT is more urgent than ever, it could be complicated by diverging priorities among European states. europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/e...
European perspectives on the Non-Proliferation Treaty: Italy
In May, States Parties to the NPT will meet for the 11th Review Conference under difficult circumstances. While European support for and leadership in the NPT is more urgent than ever, it could be com...
europeanleadershipnetwork.org
February 5, 2026 at 4:01 PM
In May, States Parties to the NPT will meet for the 11th Review Conference under difficult circumstances. While European support for & leadership in the NPT is more urgent than ever, it could be complicated by diverging priorities among European states. europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/e...
Great news, if true. Europeans should enthusiastically endorse such a step. h/t @tobiaspfella.bsky.social
Scoop: U.S. and Russia agree to observe New START nuclear pact after expiration
www.axios.com/2026/02/05/n...
Scoop: U.S. and Russia agree to observe New START nuclear pact after expiration
www.axios.com/2026/02/05/n...
Scoop: U.S. and Russia agree to observe New START nuclear pact after expiration
New START is the last major guardrail constraining the nuclear arsenals of the two countries that together hold some 85% of the world's warheads.
www.axios.com
February 5, 2026 at 1:22 PM
Great news, if true. Europeans should enthusiastically endorse such a step. h/t @tobiaspfella.bsky.social
Scoop: U.S. and Russia agree to observe New START nuclear pact after expiration
www.axios.com/2026/02/05/n...
Scoop: U.S. and Russia agree to observe New START nuclear pact after expiration
www.axios.com/2026/02/05/n...
No reservation needed, all welcome. First come, first served for this @theeln.bsky.social blockbuster event at #MSC2026.
February 4, 2026 at 8:01 PM
No reservation needed, all welcome. First come, first served for this @theeln.bsky.social blockbuster event at #MSC2026.
I am proud signatory of @deepcutsproject.bsky.social statement on expiration of #NewSTART. As we Deep Cuts Commissioners say: It is imperative now that both sides agree to continue to respect central limits of New START, which would create more conducive environment for talks on strategic stability.
👉 Read: New START’s Expiration and the Need for Continued Nuclear Restraint
deepcuts.org/publications...
deepcuts.org/publications...
New START’s Expiration and the Need for Continued Nuclear Restraint : DeepCuts
The Deep Cuts Project analyses the potential for US-Russian nuclear arms control under adversarial conditions.
deepcuts.org
February 4, 2026 at 7:35 PM
I am proud signatory of @deepcutsproject.bsky.social statement on expiration of #NewSTART. As we Deep Cuts Commissioners say: It is imperative now that both sides agree to continue to respect central limits of New START, which would create more conducive environment for talks on strategic stability.
If you are at #MSC2026 next week and worried about transatlantic relations, make sure to not miss this great @theeln.bsky.social panel. 👇‼️
Europe is stepping up on its defence and security as questions about US reliability grow. What does this mean for #NATO and European security more broadly? Join us on the margins of #MSC2026 for a high-level panel to find out. Find out more 👉
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/event/eln-at...
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/event/eln-at...
ELN at MSC 2026: United We Stand? Europe, the US and NATO
Join the European Leadership Network at the 2026 Munich Security conference for a panel event on European responsibility, alliance unity, and the future of transatlantic security
europeanleadershipnetwork.org
February 4, 2026 at 2:34 PM
If you are at #MSC2026 next week and worried about transatlantic relations, make sure to not miss this great @theeln.bsky.social panel. 👇‼️
Reposted by Oliver Meier
US, Myanmar, Libya, Congo and the 38 Other Countries That Owe the UN Money passblue.com/2026/02/03/u...
US, Myanmar, Libya, Congo and the 38 Other Countries That Owe the UN Money
passblue.com
February 3, 2026 at 9:50 PM
US, Myanmar, Libya, Congo and the 38 Other Countries That Owe the UN Money passblue.com/2026/02/03/u...
"The selection process to choose the next UN leader occurs as the UN faces fiscal collapse ... If the crisis does not improve by July, the organization could shut down. The nonpayment of the dues owed by the United States, $2.2 billion, is the chief factor in the UN’s straits."
Michelle Bachelet of Chile Is Running for the UN’s Top Post With Regional Backing passblue.com/2026/02/02/m...
Michelle Bachelet of Chile Is Running for the UN’s Top Post With Regional Backing
passblue.com
February 3, 2026 at 1:52 PM
"The selection process to choose the next UN leader occurs as the UN faces fiscal collapse ... If the crisis does not improve by July, the organization could shut down. The nonpayment of the dues owed by the United States, $2.2 billion, is the chief factor in the UN’s straits."
