Probable Pattern
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probablepattern.com
Probable Pattern
@probablepattern.com
Former Marine, Musician, Professor, and Vintner
Financial Economist using R/Python and Linux
si omnibus rebus, nihil rebus

Views are not those of my employer
The vibe shift between the Disney Christmas parade and the ICE commercials is jarring.
December 25, 2025 at 7:51 PM
All clear at Nakatomi Plaza.
December 25, 2025 at 1:18 AM
Monarch Bear Grove at Golden Gate Park
December 21, 2025 at 10:05 PM
#Alameda boat parade from the middle of the estuary
December 7, 2025 at 2:18 AM
When gas is scarce and it’s hard to find parking in the apocalypse.
nothing but respect to the urban assault smart car
November 15, 2025 at 3:19 PM
The sky is slightly brighter but no other signs of the geomagnetic storm in Alameda.
November 12, 2025 at 5:51 AM
Happy Birthday Marines!
youtu.be/6Vw0jTk4rqQ...
250th Marine Corps Birthday message
youtu.be
November 11, 2025 at 2:20 AM
Mamdani is officially America’s mayor.
November 5, 2025 at 2:43 AM
Is it really too much to ask that we retain our history? #nokings
October 24, 2025 at 2:33 AM
I can confirm that the gold is still in the NY Fed vault. It is indeed shiny :)
October 21, 2025 at 9:15 PM
Reposted by Probable Pattern
they are so close to understanding the entire point of trade
BREAKING: The US is rolling back tariffs on “products that cannot be grown, mined, or naturally produced in the United States," per WSJ
October 20, 2025 at 12:23 AM
You may wonder why the HOA hired workers to come pressure wash the property in the rain on a holiday, but just don’t ask at the monthly meeting. #DefundtheHOA
October 13, 2025 at 8:30 PM
Reposted by Probable Pattern
Dill & Dingler is a shop in Portland that sells artisanal pickles and bespoke dinner bells.
October 11, 2025 at 12:30 AM
French Prime Minister
October 11, 2025 at 12:15 AM
Cherryblock! Sebastriani winery
October 5, 2025 at 11:20 PM
I’m just an economist, standing in front of the BLS, asking for the jobs report.
October 4, 2025 at 3:42 AM
Vice President Plastic Bertrand screaming “I am the King of the divan!”
October 4, 2025 at 1:40 AM
30 minutes These guys won’t get on the ferry and don’t have a radio. No police or coast guard in sight.
October 4, 2025 at 12:24 AM
Stuck in the middle of San Francisco Bay because some fools broke the mast on their Weta trimaran and didn’t bring a paddle.
October 4, 2025 at 12:17 AM
Saw a fat guy wearing a shirt that says “16:9” as in wide aspect ratio. Respect for the humor and ownership.
September 25, 2025 at 12:46 AM
Just a reminder that removing the Fed’s dual mandate to focus only on price stability will likely result in higher rates.
September 19, 2025 at 2:52 AM
Reposted by Probable Pattern
Where the separate divisions of ANTIFA landed on the beaches of Normandy on June 6, 1944:
September 18, 2025 at 11:19 PM
I could listen to Russell Ferrente’s groove on “The Village Church” all day.
September 18, 2025 at 3:51 PM
Best event title:
My city is hosting a fundraising dinner to benefit Alzheimer’s research. They call it “An Evening to Remember”
September 17, 2025 at 3:18 PM
Fed independence holding for now
September 16, 2025 at 1:18 AM