Reposted by Oliver Meier
There are big grand-strategic issues involved in developing nuclear weapons. One of the biggest: if you aim to build a coalition of like-minded middle powers to defend the rules-based international order, then you probably shouldn't trash nonproliferation, one of that order's keystones, on the way.
Criticism of the Nordic Nuke Debate™️ in Aftonbladet:
"We've gone from 'we can't join NATO because NATO has nukes' to asking 'shouldn't we get our own?'"
"If a country like Sweden develops nuclear weapons the [NPT] would collapse, and with it, in practice, the rules based international order."
"We've gone from 'we can't join NATO because NATO has nukes' to asking 'shouldn't we get our own?'"
"If a country like Sweden develops nuclear weapons the [NPT] would collapse, and with it, in practice, the rules based international order."
Svenska kärnvapen är mest en fantasi
MÜNCHEN Förra veckan diskuterades kärnvapen i Sverige. På kort tid har debatten gått från ”vi kan inte gå med i Nato eftersom Nato har kärnvapen” till frågan ”b
www.aftonbladet.se
February 3, 2026 at 8:41 AM
There are big grand-strategic issues involved in developing nuclear weapons. One of the biggest: if you aim to build a coalition of like-minded middle powers to defend the rules-based international order, then you probably shouldn't trash nonproliferation, one of that order's keystones, on the way.
Reposted by Oliver Meier
🚨 It is now 85 SECONDS TO MIDNIGHT on the #DoomsdayClock, the closest it has ever been to midnight.
Learn why here:
thebulletin.org/doomsday-clo...
Learn why here:
thebulletin.org/doomsday-clo...
January 27, 2026 at 3:11 PM
🚨 It is now 85 SECONDS TO MIDNIGHT on the #DoomsdayClock, the closest it has ever been to midnight.
Learn why here:
thebulletin.org/doomsday-clo...
Learn why here:
thebulletin.org/doomsday-clo...
Reposted by Oliver Meier
2026 US National Defense Strategy is out. Let's see:
»Previous administrations squandered our military advantages ... to uphold cloud-castle abstractions like the rules-based international order.«
Yeah, it's what I thought.
»Previous administrations squandered our military advantages ... to uphold cloud-castle abstractions like the rules-based international order.«
Yeah, it's what I thought.
media.defense.gov
January 24, 2026 at 1:44 AM
2026 US National Defense Strategy is out. Let's see:
»Previous administrations squandered our military advantages ... to uphold cloud-castle abstractions like the rules-based international order.«
Yeah, it's what I thought.
»Previous administrations squandered our military advantages ... to uphold cloud-castle abstractions like the rules-based international order.«
Yeah, it's what I thought.
You are maybe a little bit worried about transatlantic relations right now? Read this piece by @theeln.bsky.social Senior Network member and member of @bundestag.de, Roderich Kiesewetter @rodki.bsky.social 👇‼️
🚨 JUST IN: As President Trump tries to coerce European leaders over Greenland and seems ready to break the transatlantic alliance, the crisis should serve as a catalyst for deeper and smarter Europeanization of defensive and strategic efforts, German lawmaker Roderich Kiesewetter writes.
#Greenland
#Greenland
The "Donroe Doctrine" moved to the Arctic. Europe must now redefine burden sharing
As President Trump tries to coerce European leaders over Greenland and seems ready to break the transatlantic alliance, the crisis should serve as a catalyst for deeper and smarter Europeanization of ...
thebulletin.org
January 20, 2026 at 11:47 AM
You are maybe a little bit worried about transatlantic relations right now? Read this piece by @theeln.bsky.social Senior Network member and member of @bundestag.de, Roderich Kiesewetter @rodki.bsky.social 👇‼️
Reposted by Oliver Meier
»Es handelt sich bei erweiterter Abschreckung...entgegen der landläufigen Beschreibung nicht um einen 'Schutzschirm', den man einfach auf- und zuklappt. [Es gibt] keinen Schutz (durch Verteidigung oder Abwehr). Es gibt nur eine Abschreckungsdrohung, die Dritte inkludiert. 1/2
January 19, 2026 at 6:41 PM
»Es handelt sich bei erweiterter Abschreckung...entgegen der landläufigen Beschreibung nicht um einen 'Schutzschirm', den man einfach auf- und zuklappt. [Es gibt] keinen Schutz (durch Verteidigung oder Abwehr). Es gibt nur eine Abschreckungsdrohung, die Dritte inkludiert. 1/2
Lesenswert 👇‼️
Longer interview in Internationale Politik (in German). We speak about Greenland (the interview was recorded before the latest tariff threats from President Trump), about Sudan, Iran, the EU, and international law.
internationalepolitik.de/de/europa-mu...
internationalepolitik.de/de/europa-mu...
„Europa muss Trump deutlich machen: Bis hierhin und nicht weiter!“
Venezuela, Grönland, Ukraine, Sudan, Iran: Weltweit steht das Völkerrecht unter Druck. Ein Gespräch mit Volker Perthes über das Ringen um internationale Ordnung, den richtigen Umgang mit Donald Trumps...
internationalepolitik.de
January 19, 2026 at 6:54 PM
Lesenswert 👇‼️
"According to an EU official and a diplomat familiar with the planning, the summit is being scheduled for Thursday, Jan. 22 . The meeting of leaders, the official said, will be “physical” — requiring leaders to attend in person — rather than a virtual conference call."
BREAKING: The leaders of the European Union’s 27 governments will meet “in the coming days” to discuss a response to U.S. President Donald Trump’s threats to seize Greenland. politi.co/4rkPOCv
January 18, 2026 at 8:21 PM
"According to an EU official and a diplomat familiar with the planning, the summit is being scheduled for Thursday, Jan. 22 . The meeting of leaders, the official said, will be “physical” — requiring leaders to attend in person — rather than a virtual conference call."
Reposted by Oliver Meier
I agree, btw, that an extension without data exchange (at minimum) is not a good idea. The right thing to do is to demand transparency as a condition, not to reject the extension outright. Russia is likely to refuse, but New START opponents are afraid that it may not. 2/2
January 15, 2026 at 9:47 PM
I agree, btw, that an extension without data exchange (at minimum) is not a good idea. The right thing to do is to demand transparency as a condition, not to reject the extension outright. Russia is likely to refuse, but New START opponents are afraid that it may not. 2/2
Reposted by Oliver Meier
Those opposed to extending New START limits feel that it's their moment. If the limits are extended now, even for one year, it would be much more difficult to upload and do other things a year later. 1/
January 15, 2026 at 9:47 PM
Those opposed to extending New START limits feel that it's their moment. If the limits are extended now, even for one year, it would be much more difficult to upload and do other things a year later. 1/
Reposted by Oliver Meier
January 14 marked an unnoticed milestone in world history: The world has now gone the longest period of time since 1945 without an explosive nuclear test. UCS’s @dkspaulding.bsky.social explains the meaning of this achievement in the context of today’s fragile stability.
The Nuclear Testing Moratorium Passes a Milestone
The world has now gone the longest period of time since 1945 without an explosive nuclear test. Breaking this streak would be not only unnecessary but also unwise.
blog.ucs.org
January 18, 2026 at 5:12 PM
January 14 marked an unnoticed milestone in world history: The world has now gone the longest period of time since 1945 without an explosive nuclear test. UCS’s @dkspaulding.bsky.social explains the meaning of this achievement in the context of today’s fragile stability.
Reposted by Oliver Meier
Emergency meeting of EU Member States representatives 5pm today, to discuss relations with the US
January 18, 2026 at 5:46 AM
Emergency meeting of EU Member States representatives 5pm today, to discuss relations with the US
Reposted by Oliver Meier
We're hiring!
We are seeking a part-time Commissioning Editor (Maternity Cover).
For a full description of the role and details on how to apply, please head to our website: europeanleadershipnetwork.org/job/commissi...
Deadline: 30th January 2026.
We are seeking a part-time Commissioning Editor (Maternity Cover).
For a full description of the role and details on how to apply, please head to our website: europeanleadershipnetwork.org/job/commissi...
Deadline: 30th January 2026.
January 16, 2026 at 12:36 PM
We're hiring!
We are seeking a part-time Commissioning Editor (Maternity Cover).
For a full description of the role and details on how to apply, please head to our website: europeanleadershipnetwork.org/job/commissi...
Deadline: 30th January 2026.
We are seeking a part-time Commissioning Editor (Maternity Cover).
For a full description of the role and details on how to apply, please head to our website: europeanleadershipnetwork.org/job/commissi...
Deadline: 30th January 2026.
Reposted by Oliver Meier
Official confirmation of German participation in European troop deployment to Greenland. First Bundeswehr soldiers to arrive tomorrow. 🇪🇺 / NATO solidarity in action.
January 14, 2026 at 7:57 PM
Official confirmation of German participation in European troop deployment to Greenland. First Bundeswehr soldiers to arrive tomorrow. 🇪🇺 / NATO solidarity in action.